Free MLB Picks For Today 8/27/2022
LA Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2022
Angels at Blue Jays—Shohei Ohtani to start for LAA. Ohtani in 21 starts an ERA 2.83 with WHIP 1.10. The righthander an elite strikeout mark of 33.9% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls served at 38.9% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
Alek Manoah to start for Toronto. Manoah started 24 games posting an ERA 2.66 plus WHIP 1.04. The righty deals 23% strikeouts with 6.1% walks. His ground balls sit at 37.7% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.48 suggests an increase in ERA based on these numbers.
Angels broke a six game losing streak after their 12-0 win in the opener. Toronto had won seven of eight prior to that defeat. Past ten games LAA is batting .208 against righthanders with a bullpen ERA 5.40.
Angels 4-16 when facing a starting pitcher with an ERA of 2.90 or better on the season. They are 14-39 as an underdog of +100 or higher. Play Toronto -155.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2022
Rays at Red Sox—Jeffrey Springs to start for Tampa Bay. Springs has appeared in 25 games posting an ERA 2.46 plus WHIP 1.08. The lefty strikes out 26.6% with 5.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 43% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
Rich Hill to start for Boston. Hill has eighteen starts with an ERA 4.68 and WHIP 1.31. The veteran a strikeout rate of 18% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.7% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. Red Sox had dropped six of seven prior to winning the opener of this series 9-8.
This broke the Rays six game win streak. Past ten games Red Sox bullpen ERA 5.02 and Rays 2.23. Rays 36-14 in August games past two seasons. Play Tampa Bay -130.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2022
Pirates at Phillies—Tyler Beede is the starter for the Pirates. Beede appeared in 27 games producing an ERA 4.13 and WHIP 1.49. The righthander pitches to contact with 13.6% strikeouts and 10.2% walks. Ground balls served at 47.7% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings.
Kyle Gibson to start for Philadelphia. Gibson has 24 starts carrying an ERA 4.30 plus WHIP 1.21. The veteran righthander is striking out 19% with 6.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.8% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. Phillies win streak five with their 7-4 win in the opener. Six straight losses for Pittsburgh.
Past ten games Pirates hitting .209 against righthanders and Phillies .295. In this period Pittsburgh bullpen an ERA 6.57. Phillies 19-10 to the run line at home against a team with a poor bullpen ERA of 4.20 or worse this season.
Team record behind Gibson on run line 11-3 against a team hitting .250 or worse this season. Play Philadelphia on run line -1.5 runs at -135.
LA Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2022
Dodgers at Marlins—Dustin May to start for LAD. May makes his 2022 debut after being sidelined with Tommy John surgery. He debuted on Sunday allowing no runs with nine strikeouts over five innings against the Marlins. In 32 appearances a career ERA 2.81 with WHIP 1.04.
Sandy Alcantara to start for Miami. Alcantara in 25 starts posts an ERA 2.19 and WHIP 0.98. The righthander a strikeout mark of 22.9% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 54.9% with limited home runs damage. LAD wins the opener of this series 10-6 winning six of seven. Marlins have dropped six of eight.
Past ten games Dodgers hitting .285 against right handers and Marlins .205 with a bullpen ERA 4.83. LAD 17-4 to the run line facing a hitting lineup of .245 the second half of this season.
Miami 1-9 to run line against a good offensive team outscoring opponents by 0.5 runs per game during the second half of this season. Play LA Dodgers on run line -1.5 runs at -110.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2022
Reds at Nationals—Luis Cessa the starter for Cincinnati. Cessa appeared in 38 games with an ERA 5.67 plus WHIP 1.49. The righthander is striking out 18% with 9.3% walks. His ground balls are at 54.1% with 1.82 home runs per nine innings.
Paolo Espino to start for Washington. Espino in 33 game appearances posts an ERA 4.31 and WHIP 1.31. The righty a strikeout mark of 17.8% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls sit 38.2% with 1.68 home runs per nine innings.
Reds broke a four game losing streak winning the opener of this series 7-3. Nationals have dropped four of five. Nationals 19-44 at home this season. Play Cincinnati +108.
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2022
Tigers at Rangers—Eduardo Rodriguez to start for Detroit. Rodriguez in nine starts has an ERA 3.89 with WHIP 1.34. The lefthander is striking out 20.4% with 10.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.4% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings.
Dallas Keuchel to start for Texas. Keuchel in twelve starts has an ERA 8.53 with WHIP 2.03. The lefty pitches to contact with 15% strikeouts and 10.7% walks. Ground balls at 50% with 1.78 home runs per nine innings.
Rangers have won five of six winning the opener of this series 7-6. Tigers hit lefthanders and Keuchel tough to back. Play Detroit +100.
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2022
Rockies at Mets—Kyle Freeland to start for Colorado. Freeland in 24 starts posts an ERA 4.93 with WHIP 1.42. The lefthander a 16.4% strikeout rate with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 42.3% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings.
David Peterson the starter for NYM. Peterson has worked in nineteen games producing an ERA 3.44 and WHIP 1.33. The lefthander is striking out 27% with 11.1% walks. Ground balls sit 52.8% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings.
Mets have won the first two in this series after their 7-6 win. Rockies have dropped six in a row on the road. Past ten games NYM hitting only .114 against lefthanders and Rockies .265.
