Free College Football Picks For Today 8/31/2022
Buffalo vs. Maryland College Football Pick Prediction 9/3/2022
Buffalo at Maryland—Bulls head coach Maurice Linguist returns for his second season. It was a disappointing year for Buffalo despite returning a senior quarterback finishing at 4-8. They went 2-4 on the road beating downtrodden Akron and Old Dominion. They were blown out in their four road losses. Only three starters return on offense and six to the defense. Key contributors exit on offense with their starting quarterback and running back. Key losses include three starters on the offensive line transferring. Only one key starter back at the receiver position. Buffalo inexperienced on the back seven on defense. Maryland was a bowl team in 2021 finishing at 7-6 and blowing out Virginia Tech in the Pinstripe Bowl. Head coach Mike Locksley enters is fourth season. Sixteen starters return with nine on offense including starting quarterback Taulia Tagovailoa who completed 69.2% of his throws compiling 3820 yards. Four starters back on the offensive line and the Terrapins top two running backs. This has the look of a blowout for Maryland. They are 102-25 against the spread when they average 28 or greater points. Bulls 12-33 when outgained by 200 or greater yards. Play Maryland -24.
Rutgers vs. Boston College College Football Pick Prediction 9/3/2022
Rutgers at Boston College–Greg Schiano returns for his third season with the program. Team finished 5-7 and were awarded a bowl berth because of good academic performance losing 38-10 to Wake Forest on very short notice. Six starters return on both offense and defense. Rutgers a poor offensive team in 2021 averaging 19.7 points and 311 yards per game sitting 120th in the nation in both categories. Shiano utilized the transfer portal to stock their offensive line with experienced starters and at the receiver position. They are leaning to Gavin Wimsatt a redshirt freshman at quarterback. They sat 60th in scoring defense surrendering 26.7 points per game. They did cover three of five on the road behind good defensive performance. Boston College returns fourteen starters with six on offense and eight to the defense. Head coach Jeff Hafley is back for his third season. They finished 6-6 last season earned a bowl berth that was cancelled. Starting quarterback Phil Jurkovec played in only half the team’s game due to injury. Four starters exit on the offensive line. Their offense pushed across 22 points a game in 2021 while holding opponents to 24.2 sitting 38th in the nation. Look for Rutgers to keep it on the ground against an Eagles team sitting 92nd in the nation in run defense. BC 49-19 to the under when they allow between 15-21 points. Scarlet Knights 6-0 to the under in their past six road games. Eagles 26-13 to the under in this low total games at home between 45.5 and 49 points. Play Rutgers and Boston College under 48.
Colorado St vs. Michigan College Football Pick Prediction 9/3/2022
Colorado St at Michigan—Jay Norvell left Nevada for the job at Colorado St. He inherits a team that finished at 3-9 returning six starters on offense and defense. Nevada red shirt transfer Clay Millen comes over and expected starter at quarterback. Many offensive linemen from Colorado St departed and Norvell filled these positions with experienced transfers. The defensive line is inexperienced for the Rams. Michigan went 12-2 last season. Wolverines are experienced on the offensive line with nine starters back including four on the offensive line. Cade McNamara returns under center and all his starting receivers are back. Michigan was fourteenth in scoring offense in 2021 averaging 38.4 points a game. Seventh in scoring defense allowing 17.4 per contest. Only four return on defense. Jim Harbaugh has built solid defenses in his seven year tenure at the school. Michigan averaged 5.2 yards per game last year and running against the inexperienced line of Colorado St is the key to the cover here. It will open big passing plays downfield for the Wolverines as well. Concern about the space the Rams secondary gives to the Wolverines defenders since they will need to be a big part in defending the run at the third level.. Michigan 10-1 to the spread when scoring 28 or greater points. Also 63-17 to the spread when outgaining opponents by 200 or more yards. Play Michigan -30.5.
