Free MLB Picks For Today 7/17/2022
Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 7/17/2022
Royals at Blue Jays—Kris Bubic to start for Kansas City. Bubic in fourteen appearances an ERA 6.63 with WHIP 1.86. The lefthander pitches to 18.3% strikeouts with 13.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 42.5% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings.
Jose Berrios will start for Toronto. Berrios in eighteen starts carries an ERA 5.38 with WHIP 1.36. The righty has a strikeout mark of 20.7% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 38.4% with 1.79 home runs per nine innings.
Blue Jays have won four of five on this home stand after winning the first two of this series. Both starters and bullpens have had their struggles. Play Kansas City and Toronto over nine runs.
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 7/17/2022
Braves at Nationals—Spencer Strider to start for Atlanta. Strider has twenty appearances posting an ERA 2.56 with WHIP 1.02. The righty is pitching to an elite 38.9% strikeouts with 9.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 39.2% with 0.38 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 1.81 signaling a drop in ERA with his numbers.
Josh Rogers to start for Washington. Rogers in sixteen appearances has an ERA of 5.13 with WHIP 1.33. The lefthander pitches to high contact with 10.6% strikeouts and 9.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 34.8% with 2.05 home runs per nine innings. He does return from the 15-day IL with a shoulder.
Braves have won six of eight after winning the first two in this series. Seven straight losses for Washington. Past ten games Nationals hitting .218 against righthanders. Play Atlanta on run line -1.5 runs.
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 7/17/2022
Tigers at Guardians—Tyler Alexander the primary pitchers for Detroit. Alexander in thirteen appearances an ERA of 4.45 with WHIP 1.38. The lefty records high contact with 13.7% strikeouts and 6.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 38.8% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings.
Shane Bieber to start for Cleveland. Bieber has seventeen starts with an ERA of 3.24 and WHIP 1.13. He deals 24.9% strikeouts and 5.9% walks. Ground balls recorded at 44.5% with limited home runs damage. A FIP of 2.73 suggests a lower ERA with these numbers.
Tigers have lost nine of ten after dropping the first three in this series after their 10-0 loss on Saturday. Past ten games Tigers batting .197 against righthanders. Play Cleveland on run line -1.5 runs.
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 7/17/2022
Red Sox at Yankees—Chris Sale to start for Boston. Sale In his return from injury worked five innings allowing no runs with five strikeouts and a walk. He worked only 42 2/3rd innings in 2021 compiling an ERA of 3.15 with WHIP 1.34 striking out 26.3% and 1.27 home runs per nine innings.
Gerrit Cole to start for NYY. Cole in eighteen starts has an ERA 3.05 with WHIP 1.01. The veteran a strikeout mark of 31.9% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 44% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings.
The teams have split the first two in this series after the Yankees 14-1 win. Sale looked sharp in his first outing. Red Sox have hit Cole pretty good the past two seasons. Play Boston +170.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 7/17/2022
Phillies at Marlins—Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola in eighteen starts has an ERA of 3.35 with WHIP 0.93. The righthander has a strikeout rate of 27.7% with 3.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 45% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings.
Trevor Rogers to start for Miami. Rogers has seventeen starts with an ERA of 5.42 and WHIP 1.58. The lefty is striking out 20.9% with 11% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.5% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.49 indicating a possible drop in ERA with his numbers.
Phillies have won the first two in this series after their 10-0 win on Saturday. Marlins continue their struggles to score runs. Play Philadelphia on run line -1.5 runs at +115.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 7/17/2022
Orioles at Rays—Jordan Lyles to start for Baltimore. Lyles in eighteen starts registers an ERA of 4.37 with WHIP 1.38. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 18.9% with 7% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.3% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings.
Corey Kluber to start for Tampa Bay. Kluber has seventeen starts with an ERA of 3.58 and WHIP 1.09. The veteran records 22.1% strikeouts with 3.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.4% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings.
The teams have split the first two in this series after the Orioles 6-4 win on Saturday. Baltimore has won 11 of their past 12 and getting great work out of their bullpen. Play Baltimore +135.
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 7/17/2022
White Sox at Twins—Dylan Cease to start for Chicago. Cease has eighteen starts carrying an ERA of 2.30 and WHIP 1.24. The righty has an elite strikeout rate of 34.4% with 11.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.7% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings.
Chris Archer to throw for Minnesota. Archer has an ERA of 3.08 and WHIP 1.26 in fifteen starts. A return from the injured list after a hip injury. His strikeout rate has dropped dramatically this season to 17.9% with 11.9% walks.
Ground balls come in at 39.4% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.89 suggests a major rise in ERA if these numbers hold.
White Sox four game wins streak snapped in their 6-3 defeat on Saturday. Chicago bullpen has been outstanding with an ERA of 0.62 past ten games. Play White Sox.
