Free MLB Picks For Today 8/3/2022
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2022
Blue Jays at Rays—Yusei Kikuchi to start for Toronto. Kikuchi in seventeen starts carries an ERA of 4.89 with WHIP 1.50. The lefthander is striking out 25.2% with 13.4% walks. Ground balls served at 44.9% with 1.93 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.70 suggests an increase in ERA if these numbers hold.
Ryan Yarbrough expected to start for Tampa Bay. Yarbrough has eleven appearances posts an ERA 5.11 with WHIP 1.42. The lefty pitches to contact with 15.5% strikeouts with 5.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 33.1% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings.
Blue Jays take the opener of this series 3-1. They have won eight of ten and the Rays have lost eight of ten. Past ten games Rays hitting .200 against lefthanders and the Blue Jays bullpen an ERA of 1.47.
Kikuchi showed improvement in his return allowing one run in five innings against the Tigers. He faced the Rays over a month ago allowing one run in six innings striking out eight. Past three starts the lefthander allowed three earned runs in his past 19 innings against the Rays. Play Toronto -112.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2022
Phillies at Braves—Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler has nineteen starts with an ERA 2.77 with WHIP 1.03. The veteran a strikeout rate of 26.9% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44.4% with limited home run damage.
Charlie Morton the starter for Atlanta. Morton in twenty starts posts an ERA of 4.34 along with WIP 1.25. The righthander is striking out 27% with 9% walks. Ground balls dished at 38.7% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings. Atlanta takes the opener of this series winning 13-1. This broke a five game win streak for the Phillies.
Braves have won all four on this home stand. Past ten games Phillies bullpen an ERA of 5.45. Atlanta has been strong in these matchups winning 26 of 37 against an opposing NL starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.20 or better. Morton’s numbers have been better at home. Play Atlanta -135.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2022
Diamondbacks at Guardians—Tommy Henry to start for Arizona. Henry makes his MLB debut. The lefthander started 20 in Triple A compiling an ERA of 3.83 with WHIP 1.34 striking out 100 with 44 walks in 108 innings.
Shane Bieber the starter for Cleveland. Bieber has nineteen starts posts an ERA of 3.41 along with WHIP 1.14. The veteran strikes out 24.6% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.7% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings.
Arizona evened this series with their 6-3 win. Diamondbacks batting only .215 against righthanders on the road. Guardians hitting only .218 against lefthanders. Arizona is averaging 5.5 runs a game in this series. Play Arizona +195.
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2022
Mariners at Yankees—Luis Castillo to start for Seattle. Castillo had fourteen starts with the Reds posting an ERA 2.86 and WHIP 1.07. The traded player a strikeout mark of 25.8% with 8% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.1% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings.
Gerrit Cole will start for NYY. Cole in 21 starts carries an ERA of 3.30 with WHIP 1.03. A strikeout mark of 32.5% with 6.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.8% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings.
Seattle evened this series with the 8-6 win. Team record behind Castillo 7-1 when he has been an underdog of +150 or greater. Play Seattle +155.
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2022
Tigers at Twins—Tyler Alexander to start for Detroit. Alexander in fifteen appearances has an ERA of 4.10 and WHIP 1.31. The lefthander pitches to high contact with 12% strikeouts with 5.7% walks. Ground balls served at 38.3% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings.
Joe Ryan to start for Minnesota. Ryan in sixteen starts posts an ERA 3.78 along with WHIP 1.11. The righthander is striking out 22.7% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls served at 28.9% with 1.47 home runs per nine innings.
Tigers evened this series with their 5-3 win. They have gone under in six straight. Twins under in three straight. Past ten games Tigers batting .194 against righthanders and their bullpen an ERA of 2.94. Detroit under in 25 of 32 underdogs of +150 or greater. Play Detroit and Minnesota under 8.5.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2022
Orioles at Rangers—Kyle Bradish to start for Baltimore. Bradish in eleven starts carries an ERA 7.01 with WHIP 1.69. The righthander strikes out 22.9% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls served at 41.4% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.31 suggests an improvement in ERA with these numbers.
