Free MLB Picks For Today 9/11/2022
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 9/11/2022
Red Sox at Orioles—Rich Hill to start for Boston. Hill in 21 starts carries an ERA of 4.79 with WHIP 1.34. The veteran a strikeout mark of 19% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.7% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings.
Kyle Bradish to start for Baltimore. Bradish in eighteen games produces an ERA 5.30 plus WHIP 1.51. The righthander strikes out 22% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 45.3% with 1.60 home runs per nine innings.
Boston evened this series with the 17-4 win. This broke a four game losing streak. Past ten games Orioles hitting .260 against lefthanders with a bullpen ERA 3.22.
Red Sox pen in this period an ERA 4.82. Red Sox 16-32 against winning teams second half of this season. Orioles 17-8 against losing teams second half of this season. Team record behind Bradish 11-6 against teams striking out seven or greater times per game. Play Baltimore -125.
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 9/11/2022
Nationals at Phillies—Anibal Sanchez to start for Washington. Sanchez has ten starts posting an ERA 4.56 plus WHIP 1.27. The righthander a strikeout mark of 16.4% with 10.7% walks. Ground balls sit 40% with 2.10 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 6.30 suggests a rise in ERA if this form holds.
Aaron Nola the starter for Philadelphia. Nola has 27 starts with an ERA 3.35 and WHIP 0.97. The righty fans 28.7% with 3.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.8% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 2.64 suggests a drop in ERA based on his form.
Phillies have won both games in this series with the 8-5 win. Past ten games Washington hitting .331 against righthanders. In this period Phillies hitting .293 with a bullpen ERA 5.35.
Nationals 36-25 to the over facing teams averaging 4.5 runs per game or higher on the season. Play Washington and Philadelphia over eight.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 9/11/2022
Cardinals at Pirates—Jose Quintana starts for St Louis. Quintan 27 starts producing an ERA 3.41 and WHIP 1.32. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 19.8% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 45.9% with limited home run damage.
Mitch Keller the starter for Pittsburgh. Keller has worked in 26 games dealing an ERA 4.22 plus WHIP 1.45. Strike outs at 19.2% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 49.2% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings.
St Louis evened this series with the 7-5 win. Pirates have lost seven of nine. Past ten games Pirates bullpen an ERA 5.59. Cardinals 44-31 to the run line against losing teams this season. Team record on run line 11-3 behind Quintana when he faces a team hitting .245 or worse this season. Play St Louis on run line -1.5 runs at -125.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 9/11/2022
Rays at Yankees—Luis Patino to start for Tampa Bay. Patino in five starts produces an ERA 4.34 along with WHIP 1.61. The righthander pitches to contact with 12.9% strikeouts with 10.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.3% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 5.62 indicates a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Domingo German to start for NYY. German has ten starts posting an ERA 3.27 and WHIP 1.15. The righty a strikeout mark of 16.8% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 38% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.25 suggests a rise in ERA if this form holds.
Yankees evened this series with the 10-3 win. Yankees 15-23 against winning teams second half of this season. Rays had won nine of ten prior to their loss on Saturday. Tampa Bay 87-53 when favored -100 to -150 the past three seasons. Play Tampa Bay -115.
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 9/11/2022
Mets at Marlins—Taijuan Walker to start for NYM. Walker has 24 starts with an ERA 3.60 and WHIP 1.23. The veteran a strikeout mark of 18.1% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls 46.4% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings.
Jesus Luzardo the starter for Miami. Luzardo in thirteen starts produces an ERA 3.36 with WHIP 1.02. The lefthander is striking out 28.7% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.5% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings.
Mets evened this series with their 11-3 win. Past ten games Marlins hitting .203 against righthanders. NYM 84-50 facing a team that averages seven or greater strikes out per game. Marlins 8-28 facing a winning team the second half of this season. Play NY Mets -140.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 9/11/2022
Guardians at Twins—Shane Bieber to start for Cleveland. Bieber in 26 starts an ERA 2.96 with WHIP 1.06. The righthander a strikeout rate of 25.8% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 47.5% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings.
