Free MLB Picks For Today 8/4/2022
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 8/4/2022
Brewers at Pirates—Brandon Woodruff will start for the Brewers. Woodruff in fifteen starts carries an ERA of 3.55 with WHIP 1.14. The righthander an elite strikeout rate of 31% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls served at 36.6% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 2.73 suggests a lowering of his ERA if these numbers hold.
Zach Thompson to start for Pittsburgh. Thompson has eighteen appearances posting an ERA 5.09 along with WHIP 1.48. The righthander pitches to contact with 15.3% strikeouts with 8.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.3% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings.
Pittsburgh has won the first two in this series after their 8-7 win. Past ten games Brewers bullpen an ERA of 4.42 but hitting .307 against righthanders. Milwaukee over in 42 of 68 against righthanded starters. Play Pittsburgh and Milwaukee over 8.
LA Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 8/4/2022
Dodgers at Giants—Clayton Kershaw the starter for LAD. Kershaw has fourteen starts posting an ERA 2.66 and WHIP 0.98. The veteran a strikeout mark of 26.2% with 4.4% walks. Ground balls served at 49.3% with limited home run damage.
Jakob Junis will start for San Francisco. Junis has twelve appearances putting up an ERA 2.78 with WHIP 1.05. The righthander strikes out 20.6% with 5.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.2% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.74 suggests an increase in ERA with these numbers.
Past ten games Dodgers batting .287 with bullpen ERA 2.05. Giants in this period hitting .219 and bullpen ERA 6.98. LAD has covered run line in 33 of 49 against teams hitting .245 or worse on the season. Kershaw 23-8 to the run line against losing teams.
Giants have lost 27 of 40 against the run line against the NL West. LAD has won all three in this series after their 3-0 win. Play LA Dodgers on run line -1.5 runs at -120.
Oakland Athletics vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 8/4/2022
Athletics at Angels—Paul Blackburn the starter for Oakland. Blackburn in twenty starts carries an ERA 4.15 and WHIP 1.25. The righthander a strikeout rate of 19.3% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 48.1% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings.
Janson Junk the starter for LAA. Junk in two appearances allowed no runs with nine strikeouts in six innings. He has ten starts in Triple A compiling an ERA 3.88 and WHIP 1.16. A career ERA of 2.82 with WHIP 1.25 in 22 1/3rd MLB innings.
Athletics evened this series with their 3-1 win. Angels under in 19 of 28 against losing teams. Past five games Angels hitting .199. Oakland under in 30 of 45 days games. Play Oakland and LA Angels under eight.
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 8/4/2022
Rockies at Padres—Kyle Freeland will start for Colorado. Freeland has posted 20 starts with an ERA 4.63 and WHIP 1.23. The lefthander is striking out 16.5% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 42% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings.
Joe Musgrove gets the start for San Diego. Musgrove in eighteen starts carries an ERA of 2.65 with WHIP 0.99. The righthander a strikeout mark of 24.9% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 45.8% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings.
San Diego has won all four in this series after their 9-1 win. Rockies have lost five straight. Freeland 11-2 to the under facing teams with a batting average of .245 or worse. Also 10-1 to the under facing a winning team. Play Colorado and San Diego under 7.5.
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 8/4/2022
Nationals at Phillies—Paolo Espino will start for Washington. Espino in 29 appearances has an ERA of 3.78 and WHIP 1.25. The righthander strikes out 18% with 4.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 35.2% with 1.76 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.78 suggests an increase in ERA if these numbers hold.
Noah Syndergaard will start for Philadelphia. Syndergaard, a traded player, posts an ERA of 3.83 and WHIP 1.21. The veteran has a strikeout rate of 18.9% with 6.5% walks. Grounders sit at 44.9% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings.
Nationals lose two of three at home to the Mets. Phillies split a two game road series in Atlanta. Phillies bullpen an ERA of 5.14 past five ten games.
Philadelphia 19 of 29 to the over facing teams with a bullpen ERA of 4.20 or worse. Syndergaard’s strikeout rate way down from previous seasons. Play Washington and Philadelphia over nine.
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 8/4/2022
Braves at Mets—Kyle Wright to start for Atlanta. Wright in twenty starts posts an ERA of 2.93 and WHIP 1.15. The righthander strikes out 24% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 53% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings.
Carlos Carrasco will start for New York. Carrasco has started 20 games with an ERA of 3.79 with WHIP 1.31. The veteran is striking out 23.1% with 6.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 47.2% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings.
Team record behind Carrasco 3-13 when he faces teams averaging 1.25 home runs per nine innings. Braves had their four game win streak stopped in a 3-1 home loss to Philadelphia. Mets have won eight of nine. New York bullpen past ten games an ERA of 5.54. Play Atlanta +102.
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Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 8/4/2022
Astros at Guardians—Justin Verlander to start for the Astros. Verlander in nineteen starts has an ERA of 1.81 with WHIP 0.87. The veteran a strikeout rate of 25.6% with 4.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.3% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 3.03 suggesting a rise in ERA with his numbers.
