Free MLB Picks For Today 9/16/2022
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 9/16/2022
Rockies at Cubs—German Marquez to start for Colorado. Marquez in 27 starts carries an ERA 5.25 with WHIP 1.39. The righthander strikes out 18.6% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls 47.3% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings.
Marcus Stroman to start for Chicago. Stroman starts in 21 games producing an ERA 3.91 and WHIP 1.20. The veteran a strikeout mark of 20.1% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 50.6% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. Rockies split a two game series with the White Sox and have won five of seven.
Cubs return home after sweeping a three game series at the Mets. Team record behind Marquez against bad teams with .380 to .460 win percentage is 14-3. Cubs 15-21 when favored by -100 to -150 this season.
At home Stroman an ERA 7.11, WHIP 1.53 and 1.83 home runs per nine innings. Team record behind Stroman at home 1-8. Play Colorado +120.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 9/16/2022
Marlins at Nationals—Jesus Luzardo will start for Miami. Luzardo in fourteen starts carries an ERA 3.81 with WHIP 1.10. The lefthander a strikeout rate of 27.7% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls at 39.7% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings.
Josiah Gray will start for Washington. Gray in 25 starts produces an ERA 5.06 and WHIP 1.37. The righthander fans 25.1% with 10.4% walks. Grounders 30.7% with 2.46 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 5.96 indicates a rise in ERA based on these numbers.
Nationals salvaged the finale of their three game series with the 5-3 win. Nationals drop two straight at home to Baltimore and have lost seven of eight overall. Past ten games Washington bullpen ERA 5.09. Washington 22-49 at home this season. Play Miami.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 9/16/2022
Orioles at Blue Jays—Jordan Lyles will start for Baltimore. Lyles in 28 starts carries an ERA 4.62 with WHIP 1.46. The veteran striking out 18% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39.5% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings.
Thomas Hatch the starter for Toronto. Hatch in his lone starts allowed ten earned runs with three homers in 4 2/3rd innings. In 21 career appearances in MLB an ERA 5.58 with WHIP 1.53 and 1.56 home runs per nine innings.
Orioles sweep both games in their series at the Nationals. Blue Jays win three of five at home to the Rays despite the 11-0 defeat in the finale.
Blue Jays 61-49 to the over against righthanders this season. Past ten games each bullpen with an ERA well over four. Play Baltimore and Toronto over the total.
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 9/16/2022
White Sox at Tigers—Lucas Giolito will start for Chicago. Giolito in 26 starts has an ERA 5.18 and WHIp 1.49. The righthander is striking out 25.3% with 8.6% walks. Grounders 37.9% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings.
Matt Manning the starter for Detroit. Manning starts in ten games with an ERA 3.73 plus WHIP 1.22. The righty a strikeout rate of 18.4% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls sit 39.2% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. White Sox have won six of eight with the 8-2 win in their make up game at Cleveland.
Tigers lose all three at home to the Astros to open this home stand and have lost four straight. Chicago 28-12 to the run line against bad teams with a .380 or worse win percentage. Tigers 10-22 to the run line against winning teams the second half of this series. Play White Sox on run line -1.5 runs at +115.
Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 9/16/2022
Royals at Red Sox-Jonathan Heasley will start for KC. Heasley in 17 starts produces an ERA 5.51 and WHIP 1.57. The righthander a strikeout mark of 15.4% with 10.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 35.6% with 1.87 home runs per nine innings.
Michael Wacha to start for Boston. Wacha in 19 starts an ERA 2.69 plus WHIP 1.03. The veteran is fanning 20.6% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls 40.6% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.61 suggests a rise in ERA based on his performances.