Josh Winder to start for Minnesota. Winder appeared in ten games producing an ERA 3.77 plus WHIP 1.24. The righty is pitching to contact with 15.3% strikeouts with 7.4% walks. Ground balls 37.5% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.61 suggests a rise in ERA if this form holds.
Guardians have won both games of this series with their 6-4 win. Team has won four of five on this trip. Twins have lost seven of nine. Minnesota bullpen past ten games an ERA 4.70 and Guardians pen a WHIP 1.05. Play Cleveland.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 9/11/2022
Reds at Brewers—Justin Dunn to start for Cincinnati. Dunn in six starts posts an ERA 4.82 and WHIP 1.43. The righthander is striking out 16.8% with 11.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 29.6% with 2.89 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 7.57 indicates a possible rise in ERA based on these numbers.
Brandon Woodruff to start for Milwaukee. Woodruff in 22 starts carries an ERA 3.41 along with WHIP 1.13. The righty a strikeout mark of 28.3% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 36.4% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings.
Milwaukee evened this series with their 5-1 win. They have won three of four on this home stand. Past ten games Brewers hitting .204. Brewers 16-20 against losing teams the second half of this series with -20.1 units.
Dunn’s numbers have been better on the road. Woodruff faced the Reds twice this season giving up eight runs with four homers in ten innings. Play Cincinnati +240.
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LA Angels vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 9/11/2022
Angels at Astros—Tucker Davidson will start for LAA. Davidson appeared in nine games with an ERA 6.42 plus WHIP 1.72. The lefthander pitches to high contact with 13.2% strikeouts and 15.3% walks. Ground balls at 43.9% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings.
Luis Garcia the starter for Houston. Garcia in 24 starts posting an ERA 3.99 and WHIP 1.15. The righthander fans 25% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.6% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings. Angels evened this series after their 6-1 win.
Past ten games LAA hitting .207 against righthanders but a bullpen ERA 2.91. Astros bullpen in this period an ERA 0.82. Astros 48-31 to the under against losing teams this season. Play LA Angels and Houston under 8.
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 9/11/2022
Tigers at Royals—Tyler Alexander the starter for Detroit. Alexander in 22 appearances has an ERA 5.23 plus WHIP 1.38. The lefty a contact pitcher at 12.5% strikeouts and 5.1% walks. Grounders 35.7% with 1.62 home runs per nine innings.
Brady Singer to start for KC. Singer post 23 appearances with an ERA 3.38 and WHIP 1.17. The righthander strikes out 24% with 5.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.9% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Tigers have won both games of this series with their 8-4 win.
Three straight wins for Detroit. KC has dropped four of five hitting only .195 but bullpen ERA 2.33. Detroit hitting .206 against righthanders on the road.
Tigers 50-36 to the under facing teams averaging 4.4 runs per game or lower. KC 21-12 to the under facing teams averaging 3.9 runs per game or lower. Play Detroit and Kansas City under eight.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 9/11/2022
Blue Jays at Rangers—Jose Berrios will start for Toronto. Berrios in 27 starts produces an ERA 5.23 with WHIP 1.39. Strike outs are 20.3% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39.3% with 1.72 home runs per nine innings.
Martin Perez the starter for Texas. Perez has 27 starts with an ERA 2.82 plus WHIP 1.22. The lefthander is dealing 21.5% strikeouts with 7.9% walks. Ground balls 51.5% with limited home runs damage. Toronto has won both games of this series with their 11-7 win.
Blue Jays have won eight of nine games. Rangers have lost eight of nine. Past ten games Texas hitting .193 against righthanders. Past ten Blue Jays hitting .303 against lefty’s with a bullpen ERA 2.65. Play Toronto on run line -1.5 runs.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 9/11/2022
Diamondbacks at Rockies—Zac Gallen gets the start for Arizona. Gallen in 26 starts an ERA 2.42 with WHIP 0.92. The righthander a strikeout rate of 25.6% with 6.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 48.1% with limited home run damage.
