Free MLB Picks For Today 9/17/2022
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 9/17/2022
Twins at Guardians—Louie Varland will be the Game 1 starter for Minnesota. Varland in his MLB debut allowed two earned runs with seven strikeouts in 7 1/3rd innings. In Triple A he started four games with an ERA 1.69 and WHIP 0.85.
Shane Bieber to start for Cleveland. Bieber has 27 starts carrying an ERA 2.91 plus WHIP 1.06. The righthander is striking out 25.9% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls served at 47% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings.
Cleveland wins the opener of this series 4-3 for their seventh win in eight games. Twins 20-42 when facing an AL pitcher with an ERA of 3.40 or better the past two seasons. Play Cleveland in Game 1.
Josh Winder to start Game 2 for Minnesota. Winder in eleven appearances has an ERA 3.83 with WHIP 1.24. The righthander a 16% strikeout rate with 7.3% walks. Ground balls at 35.3% with 1.46 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.91 suggests a rise in ERA based on these numbers.
Konnor Pilkington to start the nightcap for Cleveland. Pilkington appeared in fourteen games posting an ERA 4.30 and WHIP 1.57. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 18.4% with 12.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 40.1% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings.
Past ten games Twins hitting .284 against lefthanders. Winder in two meetings against the Guardians allowed two earned runs in ten innings. Play Minnesota in Game 2.
Cincinnati Reds vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 9/17/2022
Reds at Cardinals—Mike Minor the starter in Game 1 of the DH. Minor in eighteen starts has an ERA 5.78 plus WHIP 1.58. The lefthander strikes out 17.2% with 8% walks. Ground balls 34.8% with 2.18 home runs per nine innings.
Dakota Hudson the starter for St Louis. Hudson has 24 starts posting an ERA 4.43 and WHIP 1.42. The righthander pitches to high contact with 13.5% with 10.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 52.8% with limited home run damage.
Cardinals evened this series with the 6-5 win. Past ten games Cardinals hitting only .143 against lefthanders with a bullpen ERA 5.55. Play Cincinnati on Run Line +1.5 Runs in Game 1.
Hunter Greene the starter for Cincinnati in Game 2 of the doubleheader. Greene starts in 20 games with an ERA 5.26 and WHIP 1.30. The righthander a strikeout mark of 28.8% with 9.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 27.9% with 2.02 home runs per nine innings.
Jose Quintana the starter for St Louis. Quintana in 28 starts produces an ERA 3.34 with WHIP 1.30. The lefthander fans 19.7% with 7.3% walks. His ground balls 46.1% with limited home run damage.
Cardinals have hit Greene this season in three appearances for eight earned runs with nine walks in 13 1/3rd innings resulting in losses each game. Quintana good form allowing two earned runs or fewer in all eight starts with the Cardinals since the trade. Play St Louis on run line -1.5 runs in Game 2.
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 9/17/2022
Rockies at Cubs—Jose Urena to start for Colorado. Urena in seventeen appearances an ERA 5.81 with WHIP 1.64. The righthander pitches to high contact with 12.8% strikeouts and 10.7% walks. Ground balls 51.4% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings.
Hayden Wesneski will start for Chicago. Wesneski appeared in two games allowing three earned runs with eleven strikeouts in 8 2/3rd innings. He started nineteen games in Triple A compiling an ERA 3.51 with WHIP 1.15. The righthander had 83 strikeouts with 28 walks in 89 2/3rd innings.
Cubs win the opener of this series 2-1 for their fourth straight win. Rockies have dropped three of four. Past ten games Rockies hitting .198 against righthanders. Rockies 5-24 on the road against the NL Central past two seasons. Play Cubs -137.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 9/17/2022
Orioles at Blue Jays—Kyle Bradish the starter for Baltimore. Bradish in nineteen starts posts an ERA 5.01 with WHIP 1.44. The righthander is striking out 21.5% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 45.2% with 1.48 home runs per nine innings.
Jose Berrios to start for Toronto. Berrios has 28 starts carrying an ERA 5.07 and WHIP 1.38. The veteran strikes out 20.1% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls served at 39.7% with 1.65 home runs per nine innings. Toronto wins the opener of this series 6-3 for their third win in four games.
Past ten games Blue Jays hitting .287 against righthanders and Orioles .228. Team record behind Berrios 14-2 when facing an AL team averaging 4.4 runs per game or less this season. Play Toronto -154.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 9/17/2022
Marlins at Nationals—Trevor Rogers to start for Miami. Rogers in 22 starts produces an ERA 5.35 with WHIP 1.48. The lefthander is striking out 22.3% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.4% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.23 suggests a drop in ERA based on these numbers.
