Free MLB Picks For Today 7/28/2022
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 7/28/2022
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles—Ryan Yarbrough to start for Tampa Bay. Yarbrough in ten appearances an ERA of 5.61 with WHIP 1.52. The lefty pitches to high contact with 13.3% strikeouts and 6.6% walks. Ground balls check in at 34.2% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings.
Jordan Lyles expected starter for the Orioles. Lyles in twenty starts posts an ERA of 4.79 with WHIP 1.45. The righty a strikeout mark of 18.8% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls served at 39.1% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings.
Rays broke their four game losing streak with the 6-4 win in extra innings. Orioles bullpen has performed well at home with an ERA of 2.42.
Rays six games under .500 on the road. Since being called up from the Minors Yarbrough has allowed nine earned runs with four homers in 14 1/3rd innings. Play Baltimore.
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 7/28/2022
Marlins at Reds—Daniel Castano to start for Miami. Castano has nine appearances with an ERA 3.86 and WHIP 1.40. The lefthander pitches to contact with 13.2% strikeouts and 6% walks. Ground balls served at 46.6% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings.
A FIP of 4.69 suggesting an increase in ERA with these numbers. Graham Ashcraft to start for Cincinnati. Ashcraft in eleven starts carries an ERA of 4.70 with WHIP 1.42.
The righthander strikes out 15.1% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 53.7% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.04 suggests a drop in ERA if these numbers hold.
Reds have won two of three in this series with their 5-3 win. Marlins held to three runs or fewer in eight of ten. Castano’s high contact in the Reds ballpark a concern. Play Cincinnati.
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 7/28/2022
Royals at Yankees—Brady Singer to start for KC. Singer in fifteen appearances an ERA 3.82 with WHIP 1.21. The righthander a strikeout rate of 25.5% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls are at 48.1% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings.
Jameson Taillon to start for NYY. Taillon has nineteen starts carrying an ERA of 3.93 and WHIP 1.17. The righty has a strikeout mark of 19.7% with 3.5% walks. He registers 39.2% ground balls with 1.22 home runs per nine innings.
KC hits the road after dropping two of three at home to the Angels getting shut out in the final two games. Yankees return home after getting swept in their two game series at the Mets.
Huge step down in class for NYY to face the pitching staff of the Royals here and they have gone over in 16 of 23. Play Kansas City and New York over 8.5.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 7/28/2022
Phillies at Pirates—Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler has eighteen starts posting an ERA of 2.78 with WHIP 1.04. The veteran strikes out 26.7% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls served at 44.9% with 0.68 home runs per nine innings.
Zach Thompson the starter for Pittsburgh. Thompson in seventeen appearances has an ERA of 4.64 with WHIP 1.44. The righthander pitches to 15.4% strikeouts and 9.7% walks. Ground balls recorded at 48.4% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings.
Phillies take two of three at home to the Braves. Pirates have lost four of five since coming off the break. They have been held to two runs or fewer in four of five.
Phillies have covered 18 of 22 run lines on the road against a National League team that is hitting .245 or worse on the season. Past ten games Pirates bullpen an ERA of 5.04. Play Philadelphia on run line -1.5 runs at -111.
Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 7/28/2022
Tigers at Blue Jays—Tyler Alexander to start for Detroit. Alexander in fourteen appearances has an ERA of 4.05 with WHIP 1.29. The lefty pitches to high contact with 12.9% strikeouts and 5.7% walks. Ground balls check in at 39.3% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings.
Yusie Kikuchi expected starter for Toronto. Kikuchi in sixteen starts carries an ERA of 5.12 with WHIP 1.57. The lefthander a 25.1% strikeout rate with 13.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.1% with 1.94 home runs per nine innings.
A FIP of 5.81 suggest an increase in his ERA with these numbers. He returns from a neck injury that sidelined him for 22 days. Tigers win two of three at home to the Padres.
Blue Jays split a two game home series against the Cardinals. Detroit past ten games hitting .325 against lefthander and have hit well against them this season plus their bullpen has performed well on the year. Play Detroit +185.