Martin Perez to start for Texas. Perez in twenty starts posts an ERA 2.52 with WHIP 1.15. The veteran lefty a strikeout mark of 20.9% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 52.4% with 0.50 home runs per nine innings.
Orioles have won the first two in this series after their 8-2 win. Past ten games Baltimore bullpen an ERA 2.33 with Rangers at 5.45. Bradish has allowed two earned runs in three of his past five starts. Play Baltimore and Texas under eight.
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2022
Red Sox at Astros—Brayan Bello the starter for Boston. Bello in four appearances an ERA 8.82 along with WHIP 2.27. The righthander pitches to contact with 15.7% strikeouts with 13.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 64.3% with no homers allowed.
Jose Urquidy the starter for Houston. Urquidy has started nineteen games posting an ERA of 3.86 and WHIP 1.21. The righty strikes out 17.8% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls served at 35.5% with 1.43 home runs per nine innings.
Red Sox have won both games of series with their 2-1 win on Tuesday. Tough to back Bello. Astros bullpen an ERA of 1.89 at home. Play Houston on run line -1.5 runs at -108.
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2022
Royals at White Sox—Brady Singer to start for KC. Singer in sixteen appearances carries an ERA 3.51 with WHIP 1.13. The righthander a strikeout rate of 26.6% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls recorded at 46.8% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
Lance Lynn will start for Chicago. Lynn has nine starts and an ERA of 6.42 with WHIP 1.36. The veteran striking out 23.1% with 4.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.5% with 1.89 home runs per nine innings. He holds only 56.4% of his baserunners. A FIP of 4.66 does suggest a lowering of his ERA with these numbers.
White Sox evened this series after their 9-2 win. KC offense held to two runs or fewer in six of eight. Chicago has won six of nine. But they have lost 12 of 20 when favored at home between -150 and -200. Lynn tough to back. Play Kansas City +140.
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New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2022
Mets at Nationals—Chris Bassitt the starter for New York. Bassitt in nineteen starts carries an ERA 3.83 along with WHIP 1.13. The righthander deals 24.8% strikeouts with 6.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 47.1% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
Anibal Sanchez to start for Washington. Sanchez in three starts allowed thirteen earned runs with five strikeouts in 15 2/3rd innings. In 2020 the righthander posted an ERA of 6.62 with WHIP 1.66 in 53 innings allowing eleven homers.
Washington evened this series with the 5-1 win on Tuesday. The loss broke a seven game win streak for the Mets. Past ten games NYM hitting .286 against righthanders and Nationals .211.
Team record 17-5 against the run line in Bassitt’s past 22 starts against a losing team. They have also covered 31 of 45 to the run line against the NL East. Nationals have failed to cover 36 of 55 at home to the run line. Play NY Mets on run line -1.5 runs at -145.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2022
Reds at Marlins—Mike Minor to start for Cincinnati. Minor has ten starts with an ERA of 6.31 and WHIP 1.58. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 18.9% with 9.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 30.3% with 2.63 home runs per nine innings.
Sandy Alcantara to start for Miami. Alcantara in 21 starts posts an ERA 1.99 along with WHIP 0.94. The righthander strikes out 24% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls at 55.7% with limited home run damage. His FIP is 2.86 suggesting an increase in ERA with his numbers.
Reds have won four straight after taking the first two in this series with their 2-1 win. Marlins continue their struggles to score runs and have lost all five on this home stand.
Past ten games Miami hitting .200 against lefthanders with Reds bullpen an ERA of 2.93. In these low totaled games of seven of less, Miami home record is 8-17 straight up with Alcantara. Play Cincinnati +180.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2022
Brewers at Pirates—Freddy Peralta to start for the Brewers. Peralta in eight starts has an ERA of 4.42 with WHIP 1.19. The righthander an elite strikeout rate of 30.3% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls served at 46.5% with minimal home run damage.
