Free MLB Picks For Today 8/11/2022
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 8/11/2022
Marlins at Phillies—Edward Cabrera will start for the Marlins. Cabrera in four starts carries an ERA 2.51 with WHIP 1.06. The righthander a strikeout rate of 26.7% with 14% walks. Ground balls served at 50% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.32 suggests an increase in ERA with these numbers.
Kyle Gibson will start for Philadelphia. Gibson has 21 starts posting an ERA 4.36 and WHIP 1.17. The veteran strikes out 18.4% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.5% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings. Phillies have won seven straight with their 4-3 win.
Marlins have dropped four of five on this trip including the first two in this series. Past ten games Miami hitting .193 against righthanders and the Phillies .282 as a team. They have lost 42 of 58 when road underdogs of +125 to +175. Play Philadelphia -165.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 8/11/2022
Guardians at Tigers—Zach Plesac to start for Cleveland. Plesac in 20 starts an ERA 4.49 with WHIP 1.35. The righthander records 17.6% strikeouts with 7% walks. Ground ball rate of 42% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
Garrett Hill on the mound for Detroit. Hill has started six games posting an ERA 5.12 and WHIP 1.39. The righty pitches to high contact with 12.3% strikeouts and 10.1% walks. Ground balls served at 36.2% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings.
Cleveland has won four straight with their 3-2 win taking the first two in this series. Tigers have lost six of seven. Past ten games Tigers hitting .203 against righthanders. They have gone under in 47 of 74 against righthanded starters on the season. Play Cleveland and Detroit under 8.5.
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 8/11/2022
Rangers at Astros—Cole Ragans the starter for the Rangers. Ragans in his MLB debut allowed no runs with three strikeouts and four walks over five innings. He worked eight starts in Triple A compiling an ERA 3.32 with WHIP 1.07 striking out 48 in 43 1/3rd innings.
Framber Valdez to start for Houston. Valdez in 21 starts carries an ERA 2.87 and WHIP 1.15. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 21.7% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls served at 67.4% with 0.47 home runs per nine innings. Texas evened this series with their 8-4 win.
Past ten games Rangers hitting .194 against lefthanders with Astros in this period a bullpen ERA of 1.75. Rangers under in 11 of 15 against teams with bullpen ERA’s at 3.00 or better and Astros under in 31 of 41 day games. Play Texas and Houston under 8.5.
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 8/11/2022
White Sox at Royals—Dylan Cease to start for Chicago. Cease has 22 starts with an ERA 1.98 with WHIP 1.16. The righthander an elite strikeout rate of 32.8% with 10.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.3% with limited home run damage.
Zack Greinke takes the mound for the Royals. Greinke in 18 starts has an ERA of 4.58 with WHIP 1.33. The veteran pitches to high contact with 13.1% strikeouts and 5.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.3% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
Royals have won two of three in this series after their 8-3 win. Past ten games White Sox hitting .272 against righthanders with bullpen in good form. Cease has allowed one earned run or fewer in ten straight starts.
Team record 22-10 with Cease to the run line against divisional teams also 20-9 to the run line against AL teams that average 4.4 runs or less. Play Chicago White Sox on run line -1.5 runs at -110.
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St Louis Cardinals vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 8/11/2022
Cardinals at Rockies—Dakota Hudson to get the start for St Louis. Hudson in 20 starts carries an ERA 4.20 with WHIP 1.39. The righthander pitches to contact with 12.7% strikeouts with 10.4% walks. Ground balls served at 52.1% with 0.69 home runs per nine innings.
German Marquez will start for Colorado. Marquez has 21 starts posting an ERA 5.18 and WHIP 1.41. The righthander a strikeout mark of 18.6% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 48.6% with 1.48 home runs per nine innings.
Cardinals have won eight of nine with their 9-5 win. Past ten games Rockies batting .303 against righthanders but their bullpen an ERA 6.75. Hudson high contact a concern plus road ERA of 5.25 with WHIP 1.57. Marquez at home an ERA of 6.11 with WHIP 1.53. Play St Louis and Colorado over 12.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 8/11/2022
Pirates at Diamondbacks—JT Brubaker to start for Pittsburgh. Brubaker in 21 starts carries an ERA 4.49 with WHIP 1.52. The righthander is striking out 22.6% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 42% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.76 indicates his ERA may lower if his form holds.
Merrill Kelly the starter for Arizona. Kelly has started 22 games with an ERA of 2.86 and WHIP 1.13. The righty a strikeout rate of 20.6% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls served at 45.2% with 0.54 home runs per nine innings. Pirates broke their two game losing streak in this series with their 6-4 win.
Pirates bullpen past ten games an ERA of 2.93. But Pirates 3-23 team record in Brubaker’s road starts and 9-17 against the run line. Diamondbacks have covered the run line in 13 of their past 18 at home. Play Arizona on run line -1.5 runs at +122.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 8/11/2022
Orioles at Red Sox—Austin Voth to start for Baltimore. Voth has eight starts posting an ERA 5.53 and WHIP 1.57. The righthander strikes out 21.6% with 6.8% walks. Grounders come in at 37.1% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.08 suggests a drop in ERA if these numbers hold.
Josh Winckowski to start for Boston. Winckowski in ten starts carries an ERA 4.68 with WHIP 1.50. The righthander pitches to contact with 14.5% strikeouts and 8.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 49.4% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings. Orioles have won seven of eight as they take all two in their series against the Blue Jays.
Boston in swept in their two game home series against the Braves and have dropped six of seven. Past ten games starters ERA 4.73 and bullpen 6.27. In this period Orioles hitting .276 against righthanders and bullpen rested with the rain out on Wednesday.
Baltimore has won 12 of their past 15 against losing teams. Voth has been better in a starter’s role. Winckowski at home an ERA of 6.18 with WHIP 1.73. Play Baltimore +115.
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 8/11/2022
Cubs at Reds—Drew Smyly to start for Chicago. Smyly started fourteen games carrying an ERA of 3.97 and WHIP 1.29. The lefthander posts a strikeout rate of 18.5% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 42.7% with 1.51 home runs per nine innings.
Nick Lodolo to start for Cincinnati. Lodolo in nine starts has an ERA 4.40 with WHIP 1.48. The lefthander is striking out 29% with 10% walk rate. Ground balls recorded at 41.2% with 1.47 home runs per nine innings. Chicago opens this series after winning two of three at home to Washington.
Reds return home getting swept at the Mets after winning series at the Marlins and Brewers in this nine game stretch. Past ten games Cubs hitting .079 against lefthanders. Reds do push across 5.1 runs per game at home. Play Cincinnati -115.
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