Free MLB Picks For Today 7/30/2022
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 7/30/2022
Guardians at Rays—Zach Plesac to start for Cleveland. Plesac in eighteen starts has an ERA of 4.09 with WHIP 1.26. The righty is striking out 17% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls served at 41.2% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings.
Corey Kluber to start for Tampa Bay. Kluber has nineteen starts with an ERA of 3.91 and WHIP 1.14. The righty posts 20.5% strikeouts with 3.9% walks. Ground balls check in at 36.6% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings.
Guardians take the opener of this series 4-1. Plesac’s numbers have not been as good on the road with an ERA of 4.97 with team record 3-7. Rays bullpen has been good at home. Play Tampa Bay -125.
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 7/30/2022
Royals at Yankees—Jonathan Heasley to start for KC. Heasley in eleven starts has an ERA of 5.50 with WHIP 1.51. The righthander pitches to 16.9% strikeouts and 11% walks. Ground ball rate of 34.9% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings.
Nestor Cortes to start for NYY. Cortes in eighteen starts posts an ERA of 2.48 and WHIP 1.00. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 26.2% with 5.4% walks. Ground balls check in at 32.5% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.40 suggests an increase in his ERA with these numbers.
Yankees have won both games of this series after their 11-5 win. Starting and relief pitching heavily favoring the Yankees here. Play New York on alternate run line at -2 at -110.
Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 7/30/2022
Tigers at Blue Jays—Drew Hutchison to start for Detroit. Hutchison has sixteen appearances with an ERA of 4.84 and WHIP 1.43. The righty is striking out 14.9% with 10.8% walks. Ground balls served at 42.7% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings.
Ross Striping expected starter for Toronto. Stripling has worked 22 games carrying an ERA of 3.10 and WHIP 1.10. The righthander records 19.6% strikeouts with 4.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 47.3% with limited home runs damage.
Detroit evened this series after their 4-2 win on Friday. Past ten games Detroit batting .190 against righthanders but a bullpen ERA of 2.53. Blue Jays pen in this period an ERA of 1.38.
Tigers under in 18 of 24 when facing an AL pitching with an ERA at 3.70 or better. Play Detroit and Toronto under 8.5.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 7/30/2022
Brewers at Red Sox—Eric Lauer will start for Milwaukee. Lauer has eighteen starts posting an ERA of 3.84 and WHIP 1.20. The lefthander is striking out 24.6% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls check in at 31.8% with 1.79 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.73 indicates a rise in ERA if these numbers hold.
Nick Pivetta the start for Boston. Pivetta has 20 starts with an ERA of 4.35 and WHIP 1.28. The righthander registers 23% strikeouts with 8.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 35% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings.
Brewers have won six of seven as they take the opener of this series 4-1. Red Sox have dropped eight of ten hitting just .097 against lefthanders over this period and a bullpen ERA of 9.06. Red Sox have dropped 30 of 45 at home facing good teams posting a .540-.620 win percentage. Play Milwaukee -110.
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 7/30/2022
Mets at Marlins—Carlos Carrasco to start for New York. Carrasco in nineteen starts carry’s an ERA of 4.07 and WHIP 1.35. The righthander produces a strike out mark of 23% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 47% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
Nick Neidert to start for Miami. Neidert makes his 2022 debut with the Marlins. He worked 40 innings in Triple A compiling an ERA 2.25 with WHIP 1.10. In 44 MLB career innings an ERA of 4.70 with WHIP 1.50 walking and striking out 25.
Mets have won four straight winning the opener of this series 6-4. NYM have won 48 of 76 this season against weak hitting teams with a batting average of .255 or worse on the year. They have also won 28 of 40 against the NL East. Mets bullpen in the better form. Play New York Mets.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 7/30/2022
Orioles at Reds—Dean Kremer to start for the Orioles. Kremer in nine starts has an ERA of 3.06 with WHIP 1.30. The righthander a strikeout mark of 19.4% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls served at 32.4% with 0.77 home runs per nine innings.
Tyler Mahle to start for Cincinnati. Mahle has started eighteen games posting an ERA of 4.48 with WHIP 1.27. The righthander is striking out 25.6% with 9.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 34.8% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings.
Baltimore has won four of five winning the opener of this series 6-2. Past ten games Orioles bullpen an ERA of 1.16 which is outperforming the Reds pen by a significant margin. Baltimore has won nine of thirteen on the road against teams with poor bullpens sporting an ERA over 4.20.
Team record 3-10 in Mahle’s past thirteen home starts with the Reds -100 odds to -150 odds and getting outscored by over three runs a game. Play Baltimore -105.
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 7/30/2022
Mariners at Astros—Chris Flexen to start for Seattle. Flexen in nineteen starts carries an ERA 3.75 and WHIP 1.37. The righthander records 16.5% strikeouts with 8.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 33% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings.
Framber Valdez will start for Houston. Valdez has nineteen starts with an ERA 2.74 and WHIP 1.14. The lefthander is striking out 22.1% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 66.4% with limited home run damage.
Astros have won the first two in this series after their 11-1 win. They have won five straight against the Mariners allowing two runs or fewer in four of those games.
But the exception was when Valdez was pitching, and Seattle pushed across five runs in that game. Flexen didn’t face the Astros during their losing streak to them. Past ten games Mariners hitting .281 against lefthanders. Play Seattle +168.
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 7/30/2022
Twins at Padres—Sonny Gray to get the start for Minnesota. Gray in fourteen starts registers an ERA of 3.52 and WHIP 1.10. The veteran strikes out 22.6% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls check in at 43.4% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings.
Joe Musgrove the starter for San Diego. Musgrove started 17 games with an ERA 2.63 and WHIP 0.99. The righthander posts a 24.4% strikeout rate with 5.7% walks. Ground balls served at 45.9% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings.
