Free College Football Picks For Today 9/16/2022
Florida St vs. Louisville College Football Pick Prediction 9/16/2022
Florida St at Louisville—Florida St is 2-0 with their 24-23 win at the Superdome to the LSU Tigers. Seminoles avoided an overtime due to a missed LSU extra point near the end of the game. Florida produced 392 yards with 132 rushing on 38 carries.
Quarterback Jordan Travis hit on 20 of 32 for 260 yards and two touchdowns. He did run for 31 yards on eight carries. Last year he showed improved with 63% completion rate. Defensively Florida limited LSU to 348 yards. Seminoles have been a good third down team on offense and defense.
Louisville is 1-1 after their 20-14 road win at UCF. They bounced back from their 31-7 loss at Syracuse in the opener. In their win the Cardinals moved the football for 421 yards getting production on the ground with 226 yards on 45 carries.
They defended well limited the Knights to just 339 yards with only 131 passing yards on 34 carries. Malik Cunningham not accurate in the win hitting 14 of 29 for 195 yards. Running was his game in the win with 121 yards with 17 rushes and a touchdown.
Louisville defense is giving up 5.3 yards a carry on the ground. Impressed with Florida St at the Superdome defensively against LSU. Cunningham lack of accuracy a concern for Louisville. Play Florida St +2.5.
Air Force vs. Wyoming College Football Pick Prediction 9/16/2022
Air Force at Wyoming—Air Force is 2-0 after their 41-10 home win to Colorado. Strong performance on both ends of the football for the Falcons. They gained yards with 479 on the ground on 65 carries.
Senior quarterback Haaziq Daniels attempted only five passes with the success the Falcons had on the ground. He is a run threat who has averaged 10.5 carries a game. Air Force limited the Buffaloes to 170 yards containing the run and only 51 passing yards.
Wyoming is 2-1 after their 33-10 home win to FCS Northern Colorado. They had a poor offensive showing at Illinois and improved in Game 2 with 399 yards in a 40-37 home overtime win to Tulsa. In the Cowboys loss to Illinois they faced a run team and allowed 260 yards on 41 carries for nearly six yards per attempt.
Cowboys quarterback Andrew Peasley completing 55% of his throws with 5.4 yards per pass attempt. He is a Utah St transfer who struggled with accuracy. Air Force defense has been sharp. Wyoming inexperienced on both sides and line play a concern against the Falcons. Play Air Force -16.5.
USF vs. Florida College Football Pick Prediction 9/17/2022
USF at Florida—USF improved to 1-1 with the 42-20 home win to FCS Howard behind 424 yards of offense. But they did give up 418 yards with 250 passing on 37 attempts and over 4 yards per rush attempt. In the loss at home to BYU the Bulls defense was crushed surrendering 576 yards with 335 rushing and 50 points.
Baylor transfer quarterback Gerry Bohanon is completing 58.6% of his throws this season with no touchdowns and two picks.
Florida falls to 1-1 after their 26-16 home defeat to Kentucky. Gators offense sputtered with only 279 yards in defeat. Disappointing performance by quarterback Anthony Richardson who hit 14 of 35 for 143 yards and two interceptions.
Both teams getting production from their ground game but USF defense has been poor. Bulls converting only 25% on third down and Bohanon has not been sharp. It will be tougher to run and pass on this Gators defense. Play USF and Florida under 60.
Nevada vs. Iowa College Football Pick Prediction 9/17/2022
Nevada at Iowa—Nevada falls to 2-1 with their 55-41 home defeat to FCS Incarnate Word. They have played three weak opponents to start the season. Wolf Pack defense was shredded defensively allowing 623 yards.
This is a rebuilding Wolf Pack team that saw their head coach and many transfer to Colorado St. Oklahoma St transfer quarterback Shane Illingworth sat out the loss to Incarnate Word. They went with Nate Cox who went 22 of 43 for 302 yards and two touchdowns. Iowa falls to 1-1 with their 10-7 home defeat to Iowa St. T
he offense has been lacking for the Hawkeyes with 166 yards on South Dakota St and 150 on Iowa St all at home. Quarterback Sam Petras completing only 45.1% of his throws with no touchdowns and two interceptions. He is averaging only 3.9 yards per pass attempt.
Iowa defense has been good holding opponents to 216 yards and 2.2 yards per rush as well as 4.2 yards per pass attempt. Nevada went on the road to Kansas St last year with a good team and were crushed on the line of scrimmage by the Wildcats offensive and defensive line.
