Free MLB Picks For Today 9/14/2022
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 9/14/2022
Pirates at Reds—Roansy Contreras to start for Pittsburgh. Contreras in seventeen appearances has an ERA 3.29 with WHIP 1.30. The righthander a strikeout rate of 20.8% with 10.2% walks. Ground balls served at 38.6% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.36 suggests a rise in ERA based on his performance.
Nick Lodolo has fifteen starts producing an ERA 3.78 plus WHIP 1.30. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 29.3% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls 43.1% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings. Pirates sweep their doubleheader with the Reds and have won all three in this series.
Reds have lost five straight. Past ten games Pirates hitting .278 against lefthanders. Contreras allowed two earned runs or fewer in seven of nine. Play Pittsburgh +135.
LA Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 9/14/2022
Angels at Guardians—Patrick Sandoval to start for LAA. Sandoval has started 23 games with an ERA of 2.98 with WHIP 1.35. The lefthander strikes out 24% with 9.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.5% with 0.50 home runs per nine innings.
Cal Quantrill expected to start for Cleveland. Quantrill has 27 starts producing an ERA 3.50 with WHIP 1.22. Strikeout mark 16.6% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 42.1% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.20 indicates a rise in ERA if this form continues.
Cleveland has won five straight with their 3-1 win taking both games of this series. Angels have dropped five of six. Past ten games Guardians bullpen an ERA 3.40. Sandoval allowed two earned runs or fewer in seven straight. Quantrill allowed two earned runs or fewer in six of seven.
LA Angels under 27-17 against a starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or better. Play LAA and Cleveland under the total.
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 9/14/2022
Astros at Tigers—Cristian Javier will start for Houston. Javier in 26 appearances posts an ERA 3.01 plus WHIP 1.03. The righthander an elite strikeout rate of 32.5% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 24.9% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings.
Joey Wentz will start for Detroit. Wentz has three starts posting an ERA 4.05 and WHIP 0.98. The lefthander is striking out 19.2% with 5.8% walks. Grounders 42.1% with no homers allowed. Astros have won both teams of this series with the 6-3 win. Team has won seven of nine.
Tigers dropped seven of ten. Past ten games Houston bullpen an ERA 0.79 and hitting .282 against lefthanders. Tigers 12-26 to the run line against an AL Starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.20 or better on the season. Play Houston on run line -1.5 runs at -150.
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 9/14/2022
Rockies at White Sox—Kyle Freeland to start for Colorado. Freeland in 27 starts an ERA 4.63 plus WHIP 1.37. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 16.7% with 6.9% walks. Grounders 42.4% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings.
Dylan Cease to start for Chicago. Cease has 28 starts posting an ERA 2.06 and WHIP 1.07. The righthander an elite strikeout mark of 31.6% with 10.2% walks. Ground balls 39.5% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 2.95 showing a possible rise in ERA with his numbers.
Rockies have won seven of ten by taking the opener of this series 4-2. Past ten games Rockies hitting .206 against righthanders and White Sox hitting .330 against lefty’s. Team record behind Cease 17-8 to the run line against teams getting outscored by 0.5 runs or greater the past two seasons. Play Chicago on run line -1.5 runs at -110.
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 9/14/2022
Braves at Giants—Charlie Morton to start for Atlanta. Morton in 27 starts delivers an ERA 4.08 and WHIP 1.19. The veteran is striking out 28.3% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls 40% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings.
Carlos Rodon to start for San Francisco. Rodon starts in 28 games with an ERA 2.93 plus WHIP 1.05. The lefthander fans 32.5% with 7.4% walks. Grounders 35.1% with limited home runs damage. A FIP 2.33 suggests a drop in ERA based on these numbers.
Braves evened this series and broke their three game losing streak with the 5-1 win. Giants have lost six of nine. Past ten games Braves hitting .267 against lefthanders with a bullpen ERA 2.53.
