Free MLB Picks For Today 9/19/2022
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 9/19/2022
Twins at Guardians—Sonny Gray to start for Minnesota. Gray in 23 starts has an ERA 2.83 with WHIP 1.10. The righthander a 24.3% strikeout rate with 7.3% walks. Ground balls 43.9% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings.
Cal Quantrill the starter for Cleveland. Quantrill in 28 starts produces an ERA 3.51 plus WHIP 1.22. The righty is striking out 16.8% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.8% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
Twins have won one of the four games of this series with their 3-0 win. Guardians had won eight of nine prior to that defeat. Both starters in good recent form as is their bullpens. Minnesota under in five of six. Play Minnesota and Cleveland under 7.5.
Seattle Mariners vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 9/19/2022
Mariners at Angels—Logan Gilbert the starter for Seattle. Gilbert starts in 29 games with an ERA 3.19 and WHIP 1.21. The righthander strikes out 22.5% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 35.5% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings.
Jose Suarez to start for LAA. Suarez appeared in 19 games posting an ERA 3.84 plus WHIP 1.28. The lefthander strikes out 22.3% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 39% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings. Mariners have lost all three in this series with their 5-1 loss. They have lost four overall.
Past ten games Seattle hitting .208. Suarez 13-4 to the under when an underdog of +100 to +150 past two seasons. Gilbert has five days rest between starts and is 11-3 to the under with 5-6 days of rest this season. Play Seattle and LA Angels under 8.
Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 9/19/2022
Cubs at Marlins—Wade Miley to start for Chicago. Miley in six starts carries an ERA 2.89 and WHIP 1.14. The lefthander deals 20% strikeouts with 9.6% walks. Ground balls 55% with minimal home run damage.
Edward Cabrera has eleven starts carries an ERA 2.70 plus WHIP 1.08. The righthander strikes out 25.8% with 12.3% walks. Grounders 47.2% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.58 indicates a rise in ERA with his numbers.
Chicago loses two of three at home to Colorado with poor run production. Miami salvaged the finale of their three game series with the Nationals with their 3-1 win. Miley has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Past ten games Marlins bullpen ERA 5.40. Play Chicago +120.
Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 9/19/2022
Astros at Rays—Luis Garcia to start for Houston. Garcia in 25 starts produces an ERA 4.04 plus WHIP 1.17. The righthander is striking out 24.7% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 36.6% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings.
Drew Rasmussen the starter for Tampa Bay. Rasmussen has 25 starts posting an ERA 2.77 and WHIP 1.07. The righty strikes out 22.4% with 5.5% walks. Grounders at 47.4% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings.
Astros win three of four at home to Oakland and have won seven of eight overall. Rays win two of three at home to Texas. Rasmussen at home puts up better numbers with an ERA 1.87 and WHIP 0.80.
Team record behind Rasmussen 17-6 when facing a team that averages seven or greater strikeouts per game. Rays 41-17 when a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. Play Tampa Bay -116.
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Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 9/19/2022
Nationals at Braves—Cory Abbott the starter for Washington. Abbott in thirteen appearances posts an ERA 4.37 and WHIP 1.31. The righthander strikes out 20.8% with 10.4% walks. Ground balls 26.5% with 2.06 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 5.87 suggests a rise in ERA based on these numbers.
Kyle Wright will start for Atlanta. Wright has 27 starts carrying an ERA 3.18 and WHIP 1.15. The righty is striking out 23.7% with 7.3% walks. Ground ball rate 55.1% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings. Nationals take two of three at home to the Marlins by losing Sunday 3-1.
They have lost six of eight. Braves sweep a three game home series with the Phillies. Past ten games Nationals bullpen an ERA 4.85 with Braves 2.51. Washington 22-37 to the run line against the division. Play Atlanta Braves on alternate run line -2 at -125.
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 9/19/2022
Tigers at Orioles—Tyler Alexander to start for Detroit. Alexander in 23 appearances has an ERA 5.35 with WHIP 1.38. The lefthander pitches to high contact with 12.3% strike outs and 5.1% walks. Ground balls 35.3% with 1.63 home runs per nine innings.
Tyler Wells to start for Baltimore. Wells in 22 starts produces an ERA 3.93 and WHIP 1.10. The righty strikes out 17.9% with 6.1% walks. Grounders 36.2% with 1.43 home runs per nine innings. Tigers drop two of three at home to the White Sox with their 11-5 defeat. Detroit has lost six of seven.
Baltimore salvaged the finale of their three game series with their 5-4 win. Tigers 51-30 to the under facing teams allowing 4.4 runs per game of fewer this season.
Detroit 22-11 to the under facing a starter with a WHIP 1.20 or lower. Orioles 15-6 to the over against teams outscored by 1 or greater runs this season. Play Detroit and Baltimore under eight.
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 9/19/2022
Giants at Rockies—Jakob Junis to start for San Francisco. Junis in 20 appearances produces an ERA 4.15 with WHIP 1.20. The righty fans 20.9% with 5.2% walks. Grounders 44.7% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings.
Chad Kuhl to start for Colorado. Kuhl in 24 starts has an ERA 5.33 and WHIP 1.50. The righthander strikes out 17.7% with 9.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 36.3% with 1.68 home runs per nine innings. Giants get swept in a three game series at home to the Dodgers with their 4-3 defeat.
Rockies return home winning two of three at the Cubs. Past ten games Giants hitting .176. Rockies bat .281 at home. Rockies 45-23 when facing a losing team at home. Team record behind Kuhl 16-5 in his career at home facing a losing team. Play Colorado +106.
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 9/19/2022
Mets at Brewers—Max Scherzer to start for NYM. Scherzer starts in 20 games an ERA 2.26 and WHIP 0.92. The veteran an elite strikeout rate of 30.6% with 4.6% walks. Ground balls 29.3% with 0.70 home runs per nine innings.
Corbin Burnes the starter for Milwaukee. Burnes in 29 starts carries an ERA 2.97 with WHIP 0.98. The righthander an elite strikeout rate as well with 30.7% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings. Mets sweep the Pirates in their three game home series with their 7-3 win on Sunday.
Brewers win two of three at home to the Yankees after their 12-8 defeat on Sunday. Past ten games Mets bullpen an ERA 2.37 and Brewers 4.31. Team record behind Scherzer 25-7 when facing a team hitting .245 the past two seasons. Past five games Burnes allowed 18 earned runs in 31 innings. Play NY Mets -104.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 9/19/2022
Diamondbacks at Dodgers—Merrill Kelly to start for Arizona. Kelly in 29 starts produces an ERA 3.01 plus WHIP 1.11. The righthander a strikeout rate of 22% with 7.7% walks. Ground ball rate 43.7% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings.
Clayton Kershaw to start for LAD. Kershaw in eighteen starts posts an ERA 2.44 and WHIP 0.93. The lefty a strikeout mark of 26.6% with 4.7% walks. Ground balls 47.6% with 0.70 home runs per nine innings. Diamonds drop three of four at home to the Padres with their 6-1 defeat on Sunday.
Dodgers return home sweeping the Giants in a three game series. Past ten games Diamondbacks hitting .182 against lefthanders and Dodgers bullpen an ERA 1.54. Kelly past three starts against LAD this season allowed fourteen earned runs, eleven walks and four homers in 12 innings.
Arizona 5-30 on the run LAD 62-34 to the run line against an NL team hitting .250 or fewer this season. Play LA Dodgers on run line -1.5 runs.
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