Free MLB Picks For Today 9/7/2022
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 9/7/2022
Mets at Pirates—Chris Bassitt to start Game 1 for the Mets. Bassitt in 25 starts carries an ERA 3.32 with WHIP 1.15. The righthander is striking out 22.5% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 49.2% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings.
Bryse Wilson to start for Pittsburgh. Wilson has worked in 19 games posting an ERA 6.12 plus WHIP 1.52. The righty pitches to contact with 14.9% with 5.9% walks. Grounders at 44.1% with 1.64 home runs per nine innings.
Mets have lost three straight after their 8-2 defeat in the opener. Team record 19-6 to the run line with Bassitt against losing teams the past two seasons. Play Mets on run line -1.5 runs -145 in Game 1.
Jacob deGrom penciled for Game 2. deGrom in six starts carries an ERA 1.98 plus WHIP 0.55. The veteran an elite strikeout rate of 43% with 2.3% walks. Grounders 38.6% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings.
Johan Oviedo to throw for Pittsburgh. Oviedo appeared in fifteen games posting an ERA 2.86 and WHIP 1.34. The righthander a strikeout rate of 24.6% with 8.2% walks. Grounders 45.7% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings.
A FIP 4.01 indicates a rise in ERA based on his performance. Pirates under in seven of nine entering this doubleheader. Play Pittsburgh and NYM under 8.5 in Game 2.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 9/7/2022
Brewers at Rockies—Eric Lauer will start for Milwaukee. Lauer in 25 starts carries an ERA 3.54 plus WHIP 1.22. A strikeout mark of 22.7% with 8.6% walks. Grounders come in at 33.1% with 1.58 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.63 indicates a rise in ERA based on these numbers.
Kyle Freeland the starter for Colorado. Freeland has 26 starts posts an ERA 4.75 and WHIP 1.41. Strikeouts come in at 16% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 41.8% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings.
Rockies evened this series with their 10-7 win to break a five game losing streak. Team record behind Freeland 9-5 against winning teams this season. Brewers have lost four of six. Play Colorado +120.
Atlanta Braves vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 9/7/2022
Braves at Athletics—Spencer Strider to start for Atlanta. Strider has appeared in 28 games with an ERA 2.67 and WHIP 0.98. The righty an elite strikeout rate of 28.1% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 40.1% with limited home run damage. A FIP 1.83 indicates a possible lowering of his ERA if his form holds.
Ken Waldichuk to start for Oakland. Waldichuk in his MLB debut allowed one earned run with six strikeouts and four walks over 4 2/3rd innings. He worked 66 Triple A innings allowing 26 earned runs and 26 homers striking out 91 with 26 walks. Braves have won six straight after their 10-9 win in the opener of this series.
Athletics have dropped five of six. Oakland hitting only .202 at home. Athletics 20-33 to the run line at home against teams with a good bullpen posting a WHIP of 1.25 or better this season. Braves 43-34 to the run line against losing teams this season. Play Atlanta on run line -1.5 runs at -155.
Detroit Tigers vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 9/7/2022
Tigers at Angels—Drew Hutchison to start for Detroit. Hutchison in 23 appearances carries an ERA 4.06 and WHIP 1.41. The righthander pitches to contact with 15% strikeouts and 9.6% walks. Ground balls 40.6% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings.
Patrick Sandoval to start for LAA. Sandoval has 22 starts with an ERA 3.02 plus WHIP 1.34. The lefthander strikes out 24.2% with 9.9% walks. Grounders come in at 46.6% with limited home run damage. LAA has won both games in this series after their 5-4 win.
Angels have won seven of ten. Tigers have lost seven of eight. Past ten games LAA an bullpen ERA 1.56. Tigers 24-10 to the under facing teams averaging 3.9 runs per game or less this season. Angels under 40-30 against a losing team. Play Detroit and LA Angels under 8.5.
San Francisco Giants vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 9/7/2022
Giants at Dodgers—Alex Cobb to start for San Francisco. Cobb in 22 starts has an ERA 3.58 and WHIP 1.25. The righthander is striking out 24.7% with 6.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 61.9% with limited home run damage. A FIP 2.84 suggests a drop in ERA based on this form.
Clayton Kershaw to start for LAD. Kershaw in sixteen starts an ERA 2.59 along with WHIP 0.97. The veteran strikes out 26.5% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 48.5% with 0.70 home runs per nine innings. LAD evened this series with their 6-3 win. Past ten games Dodgers bullpen ERA 2.19.