Team record behind Freeland 9-4 when facing a winning team this season. Freeland an ERA 3.62 on the road this season with WHIP 1.24. Play Colorado +215.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2022
Diamondbacks at White Sox—Merrill Kelly the expected starter for the Diamondbacks. Kelly has 25 starts carrying an ERA 2.87 plus WHIP 1.14. The righty a strikeout mark of 21.2% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls served at 44.2% with 0.54 home runs per nine innings.
Davis Martin the starter for Chicago. Martin in eight appearances delivers an ERA 4.25 and WHIP 1.19. The righthander is striking out 17.4% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 38.2% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings.
Arizona wins the opener of this series 7-2. White Sox have dropped seven of nine. Past ten games White Sox bullpen an ERA 6.09 and Diamondbacks 8.38. Diamondbacks just 44-96 on the road past two seasons. They bat just .224 against righthanders on the road. Play Chicago +104.
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San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2022
Padres at Royals—Yu Darvish the starter for San Diego. Darvish in 23 starts posts an ERA 3.39 with WHIP 0.99. The veteran deals 24.8% strikeouts with 4.6% walks. Ground balls sit 39.2% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings.
Daniel Lynch to start for KC. Lynch in 20 starts an ERA 4.58 with WHIP 1.52. The lefthander a strikeout rate of 20.4% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls served at 39.7% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings.
Padres broke out of their offensive funk with the 13-5 win in the opener. KC had dropped seven of ten. In this period Royals batting .174 as a team with bullpen ERA 5.85. Padres pen in this span 1.69. Play San Diego on run line -1.5 runs at -135.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2022
Cubs at Brewers—Drew Smyly to start for Chicago. Smyly has seventeen starts with an ERA 3.47 plus WHIP 1.22. The lefthander strikes out 20.3% with 5.4% walks. Ground balls served at 40.6% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.12 suggesting a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Brandon Woodruff to start for Milwaukee. Woodruff in 19 starts carries an ERA 3.51 and WHIP 1.15. The righthander strikes out 28.8% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls at 35% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. Chicago wins the opener of this series 4-3.
Brewers have dropped five of seven. Past ten games Milwaukee batting .173 as a team and .172 against lefthanders. Team record behind Smyly 13-4 facing teams hitting .250 or worse past two seasons. Play Chicago +172.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2022
Orioles at Astros—Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore. Kremer in fourteen starts an ERA 3.45 with WHIP 1.30. The righty a strikeout mark of 18.9% with 5.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 36.8% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings.
Jose Urquidy the starter for Houston. Urquidy started 23 games dealing an ERA 3.63 and WHIP 1.13. The righthander is striking out 18.9% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.5% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings.
Orioles have won four of five winning the opener 2-0. Orioles 28-20 as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season. Play Baltimore +150.
San Francisco Giants vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2022
Giants at Twins—Alex Cobb to start for San Francisco. Cobb in 20 starts has an ERA 3.99 with WHIP 1.30. The righthander a strikeout rate of 24.1% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 61.1% with limited home run damage. A FIP of 3.00 suggests a lowering of his ERA based on his numbers.
Sonny Gray the starter for Minnesota. Gray in nineteen starts carries an ERA 3.10 plus WHIP 1.12. The veteran is striking out 24.4% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls at 44.4% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings. Twins broke their six game losing streak with the 9-0 win in the opener.
Giants have dropped six of eight. Past ten games Giants hitting .202 against righthanders. Their bullpen on the road an ERA 4.48. San Francisco 5-18 as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. Play Minnesota -135.
Atlanta Braves vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2022
Braves at Cardinals—Charlie Morton to start for Atlanta. Morton has 24 starts carrying an ERA 3.99 with WHIP 1.17. The veteran a strikeout mark of 29.1% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.9% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings.
Jordan Montgomery to start for St Louis. Montgomery in 25 starts an ERA 3.08 with WHIP 1.01. The lefthander is striking out 21.6% with 4.6% walks. Ground balls served at 47.1% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.
Braves have won seven of eight winning the opener of this series 11-4. Braves 36-17 on the road as a favorite of -100 to -150 this season. They are batting .272 against lefthanders on the road. Play Atlanta -115.
New York Yankees vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2022
Yankees at Athletics—Domingo German to start for NYY. German started seven games with an ERA 3.89 plus WHIP 1.27. The righty a strikeout mark of 17.7% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 33.9% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings.
Adam Oller will start for Oakland. Oller has appeared in sixteen games posting an ERA 6.41 and WHIP 1.69. The righthander pitches to high contact with 13.3% strikeouts with 11.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 32.8% with 1.94 home runs per nine innings.
Yankees have won five straight after their 3-2 win. Oakland hitting .202 at home this season with a bullpen ERA 4.53. Athletics 21-42 to the run line at home this season. Play NY Yankees on run line -1.5 runs at -125.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2022
Guardians at Mariners—Zach Plesac will start for Cleveland. Plesac in 22 starts has an ERA 4.43 and WHIP 1.36. The righthander a strikeout rate of 17.8% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls served at 40.8% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings.
Luis Castillo the starter for Seattle. Castillo has eighteen starts with an ERA 2.93 plus WHIP 1.08. The righty deals 26.4% strikeouts with 7.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.8% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings. Mariners have won the first two in this series with their 3-2 win. All four on this home stand for Seattle has gone under.
Past ten games Mariners batting .221 against righthanders. Guardians under in eight of ten. Past ten games Guardians bullpen an ERA 1.26. Play Cleveland and Seattle under 7.
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