Erick Fedde the starter for Washington. Fedde has 23 starts with an ERA 5.24 and WHIP 1.55. The righthander a strikeout mark of 17% with 11.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.5% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings.
Nationals win the opener of this series 5-4 as the Marlins blow a 4-0 lead. Miami has lost six of eight. Past ten games Nationals hitting .279 as a team Team record behind Rogers this season 3-10 against losing teams. Play Washington +116.
Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 9/17/2022
Royals at Red Sox—Brady Singer will start for KC. Singer in 24 appearances has an ERA 3.21 with WHIP 1.14. The righthander is striking out 24% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls 48.6% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.
Rich Hill to start for Boston. Hill starts in 22 games producing an ERA 4.56 along with WHIP 1.32. The veteran a strikeout mark of 19.7% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls served at 41.4% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings. Red Sox win the opener of this series 2-1.
KC has lost four straight all on their road trip. Past ten games KC hitting .177 with bullpen ERA 2.78. Boston pen an ERA 2.36 in this span. KC 26-14 to the under on the road against lefthanders past two seasons. Play KC and Boston under 9.
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 9/17/2022
White Sox at Tigers—Johnny Cueto to start for Chicago. Cueto has worked 22 games posting an ERA 3.09 with WHIP 1.20. The righthander pitches to contact with 15.4% strikeouts with 5.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.9% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.94 suggests a rise in ERA based on his performance.
Eduardo Rodriguez the starter for Detroit. Rodriguez in 13 starts carries an ERA 4.50 and WHIP 1.39. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 18.2% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 37.9% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings.
Tigers take the opener of this series 3-2 to break a four game losing streak. Past ten games Tigers hitting .215 against righthanders with White Sox pounding lefty’s at .368. In this period Chicago bullpen an ERA 2.55.
White Sox 28-13 to the run line against bad teams with a .380 win percentage or worse. Play Chicago on run line -1.5 runs at +115.
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Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 9/17/2022
Rangers at Rays—Jon Gray the starter for Texas. Gray in 20 starts produces an ERA 3.79 with WHIP 1.16. The righthander is striking out 27.4% with 7.7% walks. Grounders 44.3% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings.
Ryan Yarbrough to start for Tampa Bay. Yarbrough in eighteen appearances produces an ERA 4.38 plus WHIP 1.33. The lefthander strikes out 17.4% with 6% walks. Ground ball rate 37.8% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.
Rangers win the opener of this series 4-3 winning four of six. Texas 16-6 to the under against AL teams allowing 3.9 runs per game or fewer this season. Rangers bullpen ERA 3.05 past ten games. Play Texas and Tampa Bay under the total.
Oakland Athletics vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 9/17/2022
Athletics at Astros—Cole Irvin to start for Oakland. Irvin in 26 starts has an ERA 3.73 plus WHIP 1.10. The lefthander fans 17.6% with 5.1% walks. Ground ball dealt at 38.4% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.
Jose Urquidy the starter for the Astros. Urquidy has starts in 26 games with an ERA 3.75 and WHIP 1.16. The righthander strikeout mark of 19.4% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls 36.2% with 1.43 home runs per nine innings.
Astros have won both games of this series with the 5-0 defeat. Astros have won six straight. Athletics have dropped eight of ten. Past ten games Athletics hitting .192 against righthanders and Astros .307 against lefty’s.
In this period Houston bullpen an ERA 1.09 and Athletics 6.81. Irvin has been pounded past three games allowing sixteen earned runs in 17 innings. Play Houston on run line -1.5 runs at -125.
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 9/17/2022
Yankees at Brewers—Jameson Taillon to start for NYY. Taillon in 28 starts produces an ERA 3.94 and WHIP 1.13. The righthander a strikeout mark of 20.3% with 4.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 40.9% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings.
Brandon Woodruff to start for Milwaukee. Woodruff has starts in 23 games posting an ERA 3.39 plus WHIP 1.12. The righty strikes out 29.1% with 7.1% walks. Grounders 36.4% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. Brewers win the opener of this series 7-6 for their fourth win in five games.