San Francisco 11-22 to the run line against teams with a good bullpen with an ERA of 3.45 or better. Team record behind Kershaw 24-8 against losing teams the past three seasons. Play LA Dodgers on run line -1.5 runs at -125.
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 9/7/2022
White Sox at Mariners—Michael Kopech to start for the White Sox. Kopech in 23 starts has an ERA 3.58 with WHIP 1.21. The righthander is striking out 21.4% with 12% walks. Ground balls sit 35.9% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.44 suggests a rise in ERA based on these numbers.
Luis Castillo to start for Seattle. Castillo has starts in 20 games posting an ERA 2.71 plus WHIP 1.07. The veteran a strikeout mark of 26.7% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls served at 47% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings. Seattle evened this series with their 2-0 win.
Past ten games Mariners bullpen an ERA 2.38 but hitting only .209. Kopech 14-5 to the under against when facing a team that averages seven or greater strikeouts per game. Mariners 19-6 to the under facing an AL pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or better this season. Play Chicago and Seattle under 7.5.
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 9/7/2022
Twins at Yankees—Louie Varland to start Game 1 for Minnesota. Varland makes his MLB debut. The righthander worked four starts in Triple A compiling an ERA 1.69 with WHIP 0.85 striking out 27 batters in 21 1/3rd innings. In 105 Double A innings an ERA 3.34 with WHIP 1.34 with 119 strikeouts and 39 walks.
Domingo German will start for NYY. German starts in nine games with an ERA 3.12 and WHIP 1.12. The righty pitches to contact with 15.9% strikeouts and 5.5% walks. Grounders are 37.9% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.31 suggests a rise in ERA based on his performances.
Yankees have won 17 of 18 at home to the Twins with their 5-2 win in the opener. Minnesota has lost four of five. Past ten games NYY hitting .154 against righthanders and Twins .237. Play NY Yankees -153 in Game 1.
With the rain out on Tuesday the pitching matchups move to Game 2 of this doubleheader. Joe Ryan starts for Minnesota. Ryan in 22 starts an ERA of 3.88 with WHIP 1.14. The righty fans 24.5% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 26.5% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings.
Gerrit Cole the starter for NYY. Cole has 27 starts producing an ERA 3.28 plus WHIP 1.01. The veteran an elite strikeout rate of 31.3% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. Play Minnesota and NY Yankees under seven.
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Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 9/7/2022
Red Sox at Rays—Nick Pivetta to start for Boston. Pivetta in 27 starts carries an ERA 4.37 with WHIP 1.33. The righthander is striking out 22.6% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 38.2% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings.
Jeffrey Springs the starter for Tampa Bay. Springs appeared n 27 games producing an ERA 2.62 and WHIP 1.12. The lefthander strikes out 27% with 6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 42.3% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings. Rays have won seven of eight winning the first two in this series after the 8-4 win.
Past ten games Tampa Bay hitting .290 against righthanders with a bullpen ERA 3.04. Red Sox pen in this period an ERA 5.90. Rays have won 9 of 11 against the Red Sox.
Boston 10-23 facing a good team with .540 to .620 win percentage. Red Sox 18-39 against the AL East this season. Rays 19-4 when a home favorite of -150 to -200 this season. Play Tampa Bay -165.
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 9/7/2022
Marlins at Phillies—Trevor Rogers the starter for Miami. Rogers in 20 starts posts an ERA 5.57 plus WHIP 1.56. The lefthander fans 20.8% with 9.9% walks. Grounders at 42% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.40 suggests a drop in ERA if his numbers hold up.
Bailey Falter the starter for Philadelphia. Falter has worked fourteen games with an ERA 4.08 and WHIP 1.19. The lefty a strikeout mark of 21.8% with 5.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 31% with 2.04 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 5.24 indicates a possible rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Phillies opened this home stand and series with the 3-2 win in the opener. Eight straight defeats for Miami. Marlins have scored two runs or fewer in nine straight games. Past ten games Marlins hitting .147 against lefthanders.