San Francisco pen an ERA 4.53 in this period. Braves 28-4 facing a losing team the second half of this season. Giants 13-32 as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. Play Atlanta -115.
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 9/14/2022
Padres at Mariners—Mike Clevinger to get the start for San Diego. Clevinger in nineteen appearances has an ERA 4.13 with WHIP 1.19. The righthander a strikeout mark of 20.4% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls 34.9% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings.
Luis Castillo to start for Cincinnati. Castillo in 21 starts has an ERA 2.81 plus WHIP 1.07. The righty strikes out 27% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 47.1% with 0.77 home runs per nine innings. Padres win the opener of this series 2-0.
Mariners 34-22 to the under against teams with good bullpen WHIP of 1.35 or better. Mariners 17-8 to the under in home day games this season. Past ten games Padres hitting .208 and Mariners .218. Play San Diego and Seattle under 7.5.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 9/14/2022
Phillies at Marlins—Kyle Gibson to start for Philadelphia. Gibson in 27 starts produces an ERA 4.57 and WHIP 1.28. The veteran is posting 19.1% strikeouts with 7% walks. Ground balls 46.3% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings.
Edward Cabrera to start for Miami. Cabrera has ten starts posting an ERA 2.63 with WHIP 1.08. The righthander a strikeout rate of 26.6% with 12.2% walks. Ground balls 48.1% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings. His FIP 4.14 suggests an increase in ERA based on his numbers.
Phillies have won six of seven with their 2-1 win. Marlins have dropped seven of ten. Past ten games Phillies hitting .317 against righthanders and Miami bullpen an ERA 5.09. Marlins 8-30 against a winning team second half of this season. Play Philadelphia -130.
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Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 9/14/2022
Orioles at Nationals—Tyler Wells to start for Baltimore. Wells has 21 starts with an ERA 3.91 plus WHIP 1.13. The righthander a strikeout mark of 17.6% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 35.7% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings.
Patrick Corbin will start for Washington. Corbin starts in 28 games posts an ERA 6.30 plus WHIP 1.71. The lefthander is striking out 18.2% with 7% walks. Ground balls 44.2% with 1.72 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.98 indicates a drop in ERA based on these numbers.
Orioles win the opener of this series 4-3. Nationals have lost six of seven. Nationals 14-38 as a home underdog of +100 or higher. Team record behind Corbin 3-17 as a home underdog of +100 or higher past three seasons. Play Baltimore -140.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 9/14/2022
Rays at Blue Jays—Drew Rasmussen to start for Tampa Bay. Rasmussen starts in 24 games produces an ERA 2.57 with WHIP 1.04. The righty a strikeout mark of 23% with 5.5% walks. Grounders 47.5% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings.
Ross Stripling to get the start for Toronto. Stripling has worked 28 games posting an ERA 3.03 and WHIP 1.01. The righthander is striking out 21.8% with 4.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 45.6% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings. Teams split their doubleheader on Tuesday.
Rasmussen 17-5 against teams striking out seven or greater times per game this season. He has allowed one earned run or fewer in six of his past seven starts and all three starts against the Blue Jays this season. Play Tampa Bay +100.
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 9/14/2022
Yankees at Red Sox—Nestor Cortes to start for NYY. Cortes in 24 starts an ERA 2.73 plus WHIP 0.95. The lefthander strikes out 25.6% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls 32.4% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.
Brayan Bello to start for Boston. Bello in nine appearances carries an ERA 5.79 and WHIP 1.74. The righthander a strikeout rate of 21.1% with 11.7% walks. Ground balls sit 58% with no homers allowed. Yankees win the opener of this series 7-6 in extra innings for their sixth win in seven games.
Red Sox now 3-17 against good teams with a .540 to .620 win percentage the second half of this season. Boston 20-41 against the AL East. Play NY Yankees -121.