NC State vs. East Carolina College Football Pick Prediction 9/3/2022
NC State at East Carolina—Head coach Dave Doeren is back for his tenth season at NC State. Team finished 9-3 last season earning a bid into the Holiday Bowl that was unfortunately cancelled. Seventeen starts return. Devin Leary returns at quarterback with his two top weapons in the passing game along with four starter on the line. NC State must replace their two top running backs. Defensively the Wolf Pack bring back ten starters to a unit that allowed 19.7 points and 332 yards per game. East Carolina head coach Mike Houston is back for his fourth season. The Pirates finished at 7-5 last season earning a bid into the Military Bowl which was cancelled. Fifteen starters return with seven on offense and eight on the defensive side of the football. Quarterback Holton Ahlers is back for his senior season. Program was able to add weapons for Ahlers via the transfer portal. They average 29.7 points a game last season but needs to improve on their third down conversions ranking 97th. Defensively the Pirates did get off the field on third down and held opponents to 26.3 points per game. Their front seven is experience with inexperience in the secondary. Pirates have covered six of seven as a home underdog. Play East Carolina +12.
North Carolina vs. Appalachian St College Football Pick Prediction 9/3/2022
North Carolina at Appalachia St—North Carolina finished a disappointing 6-7 last season. They dropped a 38-21 decision in their bowl game but much more was expected from this team than a 6-6 regular season record. Mack Brown returns for his fourth season with the program. The road was not kind to the Tar Heels as they finished 0-6. UNC returns thirteen starters but only five on offense. They break in a first year starter at quarterback in Drake Maye. They opened up with the 56-24 home win to FCS Florida A&M behind 608 yards of offense. The defense did surrender 279 yards through the air. Defensively in 2021 North Carolina allowed 32 points per game to opponents with 418 yards. In 2021 the Tar Heels allowed 8 yards per pass attempt ranking 96th in the season. Appalachian St head coach Shawn Clark returns for his third season. They finished off 2021 at 10-4 losing to Western Kentucky in the Boca Raton Bowl. They return seven starts back on offense with five to the defense. Quarterback Chase Brice returns for his senior season looking to cut down on interceptions. They do lose three of their top receivers from 2021. Their top rushers return as well as four from the offensive line. Defensively the Mountaineers held opponents to 22.1 points per game and were strong against the run allowing 3.7 yards per rush average. They were very good at causing turnovers. Defense the concern for North Carolina. Play Appalachian St +1.5.
Bowling Green vs. UCLA College Football Pick Prediction 9/3/2022
Bowling Green at UCLA—Bowling Green head coach Scott Loeffler enters his fourth season with the team. They finished 4-8 in 2022. This is an experienced Falcons team returning nine starts on offense and defense. Senior quarterback Matt McDonald returning with all his weapons in the pass game. But this was an offense ranked 106th in the nation last year pushing across 20.9 points per game. Team was near the bottom of college football on third down and rushing by averaging 3.4 yards per rush attempt. Defensively Falcons ranked 104th in the nation in scoring giving up 32.5 points per game. They have road wins at Buffalo and Minnesota in 2021. UCLA finished 8-4 last season earning a trip to the Holiday Bowl that was cancelled. Chip Kelly is in his fifth season with the Bruins having six starters return on offense but only two defensively. Dorian Thompson-Robinson returns for his senior season. Top running back Zach Charbonnet returns after rushing for 1137 yards last year. Bruins replace three of the offensive line. UCLA had the tenth scoring offense in college football averaging 36.5 points a game. Defensively the Bruins surrendered 26.8 points per game and were 104th in the nation in defending third down. An 11:30AM local start time and hot weather expected. Defenses could get gassed with the extreme heat in the second half. Bruins averaged 5.2 yards per rush last season. They are 41-16 to the over when they average 5.5 yards per rush. Play UCLA and Bowling Green over 57.