Phillies 18-8 to the under facing a team that hits .245 or worse on the season. Marlins 34-20 to the under in the second half of this season. Play Miami and Philadelphia under 8.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 9/7/2022
Blue Jays at Orioles—Alek Manoah the starter for Toronto. Manoah has starts in 26 games posting an ERA 2.48 with WHIP 1.02. The righthander a strikeout mark of 23.3% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls served at 37.8% with 0.77 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.34 suggests a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Dean Kremer will start for Baltimore. Kremer in sixteen starts has an ERA 3.22 and WHIP 1.21. Strikeouts come in at 18.9% with 5.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.6% with 0.71 home runs per nine innings. Orioles broke their three game losing streak with their 9-6 win. This broke a five game win streak for the Blue Jays.
Team record behind Kremer 11-4 when facing teams that average 7 or greater strikeouts per game. Manoah past two starts against Baltimore allowed seven earned run in 10 2/3rd innings resulting in losses both games. Play Baltimore +128.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 9/7/2022
Reds at Cubs—Mike Minor on the hill for Cincinnati. Minor started 16 games with an ERA 5.98 with WHIP 1.53. The lefthander is striking out 17.4% with 8.1% walks. Grounders sit at 34.9% with 2.13 home runs per nine innings.
Javier Assad to start for Chicago. Assad has worked three games with an ERA 0.90 and WHIP 1.60. The righthander in ten innings allowed one earned run with six walks and six strikeouts. He compiled a Triple A ERA 2.95 with WHIP 1.05 in 36 2/3rd innings.
Cubs win the opener of this series 9-3. Team record behind Minor 13-31 past two seasons. Play Chicago -141.
Washington Nationals vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 9/7/2022
Nationals at Cardinals—Cory Abbott to start for Washington. Abbott appeared in ten games producing an ERA 4.39 with WHIP 1.20. The righthander is fanning 20.9% with 11.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 25.3% with 2.03 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 5.92 suggests a rise in ERA if these numbers hold.
Jordan Montgomery to start for St Louis. Montgomery in 27 starts carries an ERA 3.15 and WHIP 1.06. The lefthander strikes out 21.2% with 4.8% walks. Ground balls sit 49.1% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
Cardinals evened this series with the 4-1 win. Past ten games Cardinals hitting .207 against righthanders and Nationals .284 as a team. In this period Washington bullpen an ERA 3.09. Play Washington on run line +1.5 runs at +120.
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 9/7/2022
Rangers at Astros—Cole Ragans to start for Texas. Ragans in four starts an ERA 4.42 with WHIP 1.53. The lefty pitches to contact with 11% strikeouts and 12.2% walks. Ground balls served at 33.3% with 1.96 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 6.60 suggests a huge rise in ERA based on his performance.
Christian Javier the starter for Houston. Javier has 25 starts posting an ERA 3.07 and WHIP 1.02. The righthander fans 32.4% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 24.9% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. Rangers evened this series with the 4-3 win.
Past ten games Rangers hitting .203 against righthanders with the Astros bullpen an ERA 1.05. Rangers 20-7 to the under against winning teams this season and 17-8 under when an underdog of +150 or greater. Astros 66-41 to the under facing teams hitting .255 or worse. Play Texas and Houston under 8.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 9/7/2022
Guardians at Royals—Konnor Pilkington the primary pitcher for Cleveland. Pilkington has worked thirteen games posting an ERA 3.99 with WHIP 1.61. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 18.85 with 12.2% walks. Grounders at 41.2% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings.
Zack Greinke returns to the mound for KC. Greinke in 21 starts carries an ERA 4.14 plus WHIP 1.35. The veteran pitches to high contact at 13.7% strikeouts and 40.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.2% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. Cleveland has won both games in this series with their 4-1 win.
KC has lost five of seven. Past ten games Guardians hitting .224 and KC hitting .285 against lefthanders. Greinke has allowed three earned runs or fewer in seven of eight. Team record behind Greinke 2-0 against the Guardians this season by allowing one earned run in 10 2/3rd innings this season. Play KC +122.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 9/7/2022
Diamondbacks at Padres—Tommy Henry to the mound for Arizona. Henry in six starts an ERA 4.83 and WHIP 1.48. The lefthander is pitching to contact at 16.5% strikeouts with 11.5% walks. Ground balls sit 41.7% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings.
Yu Darvish will start for San Diego. Darvish started 25 time posting an ERA 3.26 with WHIP 0.97. The veteran a strikeout mark of 25% with 4.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 38.8% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings. San Diego evened this series with their 6-5 win. Henry has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five of his past six starts.
Past ten games Diamondbacks hitting .285 against righthanders and Padres .209 against lefty’s. In this period San Diego bullpen ERA 6.75. Play Arizona +180.
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