Free MLB Picks For Today 9/4/2022
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 9/4/2022
Blue Jays at Pirates—Ross Stripling will start for Toronto. Stripling in 26 appearances an ERA 2.94 with WHIP 1.05. The righthander is striking out 21.3% with 4% walks. Ground balls served at 47.7% with 0.71 home runs per nine innings.
JT Brubaker the starter for Pittsburgh. Brubaker has 24 starts posting an ERA 4.39 and WHIP 1.43. The righthander a strikeout mark of 23.4% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 44.2% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings.
A FIP of 3.65 indicates a drop in ERA based on his numbers. Toronto has won the first two in this series after their 4-1 win. Pirates have dropped eight of ten. Past ten games Pirates hitting .202 against righthanders with a bullpen ERA 4.84. Play Toronto on run line -1.5 runs at -120.
Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 9/4/2022
Rockies at Reds—With the postponement on Saturday they play two. In Game 1 German Marquez to start for Colorado. Marquez in 25 starts has an ERA 4.97 with WHIP 1.38. The righthander a strikeout rate of 19% with 7.9% walks. Grounders at 47.5% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings.
Nick Lodolo to start for Cincinnati. Lodolo has thirteen starts posting an ERA 4.30 plus WHIP 1.45. The lefthander strikes out 27.3% with 9.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.9% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Reds win the opener of this series 3-2.
Rockies have lost three straight and seven of nine. Marquez better numbers on the road. Colorado hitting .260 against lefthanders past ten games with a bullpen ERA 2.68. Reds 10-17 as a favorite of -100 to -150 this season. Play Colorado +108.
In Game 2. Jose Urena to start for Colorado. Urena in fifteen starts an ERA 5.80 with WHIP 1.66. The righthander pitches to high contact with 12.7% strikeouts and 11.3% walks. Grounders at 49.8% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings.
Chase Anderson to start for Cincinnati. Anderson appeared in two games giving up seven earned runs with two strikeouts in 2 1/3rd innings. He worked 80 minor league innings allowing four earned runs with sixteen strikeouts and 72 strikeouts.
A career MLB era 4.26 with WHIP 1.29 and 1.45 home runs per nine innings. Rockies struggle hitting righthanders on the road and tough to trust Urena with his high contact in this ballpark. Play Cincinnati -110 in Game 2.
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 9/4/2022
Rangers at Red Sox—Dane Dunning will start for Texas. Dunning in 25 starts carries an ERA 4.16 plus WHIP 1.40. The righthander strikes out 20% with 9.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 54.2% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings.
Kutter Crawford to start for Boston. Crawford has worked 21 games posting an ERA 5.47 plus WHIP 1.42. The righty a strikeout mark of 23.1% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls are 31.3% with 1.40 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.35 suggests a drop in his ERA based on these numbers.
Boston has won all three in this series with their 5-3 win. Rangers have lost seven straight. Past ten games Red Sox hitting .316 against righthanders.
Dunning’s three seasons on the road ERA 4.30 in 2020, 6.39 in 2021 and 5.25 in 2022. Team record behind Dunning 1-11 on the road this season. Texas 5-17 against the AL East. Play Boston -125.
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 9/4/2022
Marlins at Braves—Pablo Lopez the starter for Miami. Lopez in 26 starts an ERA 3.64 plus WHIP 1.17. The righthander strikes out 23.7% with 7.5% walks. A ground ball rate of 45.7% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings.
Max Fried to start for Atlanta. Fried has started 25 games posting an ERA 2.56 and WHIP 1.04. The lefthander is striking out 22.7% with 4.3% walks. Grounders at 52.3% with limited home run damage. Braves have won four straight with their 2-1 win.
Six straight losses for Miami and have been held to two runs or lower in eight of nine. Past ten games Marlins batting .149 against lefthanders. Fried 11-3 under at home against teams that average seven strikeouts or higher. Play Miami and Atlanta under seven.
Oakland Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 9/4/2022
Athletics at Orioles—Adrian Martinez will start for Oakland. Martinez has six starts with an ERA 5.28 along with WHIP 1.34. The righthander strikes out 19.7% with 7.1% walks. His ground balls are 38.5% with 1.86 home runs per nine innings.