Zach Plesac will start for Cleveland. Plesac has nineteen starts posting an ERA 4.33 and WHIP 1.29. The righthander strikes out 17.7% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls served at 41% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings.
Astros salvaged the finale of their three game home series against the Red Sox winning 6-1. Guardians win two of three at home to Arizona.
Team record behind Verlander under in 12 of 15 against teams hitting worse than .255. Past ten game Guardians bullpen an ERA 1.45. Astros bullpen has been outstanding this season. Play Houston and Cleveland under 7.5.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 8/4/2022
Rays at Tigers—Jeffrey Springs the starter for Tampa Bay. Springs in 21 appearances carries an ERA of 2.70 with WHIP 1.12. The lefty is striking out 26% with 5.4% walks. Grounders sit at 40% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.62 points to an increase in ERA based on these numbers.
Drew Hutchison to start for Detroit. Hutchison has seventeen appearances with an ERA 4.53 and WHIP 1.39. The righthander pitches to high contact with 15.1% strikeouts with 11.3% walks. Ground balls served at 43.5% with 0.72 home runs per nine innings.
Rays split a two game home series against the Blue Jays. Tigers lost five of seven on their road trip. As an underdog of +150 or greater, Tigers under in 30 of 43. Past ten games Rays bullpen an ERA of 2.87 and Tigers 1.59 with both teams hitting .219. Play Tampa Bay and Detroit under 8.
Chicago Cubs vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 8/4/2022
Cubs at Cardinals—They rain out on Wednesday and play a doubleheader on Thursday. In Game 1 Justin Steele will start for Chicago. Steele has nineteen starts posting an ERA 3.86 with WHIP 1.43. The lefthander is striking out 21.6% with 10.4% walks. Ground balls served at 52% with 0.59 home runs per nine innings.
Miles Mikolas to start for St Louis. Mikolas in 21 starts carries an ERA 2.86 and WHIP 0.99. The righthander registers 19.2% strikeouts with 5% walks. Grounders sit at 44.5% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 3.68 suggesting an increased ERA with these numbers.
Cardinals have won four of five winning the opener of this series 6-0. Cubs have lost four of five. Past ten games Cardinals hitting .386 against lefthanders.
St Louis has covered 20 of 28 to the run line against a bad team with a win percentage between .380 and .460 this season. Play St Louis on run line -1.5 runs at +120.
In Game 2 Marcus Stroman to start for Chicago. Stroman in thirteen starts has an ERA of 3.99 and WHIP 1.18. The righthander a strikeout mark of 22.2% with 6.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.9% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings.
Jose Quintana the starter for St Louis. The traded lefthander in twenty starts posts an ERA 3.50 with WHIP 1.27. The lefty strikes out 20.6% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls served at 45% with 0.61 home runs per nine innings.
Cubs opened this doubleheader losing four of five after dropping the opener of this series 6-0 shutout in back to back games. Cardinals have won 36 of 52 as a favorite of -110 or greater this season. Play St Louis -142 in Game 2.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 8/4/2022
Blue Jays at Twins—Alek Manoah will start for Toronto. Manoah in twenty starts carries an ERA 2.43 and WHIP 0.99. A strikeout rate of 22.6% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.2% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.40 suggests an increase in ERA holding these numbers.
Sonny Gray to start for Minnesota. Gray has fifteen starts posts an ERA 3.41 along with WHIP 1.11. The veteran is striking out 22.8% with 6.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.3% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings.
Blue Jays split their two game series at Tampa Bay. Twins win two of three at home to Detroit. Blue Jays bullpen in great form with an ERA 1.80 past ten games. Twins have lost 28 of 50 facing an AL starter with an ERA of 2.90 or better. Play Toronto -120.
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 8/4/2022
Red Sox at Royals—Nick Pivetta will start for Boston. Pivetta has started 21 games with an ERA of 4.47 and WHIP 1.32. The righthander a strikeout mark of 22.6% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.1% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings.
Kris Bubic the starter for KC. Bubic in seventeen appearances posts an ERA of 5.45 with WHIP 1.60. The lefthander is striking out 18.2% with 11.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.7% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings. Red Sox win two of three in Houston.
Royals drop seven of nine after losing two of three at the White Sox. Past ten games Royals batting .210 with a bullpen ERA of 4.50. Red Sox does a good job of hitting lefthanders. They have won 17 of 25 against starting lefthanders. Play Boston -125.
Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 8/4/2022
White Sox at Rangers—Johnny Cueto the starter for Chicago. Cueto in fourteen appearances an ERA 2.86 and WHIP 1.17. The veteran strikes out 16.9% with 6.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.7% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.19 suggests a rise in ERA if these numbers hold.
Cole Ragans will start for Texas. Ragans makes his MLB debut. The lefthander worked 43 1/3rd innings in Triple A compiling an ERA 3.32 with WHIP 1.07 striking out 48. White Sox win two of three at home to the Royals.
Rangers are swept in three at home to the Orioles. Past ten games White Sox hitting .283 and Rangers bullpen an ERA 4.67. Cueto ERA 1.70 on the road with a WHIP 1.08. Play Chicago -130.
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