Free MLB Picks For Today 8/31/2022
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2022
Astros at Rangers—Christian Javier will start for Houston. Javier in 24 appearances an ERA 2.97 with WHIP 1.01. The righthander an elite strikeout mark of 32.4% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 24.9% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
Martin Perez to start for Texas. Perez has started 25 games posting an ERA 2.69 along with WHIP 1.19. The lefthander strikes out 21.8% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 51.4% with limited home run damage. Astros win the opener of this series 4-2. They have won six of eight.
Rangers have dropped three straight. Houston 25-12 to the under against an AL pitcher with a WHIP of 1.20 or better. Astros have gone under 32-14 when favored on the road by -110 or better. Both starters in outstanding form past three games. Play Houston and Texas under 7.5.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2022
Pirates at Brewers—Zach Thompson the starter for the Pirates. Thompson has 24 appearances producing an ERA 5.33 along with WHIP 1.54. The righthander pitches to contact with 15.7% strikeouts and 8.9% walks. His ground balls are 46.6% with 1.63 home runs per nine innings.
Freddy Peralta to start for Milwaukee. Peralta in thirteen starts carries an ERA 3.69 plus WHIP 1.07. The righty a strikeout mark of 26.9% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.3% with limited home run damage.
Pirates evened this series with the 4-2 win. Past ten games Pirates are batting .202 against righthanders. Brewers 13-3 to the run line at home facing a bad team with a .380 or worse win percentage. Play Milwaukee on run line -1.5 runs.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2022
Orioles at Guardians—Jordan Lyles the starter for Baltimore. Lyles in 26 starts an ERA 4.45 plus WHIP 1.46. The righthander strikes out 18.9% with 7% walks. Ground balls come in at 39.3% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings.
Tristan McKenzie will start for Cleveland. McKenzie in 24 appearances posts an ERA 3.17 along with WHIP 0.95. The righty striking out 24.9% with 6.5% walks. His ground balls are 31.8% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.90 suggests a rise in ERA with these numbers.
Guardians win the opener of this series 5-1. Past ten games Cleveland hitting .210 against righthanders with a bullpen ERA of 0.00. McKenzie 9-1 to the under facing AL teams at home hitting .260 or worse. Play Baltimore and Cleveland under eight.
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2022
Padres at Giants—Joe Musgrove will start for San Diego. Musgrove in 23 starts an ERA 2.96 and WHIP 1.05. The righthander is striking out 23.9% with 5% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.1% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings.
Alex Wood to start for San Francisco. Wood has started 25 games posting an ERA 5.00 with WHIP 1.24. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 23.6% with 5.4% walks. Ground balls served at 48.4% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.83 indicates a possible drop in ERA with his numbers.
Padres have won both games of this series after their 4-3 win. Giants have lost six straight. Past ten games San Francisco hitting .188 against righthanders with the Padres .352 against lefty’s.
Giants are 8-21 facing a starting pitching with an ERA of 3.20 or better. They are 5-21 when an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. Play San Diego -140.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2022
Cardinals at Reds—Jose Quintana the starter for the Cardinals. Quintana has started 25 games producing an ERA 3.45 and WHIP 1.32. The lefthander is striking out 20.1% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls are 45.6% with limited home run damage.
Mike Minor to start for Cincinnati. Minor in fifteen starts carries an ERA 6.10 plus WHIP 1.54. A strikeout rate of 18.1% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls sit 34.4% with 2.15 home runs per nine innings.
Reds evened this series after their 5-1 win. Team record behind Minor 6-16 at home to the run line. St Louis 28-16 to the run line facing a bad team with a win percentage of .380 to .460 on the season. Play St Louis on run line -1.5 runs at -130.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2022
Rays at Marlins—Drew Rasmussen to start for Tampa Bay. Rasmussen in 22 starts has an ERA 2.77 with WHIP 1.07. The righthander a strikeout mark of 22.2% with 6.1% walks. Grounders at 46.3% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings.
