Free MLB Picks For Today 7/29/2022
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 7/29/2022
Mets at Marlins—Chris Bassitt to start for NYM. Bassitt in eighteen starts carry’s an ERA of 3.72 with WHIP 1.10. The righthander a strikeout mark of 25.8% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls served at 45.9% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings.
Sandy Alcantara to start for Miami. Alcantara has twenty starts posting an ERA of 1.81 with WHIP 0.90. The righty is striking out 24.3% with 6.6% walks. A ground ball rate of 56.5% with limited home run damage. Mets hit the road after winning two straight a home to the Yankees.
Marlins split a four game road series at Cincinnati. Bassitt 10-0 as a road favorite of -125 or better. Miami has struggled to score runs and their bullpen an ERA 4.22 past ten games. Play NYM -130.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 7/29/2022
Orioles at Reds—Dean Kremer the starter for Baltimore. Kremer in nine starts an ERA of 3.06 with WHIP 1.30. The righthander records 19.4% strikeouts with 6.6% walks. Ground balls at 32.4% with 0.77 home runs per nine innings.
Mike Minor the starter for Cincinnati. Minor has started nine games posting an ERA 6.65 with WHIP 1.61. The veteran lefty strikes out 19% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 29.3% with 2.74 home runs per nine innings.
Orioles take three of four at home to the Rays as they hit the road. Reds split their four game home series against the Marlins.
Past ten games Orioles bullpen an ERA of 1.60 and Reds 4.46. Orioles have won nine of thirteen against teams with bad bullpens with ERA over 4.20 this season. Play Baltimore.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 7/29/2022
Cardinals at Nationals—Miles Mikolas to start for St Louis. Mikolas in 20 starts posts an ERA of 2.87 with WHIP 0.99. The righthander a strikeout mark of 19.4% with 5.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.3% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings.
Anibal Sanchez to start for Washington. Sanchez in his two starts has allowed seven earned runs with three homers and nine strikeouts over 10 innings. In his four minor league rehab starts an ERA of 4.02 and WHIP 1.34 in 15 2/3rd innings walking eight.
Cardinals split a two game series with the Blue Jays. Nationals return home splitting a six game road trip to the west. Cardinals get Goldschmidt and Arenado back.
Nationals have lost 29 of 37 this season as a home underdog with the average losing margin of 2.1 runs. Play St Louis on run line -1.5 runs at -106.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 7/29/2022
Phillies at Pirates—Bailey Falter to start for Philadelphia. Falter in ten appearances has an ERA of 5.18 with WHIP 1.45. The lefthander deals 19.7% strikeouts with 6.8% walks. His ground balls are 29.8% with 2.45 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 6.18 suggests an increase in his ERA with these numbers.
Jose Quintana to start for Pittsburgh. Quintana in nineteen starts has an ERA of 3.70 with WHIP 1.28. The lefty is striking out 20.7% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls served at 45.1% with limited home runs damage.
Phillies take the opener of this series 8-7 despite allowing five runs in the bottom of the ninth. Pirates have lost four straight and eight of ten.
In this period, they are batting .206. Phillies have won 15 of 22 when facing poor hitting teams with a team batting average of .245 or worse. Play Philadelphia -126.
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 7/29/2022
Royals at Yankees—Kris Bubic to start for KC. Bubic in sixteen appearances has an ERA of 5.53 with WHIP 1.65. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 17.7% with 11.9% walks. Ground balls check in at 43.7% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings.
Gerrit Cole to start for NYY. Cole in twenty starts carry’s an ERA 3.09 with WHIP 1.02. The veteran an elite strikeout rate of 32.3% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls at 44.1% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings.
Yankees take the opener of this series 1-0. They have been held to three runs or fewer in three of four. Royals shut out in three straight. Bubic has shown improvement past five starts. KC under in six straight. Play Kansas City and New York under 8.5.
Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 7/29/2022
Tigers at Blue Jays—Bryan Garcia expected to start for Detroit. Garcia makes his 2022 debut with the Tigers. The righthander worked 40 1/3rd innings in Triple A compiling an ERA of 2.90 with WHIP 1.45. A career MLB ERA of 6.12 with WHIP 1.70 in 72 bullpen appearances.
Alek Manoah to start for Toronto. Manoah in nineteen starts has an ERA of 2.24 with WHIP 0.97. The righty is striking out 23% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.9% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings.
Blue Jays have won eight of nine with the 5-3 win in the opener. Tigers hitting .192 against righthanders on the road. Detroit has played to under in 17 of 23 against AL starters with good ERA’s of 3.70 or better. Past ten games Tigers bullpen an ERA of 1.64 with Tigers at 3.07. Play Detroit and Toronto under 8.5.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 7/29/2022
Guardians at Rays—Shane Bieber to start for Cleveland. Bieber in eighteen starts an ERA of 3.55 and WHIP 1.15. The righthander posts 24.3% strikeouts and 5.8% walks. Ground balls served at 44.2% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings.
Jeffrey Springs to start for Tampa Bay. Springs in twenty appearances has an ERA of 2.50 with WHIP 1.10. The lefthander is striking out 26.3% with 5.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.8% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings. He leaves 90.2% of his baserunners on base but has a FIP of 3.57 suggesting a rise in ERA if these numbers hold.
Guardians split a four game series at Boston and have lost four of six. Rays lose three of four in Baltimore. But home is where the Rays have won 31 of 49 and their bullpen performs well. Past two road starts Bieber has allowed eleven earned runs in 11 2/3rd innings. Play Tampa Bay -110.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 7/29/2022
Brewers at Red Sox—Brandon Woodruff will start for Milwaukee. Woodruff in his fourteen starts carries an ERA of 3.73 with WHIP 1.16.
The righthander has an elite 30.6% strikeout rate with 7.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 36.1% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 2.87 indicates a possible drop in ERA if these numbers hold.
Brayan Bello the starter for Boston. Bello in three starts has allowed fourteen earned runs, nine strikeouts and eight walks over twelve innings. He worked 54 1/3rd innings in Triple A this season compiling an ERA of 2.82 with WHIP 1.16 striking out 76.
Brewers hit the road after winning five of six on their home stand. Red Sox split a four game home series with the Guardians. Brewers are hitting .276 against righthanders past ten games. Play Milwaukee -165.
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 7/29/2022
Diamondbacks at Braves—Madison Bumgarner to start for Arizona. Bumgarner in twenty starts has an ERA of 3.71 with WHIP 1.33. The veteran pitches to 17.3% strikeouts and 7.3% walks. Ground balls served at 39.2% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.49 suggests his ERA will increase with these numbers.
Kyle Wright to start for Atlanta. Wright has nineteen starts with an ERA of 2.95 and WHIP 1.16. The righthander has seen a huge rise in his strikeout mark to 24.3% with 7.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 53.2% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings.
Arizona hits the road winning five of six on their home stand getting great pitching. Braves drop two of three in Philadelphia. Atlanta has covered the run line 18 of 26 against bad teams posting a win percentage of .380-.460 this season.
Past ten games Braves hitting .295 against lefthanders. Diamondbacks batting only .218 against righthanders on the road. Play Atlanta on run line -1.5 runs at -102.
Oakland Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 7/29/2022
Athletics at White Sox—James Kaprielian the starter for Oakland. Kaprielian started fifteen games posting an ERA of 4.74 with WHIP 1.32. High contact for the righthander with 15.6% strikeouts and 10.5% walks. Grounders come in at 39.2% with 1.58 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 5.62 indicating a possible rise in ERA with these numbers.
Lance Lynn expected starter for Chicago. Lynn has eight starts with an ERA of 6.43 and WHIP 1.40. The veteran is striking out 21.8% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls served at 42.4% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings.
Athletics have won six of seven as they hit the road from their home stand. White Sox split a pair in Colorado. Past ten games Oakland batting .260 with a bullpen ERA of 2.29.
