Free MLB Picks For Today 7/31/2022
Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 7/31/2022
Tigers at Blue Jays—Garrett Hill to start for Detroit. Hill in four starts has an ERA of 5.57 with WHIP 1.29. The rookie righthander had eight starts in Triple A compiling an ERA of 4.06 with WHIP 1.24. His short MLB sample reveals high contact at 11.2% strikeouts and 10.1% walks.
Ground balls served at 36.2% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. Jose Berrios to start for Toronto. Berrios has twenty starts posting an ERA 5.20 with WHIP 1.37. The righty is striking out 21.5% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls served at 38.8% with 1.76 home runs per nine innings.
Blue Jays have won two of three in this series after their 5-3 win. Tigers under in 36 of 51 facing the AL East. They hit just .197 on the road against righthanders. Their bullpen an ERA of 2.28 past ten games and Blue Jays at 1.51. Play Detroit and Toronto under nine.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 7/31/2022
Cardinals at Nationals—Andre Pallante will start for St Louis. Pallante in 27 appearances carries an ERA 3.53 and WHIP 1.47. The righty is striking out 16% with 8.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 62.9% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.24 suggests an increase in ERA with these numbers.
Paolo Espino the starter for Washington. Espino has worked in 28 games recording an ERA of 3.48 with WHIP 1.21. The righthander a strikeout mark of 18.6% with 4.7% walks. Ground balls check in at 35.5% with 1.60 home runs per nine innings. His FIP sits at 4.50 meaning an increase in ERA likely if these numbers hold.
Nationals evened this series with the 7-6 win on Saturday. Past ten games Nationals hitting .216 against righthanders. Washington has lost 25 of their past 32 at home against righthanders getting outscored by an average of two runs. Play St Louis -115.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 7/31/2022
Diamondbacks at Braves—Merrill Kelly will start for Arizona. Kelly has started 20 games with an ERA 3.04 and WHIP 1.15. The righty is striking out 20.1% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.1% with 0.53 home runs per nine innings.
Max Fried expected starter for Atlanta. Fried carries an ERA of 2.73 and WHIP 1.09 in 20 starts. The lefthander sees his strikeouts at 23.3% with 4.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 49.6% with limited home run damage.
Braves take the first two in this series off their 6-2 win. Atlanta has gone under in 19 of 27 facing a good NL starter who has an ERA of 3.20 or better. Play Arizona and Atlanta under eight.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 7/31/2022
Phillies at Pirates—Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola has started twenty games posting an ERA of 3.32 and WHIP 0.93. Strikeouts come in at 28% with 3.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.9% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings.
JT Brubaker will start for Pittsburgh. Brubaker sits with nineteen starts and an ERA of 3.96 with WHIP 1.43. The righthander deals 22.6% strikeouts with 9.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 42.4% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings.
Phillies have won all three in this series after their 2-1 win. Philadelphia has covered the run line in 19 of 24 on the road against an NL opponent batting less than .245. Play Philadelphia on run line -1.5 runs at -110.
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 7/31/2022
Royals at Yankees—Zack Greinke expected to start for KC. Greinke in sixteen starts an ERA 4.35 with WHIP 1.29. The veteran pitches to high contact with 13.4% strikeouts and 4.5% walks. Grounders sit at 39.3% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings.
Jordan Montgomery the starter for NYY. Montgomery puts up an ERA of 3.35 in 20 starts. The lefty deals 20.2% strikeouts with 4.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 47.1% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings.
Yankees have won all three in this series with their 8-2 win. Five straight defeats for KC as they have been held to two runs or fewer in four of those defeats.
Royals bullpen and Greinke high contact the concern against his Yankees lineup. Over is 10-2 in Greinke’s past twelve as a road underdog of +100 or higher. Play New York and Kansas City over 8.5.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 7/31/2022
Brewers at Red Sox—Aaron Ashby to start for the Brewers. Ashby in nineteen appearances has an ERA of 4.38 with WHIP 1.43. The lefthander is striking out 27.3% with 9.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 56.8% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings.
Josh Winckowski to start for Boston. Winckowski has started eight games posting an ERA 5.18 and WHIP 1.50. The righthander pitches to contact with a strikeout rate of 15.3% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 50.8% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings.
Brewers have won the first two of this series after their 9-4 win for their seventh win in eight games. Red Sox have dropped eight of ten. Past ten games Boston hitting .189 against lefthanders and Brewers .292 against righthanders.
But Ashby on the road an ERA of 5.15 and walking 4.6 per nine innings. Both bullpens putting up high ERA’s past ten games. Play Boston and Milwaukee over 9.5.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 7/31/2022
Guardians at Rays—Kirk McCarty primary pitcher for Cleveland. McCarty in four appearances sits with an ERA 6.75 and WHIP 1.63. He has worked 50 2/3rd Triple A innings allowing twelve earned runs with ten homers and 38 strikeouts.
The lefthander’s short MLB sample reveals a 16.7% strikeout rate with 9.7% walks. Ground balls at 39.6% with 3.38 home runs per nine innings.
Shane McClanahan will start for Tampa Bay. McClanahan has nineteen starts with an ERA of 1.76 and WHIP 0.77. The lefty an elite strikeout mark of 35.4% with 4.6% walks. Ground balls served at 49.6% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 2.58 suggesting a rise in ERA with these numbers.
The teams have split the first two in this series after the Rays 6-4 win. Guardians hitting only .211 against lefthanders on the road. Rays bullpen has been outstanding at home. Play Tampa Bay on run line -1.5 runs at +100.
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 7/31/2022
Mets at Marlins—Taijuan Walker to start for NYM. Walker started seventeen games posting an ERA 2.67 and WHIP 1.11. The veteran a strikeout mark of 19.5% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 48.6% with limited home run damage.