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Oakland Athletics vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 7/17/2022
Athletics at Astros—James Kaprielian to start for Oakland. Kaprielian in fourteen starts has an ERA 5.09 with WHIP 1.46. The righthander pitches to 15.2% strikeouts and 10.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 40% with 1.70 home runs per nine innings.
Jake Odorizzi to start for Houston. Odorizzi in nine starts posts an ERA 3.38 with WHIP 1.22. The veteran has a strikeout mark of 17.7% with 8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 33.6% with limited home run damage.
Astros have won two of three in this series after their 5-0 win on Saturday. Their bullpen putting up elite numbers. Past ten games Athletics hitting .189 against righthanders. Play Houston on run line -1.5 runs.
Cincinnati Reds vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 7/17/2022
Reds at Cardinals—Graham Ashcraft to start for Cincinnati. Ashcraft in ten starts an ERA of 4.45 with WHIP 1.35. The rookie righthander pitches to high contact with 13.3% strikeouts and 5% walks. Ground ball rate of 53.1% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings.
Steven Matz to start for St Louis. Matz has nine starts with an ERA of 6.03 and WHIP 1.39. The lefthander is striking out 26.8% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls served at 36.9% with 1.93 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.26 indicating a drop in ERA with his numbers. Matz returns from the injured list following a shoulder injury.
Cardinals have won the first two in this series. But Matz form makes it tough to back home here at this price. Play Cincinnati +144.
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 7/17/2022
Mets at Cubs—David Peterson to start for New York. Peterson has fourteen appearances with an ERA of 3.48 and WHIP 1.25. The lefthander registers 26.9% strikeouts with 10.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 52.6% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.
Adrian Sampson in six appearances delivers an ERA of 3.33 with WHIP 1.11. The righthander strikes out 20% with 4.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.4% with 1.00 home run per nine innings.
Mets sweep a doubleheader from the Cubs on Saturday. Nine straight defeats for Chicago as the Cubs struggle for runs. Past ten games Chicago hitting .191 against lefthanders. Mets bullpen has been outstanding in this period. Play New York on run line -1.5 runs at +100.
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 7/17/2022
Mariners at Rangers—Chris Flexen starts for Seattle. Flexen in seventeen starts carries an ERA of 3.84 with WHIP 1.40. The righthander posts 16.2% strikeouts and 8.2% walks. Grounders come in at 33% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. Flexen works on three days rest.
Glenn Otto to start for Texas. Otto has twelve starts with an ERA of 5.50 and WHIP 1.51. The righty records 17.5% strikeouts with 13.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.8% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings.
Mariners win streak continues as they have won all three in Texas in this series. Past ten games Rangers batting .206 against righthanders and bullpen ERA of 5.55. Mariners pen in this period an ERA of 1.38. Play Seattle -132.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 7/17/2022
Pirates at Rockies—Bryse Wilson expected starter for Pittsburgh. Wilson in eleven appearances an ERA of 6.60 with WHIP 1.68. The righthander pitches to 16.1% strikeouts and 7.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.2% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.07 does suggest a lowering of his ERA with these numbers.
Austin Gomber to start for Colorado. Gomber in seventeen games posts an ERA of 6.11 and WHIP 1.43. The lefthander a strikeout rate of 17.3% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 42.5% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.73 indicates a possible lowering of his ERA based on these numbers.
Rockies have won the first two in this series after their 2-0 win on Saturday. Past ten games Pirates batting .213 against lefthanders with a bullpen ERA of 4.91. Gomber coming off a good start against the Padres. Play Colorado.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 7/17/2022
Brewers at Giants—Aaron Ashby to start for Milwaukee. Ashby in seventeen appearances an ERA of 4.37 and WHIP 1.47. The lefty a strikeout mark of 26.7% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 57.6% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings.
Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb has eighteen starts posting an ERA 2.82 with WHIP 1.11. The righthander captures 21.3% strikeouts with 5.8% walks. His ground ball rate is 56.2% with limited home run damage.
Giants have won six of eight taking two of three against the Brewers. Past ten games Brewers batting .208 against righthanders and Giants .322 against lefty’s.
But Giants hitting only .195 against righthanders in this period so if the Brewers to the bullpen it could be an issue. Also, in this period San Francisco bullpen an ERA of 2.70. Play San Francisco and Milwaukee under eight.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 7/17/2022
Diamondbacks at Padres—Merrill Kelly to start for Arizona. Kelly in eighteen starts has an ERA of 3.36 with WHIP 1.22. The righthander a 19.6% strikeout rate with 8.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.6% with limited home run damage.
Mike Clevinger starts for San Diego. Clevinger deals an ERA of 3.79 with WHIP 1.17. The veteran righthander posts a strikeout mark of 23.5% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls served at 42.5% with 1.12 home runs per nine innings.
Padres have taken the first two in this series after their 4-3 win on Saturday. Diamondbacks have lost eight of ten hitting .216 against righthanders. Play San Diego -155.
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