Free MLB Picks For Today 8/16/2022
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 8/16/2022
Padres at Marlins—Sean Manaea to start for San Diego. Manaea in 21 starts carries an ERA 4.76 with WHIP 1.33. The lefthander strikes out 24% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls served at 39% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings.
Edward Cabrera to start for Miami. Cabrera has five starts posting an ERA 2.05 and WHIP 1.03. The righthander is striking out 27.1% with 13.1% walks. Ground balls check in at 55.7% with 0.68 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.84 indicates a rise in ERA if these numbers hold.
Marlins broke a four game losing streak with their 3-0 win in the opener. Past ten games Marlins batting .176 against lefthanders. Marlins under in 12 straight. They have gone under in 17 of 25 against lefthanders this season. Play San Diego and Miami under 7.5.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 8/16/2022
Phillies at Reds—Kyle Gibson to start for Philadelphia. Gibson in 22 starts posts an ERA 4.29 with WHIP 1.18. The veteran deals 18% strikeouts with 6.7% walks. Ground balls served at 45.5% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings.
T.J. Zeuch to start for Cincinnati. Zeuch in his lone start this season allowed six earned runs in four innings of work. In fourteen lifetime MLB appearances an ERA 5.26, WHIP 1.58, FIP 5.85 and 1.70 home runs per nine innings.
Phillies win the opener of this series 4-3. Reds have lost six of seven. Team record behind Gibson 15-6 to the run line against teams that average 7 or greater strike outs per game. Play Philadelphia on the run line -1.5 runs at -118.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 8/16/2022
Rays at Yankees—Jeffrey Springs the starter for the Rays. Springs in 23 game appearances has an ERA 2.56 with WHIP 1.09. The lefty a strikeout mark of 26.8% with 5.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.4% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
Nestor Cortes to start for NYY. Cortes in 21 starts records an ERA of 2.67 and WHIP 1.00. The lefthander strikes out 26.8% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 33.1% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.
Yankees have lost eight of ten dropping the opener of this series 4-0. They have been held to three runs or fewer in six straight.
Past ten games Yankees hitting .157 against lefthanders. New York team record 6-15 in their past 21 against winning teams. Play Tampa Bay +150.
Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 8/16/2022
Cubs at Nationals—Justin Steele to start for Chicago. Steele in 21 starts an ERA 3.64 and WHIP 1.41. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 23.7% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 50.7% with 0.62 home runs per nine innings.
Patrick Corbin the starter for Washington. Corbin has 23 starts with an ERA 7.02 and WHIP 1.82. The lefty strike outs 19.1% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls served at 44.6% with 1.71 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.96 suggests a drop in ERA with these numbers.
Chicago has lost two straight dropping the opener of this series 5-4. Past ten games Cubs batting .177 against lefthanders. Chicago has lost 29 of 47 against losing teams. Play Washington +146.
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 8/16/2022
Red Sox at Pirates—Nick Pivetta to start for Boston. Pivetta has started 23 games with an ERA of 4.51 and WHIP 1.33. The righthander deals 22.5% strikeouts with 8.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 36.7% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings.
Mitch Keller starts for Pittsburgh. Keller appeared in 22 games posting an ERA 4.24 with WHIP 1.41. The righty is striking out 18.8% with 8.1% walks. His ground balls sit at 50% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings.
Red Sox took two of three at home to the Yankees. Pirates return home losing eight of ten on their road trip. In this period Pirates batting 218. Red Sox have won 18 of their past 25 road NL games. Play Boston -135.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 8/16/2022
Orioles at Blue Jays—Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore. Kremer in twelve starts carries an ERA 3.69 with WHIP 1.31. The righthander strikes out 18.5% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls served at 32.8% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings.
Alek Manoah will start for Toronto. Manoah has logged twenty two starts posting an ERA 2.56 and WHIP 1.02. The righthander a strikeout mark of 22.4% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.6% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.38 suggests a rise in ERA with these numbers.
Baltimore wins the opener of this series 7-3. Blue Jays have lost seven of nine and three of four on this home stand. Blue Jays have dropped 21 of their past 36 at home against a good starting AL pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or better. Play Baltimore +190.
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 8/16/2022
Tigers at Guardians—Garrett Hill will start for Detroit. Hill in seven starts an ERA 4.66 with WHIP 1.36. The righthander pitches to high contact with 11.2% walks and 9.9% walks. Grounders at 36.6% with 1.47 home runs per nine innings.
Zach Plesac the starter for Cleveland. Plesac has started 21 games delivering an ERA 4.32 and WHIP 1.32. The righty posts a strikeout mark of 18.2% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 41.5% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings.
Tigers split their doubleheader with the Guardians but have lost eight of nine. Past ten games Tigers hitting .218 against righthanders and a bullpen ERA 6.03.
Guardians 14-6 to the run line in home games facing teams that average 3.9 runs or fewer on the season. Play Cleveland on run line -1.5 runs at +100.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 8/16/2022
Mets at Braves—Taijuan Walker the starter for NYM. Walker has twenty starts with an ERA 3.43 and WHIP 1.20. The righty a strikeout mark of 18.7% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.5% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings.
Charlie Morton gets the start for Atlanta. Morton logged 22 starts posting an ERA 4.26 with WHIP 1.21. The righthander is striking out 27.3% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls at 39% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings.
Braves have won seven straight taking the opener of this series 13-1. Braves 10-1 to the over in Morton’s night starts. Both teams doing a good job hitting righthanders past ten games.