Royals are swept in a three game series at the Twins and have lost seven of nine overall. Red Sox are swept at home in a two game series against the Yankees. Past ten games Royals hitting .189 against righthanders but their bullpen an ERA 2.10. Red Sox pen in this span an ERA 3.06. Play Kansas City and Boston under 9.5.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. NY Mets MLB Pick Prediction 9/16/2022
Pirates at Mets—Mitch Keller to start for Pittsburgh. Keller in 27 appearances an ERA 4.01 plus WHIP 1.41. The righthander a strikeout rate of 19.5% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls 49.6% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings.
Taijuan Walker the starter for the Mets. Walker has 25 starts posting an ERA 3.48 and WHIP 1.20. The veteran is striking out 19.1% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls 46.8% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings. Mets win the opener of this series 7-1 to break a three game losing streak.
Past ten games NYM hitting .280 against righthanders and Pirates bullpen an ERA 5.27. Pirates 31-45 to the run line against winning teams past two seasons. Play NY Mets on run line -1.5 runs at -115.
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 9/16/2022
Twins at Guardians—Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober in seven starts an ERA 4.01 with WHP 1.28. The righthander a strikeout mark of 20.4% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls 24.8% with limited home run damage.
Triston McKenzie will start for Cleveland. McKenzie worked in 27 games with an ERA 3.05 plus WHIP 0.97. The righty strikes out 24.8% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 30.7% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.86 suggests a rise in ERA if this form holds.
Twins sweep the Royals at home in a three game series. Guardians had their six game win streak snapped in an 8-2 home loss to the White Sox. Past ten games Guardians hitting .284 as a team with a bullpen ERA 3.09.
Team record behind the Twins 18-35 against a good AL pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or better on the season. Play Cleveland.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 9/16/2022
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 9/16/2022
Rangers at Rays—Martin Perez the starter for Texas. Perez in 28 starts produces an ERA 2.77 and WHIP 1.23. The lefthander fans 21.8% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 51.4% with limited home run damage.
Corey Kluber will start for Tampa Bay. Kluber has starts in 27 games posting an ERA 4.36 plus WHIP 1.17. The veteran strikes out 20.5% with 3% walks. Ground ball rate of 36.6% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.61 indicates a drop in ERA based on his form.
Rangers split their two game series at home with the Athletics. Rays lost three of five at Toronto despite the 11-0 win. Past ten games Rays hitting .368 against lefthanders. Rangers 6-20 against the AL East this season. Rays 20-7 at home when favored between -125 and -175 this season. Play Tampa Bay -141.
Oakland Athletics vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 9/16/2022
Athletics at Astros—Adrian Martinez the starter for Oakland. Martinez in eight starts has an ERA 5.59 and WHIP 1.53. The righthander is striking out 17.9% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls 39.8% with 1.63 home runs per nine innings.
Justin Verlander returns for Houston. Verlander has 24 starts with an ERA 1.84 with WHIP 0.86. The righthander a strikeout rate of 26.5% with 4.5% walks. His ground balls come in at 38.6% with 0.71 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 2.70 indicates a possible rise in his ERA based on these numbers.
Astros win the opener of this series 5-2 for seven wins in eight games. Past ten games Astros bullpen an ERA 1.38. Verlander 17-5 to the under facing a team that averages 7 or greater strikeouts per game. Play Oakland and Houston under 7.5.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 9/16/2022
Phillies at Braves—Ranger Suarez to start for Philadelphia. Suarez in 25 starts carries an ERA 3.62 with WHIP 1.33. The lefthander strikes out 20% with 8.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 57% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings.
Max Fried the starter for Atlanta. Fried starts in 27 games producing an ERA 2.50 and WHIP 1.01. The lefty a strikeout mark of 23.1% with 4.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 51.7% with limited home run damage. Philadelphia wins two of three in Miami despite the 5-3 defeat.
They have won seven of nine all against bad teams in the Marlins and Nationals. Braves return home after losing four of their final five on their west coast trip. Phillies 16-6 against an NL pitcher with an ERA 2.70 or better. Philadelphia 14-8 as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season. Play Philadelphia +155.