A FIP of 2.10 suggests a major decrease in ERA if these numbers hold. He returns off the IL after a lat injury having last pitched on May 22nd. He worked 5 1/3rd minor league innings in rehab allowing one earned run and eight strikeouts.
Roansy Conteras to start for Pittsburgh. Contreras has twelve appearances posting an ERA 3.78 with WHIP 1.38. The is striking out 23% with 10.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 38% with 1.62 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.89 indicates a rise in ERA if these numbers hold.
Brewers drop the opener of this series 5-3 to the Pirates. This broke an eight game losing streak for Pittsburgh. Past ten games Pirates batting .210 against righthanders and Pirates .210. Peralta should have his way with this Pirates lineup. Pittsburgh bullpen an ERA of 2.27 past ten games. Play Milwaukee and Pittsburgh under eight.
Chicago Cubs vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2022
Cubs at Cardinals—Justin Steele will start for Chicago. Steele has nineteen starts posting an ERA 3.86 with WHIP 1.43. The lefthander is striking out 21.6% with 10.4% walks. Ground balls served at 52% with 0.59 home runs per nine innings.
Miles Mikolas to start for St Louis. Mikolas in 21 starts carries an ERA 2.86 and WHIP 0.99. The righthander registers 19.2% strikeouts with 5% walks. Grounders sit at 44.5% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 3.68 suggesting an increased ERA with these numbers.
Cardinals have won four of five winning the opener of this series 6-0. Cubs have lost four of five. Past ten games Cardinals hitting .386 against lefthanders.
St Louis has covered 20 of 28 to the run line against a bad team with a win percentage between .380 and .460 this season. Play St Louis on run line -1.5 runs at +120.
Oakland Athletics vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2022
Athletics at Angels—James Kaprielian the starter for Oakland. Kaprielian has sixteen starts with an ERA 4.50 and WHIP 1.29. The righthander pitches to contact with 15.7% strikeouts and 10.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 39.6% with 1.46 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.36 indicates a rise in ERA with his numbers.
Shohei Ohtani to start for LAA. Ohtani in seventeen starts produces an ERA 2.81 with WHIP 1.02. The righty records an elite 36.4% strikeouts with 5.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 38.9% with 1 home run per nine innings.
Angels win the opener of this series 3-1. Oakland offense held to four runs total in their three game losing streak. Team record with Kaprielian on the road against a losing team is 5-0.
Athletics bullpen has held up past ten games with an ERA of 2.93. Kaprielian has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of five starts. Play Oakland +200.
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2022
Rockies at Padres—Chad Kuhl starts for Colorado. Kuhl has logged nineteen starts with an ERA of 4.59 and WHIP 1.49. The righthander is striking out 16.6% with 9.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 36.8% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings.
Blake Snell starts for San Diego. Snell in twelve starts posts an ERA 4.43 with WHIP 1.39. The lefthander records 29.3% strikeouts with 12.8% walks. Ground balls at 39.5% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings.
Padres win streak is four straight as they sweep a doubleheader against the Rockies. Rockies hit lefthanders and Padres hitting well right now.
Kuhl 8-0 to the over when facing a winning team on the road and 16-5 to the over against divisional teams. Colorado bullpen has been hammered past five games with an ERA 7.56. Play Colorado and San Diego over the total.
LA Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2022
Dodgers at Giants—Julio Urias to start for LAD. Urias in twenty starts has an ERA 2.71 with WHIP 0.98. The lefty strikes out 23.8% with 5.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 38.9% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.78 indicates a rise in ERA if these numbers don’t improve.
Alex Cobb will start for San Francisco. Cobb has sixteen starts producing an ERA 4.06 with WHIP 1.28. The righthander a strikeout mark of 24.4% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls served at 62% with 0.66 home runs per nine innings.
Dodgers have taken the first two in this series after their 9-5 win. They have won six of seven. Past ten games LAD hitting .287 with a bullpen ERA 2.04. Giants pen in this period an ERA 6.98.
LAD has covered the run line in 32 of 48 when facing poor hitting teams batting .245 or worse. Play LA Dodgers on run line -1.5 runs at +105.
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