White Sox in this period a bullpen ERA of 4.68. Athletics have returned +11.7 units the second half of this season. Chicago also has lost eight of ten after blowing a save. Lynn and his bullpen’s poor form makes it tough to back the home team here. Play Oakland +175.
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 7/29/2022
Mariners at Astros—Robbie Ray to get the start for Seattle. Ray in twenty starts has an ERA of 3.90 with WHIP 1.15. The lefty a 27.9% strikeout rate with 7.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.6% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings.
Justin Verlander to start for Houston. Verlander has eighteen starts posting an ERA of 1.86 with WHIP 0.88. The veteran is striking out 26.1% with 4.7% walks. Ground balls served at 38.7% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings.
Astros broke their three game losing streak with their 4-2 win in the opener. Both bullpens in excellent form entering this game.
Past ten games Mariners batting only .214 against righthanders. Verlander starts the under has come in 15 of 18 times. Under has come in 24 of 33 times with the Astros facing a lefthander. Play Houston and Seattle under 7.5.
LA Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 7/29/2022
Dodgers at Rockies—Julio Urias to start for LAD. Urias in nineteen starts carries an ERA of 2.72 with WHIP 1.00. The lefthander deals 24.2% strikeouts with 5.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 38.1% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.91 suggests an increase in ERA with these numbers.
Chad Kuhl the starter for Colorado. Kuhl has eighteen starts posting an ERA of 4.48 and WHIP 1.44. The righthander is striking out 16.8% with 9.5% walks. Ground balls served at 36.7% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings.
Dodgers take the opener of this series 13-0. LAD has covered the run line in 15 of 22 this month. Play LA Dodgers on run line -1.5 runs at -140.
Texas Rangers vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 7/29/2022
Rangers at Angels—Martin Perez to start for Texas. Perez has started nineteen games with an ERA 2.59 and WHIP 1.18. The lefty records 20.8% strikeouts with 6.8% walks. His ground balls come in at 52.8% with limited home run damage.
Patrick Sandoval to start for LAA. Sandoval in sixteen starts an ERA of 3.54 and WHIP 1.51. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 24.1% with 10.3% walks. Ground balls check in at 44.6% with limited home run damage.
Rangers broke their three game losing streak with their 2-0 win in the opener. Angels continue their struggles to score runs.
Past ten games Angels hitting .180 against lefty’s and Rangers .188 against lefthanders. Perez under in nine of ten facing poor teams with .380-.460 win percentages. Angels under in 13 of 17 facing Al starters with ERA’s of 3.40 or better. Play LA Angels and Texas Rangers under 7.5.
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 7/29/2022
Twins at Padres—Joe Ryan the starter for Minnesota. Ryan in fifteen starts posts an ERA 2.89 and WHIP 1.05. The righthander registers 22.3% strikeouts and 7% walks. His ground balls are 29% with 1.00 home run per nine innings. A FIP of 3.80 indicates a possible increase in ERA with his numbers.
Blake Snell to start for San Diego. Snell has eleven starts with an ERA of 4.75 and WHIP 1.45. The lefty a strikeout mark of 29.1% with 13.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.6% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.57 suggests his ERA will come down if these numbers hold.
Twins travel after losing two straight in Milwaukee giving up a total of 17 runs. Padres spit a six game road trip. Padres at home hit only .214 against righthanders. They have gone under in 19 of 28 when facing a righthander at home this season. Play Minnesota and San Diego under 7.5.
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 7/29/2022
Cubs at Giants—Marcus Stroman expected to start for Chicago. Stroman in twelve starts carries an ERA 4.38 and WHIP of 1.15. The veteran deals 23.3% strikeouts and 6.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.3% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
Alex Cobb will start for San Francisco. Cobb has fifteen starts posting an ERA of 4.26 with WHIP 1.33. The righthander is striking out 22.8% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls served at 61.2% with limited home run damage.
Giants win the opener of this series 4-2. They have won six of their past eight at home. Cubs now have lost 23 of 34 against losing teams. Play San Francisco -135.
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