Cincinnati Reds vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 9/16/2022
Reds at Cardinals—Reiver Sanmartin to start for Cincinnati. Sanmartin appeared in 37 games posting an ERA 6.61 and WHIP 1.76. The righthander a strikeout mark of 17.9% with 11.2% walks. Ground balls 55.4% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.86 suggests a drop in ERA possible with his form.
Jack Flaherty the starter for St Louis. Flaherty in five starts produces an ERA 4.50 with WHIP 1.89. The righty pitches to contact with 13.6% strikeouts with 15.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.4% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings.
Reds win the opener of this series 3-2 to break a six game losing streak. St Louis 32-17 to the run line when facing a bad team with a .380 to .460 win percentage. Play St Louis on run line -1.5 runs at -125.
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 9/16/2022
Yankees at Brewers—Frankie Montas will start for NYY. Montas in 26 starts an ERA 3.89 with WHIP 1.22. The righthander is striking out 23.7% with 6.6% walks. His ground balls 45.5% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings.
Adrian Houser to start for Milwaukee. Houser appeared in nineteen games with an ERA 4.61 along with WHIP 1.42. The righty strikes out 16.2% with 9.7% walks. Grounders 47.6% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings. Yankees open this trip sweeping the Red Sox in a two game series for seven wins in nine games.
Brewers split a two game series at St Louis. Past ten games NYY bullpen ERA 1.70 with Brewers 4.85. Team record behind Houser 1-10 when he faces teams averaging 1.5 home runs per nine innings of greater. Play NY Yankees -120.
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 9/16/2022
Padres at Diamondbacks—Blake Snell to start for San Diego. Snell in 20 starts posts an ERA 4.02 with WHIP 1.34. The lefthander an elite strikeout rate of 31.3% with 10.1% walks. His ground balls 36.3% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 2.91 suggests a drop in ERA based on his form.
Madison Bumgarner will start for Arizona. Bumgarner in 28 starts an ERA 4.88 and WHIP 1.48. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 16% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 37% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings. San Diego loses the opener of this series 4-0 and have lost four of five.
Past ten games San Diego hitting .205 with a bullpen ERA 5.00. Team record behind Snell 5-9 as a favorite. Team record behind Bumgarner 9-2 at home against division opponents past three seasons. Play Arizona +150.
Seattle Mariners vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 9/16/2022
Mariners at Angels—Robbie Ray the starter for Seattle. Ray in 28 starts has an ERA 3.56 with WHIP 1.15. The lefthander strikes out 28% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls 40% with 1.40 home runs per nine innings.
Michael Lorenzen to start for LAA. Lorenzen has fourteen starts posting an ERA 1.34 plus WHIP 1.34. The righty a strikeout mark of 17.5% with 10.4% walks. Grounders 51.7% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. Mariners split a two game series at home with the Padres and have won seven of eleven.
Angels return home losing five of six. Past ten games Angels bullpen an ERA 5.88. Team record for Angels 16-40 facing a team with a good bullpen of 3.45 or better on the season. Mariners 15-1 as a road favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Play Seattle -158.
LA Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 9/16/2022
Dodgers at Giants—Dustin May gets the start for LAD. May in four starts posts an ERA 4.29 with WHIP 1.19. The righthander is striking out 23.3% with 12.2% walks. His ground balls 47.2% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 5.11 suggests a rise in ERA with his numbers.
Logan Webb the starter for San Francisco. Webb starts in 29 with an ERA 2.88 and WHIP 1.16. The righty a strikeout mark of 20.5% with 6.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 57.3% with limited home run damage. Dodgers on this trip has won four of six. Giants win two of three at home to the Braves.
Past ten games Giants hitting .199 with Dodgers bullpen an ERA 2.27. Webb 12-3 to the under at home the past two seasons. LAD 27-14 to the under following an off day. Play LA Dodgers and San Francisco under 7.5.
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