Tulsa vs. Wyoming College Football Pick Prediction 9/3/2022
Tulsa at Wyoming—Tulsa finished 7-6 last season earning a bowl berth as they defeated Old Dominion 30-17. Philip Montgomery enters his eighth season with the program. Golden Hurricane has six starters return on offense and six to the defense. Davis Brin returns under center and completed 59.4% of his throws last season. But four starters leave from the Golden Hurricane offensive line. A balanced offense in 2021 that averaged 443 yards and 26.4 points per game. Golden Hurricane averaged and gave up 27 points a game. Six return on defense. They are inexperienced on the defensive line. Tulsa covered their final five games last year. Wyoming comes off the 38-6 defeat at Illinois in their opener. Cowboys gained only 212 yards in defense passing for just 30 yards. Quarterback Andrew Peasley went just 5 of 20. Illinois rushed for 260 yards on the Cowboys defense. Wyoming inexperienced returning only four starters on offense and defense. Wyoming inexperienced on the offensive line. Cowboys were overpowered by Illinois on the line. But they face a Golden Hurricane team inexperienced on both lines. They will have better success offensively dropping down in class. Tulsa quarterback Brin is turnover prone throwing for sixteen interceptions last year. Play Wyoming +6.5.
Houston vs. UTSA College Football Pick Prediction 9/3/2022
Houston at UTSA—Dana Holgorsen returns for his fourth season with the Cougars. The team finished 2021 at 12-2 defeating Auburn in their bowl game. The team returns thirteen starts from last year with seven on offense and six to the defense. Clayton Tune returns for his senior season at quarterback. His big play receiver Tank Dell returns. They drew many playmakers in the transfer portal. Cougars have produced good pass rushers. This is an experienced secondary. Houston was 19th in scoring averaging 35.2 points per game. They defense held opponents to 22 points where game and were best in the nation getting off the field on third down. Jeff Traylor enters his third season with UTSA. The team had a great 2021 finishing at 12-2 but dropped their bowl game to San Diego St 38-24. Team returns thirteen starters from last year with eight on offense and three to the defense. Senior quarterback Frank Harris is back under center. But he losses to key contributors in 1470 yard rusher Sincere McCormack and their talented left tackle. Four starters return to the offensive line. Roadrunners are inexperienced on their front seven. UTSA allowed 392 yards defensively last season. Cougars pass rush and defense will be the difference along with senior quarterback Tune and his big play receiver. Play Houston -4.5.
Cincinnati vs. Arkansas College Football Pick Prediction 9/3/2022
Cincinnati at Arkansas—Cincinnati finished at 13-1 last year. They dropped a 27-6 decision to Alabama in the Cotton Bowl in the semifinals. The team returns eight starters on offense with five on defense. Head coach Luke Fickell return for his sixth season. Bearcats lose their quarterback with top receiver and running back. All give return on the offensive line for Cincinnati. Fickell won’t name his starting quarterback. Defensive line experienced for the Bearcats with the secondary inexperienced. Arkansas Sam Pittman returns for his third season. Razorbacks finished at 9-4 in 2021 beating Penn St in the Outback Bowl. The team returns seven on offense with four to the defense. KJ Jefferson returns under center for Arkansas and is a dual threat quarterback. Their top receiver exits to the NFL. Four starters are back on the offensive line. Razorbacks defensively inexperienced in the back seven. The team struggled to convert on third down and were heavily dependent on the run. Razorbacks not enough balance to lay this big number against a program that has a strong culture defensively. Play Cincinnati +6.5.
Oregon vs. Georgia College Football Pick Prediction 9/3/2022
Oregon vs. Georgia—Dan Lanning enters his first season as Oregon’s head coach. He comes over from Georgia where he served as a defensive coordinator. The Ducks finished 10-4 last season losing in the Alamo Bowl to Oklahoma. Oregon returns fourteen starts with seven each on offense and defense. Auburn quarterback Bo Nix transfer from Auburn to take over for departed Anthony Brown. Three of their top four rushers exit the program. Oregon does return all five starters to their offensive line. Ducks allowed 28.5 points a game last season. They struggled to get off the field on third down sitting 117th in the nation. Teams were able to pass for 250 yards a game on the Ducks. Georgia is the defending National Champions ending their season at 14-1. Playoff wins by double digits to Michigan and Alabama. Seven starters return on offense for the Bulldogs with three on defense. Stetson Bennett returns under center where he averaged 64.5% completion rate last season. Running backs will reload but Bennett has experienced receivers. Major reload on defense as the Kirby Smart young recruits will be in for an early season test. Georgia saw Nix last year in their 34-10 win against Auburn and he averaged just 5.7 yards per attempt. Two defensive minded head coaches on each side of the football. Play Georgia and Oregon under 53.5.