Spenser Watkins to start for Baltimore. Watkins appeared in nineteen games producing an ERA 4.26 and WHIP 1.32. The righty pitches to contact with 14.7% strikeouts and 6.3% walks. Grounders at 40.7% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings.
Orioles have won four straight after their 8-1 win taking the first two in this series. Athletics have lost four straight. Past ten games Orioles bullpen an ERA 1.95. Team record behind Watkins 10-2 against teams hitting .255 or lower. Play Baltimore on run line -1.5 runs at +116.
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 9/4/2022
Royals at Tigers—Max Castillo to start for KC. Castillo has worked ten games with an ERA 2.81 with WHIP 0.94. The righthander a strikeout mark of 23% with 6% walks. Ground balls in at 55.1% with 1.75 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.66 indicates a rise in ERA if these numbers hold.
Matt Manning on the mound for Detroit. Manning in eight starts an ERA 3.79 plus WHIP 1.24. The righty a strikeout mark of 19% with 6% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.5% with 1.12 home runs per nine innings.
Royals have split the first two in this series with their 12-2 win. Tigers have lost four of five. KC is in the better hitting form. Play Kansas City +100.
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 9/4/2022
Nationals at Mets—Erick Fedde to start for Washington. Fedde in 21 starts an ERA 5.29 with WHIP 1.56. The righthander a strikeout rate of 17.9% with 11% walks. Ground balls served at 41.9% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings.
Carlos Carrasco to start for NYM. Carrasco in 23 starts carries an ERA 3.92 with WHIP 1.30. A strike out mark of 23.4% with 6.2% walks. Grounders at 46.3% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Nationals evened this series with their 7-1 win on Saturday.
Past ten games Nationals hitting .293 against righthanders. Washington 33-21 to the over facing teams averaging 4.5 runs or greater this season Play Washington and NY Mets over eight.
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 9/4/2022
Yankees at Rays—Frankie Montas to start for NYY. Montas has 24 starts with an ERA 3.94 with WHIP 1.21. The righthander a strikeout mark of 23.8% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sit 45.8% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
Ryan Yarbrough the starter for Tampa Bay. Yarbrough worked 16 games posting an ERA 4.87 plus WHIP 1.38. The lefthander strikes out 17.8% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls sit 36.4% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings. Yankees have lost six of seven dropping the first two in this series in a 2-1 defeat.
Rays have won five straight. Past ten games NYY hitting .202. Rays in this period batting .299 against righthanders. Team record behind Montas this season 7-17. Play Tampa Bay +108.
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Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 9/4/2022
Twins at White Sox—Dylan Bundy the starter for Minnesota. Bundy in 23 starts carries an ERA 4.53 with WHIP 1.24. The veteran strikes out 16.7% with 5% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.1% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings.
Lucas Giolito to start for Chicago. Giolito has started 24 games posting an ERA 5.27 and WHIP 1.50. The righthander a strikeout rate of 25.5% with 8.6% walks. Grounders at 38.5% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.28 indicates a drop in ERA if form holds.
White Sox have won four straight winning the first two in this series after their 13-0 win on Saturday. Past ten games White Sox hitting .277 against righthanders with bullpen ERA 3.35. Bundy on the road an ERA 5.66 with 1.58 home runs per nine innings this season. Play White Sox -124.
Chicago Cubs vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 9/4/2022
Cubs at Cardinals—Marcus Stroman the starter for Chicago. Stroman in nineteen starts posts an ERA 3.98 with WHIP 1.21. The righthander is striking out 20.1% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 51% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings.
Miles Mikolas to start for St Louis. Mikolas in 27 starts has an ERA 3.48 plus WHIP 1.04. The righty a strikeout mark of 18.4% with 4.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.1% with 1.12 home runs per nine innings. Cardinals win the first two in this series after their 8-4 win. They have won six of seven.
Cubs have lost six of seven. Past ten games Chicago bullpen an ERA 7.36 and Cardinals 2.68. St Louis 41-27 to the run line against losing teams this season. Play St Louis on run line -1.5 runs at +112.
Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 9/4/2022
Mariners at Guardians—George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby in nineteen starts an ERA 3.16 with WHIP 1.18. The righthander a strikeout mark of 24.9% with 3.3% walks. Ground balls served at 46% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings.
Cal Quantrill to start for Cleveland. Quantrill has 25 starts posting an ERA 3.50 and WHIP 1.18. The righty is striking out 16% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.6% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.27 suggest a rise in ERA based on these numbers.
Mariners win streak six straight as they win the first two in this series after their 4-0 win. Guardians have lost four straight. They have been held to two runs or fewer in eight of nine going under in each game. Past tean games Cleveland hitting .200 against righthanders with a bullpen ERA 1.44.
Mariners in this period hitting .203 against righthanders with a bullpen ERA 2.64. Quantrill 14-4 to the under when facing winning teams the past two season. Play Seattle and Cleveland under 7.5.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 9/4/2022
Phillies at Giants—Ranger Suarez to start for Philadelphia. Suarez in 23 starts carries an ERA 3.42 with WHIP 1.33. The lefthander strikes out 20.2% with 9% walks. Ground ball rate of 56.3% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings.
Carlos Rodon the starter for San Francisco. Rodon in 26 starts carries an ERA 3.03 plus WHIP 1.06. The lefty a strikeout mark of 31.4% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls sit 35.6% with 0.59 home runs per nine innings.
Giants have won the first two in this series after their 5-4 win. Phillies have lost five of six on this trip. Past ten games Phillies bullpen an ERA 5.55 and Giants 2.39. Play San Francisco -124.
Houston Astros vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 9/4/2022
Astros at Angels—Jose Urquidy to start for Houston. Urquidy has 24 starts an ERA 3.69 plus WHIP 1.14. The righthander a strikeout mark of 19% with 5.4% walks. Grounders at 35.5% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.50 suggests a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Tucker Davidson to start for LAA. Davidson appeared in eight games posting an ERA 5.77 and WHIP 1.78. The righty pitches to contact with 13% with 16.8% walks. Ground ball mark of 42.3% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings.
Angels evened this series with the 2-1 win on Saturday. LAA 4-15 when facing an elite team with a .620 win percentage or higher. Play Houston -166.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 9/4/2022
Brewers at Diamondbacks—Jason Alexander to start for Milwaukee. Alexander in fifteen appearances has an ERA 4.97 and WHIP 1.55. The righthander pitches to contact with 13.2% strikeouts and 8.6% walks. Ground balls sit 52.6% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings.
Zac Gallen to start for Arizona. Gallen has 25 starts with an ERA 2.53 with WHIP 0.94. The righty a strikeout rate of 25.4% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls at 48.2% with limited home run damage. Brewers have won one of the first three in this series after their 8-6 victory on Saturday.
Diamondbacks had won eight of nine prior to that defeat. Past ten games Brewers hitting .279 against righthanders. In this period Diamondbacks bullpen an ERA 6.49. Brewers 50-34 to the over against righthanders this season. Play Milwaukee and Arizona over 7.5.
San Diego Padres vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 9/4/2022
Padres at Dodgers—Mike Clevinger to start for San Diego. Clevinger appeared in seventeen games an ERA 3.59 plus WHIP 1.16. The righthander a strikeout mark of 20.4% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 35.1% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings. FIP is 4.36 points to a rise in ERA based on his form.
Mike Pepiot the primary pitcher for LAD. Pepiot in seven starts has an ERA 4.02 with WHIP 1.40. The righty strikes out 26.3% with 16.1% walks. Ground balls 21.3% with 1.72 home runs per nine innings. FIP is 5.70 indicates a rise in ERA possible based on these numbers.
Caleb Ferguson the opener. Dodgers evened this series with their 12-1 win on Saturday. San Diego 7-19 to the run line against teams with good bullpen ERA of 3.45 or better this season.
LAD 46-23 to the run line against teams hitting .245 or worse. Past ten games Padres bullpen an ERA 4.89. Play LA Dodgers on run line -1.5 runs +116.
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