Free MLB Picks For Today 8/17/2022
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 8/17/2022
Phillies at Reds—Ranger Suarez will take the mound for the Phillies. Suarez in 20 starts carries an ERA 3.52 with WHIP 1.32. The lefthander a strikeout rate of 19.6% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 56.1% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings.
Nick Lodolo the starter for Cincinnati. Lodolo has ten starts posting an ERA 4.27 and WHIP 1.66. The lefty is striking out 28.6% with 10.7% walks. Ground balls served at 41.7% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings.
Phillies have won the first two in this series after their 11-4 win. Past ten games Phillies hitting .394 against lefthanders and Reds .202.
Philadelphia bullpen in this period an ERA 1.40. Team record behind Suarez 9-1 in his ten road starts this season. Play Philadelphia -155.
Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 8/17/2022
Cubs at Nationals—Drew Smyly to start for Chicago. Smyly in fifteen starts produces an ERA 3.69 with WHIP 1.29. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 20.1% with 5.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.5% with 1.40 home runs per nine innings.
Cory Abbot to start for Washington. Abbott in six appearances posts an ERA 5.94 and WHIP 1.56. The righthander strikes out 20.3% with 13.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 26.5% with 2.70 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 7.43 suggesting an increase in ERA if this form holds.
Cubs evened this series against the Nationals with the 7-5 win in eleven innings. Past ten games Nationals bullpen an ERA 5.22.
Washington has lost 29 of 62 against lefthanded starters. Team record behind Smyly 12-4 in his past sixteen starts against a team with a batting average of .250 or worse. Play Chicago -145.
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 8/17/2022
Royals at Twins—Daniel Lynch to start for KC. Lynch in eighteen starts an ERA 4.52 with WHIP 1.51. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 22.4% with 9.3% walks. Ground balls served at 39.5% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
Tyler Mahle on the mound for Minnesota. Mahle in 21 starts produces an ERA 4.26 with WHIP 1.21. The righthander strikes out 25.8% with 8.7% walks. A ground ball rate of 36.2% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
Twins win the first two in this series after their 9-0 win. Past ten games KC bullpen ERA 6.06. Play Minnesota run line -1.5 runs at +110.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 8/17/2022
Orioles at Blue Jays—Austin Voth the starter for Baltimore. Voth in 32 appearances an ERA 5.34 and WHIP 1.50. The righthander is striking out 21.8% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls served at 37.8% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.10 indicates a drop in ERA with these numbers.
Ross Stripling will start for Toronto. Stripling has appeared in 23 games with an ERA 3.16 with WHIP 1.10. The righty a strikeout mark of 20.1% with 4.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.6% with 0.65 home runs per nine innings.
Baltimore has won both games in this series off their 4-2 win. Blue Jays have lost six of seven. Orioles 16-9 as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season. They have won 22 of their past 33 against teams that strikeout seven or more times per game. Play Baltimore +146.
Seattle Mariners vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 8/17/2022
Mariners at Angels—George Kirby the starter for Seattle. Kirby in sixteen starts an ERA 3.39 with WHIP 1.20. The righthander deals 24.1% strikeouts with 3.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.1% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings.
Touki Toussiant the stater for LAA. Toussiant appeared in three games allowing two earned runs with fifteen strikeouts in 13 1/3rd innings. The righthander worked 50 Triple A innings giving up 32 earned runs, eight homers and 57 strikeouts. A career ERA of 5.23 with WHIP 1.47 in 52 MLB appearances.
Mariners have won both games in this series off their 8-2 win. Past ten games Angels hitting .204 against righthanders and Mariners bullpen an ERA 1.91. LAA has lost 30 of their past 42 against winning teams. Play Seattle.
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 8/17/2022
Padres at Marlins—Mike Clevinger to start for San Diego. Clevinger in fourteen starts carries an ERA 3.47 with WHIP 1.14. The righthander strikes out 22.2% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.5% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
Pablo Lopez the starter for Miami. Lopez started 23 games with an ERA 3.55 and WHIP 1.14. The righty a strikeout rate of 24.4% with 7% walks. Ground balls served at 46.2% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
Padres have lost the first two in this series after their 3-0 defeat. Marlins now under in 13 straight and under in 20 of 26 when facing a team batting .250 or worse. Play San Diego and Miami under seven.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 8/17/2022
Rays at Yankees—Corey Kluber to start for Tampa Bay. Kluber started 22 times posting an ERA 4.40 and WHIP 1.19. The veteran is striking out 21.1% with 3.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 36.7% with 1 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.44 indicates a possible drop in ERA if these numbers hold.
Domingo German the starter for the Yankees. German in five starts carries an ERA 4.18 with WHIP 1.44. The righthander strikes out 16.5% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 35.1% with 1.52 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.01 signals a rise in ERA if these numbers don’t improve.
Rays have won both games of this series with the 3-1 win for their fourth straight victory. Their pitching staff has allowed two runs or fewer in this stretch. Yankees have lost eight of ten. Past ten games NYY hitting .194 and Rays bullpen an ERA 2.95.
Yankees have lost 16 of their past 22 against winning teams. Tampa Bay has won 50 of their past 68 games in August spanning three seasons. Play Tampa Bay +126.
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 8/17/2022
Red Sox at Pirates—Rich Hill to start for Boston. Hill has logged 17 starts with an ERA 4.75 with WHIP 1.35. The veteran is striking out 17.8% with 7.2% walks. Ground ball served at 39.8% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
Roansy Contreras to start for Pittsburgh. Contreras has appeared in twelve games dealing an ERA 3.78 and WHIP 1.38. The righthander a strikeout mark of 23% with 10.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 38% with 1.62 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.89 indicates a possible rise in ERA with these numbers.