With this rebuilding team the Wolf Pack will struggle with line play in this spot. Get right spot for the Hawkeyes. Play Iowa -23.
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SMU vs. Maryland College Football Pick Prediction 9/17/2022
SMU at Maryland– SMU is 2-0 with their 45-16 home win to FCS Lamar behind 453 yards. They opened their season at North Texas and win 48-10 behind 576 yards of offense and 426 through the air.
Oklahoma transfer Tanner Mordecai is completing 65.1% of his throws with seven touchdowns and a pick with 10.2 yards per pass attempt. Mustangs have defended well despite facing weak competing allowing 3.6 yards per rush and 5.5 per pass attempt. They are allowing only 22.9% conversions on third down.
Maryland is 2-0 after their 56-21 road win at Charlotte gaining 619 yards and facing a backup quarterback. They opened with a 31-10 win against a Buffalo. Terrapins quarterback Taulia Tagovailoa is completing 78.5% of his passes with four touchdowns, two picks and 10.5 yards per pass attempt.
Both teams running effectively which is an indicator that the passing games can have success in this game. But the total opened 67.5 and has moved to 74 to no value in over now. Will back the home field and Tagovailoa in this spot. Play Maryland -2.5.
UCF vs. FAU College Football Pick Prediction 9/17/2022
UCF at FAU- UCF falls to 1-1 with their 20-14 home defeat to Louisville. Golden Knights only 339 yards in their lost. They did run well with 208 yards on 38 carries. Poor performance for UCF quarterback John Plumlee who went 16 of 34 for 131 yards and a pick for 3.9 yards per attempt.
Golden Knights defense has played well holding opponents to 256 yards, 3.3 yards per rush and 4.8 per pass attempt. Teams converting only 20% on third down on UCF. FAU improves to 2-1 after their 42-9 home win to FCS Southeast Louisiana behind 631 yards.
Once a defensive minded team the Owls have become more offensive behind Miami transfer N’Kosi Perry. The signal caller is completing 62% of his throws with nine touchdowns, two picks and 9.4 yards per pass attempt. His accuracy and down field average greatly improved at FAU.
Their loss came on the road at Ohio 41-38 allowing 476 yards and 346 passing. Not confident laying these many points on the road with UCF with the development of Perry. Play FAU +8.5.
Pittsburgh vs. Western Michigan College Football Pick Prediction 9/17/2022
Pittsburgh at Western Michigan—Pittsburgh fell to 1-1 with their 34-27 home defeat in overtime to Tennessee. Panthers moved the football for 416 yards in defeat. Team rushed for 142 yards on 38 carries. Quarterback Kedon Slovis left the field in the first half with an upper body injury and is questionable.
Backup Nick Patti was injured last so a third of fourth string could be under center. Panthers defense did hold the Volunteers to 91 yards on 35 carries but surrendered 325 passing yardage. Western Michigan is 1-1 after their 37-30 road win at Ball St.
Broncos were able to gain 437 yards in the win having a good game on the ground with 207 yards on 43 carries. Quarterback Jack Salopek went 25 of 43 for 230 yards and touchdown and pick. He is completing 58.2% of his passes for only 5.4 yards per attempt.
With the Panthers injuries at quarterback expect Pittsburgh to be run heavy here. Broncos allowing 5.6 yards per carry on the ground. Panthers runs and defends in this spot. Play Pittsburgh -10.
Michigan St vs. Washington College Football Pick Prediction 9/17/2022
Michigan St at Washington—Michigan St is 2-0 after their 52-0 home win to Akron. Spartans gained 498 yards on the Zips with 262 passing with 47 carries. Payton Thorne 18 of 28 for 212 yards and two touchdowns. They limited the Zips to 225 yards with 22 rushing on 27 carries. Their top receiver Jayden Reed questionable.
Washington 2-0 with their 52-6 home win to FCS Portland St behind 617 yards. Huskies opened the season beating Kent 45-20 behind 525 yards.
Indiana transfer Michael Penix completing 69.7% with six touchdowns, one pick and 10.3 yards per attempt. He showed accuracy in his first season at Indiana but suffered two severe injuries. He does not run. This will test the Spartans passing defense that was poor last season and Thorne’s accuracy an issue. Play Washington -3.
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