Trevor Rogers expected starter for the Marlins. Rogers in nineteen starts an ERA 5.85 plus WHIP 1.60. The lefty is striking out 20.8% with 10.3% walks. Ground balls served at 40.9% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.58 suggests a drop in ERA possible with his numbers.
Rays take the opener of this series 7-2. They have won eight of ten. Marlins have lost five of six. Past ten games Miami hitting .200 against righthanders and a bullpen ERA 5.05. Marlins 10-26 in interleague games past 36. Play Tampa Bay on run line -1.5 runs.
Chicago Cubs vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2022
Cubs at Blue Jays—Luke Farrell the starter for Chicago. Farrell in two appearances allowed three earned runs with five strikeouts in seven innings. He has worked 94 2/3rd innings in the Majors compiling an ERA 4.85 plus WHIP 1.47. A career 1.71 home runs per nine innings with 4.56 home runs per nine innings.
Mitch White to start for Toronto. White has worked 19 games posting an ERA 4.24 and WHIP 1.36. The righthander striking out 19.1% with 8% walks. His ground balls 42.1% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings.
Blue Jays have won both games of this series after their 5-3 win. Chicago has lost four straight. Past ten games Cubs hitting .208 against righthanders and bullpen ERA 7.46. Play Toronto run line -1.5 runs.
Oakland Athletics vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2022
Athletics at Nationals—James Kaprielian the starter for the Athletics. Kaprielian in 21 starts an ERA 4.88 plus WHIP 1.42. The righthander striking out 16.1% with 11% walks. Ground balls come in at 37.3% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings.
Anibal Sanchez will start for Washington. Sanchez has eight starts posting an ERA 5.72 and WHIP 1.40. The veteran is striking out 16.6% with 10.7% walks. Ground balls sit 37.5% with 2.52 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 6.86 suggests a rise in ERA with his form.
Athletics take the opener of this series 10-6. They have won three straight. Nationals have lost six of eight. Past ten games Washington hitting .213 against righthanders. Athletics 9-3 on the road against teams getting outscored by 0.5 runs per game on the season.
Team record behind Kaprielian 6-1 when facing a losing team on the season. Nationals 11-30 at home when facing a righthander this season. Play Oakland -116.
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LA Dodgers vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2022
Dodgers at Mets—Tyler Anderson the starter for LAD. Anderson appeared in 24 games posting an ERA 2.69 and WHIP 1.02. The lefthander is striking out 19.9% with 5.4% walks. Grounders come in at 39% with 0.64 home runs per nine innings.
Jacob deGrom starts for NYM. deGrom has five starts with an ERA 2.15 plus WHIP 0.55. The veteran a strikeout mark of 44.7% with 1.9% walks. Grounders sit at 40% with limited home run damage. A FIP of 1.08 indicates a drop in ERA based on his performance.
Dodgers win the opener of this series 4-3. Mets have lost two straight at home. Past ten games LAD hitting .287 against righthanders and NYM .195 against lefty’s. Dodgers 38-9 when facing a team that strikeout an average of seven or more times per game. Play LA Dodgers +130.
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2022
Mariners at Tigers—Marco Gonzales will start for Seattle. Gonzales in 25 starts posts an ERA 3.97 and WHIP 1.39. The lefthander pitches to high contact with 13% strikeouts with 7.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 43.8% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.96 suggests an increase in ERA based on his performance.
Tyler Alexander the starter for Detroit. Alexander appeared in 20 games with an ERA 4.83 and WHIP 1.34. The lefthander has high contact with 12.3% strikeouts and 5.6% walks. Ground balls are 36.4% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings.
Seattle wins the opener of this series 9-3. Past ten games Tigers a bullpen ERA 4.34. Mariners 23-7 as a road favorite of -110 or greater past two seasons. Play Seattle -158.
Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2022
Rockies at Braves—Ryan Feltner the starter for Colorado. Feltner has worked in 13 games with an ERA 5.87 and WHIP 1.42. The righthander is striking out 18.8% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls sit 43.1% with 1.61 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.91 indicates a drop in ERA possible based on these numbers.
Kyle Wright to start for Atlanta. Wright in 24 starts posts an ERA 2.99 with WHIP 1.13. The righthander strikes out 24% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 53.3% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings.
Rockies win the opener of this series 3-2. Braves have lost three straight. Atlanta 25-12 to the run line when facing a bad team with a .380 to .460 win rate this season. Play Atlanta on run line -1.5 runs at -135.
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2022
Red Sox at Twins—Michael Wacha the starter for Boston. Wacha in sixteen starts has an ERA 2.53 with WHIP 1.03. The veteran a strikeout rate of 19.5% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 40.5% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.83 suggests a rise in ERA if these numbers hold.
Joe Ryan starts for Minnesota. Ryan in 21 starts posts an ERA 3.65 with WHIP 1.11. The righty strikes out 24.2% with 7.3% walks. Grounders come in at 27.6% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings. Boston has dropped the first two in this series and have lost seven of nine overall.
Five game win streak for Minnesota. They are 12 games over .500 at home. Past ten games Red Sox bullpen an ERA 5.77. Red Sox 44-58 against righthanded starters this season. Play Minnesota -134.
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2022
Royals at White Sox—Kris Bubic to start for KC. Bubic in 22 appearances carries an ERA 5.62 plus WHIP 1.68. The lefthander is striking out 18.3% with 10.8% walks. Ground balls served at 41.6% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.79 indicates a drop in ERA if these numbers hold.
Lance Lynn to start for Chicago. Lynn has fourteen starts posting an ERA 5.00 and WHIP 1.19. The veteran a strikeout rate of 25.2% with 4% walks. Grounders at 42.2% with 1.75 home runs per nine innings. KC takes the opener of this series 9-7.
White Sox have lost five straight and seven of eight. Past ten games Royals bullpen an ERA 5.58 and White Sox 4.93. KC 27-16 to the over as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season. Play Kansas City and Chicago over 8.5.
New York Yankees vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2022
Yankees at Angels—Gerrit Cole will start for NYY. Cole in 26 starts an ERA 3.31 plus WHIP 1.01. The veteran a strikeout mark 32% with 6.2% walks. His ground balls are 43.6% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings.
Patrick Sandoval will start for LAA. Sandoval in 21 starts produces an ERA 3.05 and WHIP 1.38. The lefthander strikes out 24% with 10% walks. Ground balls served at 46.1% with limited home run damage. NYY evened this series at 1-1 with their 7-4 win.
Past ten games NYY hitting .272 against lefthanders with a bullpen ERA 2.51. Team record behind Sandoval on run line 5-16 when facing a team with a winning record. Play Yankees on run line -1.5 runs at -114.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2022
Phillies at Diamondbacks—Bailey Falter will start for Philadelphia. Falter appeared in thirteen games with an ERA 4.41 plus WHIP 1.24. The lefty deals 21.4% strikeouts with 6% walks. His ground balls 29.3% with 2.12 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 5.49 indicates a rise in ERA based on his form.
Tommy Henry starts for Arizona. Henry has five starts with an ERA 3.25 and WHIP 1.27. The lefthander pitches to contact with 16.4% strikeouts and 10.3% walks. Grounders at 40.2% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.67 suggests a rise in ERA based on these numbers.
Arizona has won the first two in this series after their 12-3 win. They have scored 25 runs in the first two games of this series. Past ten games Philadelphia hitting .275 against lefthanders and Diamondbacks .288. Bullpen ERA’s in this period Phillies 5.51 and Arizona 7.88.
Phillies 27-16 to the over facing a bad bullpen team with an ERA of 4.20 or greater. Play Philadelphia and Arizona over nine.
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