In this span Mets bullpen an ERA 4.60. Braves have gone over in 31 of 46 against the NL East. Play New York and Atlanta over 8.5.
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Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 8/16/2022
Royals at Twins—Zack Greinke to start for KC. Greinke has nineteen starts with an ERA 4.29 and WHIP 1.34. The veteran pitches to contact at 13.5% strikeouts and 4.7% walks. Ground balls served at 40.6% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings.
Sonny Gray the starter for Minnesota. Gray in seventeen starts an ERA 3.33 with WHIP 1.16. The righthander is striking out 22.9% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls at 43.4% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings.
Twins win the opener of this series 4-2. KC has lost three of four. Greinke has been hammered on the road with an 0-5 record with ERA 7.16, WHIP 1.61 and 2.25 home runs per nine innings. Play Minnesota on run line -1.5 runs at +106.
Colorado Rockies vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 8/16/2022
Rockies at Cardinals—Kyle Freeland the starter for Colorado. Freeland posted 22 starts with an ERA 4.84 and WHIP 1.41. The lefthander is striking out 16.5^ with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 42.4% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings.
Jose Quintana to start for St Louis. Quintana in 22 starts carries an ERA 3.37 and WHIP 1.24. The lefty a strikeout rate of 21.3% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 45.3% with limited home run damage. Rockies dropped two of three at home to Arizona.
Cardinals take two of three at home to the Brewers. Rockies 13-2 to the under when Freeland pitches against winning teams. Freeland also under in 20 of 26 when an underdog of +175 to +250. Cardinals under in 45 of 72 against lefthanders. Play Colorado and St Louis under 7.5.
Oakland Athletics vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 8/16/2022
Athletics at Rangers—JP Sears to start for Oakland. Sears in eight appearances an ERA 2.30 with WHIP 0.80. The lefthander is striking out 17.6% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls at 41.6% with 0.33 home runs per nine innings.
Kohei Arihara to start for Texas. Arihara makes his 2022 debut. In 2021 in ten starts an ERA 6.64 and WHIP 1.43. Arihara allowed 2.43 home runs per nine innings striking out 13.5%.
Rangers win the opener of this series 2-1 for their third straight win. Nine straight losses for the Athletics. Past ten games Athletics batting .207 and Rangers a bullpen ERA 2.20.
In 72 Triple A innings this season an ERA 4.88 with WHIP 1.32 striking out 63 in 72 innings. Arihara figures to not go deep in this game and Rangers bullpen form gives them the checkmark. Play Texas.
LA Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 8/16/2022
Dodgers at Brewers—Ryan Pepiot to start for LAD. Pepiot in five starts an ERA 3.92 and WHIP 1.45. The righthander is striking out 25.3% with 16.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 22% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.24 suggests a rise in ERA with these numbers.
Brandon Woodruff to start for Milwaukee. Woodruff has seventeen starts producing an ERA 3.52 with WHIP 1.14. The veteran a strikeout mark of 28.8% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.2% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings.
LAD wins the opener of this series 4-0 for their 13th win in 14 games. Brewers have lost five of eight. Past ten games LAD hitting .291 against righthanders and Brewers .193. In this period Dodgers bullpen an ERA 2.23. Dodgers have won 40 of 53 against a team batting .245 or worse. Play LA Dodgers +106.
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 8/16/2022
Astros at White Sox—Justin Verlander the starter for Houston. Verlander has 21 starts posting an ERA 1.85 and WHIP 0.86. The veteran is striking out 25.7% with 4.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 38.3% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings.
Dylan Cease to start for Chicago. Cease in 23 starts carries an ERA 1.96 and WHIP 1.14. The righthander an elite strikeout mark of 33% with 10.4% walks. Ground balls served at 42.2% with 0.70 home runs per nine innings. Astros had their four game win streak snapped in a 4-2 defeat in the opener.
White Sox have won four straight. Verlander under in 15 of 20 facing teams striking out seven or more times per game. Justin Verlander also under in 14 of 19 as a favorite of -110 or greater. Play Houston and Chicago under 7.
Seattle Mariners vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 8/16/2022
Mariners at Angels—Robbie Ray to start for Seattle. Ray in 23 starts an ERA 3.90 with WHIP 1.19. The lefthander strikes out 28% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls at 41% with 1.46 home runs per nine innings.
Jose Suarez gets the start for LAA. Suarez in fourteen appearances an ERA 4.04 and WHIP 1.38. The lefty secures a strikeout mark of 22.4% with 9.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 35.6% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. Mariners win the opener of this series 6-2.
Past ten games Angels hitting .208 against lefthanders. Both bullpens past ten games under two. Ray on the road an ERA 5.50 with 2.10 home runs per nine innings. Suarez no earned runs allowed past three starts. Play LA Angels +180.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 8/16/2022
Diamondbacks at Giants—Merrill Kelly the starter for Arizona. Kelly in 23 starts an ERA 2.95 and WHIP 1.14. The righty is striking out 20.8% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls at 44.9% with limited home run damage.
Jakob Junis the starter for San Francisco. Junis worked fourteen games posting an ERA 3.78 with WHIP 1.20. The righthander a 21% strikeout mark with 6% walks. Ground balls served at 43.5% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings.
Giants win the opener of this series 6-1 winning all four on this home stand. Diamondbacks have lost 62 of 83 on the road against an opponent averaging 4.5 runs or greater per game. Play San Francisco -116.
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