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Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 7/28/2022
Guardians at Red Sox—Triston McKenzie to start for Cleveland. McKenzie in eighteen appearances an ERA 3.11 with WHIP 0.98. The young righthander pitches to 23.9% strikeouts with 6.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 31.7% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.14 suggests an increase in ERA with these numbers.
Kutter Crawford to start for Boston. Crawford has fourteen appearances posting an ERA of 4.50 and WHIP 1.31. The righthander is striking out 27% with 9% walks. Grounders at 29.8% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.52 indicates a possible reduction in ERA if these numbers hold.
Guardians have won two of three in this series with their 7-6 win. Red Sox have dropped seven of eight. Past ten games Guardians bullpen an ERA of 2.06 and hitting .290 against righthanders. Play Cleveland -115.
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 7/28/2022
Mariners at Astros—Logan Gilbert to start for Seattle. Gilbert in 20 starts carries an ERA of 2.77 with WHIP 1.15. The righthander is striking out 23.4% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls served at 36.5% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings.
Jose Urquidy will start for Seattle. Urquidy in eighteen starts an ERA 3.93 with WHIP 1.23. The righty a strikeout mark of 18.2% with 5.2% walks. He records 35.5% strikeouts with 1.52 home runs per nine innings.
Mariners sweep a three game home series with the Rangers. After sweeping three in Seattle the Astros went down to Oakland and get swept in a three game series.
Past ten games Mariners bullpen an ERA of 2.36 and the Astros pen at home an ERA of 1.78 Play Seattle and Houston under eight.
LA Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 7/28/2022
Dodgers at Rockies—Tyler Anderson to start for LAD. Anderson in eighteen appearances posts an ERA 2.79 with WHIP 1.02. The lefthander deals 21.2% strikeouts with 4.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.6% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings.
Jose Urena the starter for Colorado. Urena in eight appearances has an ERA of 3.13 with WHIP 1.42. The righthander pitches to high contact with 12.5% strikeouts with 11% walks. A 51.9% ground ball rate with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.83 suggesting a major increase in ERA with these numbers.
Dodgers salvaged the finally of their three game home series against the Nationals with a 7-1 win. Rockies split their two game home series with the White Sox.
Colorado is pounding lefthanders this season. Urena’s high contact a major concern as is the Rockies bullpen. Play LAD and Colorado over 12.
Texas Rangers vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 7/28/2022
Rangers at Angels—Spencer Howard to start for Texas. Howard in seven appearances carries an ERA 7.11 with WHIP 1.78. The righty is striking out 17.5% with 10% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.7% with 3.55 home runs per nine innings.
Shohei Ohtani the starter for LAA. Ohtani has sixteen starts with an ERA of 2.80 and WHIP 1.00. The lefthander an elite strikeout mark of 35.9% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls served at 40% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.
Rangers have lost eight of ten after getting swept in a three game series in Seattle. Angels return home winning two of three at KC.
Howard has put up some bad numbers this season and late last season. Ohtani has allowed one earned run or fewer in six of seven starts. Angels past ten games batting .208. Play LAA and Texas under 7.5.
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 7/28/2022
Cubs at Giants—Justin Steele the starter for Chicago. Steele in eighteen starts posts an ERA of 4.02 with WHIP 1.42. The lefty records 21.1% strikeouts with 10.7% walks. Ground balls check in at 51.6% with 0.62 home runs per nine innings.
Alex Wood to start for San Francisco. Wood has nineteen starts sporting an ERA of 4.21 and WHIP 1.26. The veteran lefthander is striking out 24.3% with 5.8% walks. His ground balls come in at 40.2% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.
Cubs hit the road with a six game win streak. Giants at an all time low this season dropping seven straight coming off the break but all on the road. San Francisco showed good home form entering the All Star Break.
Chicago has lost 11 of 33 against losing teams on the year. Giants have won six of their past seven against the Cubs and 9 of their past 12 at home head to head with them. Chicago bullpen on the road an ERA of 4.42. Play San Francisco -139.
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