Arizona vs. San Diego St College Football Pick Prediction 9/3/2022
Arizona at San Diego St—Jedd Fisch is in his second season with the Wildcats. Team finished a miserable 1-11 last season. Team is 1-23 in their past 24. They return seven to the offense and eight on defense. Fisch landed a transfer at quarterback as former Washington St quarterback Jayden de Laura enters the program. Team is experienced at running back and bring back three starters to the offensive line. The Wildcats are looking to improve from a 122nd ranking in the nation in scoring where they pushed across only 17 points a game. They struggled on third down and averaged only 3.7 yards per rush attempt. Defensively Arizona surrendered 32.4 points a game and gave up 185.5 yards rushing per game for 4.8 yards per attempt. Wildcats are experienced in their secondary. Brady Hoke is in his third year with San Diego St. Team finished 12-2 a season ago and beat UTSA in their bowl game. They will unveil their new stadium on Saturday. But Aztecs return only four on offense and seven on the defensive side of the football. Braxton Burmeister comes over from Virginia Tech at quarterback. Two starting receivers are back and only two return on the offensive line. San Diego St also lose their top rusher from a season ago. Aztecs averaged 40 rushing last season and 26 passes. Their run game produced only 4.1 yards per carry. Defense is what carried the Aztecs as they held opponents to 19.7 points a game and only 2.8 yards per rush attempt. They did give up 246 yards passing per game to opponents. San Diego St had trouble separating past teams last season. They are very conservative behind Hoke. Offense the concern for San Diego St. Play Arizona +6.5.
UTEP vs. Oklahoma College Football Pick Prediction 9/3/2022
UTEP at Oklahoma—UTEP finished at 7-6 last year earning a bowl berth. Dana Dimel is in his fifth season with the team. They return seven starters on offense and eight to their defense. Gavin Hardison returned under center but must cut down on his interceptions. Defensively they held opponents to 25 points a game and did a good job getting off the field on third down. UTEP comes off the 31-13 home defeat to North Texas. Hardison struggled with accuracy hitting 21 of 48 for 293 yards and a touchdown. Miners gave up 389 yards to North Texas with 164 on the ground. Oklahoma finished 11-2 last season missing out on a playoff berth. They faced Oregon in the Alamo Bowl coming away with a 47-32 win. Brent Venables takes over as head coach. Sooners return five starters on offense and defense. Oklahoma had both of their quarterbacks transfer and Dillon Gabriel lands with the Sooners. The former UCF starting quarterback. Top running back and four of the top five receivers from last season also depart. Three starters depart from the defensive line for Oklahoma. Their offense averaged 36 points a game last year but surrendered 28. Team was 71st defensively on third down. Miners were able to move the football for 400 yards last week Play UTEP +31.5.
Troy vs. Ole Miss College Football Pick Prediction 9/3/2022
Troy at Ole Miss– Troy finished at 5-7 last season missing a bowl for the third straight season. Jon Sumrall is in his first year as head coach. This is an experienced Trojans team returning nine starters on offense and defense. Gunnar Watson returns under center as do his weapons in the backfield and in the pass game. Four return on the offensive line. They need to improve an offense 113th in scoring with 19.9 points a game. The run game generated only 3.2 yards per rush. Defensively Troy allowed 28.2 points a game. Ole Miss finished at 10-3 last year. Lane Kiffin is in his third season with the program. Rebels return five on offense and seven to the defense. USC transfer Jaxson Dart will get the start and take over for Matt Corral. Rebels lost their top rushers and many receivers. Kiffin utilized the transfer portal to restock on the lost talent. Ole Miss defense improved last season holding opponents to 27.4 points a game. Secondary is experienced and performed well in 2021. Kiffin likes to run up scores. Troy offense the concern to try and keep up the scoring from the Rebels. Play Ole Miss -21.5.