Pablo Lopez the starter for Miami. Lopez in twenty starts carries an ERA of 3.03 with WHIP 1.04. The righthander strikes out 25.5% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.4% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings.
Mets have won the first two in this series after their 4-0 win. Team record 7-0 when Walker faces a losing team outscoring the opponent by an average of 2.2 runs. Play NY Mets -142.
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Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 7/31/2022
Orioles at Reds—Austin Voth to start for Baltimore. Voth in 29 appearances an ERA of 6.15 with WHIP 1.68. The righthander strikes out 20.5% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls are 37.3% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.40 indicating a possible drop in ERA with his numbers.
Nick Lodolo to start for Cincinnati. Lodolo in seven starts posts an ERA of 4.73 with WHIP 1.57. The lefthander a good strikeout rate of 30.5% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls served at 41.9% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.17 points to his ERA dropping if these numbers hold.
Reds evened this series with the 8-2 win in the opener. Orioles bullpen past ten games an ERA of 1.66. Voth has put up better numbers as a starter with an ERA of 3.43 in six games. Baltimore has won 12 of 18 facing bad teams posting a .380 to .460 win rate. Play Baltimore +105.
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 7/31/2022
Mariners at Astros—George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby in thirteen starts carries an ERA 3.50 and WHIP 1.20. The righthander is striking out 22.7% with 3.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.3% with 1.56 home runs per nine innings.
Jake Odorizzi the starter for Houston. Odorizzi has eleven starts posting an ERA of 4.25 with WHIP 1.23. The veteran strikes out 17.3% with 6.8% walks. He deals 31.1% ground balls with 0.85 home runs per nine innings.
Mariners broke their two game losing streak in this series after their 5-4 win. Past ten games Mariners hitting .211 against righthanders with a bullpen ERA of 4.78. Astros have won 30 of 41 when favored in this rage of -100 to -150 this season. Play Houston -135.
Oakland Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 7/31/2022
Athletics at White Sox—Adam Oller to start for Oakland. Oller has eleven appearances with an ERA of 8.07 and WHIP 1.86. The righthander pitches to high contact with a 13.9% strikeout rate and 13.3% walks. Ground balls served at 35.7% with 2.51 home runs per nine innings.
Dylan Cease to counter for Chicago. Cease in twenty starts has an ERA of 2.03 and WHIP 1.19. The righty strikes out 33.4% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 43.5% with 0.65 home runs per nine innings.
The teams have split the first two in this series as Chicago wins 3-2 on Saturday. Cease has allowed one earned run or fewer in ten straight starts. Oller hasn’t allowed more than three earned runs past two starts. Play Oakland and Chicago under eight.
LA Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 7/31/2022
Dodgers at Rockies—Tony Gonsolin to start for LAD. Gonsolin started eighteen games posting an ERA 2.26 and WHIP 0.88. The righthander is striking out 23.6% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls served at 42.9% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.52 suggests an increase in ERA with his numbers.
German Marquez expected to start for Colorado. Marquez in nineteen starts has an ERA of 5.25 and WHIP 1.43. The righty a strikeout mark of 19% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 48.7% with 1.48 home runs per nine innings.
Rockies broke their two game losing streak in this series after their 5-3 win on Saturday. Marquez has put together three good starts in a row. Play LAD and Colorado under 11.5.
Texas Rangers vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 7/31/2022
Rangers at Angels—Dane Dunning will start for Texas. Dunning in nineteen starts posts an ERA of 4.38 and WHIP 1.42. The righthander records 20.1% strikeouts with 9% walks. Ground balls sit at 52.8% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.
Reid Detmers will start for LAA. Detmers has fifteen starts carrying an ERA of 3.84 with WHIP 1.07. The lefty a strikeout rate of 20.9% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 38.3% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.62 suggests and increase in ERA if these numbers hold.
Angels broke their two game losing streak in this series after their 9-7 win. Past ten games Rangers batting .207 against lefthanders and their bullpen an ERA 5.01. Dunning’s road numbers poor this year and during his career in Texas. Play LA Angels -120.
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 7/31/2022
Twins at Padres—Dylan Bundy to start for Minnesota. Bundy in seventeen starts produces an ERA of 5.02 and WHIP 1.32. The veteran strikes out 18.1% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 38.5% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings. His FIP sits at 4.29 so his ERA could come down with these numbers.
Sean Manaea the starter for San Diego. Manaea has started eighteen games with an ERA 4.33 with WHIP 1.28. The lefthander poses a strikeout rate of 23.7% with 8.9% walks. His ground balls are 38.5% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings.
Twins evened this series with their 7-4 win. Past ten games Twins hitting .274 against lefty’s. Both bullpens ERA over five in this period. Padres over in eight interleague games this season. Twins over in eleven road games this month. Play Minnesota and San Diego over 8.5.
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 7/31/2022
Cubs at Giants—Adrian Sampson the starter for Chicago. Sampson in eight appearances posts an ERA of 3.20 and WHIP 1.17. The righthander a strikeout mark of 16% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.2% with limited home run damage.
Carlos Rodon to start for San Francisco. Rodon has twenty starts with an ERA of 3.18 an WHIP 1.12. The lefthander deals an elite 31.4% strikeouts with 8.3% walks. Grounders sit at 37.6% with 0.54 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 2.41 suggests a lowering of his ERA if these numbers hold.
Giants have won two of three in this series after their 5-4 win. Past ten games Giants hitting .191 against righthanders. Cubs bullpen in this period an ERA of 1.01.
Cubs under in 11 of 14 on the road facing a lefthander. Giants under in 24 of 36 as a prohibited favorite of -150 to -200. Play San Francisco and Chicago under 7.5.
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