Loss broke a four game win streak for NYY. Past ten games Yankees hitting .285 against righthanders with bullpen ERA 1.85. Team record behind Taillon 21-6 when facing a team that strikes out seven or great times per game this season. Play NY Yankees +100.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 9/17/2022
Pirates at Mets—Bryse Wilson to start for Pittsburgh. Wilson in 21 appearances has an ERA 6.03 with WHIP 1.50. The righthander pitches to contact with 14.8% strikeouts and 5.7% walks. Ground balls 43.9% with 1.72 home runs per nine innings.
Chris Bassitt to start for NYM. Bassitt in 27 starts carries an ERA 3.44 and WHIP 1.15. The righty strikes out 22.9% with 6.3% walks. His ground balls 48.6% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings. Mets have won both games of this series with the 4-3 win.
Past ten games Mets hitting .289 against righthanders with a bullpen ERA 2.31. Pirates pen in this period an ERA 5.12. Team record behind Bassitt 20-7 to the run line against a losing team past two seasons. Play NYM on run line -1.5 runs at -140.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 9/17/2022
Phillies at Braves—Aaron Nola the starter for Philadelphia. Nola has started 28 games posting an ERA 3.31 with WHIP 0.97. The righthander is striking out 28.6% with 3.4% walks. Ground balls dealt 42.9% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 2.62 indicates a drop in ERA possible based on his form.
Jake Odorizzi the starter for Atlanta. Odorizzi in eighteen starts produces an ERA 4.15 and WHIP 1.28. The veteran fans 18.2% with 7.2% walks. His ground balls are 32.7% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. Braves win the opener of this series 7-2. Both teams hitting righthanders past ten games with Phillies bullpen ERA 4.45.
Braves 35-18 to the over against the division this season. Play Philadelphia and Atlanta over 7.5. Nola past two starts against Atlanta allowed nine earned runs with four homers in 13 innings. Past four starts Odorizzi allowed 12 earned runs in 20 1/3rd innings. Play Philadelphia and Atlanta over 7.5.
LA Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 9/17/2022
Dodgers at Giants—Julio Urias the starter for LAD. Urias in 27 starts an ERA 2.30 with WHIP 0.95. The lefthander is striking out 24.1% with 6% walks. Ground balls sit 38.7% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.37 suggests a rise in ERA based on these numbers.
Sean Hjelle the primary pitcher for San Francisco. Hjelle appeared four times posting an ERA 5.73 plus WHIP 1.55. The righthander with his short sample a strikeout rate of 28.8% with 7.7% walks.
Ground balls 59.4% with no homers allowed a FIP 1.74 indicates a dramatic drop in ERA if this form holds. He has 22 starts in Triple A compiling an ERA 4.92 with WHIP 1.55 striking out 80 with 38 walks in 97 innings. LAD wins the opener of this series 5-0. Giants under in nine straight.
Past ten games San Francisco hitting .158 against lefthanders but bullpen ERA at 2.96. Dodgers pen in this span an ERA 1.71. Not confident in an under here with the Giants on a bullpen game. Play LA Dodgers on run line -1.5 runs.
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 9/17/2022
Padres at Diamondbacks—Joe Musgrove to start for the Padres. Musgrove in 26 starts has an ERA 3.28 with WHIP 1.09. The righthander is striking out 24.1% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls served at 45% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings.
Zac Gallen to start for Arizona. Gallen has 27 starts producing an ERA 2.50 and WHIP 0.91. The righty a strikeout mark of 26.5% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls 48.2% with limited home run damage. Padres evened this series with the 12-3 win.
Team record behind Gallen 9-1 against teams hitting .255 or worse on the season. Past ten games Padres hitting .216 against righthanders and a bullpen ERA 4.86. Musgrove past three starts against the Diamondbacks allowed 12 earned runs 15 1/3rd innings. Gallen sharp allowing one earned run or fewer in eight of ten. Play Arizona -110.
Seattle Mariners vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 9/17/2022
Mariners at Angels—George Kirby the starter for Seattle. Kirby in 21 starts has an ERA 2.98 with WHIP 1.14. The righthander fans 24.9% with 3% walks. Grounders 45.7% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings.
Shohie Ohtani the starter for LAA. Ohtani has 24 starts posting an ERA 2.55 and WHIP 1.06. The righty an elite strikeout mark of 33% with 6.2% walks. Grounders at 38.4% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. Angels win the opener of this series 8-7.
Past ten games Seattle hitting .219 against righthanders. Kirby has allowed one earned run or fewer in four straight. Ohtani allowed one earned run or fewer in three straight. Play Seattle and LA Angels under 7.5.
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