Red Sox take the opener of this series 5-3. Pirates have lost five straight and seven of eight. Past ten games Pittsburgh batting .218. Red Sox have won 19 of their past 26 road interleague games. Play Boston -145.
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New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 8/17/2022
Mets at Braves—Max Scherzer to start for NYM. Scherzer in sixteen starts posts an ERA of 1.93 with WHIP 0.93. The veteran an elite strikeout rate of 31.3% with 4.2% walks. Ground balls served at 28.7% with 0.70 home runs per nine innings.
Jake Odorizzi the starter for Atlanta. Odorizzi has fourteen starts carrying an ERA 3.80 and WHIP 1.27. The righthander is striking out 18.1% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 31.8% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings.
Braves have won the first two in this series after their 5-0 win for their eighth straight win. Past ten games Braves bullpen ERA 3.19. Braves under in 11 of 13 when facing an NL starting pitchers with an ERA of 3.20 or better on the season. Play New York and Atlanta under 7.5.
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 8/17/2022
Tigers at Guardians—Daniel Norris the starter for Detroit. Norris in 28 appearances has an ERA 5.97 with WHIP 1.44. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 28.8% with 15% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.6% with 1.82 home runs per nine innings.
Cal Quantrill to start for Cleveland. Quantrill has 22 starts posting an ERA 3.67 and WHIP 1.22. The righthander is striking out 16% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.2% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings. Tigers have won two of three in this series with their 4-3 win.
Past ten games Tigers batting .218 against righthanders with a bullpen ERA 6.03. Team record run line behind Quantrill 15-7 when facing a losing team. Also run line is 9-2 behind Quantrill at home facing an opponent averaging 4.4 runs per game or fewer. Play Cleveland on run line -1.5 runs at +100.
Oakland Athletics vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 8/17/2022
Athletics at Rangers—Adam Oller to start for Oakland. Oller in fourteen appearances an ERA of 7.26 with WHIP 1.78. The righthander pitches to contact with 13.5% strikeouts and 11.8% walks. Ground balls served at 30.5% with 2.23 home runs per nine innings.
Cole Ragans the starter for Texas. Ragans in two starts allowed five earned runs, two homers and seven walks in 9 1/3rd innings. The lefthander has eight starts in Triple A compiling an ERA 3.32 and WHIP 1.07. He struck out 48 in 43 1/3rd innings.
Oakland evened this series with the 5-1 win to break a nine game losing streak. Past ten games Athletics bullpen an ERA 4.89 and doing a better job hitting lefty’s at .248. Play Oakland and Texas over 8.5.
Colorado Rockies vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 8/17/2022
Rockies at Cardinals—German Marquez to start for Colorado. Marquez in 22 starts carries an ERA 5.08 with WHIP 1.42. The righthander strikes out 18.8% with 8% walks. Ground balls served at 47.6% with 1.48 home runs per nine innings.
Jordan Montgomery hits the mound for the Cardinals. Montgomery in 23 starts an ERA 3.37 with WHIP 1.07. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 20.85 with 5.1% walks. Grounders sit at 46.8% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.
Cardinals win the opener of this series with the 5-4 win. Rockies have lost three straight. St Louis has covered run line in 22 of 34 against a bad team with a .380 to .460 win percentage this season. Rockies bullpen an ERA 5.22 on the road. Play St Louis on run line -1.5 runs at +106.
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 8/17/2022
Astros at White Sox—Framber Valdez the starter for Houston. Valdez started 22 games with an ERA 2.73 and WHIP 1.13. The lefthander a strikeout rate of 22.1% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 67.3% with 0.44 home runs per nine innings.
Michael Kopech starts for Chicago. Kopech has logged 21 starts posting an ERA 3.18 with WHIP 1.18. The righthander strikes out 22.4% with 11.9% walks. Ground balls check in at 35.1% with 1.12 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.41 suggests his ERA will increase with these numbers.
White Sox take the first two in this series after their 4-3 win to increase their win streak to five straight. Past ten games Astros batting .211 against righthanders. Astros 31-13 to the under when favored by -110 or higher this season. Play Houston and Chicago under 8.
LA Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 8/17/2022
Dodgers at Brewers—Tony Gonsolin to start for LAD. Gonsolin in 21 starts carries an ERA 2.24 and WHIP 0.89. The righthander deals 23.5% strikeouts with 7.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 43% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.46 indicates a possible rise in ERA if these numbers don’t improve.
Eric Lauer the starter for the Brewers. Lauer in 21 starts an ERA 3.64 with WHIP 1.21. The lefthander is striking out 23.5% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 32.4% with 1.67 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.68 suggests a rise in ERA with these numbers.
Brewers evened this series with their 5-4 win. Past ten games Brewers hitting .188 against righthanders and LAD bullpen an ERA 2.19. Team record behind Gonsolin 14-6 on run line against teams that strikeout seven or greater times per game this season.
Brewers have lost 39 of 54 at home on the run line to teams that average 1.25 home runs per game. Play LAD on run line -1.5 runs at +100.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 8/17/2022
Diamondbacks at Giants—Zach Davies to start for Arizona. Davies started eighteen games with an ERA 4.11 and WHIP 1.21. The righthander a strikeout mark of 17.8% with 8.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.9% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings.
Carlos Rodon to the mound for San Francisco. Rodon in 23 starts registers an ERA of 2.95 with WHIP 1.06. The lefthander is striking out 31.1% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 36.7% with limited home run damage. A FIP of 2.40 suggests a lowering of his ERA if these numbers hold.
Giants take the first two in this series with the 2-1 win and have won all five on this home stand. Team record behind Rodon in his career in August games 23-2 to the run line. Play San Francisco on run line -1.5 runs at +106.
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