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 9/14/2022
Cubs at Mets—Drew Smyly will start for Chicago. Smyly in 20 starts has an ERA 3.57 with WHIP 1.20. The lefthander a strikeout rate of 20.3% with 6% walks. Ground balls 39.5% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.30 suggests a rise in ERA based on this form.
David Peterson the starter for NYM. Peterson has worked in 22 games producing an ERA 3.47 and WHIP 1.33. Th lefty is striking out 27.6% with 10.1% walks. Ground balls 51.2% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings.
Chicago wins both games of this series with the 4-1 win. They have gone under in seven straight. Smyly 13-5 to the under against teams averaging 7 strikeouts per game or greater. Play Chicago and NYM under the total.
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 9/14/2022
Royals at Twins—Zack Greinke to start for Kansas City. Greinke in 22 starts posts an ERA 4.00 with WHIP 1.34. The veteran pitches to contact with 13.4% with 4.5% walks. Grounders at 41.5% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings.
Sonny Gray the stater for the Twins. Gray has starts in 22 games posting an ERA 3.09 and WHIP 1.14. The righthander a strikeout mark of 23.9% with 7.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.9% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings.
Minnesota wins the opener of this series 6-3. They had lost seven of nine prior to this win. On the road Greinke an ERA 6.33 with WHIP 1.59 and 2.17 home runs per nine innings with a team record 3-8. Twins 12-5 to the run line against teams with a bad bullpen with an ERA of 4.20 or worse. Play Minnesota on run line -1.5 runs at +110.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 9/14/2022
Brewers at Cardinals—Corbin Burnes the starter for Milwaukee. Burnes has 28 starts with an ERA 2.93 and WHIP 0.98. The righthander an elite strikeout rate of 31.3% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls 44.3% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings.
Adam Wainwright the starter for the Cardinals. Wainwright in 28 starts carries an ERA 3.33 plus WHIP 1.22. The veteran is striking out 18.8% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls 45.3% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings. Brewers have won five of six by taking the opener of this series 8-4.
Past ten games Cardinals bullpen an ERA 6.61. Burnes dominated the Cardinals this season in three starts allowing one earned runs with 27 strikeouts in 21 innings and has allowed one earned run or fewer in six of seven starts against St Louis. Brewers have hit Wainwright this season. Play Milwaukee -120.
Oakland Athletics vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 9/14/2022
Athletics at Rangers—JP Sears to start for Oakland. Sears in thirteen appearances has an ERA 3.33 and WHIP 1.25. The lefthander strike out rate of 16% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls 42.6% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.34 suggests a rise in ERA based on these numbers.
Dane Dunning to start for Texas. Dunning has 27 starts with an ERA 4.39 and WHIP 1.44. The righthander fans 19.7% with 9.2% walks. Ground balls sit 53.4% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. Texas has won three of four winning the opener of this series 8-7.
Past ten games Athletics bullpen an ERA 7.09. Dunning has put up the better numbers at home this season and in his career and have pitched well against Oakland the past three seasons. Athletics 17-35 as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. Play Texas -151.
LA Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 9/14/2022
Dodgers at Diamondbacks—Michael Grove to start for LAD. Groves appeared in three games allowing five earned runs with seven strikeouts in 9 1/3rd innings. He worked 14 games in Triple A compiling an ERA 4.07 with WHIP 1.30. He had 68 strikeouts in 59 2/3rd innings.
Zach Davies will start for Arizona. Davies in 23 starts produces an ERA 4.09 plus WHIP 1.26. The righthander a strikeout mark of 18.2% with 8.6% walks. Grounders 43.8% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings. LAD has won the first two in this series with the 4-0 win to clinch the NL West.
Diamondbacks have lost six of seven. Past ten games Diamondbacks bullpen an ERA 6.82. LAD owns a ten game lead on the Mets for home field in the NL playoffs. But the night after clinching and partying the screws may be a little loose and see some reserves in the game. Play Arizona.
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