Padres take the opener of this series 10-1. Three straight losses for Minnesota as they have allowed a total of 27 runs in those games. Past ten games Twins bullpen ERA 5.10. Musgrove has put up great numbers at home. Play San Diego -130.
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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 7/30/2022
Phillies at Pirates—Ranger Suarez to start for Philadelphia. Suarez in seventeen starts carries an ERA 3.84 with WHIP 1.39. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 18.8% with 8.9% walks. He serves 55.9% ground balls with 0.91 home runs per nine innings.
Mitch Keller to start for Pittsburgh. Keller in nineteen appearances an ERA 4.55 and WHIP 1.42. The righthander strikes out 20.4% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 51.4% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings. Phillies take the first two in this series after their 4-2 win.
Pirates have lost five straight and eight of ten. In that period Pittsburgh hitting .210 with a bullpen ERA of 4.50. Phillies have won 17 of 24 on the road against NL teams with .245 or worse batting averages. Play Philadelphia -148.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 7/30/2022
Cardinals at Nationals—Dakota Hudson is the starter for St Louis. Hudson in eighteen starts has an ERA 4.10 with WHIP 1.36. The righthander pitches to high contact with 13.2% strikeouts and 10.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 52.7% with limited home run damage.
Erick Fedde the starter for Washington. Fedde has posted 19 starts with an ERA 4.95 and WHIP 1.54. The righty a strikeout rate of 17.1% with 11.5% walks. Grounders served at 42.6% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings.
St Louis takes the opener of this series 6-2. Nationals have lost 29 of 37 as a home underdog of at least +100 this season. Cardinals as a road favorite of at least -110 has won 31 of 42. Play St Louis -150.
Oakland Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 7/30/2022
Athletics at White Sox—Paul Blackburn to start for Oakland. Blackburn in nineteen starts has an ERA 4.35 with WHIP 1.26. The righty a strikeout mark of 19.2% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 47.2% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings.
Johnny Cueto starts for Chicago. Cueto has thirteen appearances with an ERA of 2.89 and WHIP 1.19. The veteran posts 17.7% strikeouts and 6.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.1% with 1 home run per nine innings. A FIP of 3.98 suggests an increase in his ERA with these numbers.
Oakland has won seven of eight with their 7-3 win in the opener of this series. Past ten games Athletics batting .264 against righthanders and have an ERA of 2.65. White Sox pen ERA 4.91 in this period. Play Oakland +160.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 7/30/2022
Diamondbacks at Braves—Corbin Martin to start for Arizona. Martin has six appearances with an ERA of 3.93 and WHIP 1.64. The righthander in 60 innings in Triple A compiled an ERA of 5.10 with WHIP 1.33. His short MLB sample reveals 18.3% strikeouts and 13.4% walks. Ground balls at 32.7% with no homers allowed.
His FIP is 3.28 signals a dropping of his ERA if these numbers hold. Ian Anderson to start for Atlanta. Anderson posts 19 starts with an ERA 5.31 and WHIP 1.58. The righty is striking out 19.1% with 11.3% walks. Ground balls at 47.6% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.47 suggests a dropping of his ERA if these numbers hold.
Atlanta took the opener of this series 5-2. Past ten games Diamondbacks bullpen an ERA of 1.86 with the Braves hitting .212 against righthanders. Diamondbacks hitting .217 against righthanders on the road. Play Arizona and Atlanta under 9.5.
LA Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 7/30/2022
Dodgers at Rockies—Clayton Kershaw to start for LAD. Kershaw has started thirteen games posting an ERA 2.49 and WHIP 0.95. The veteran is striking out 27.4% with 4.7% walks. Grounders sit at 49.5% with 0.71 home runs per nine innings.
Kyle Freeland the starter for Colorado. Freeland has an ERA of 4.64 and WHIP 1.36 in nineteen starts. The lefthander pitches to contact with 16.1% strikeouts and 7% walks. A ground ball rate of 42.9% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings.
LAD wins the first two in this series after their 5-4 win. Past ten games Rockies hitting .176 against lefthanders. Freeland 22-5 to the under when facing good offensive teams that outscore opponents by 1 or more runs a game. Play LA Dodgers and Colorado Rockies under 11.5.
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 7/30/2022
Cubs at Giants—Drew Smyly to start for Chicago. Smyly has twelve starts with an ERA of 3.93 and WHIP 1.27. The lefty a strikeout mark of 18.3% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 46.3% with 1.47 home runs per nine innings.
Janis Junis the starter for San Francisco. Junis in eleven appearances posts an ERA of 2.98 with WHIP 1.01. The righthander is striking out 20.5% with 5.1% walks. Grounders served at 46.8% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 3.89 suggests a rise in his ERA with these numbers.
Cubs have won seven of eight with their 4-2 win to even this series. Giants have lost eight of nine struggling to score runs. Past ten games Cubs bullpen an ERA of 0.94. Team record 11-3 with Smyly on the road facing weak hitting teams batting .250 or worse. Play Chicago +120.
Texas Rangers vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 7/30/2022
Rangers at Angels—Glenn Otto to start for Texas. Otto in fourteen starts carries an ERA 5.37 and WHIP of 1.56. The righty a strikeout mark of 17.7% with 11.9% walks. He deals 44.9% ground balls with 1.21 home runs per nine innings.
Chase Silseth to throw for LAA. Silseth has six starts with an ERA of 5.84 and WHIP 1.46. The righthander is striking out 17.6% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 48.1% with 2.19 home runs per nine innings.
Rangers have won both teams of this series with their 7-2 win. Past ten games Angels batting .201. Otto’s numbers have been better on the road where he has an ERA of 3.57 and WHIP 1.26 while limiting homers. Play Texas +100.
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