Ryan Feltner to start for Colorado. Feltner has worked fifteen games producing an ERA 5.85 plus WHIP 1.40. The righty strikes out 20.4% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.6% with 1.62 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.85 indicates a drop in ERA with this form.
Colorado has won both games in this series with the 4-1 home win. Rockies have won four straight at home. Diamondbacks have lost four straight on the road. Past ten games Arizona bullpen an ERA 7.99. Rockies 45-22 at home against a lowing team the past two seasons.
Diamondbacks 14-52 on the road against the NL West past two seasons. But Gallen has not allowed an earned run in six straight starts working 41 1/3rd innings. He faced Colorado four times this season allowing seven earned runs in 25 innings. Play Colorado +138.
Chicago White Sox vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 9/11/2022
White Sox at Athletics—Johnny Cueto to start for Chicago. Cueto in 21 appearances an ERA 2.87 plus WHIP 1.18. The veteran pitching to contact with 15.5% strikeouts and 5.5% walks. Ground balls 44% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.88 suggests a rise coming with his ERA if this form holds.
Cole Irvin to start for Oakland. Irvin has 25 starts producing an ERA 3.78 with WHIP 1.12. The lefthander is striking out 17.5% with 5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 38.3% with 1.12 home runs per nine innings. Chicago has won the first three in this series with their 10-2 win. They have won eight of ten.
Athletics have lost five straight and nine of ten. Past ten games White Sox hitting .269 against lefthanders and Oakland bullpen an ERA 6.47. Chicago 28-11 to the run line playing a bad team with a .380 or worse win percentage.
Athletics 5-20 to the run line when an underdog at home and the run line odds -130 to +110 this season. Play Chicago on run line -1.5 runs at +110.
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 9/11/2022
Braves at Mariners—Jake Odorizzi the starter for Atlanta. Odorizzi has starts in 17 games with an ERA 3.90 with WHIP 1.24. The righthander is striking out 18.3% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls 33.5% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
Marco Gonzales is starting for Seattle. Gonzales pitching to high contact with 12.6% strikeouts and 6.8% walks. Grounders sit 43.6% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.99 indicates a rise in ERA if these numbers hold.
Mariners evened this series with the 3-1 win. Past ten games Braves hitting .302 against lefthanders with a bullpen ERA 2.08. Atlanta 32-12 when favored on the road at -110 or higher. Play Atlanta -125.
LA Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 9/11/2022
Dodgers at Padres—Andrew Heaney to start for LAD. Heaney has eleven starts producing an ERA 2.94 plus WHIP 1.08. The lefty an elite strikeout rate of 35.1% with 5.9% walks. Grounders 36.7% with 1.90 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.07 means the ERA could rise based on his performance.
Joe Musgrove will start for San Diego. Musgrove has 25 starts dealing an ERA 3.16 and WHIP 1.08. The righthander a strikeout mark of 24.2% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls 45.8% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings. LAD evened this series with the 8-4 win.
Past ten games San Diego hitting .197 against lefthanders with a bullpen ERA 4.84. Dodgers pen in this period an ERA 2.50.
LAD 55-20 facing an NL team hitting .245 or worse this season. Padres fell to 18-42 this season facing a team with a good bullpen with ERA of 3.45 or better the past two seasons. Play LA Dodgers -125.
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 9/11/2022
Giants at Cubs—Shelby Miller primary pitcher for the Giants. Miller has worked in Triple A this season allowing sixteen earned runs in 62 1/3rd innings. A career ERA 4.19 with WHIP 1.37 in 163 appearances allowing one home run per nine innings.
Wade Miley will get the start for Chicago. Miley in five starts produces an ERA 3.13 plus WHIP 1.17. The lefthander striking out 18.8% with 10.4% walks. Ground balls 53.7% with minimal home run damage. Giants evened this series with the 5-2 win to break a five game losing streak.
Chicago has dropped six of eight. Miley pitched well against the Giants last year. Past ten games San Francisco hitting .210 against lefthanders.
San Francisco 9-25 facing a starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.20 or better. Team record behind Miley 10-0 when facing a losing team past two seasons. Play Chicago.
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