Free MLB Picks For Today 7/12/2022
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2022
White Sox at Guardians—Davis Martin to start Game 1 for the White Sox. Martin in five appearances an ERA of 4.29 with WHIP 1.24. He worked 33 2/3rd innings in Triple A compiling an ERA of 4.01 and WHIP 0.99 with 40 strikeouts. His small sample size in MLB results in 18.9% strikeouts with 7.8% walks.
Ground balls dealt at 42.2% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. Shane Bieber to start for Cleveland. Bieber has sixteen starts recording an ERA 3.44 with WHIP 1.20. The righty is striking out 25.1% with 6.3% walks. His ground balls are 42.5% with limited home run damage.
White Sox drop the opener of this series 8-4. Guardians had dropped eight of ten prior to their win on Monday. Prefer Bieber here. Play Cleveland -105.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2022
Pirates at Marlins—Chris Stratton to start for Pittsburgh. Stratton in 36 bullpen appearances an ERA of 5.14 with WHIP 1.51. Strikeout rate of 21.2% with 7.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.2% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. Left on base at 64%.
The righthander figures to open as he has not pitched more than two innings. Daniel Castano to start for Miami. Castano in eight appearances posts an ERA of 3.60 with WHIP 1.47. The lefty pitches to contact with 12.9% with 6.8% walks.
Ground balls dealt at 47.1% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. He does have a FIP of 4.70 suggesting a rise in ERA if these numbers hold. Pirates have won three straight, as they win the opener of this series 5-1.
Marlins have had issues with run production. Castano’s high contact a concern as is the Miami hitting at this point. Play Pittsburgh +130.
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2022
Mariners at Nationals—Chris Flexen to start for Seattle. Flexen has sixteen starts with an ERA of 4.00 and WHIP 1.40. The righthander is striking out 17.1% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 32.5% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings.
Josiah Gray the starter for Washington. Gray in his sixteen starts carries an ERA 4.14 with WHIP 1.24. A strikeout rate of 26.8% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls recorded at 26.5% with 1.86 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.93. Nationals have lost nine of ten.
Mariners hit the road winners of eight straight getting great work out of their pitching staff. Over that ten game period the Nationals hitting .199 with a bullpen ERA of 4.20. Mariners pen at 1.72 ERA in this period. Play Seattle -110.
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2022
Reds at Yankees—Graham Ashcraft the starter for the Reds. Ashcraft in nine starts has an ERA 4.35 with WHIP 1.29. The young righthander a strikeout mark of 13.4% with 4.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 53.4% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings.
Gerrit Cole to start for New York. Cole has seventeen starts with an ERA of 3.26 and WHIP 1.03. The veteran is striking out 31.2% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 44.4% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings. Reds have won four straight getting their offense going.
Yankees split a four game series at Boston resulting in high scoring games. Yankees lineup should exploit the Reds starter and poor bullpen. Play Cincinnati and New York over eight.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2022
Phillies at Blue Jays—Andrew Bellatti to start for Philadelphia. Bellatti in 32 appearances has an ERA of 3.14 and WHIP 1.22. The righty has a strikeout mark of 34.2% with 10% walks. Ground balls sit at 26.2% with 1.57 home runs per nine innings. He figures to serve as the opener.
Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman posts an ERA of 2.86 with WHIP 1.27. Strikeouts at 27% with 4.3% walks. Ground balls served at 42.5% with minimal home runs damage. A FIP of 1.67 suggests even a lower ERA if these numbers hold.
Phillies split their four game series at St Louis. Toronto returns home losing six of seven on their trip and nine of ten overall. Not interested in the Phillies in a bullpen game. Blue Jays good at home. Play Toronto.
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2022
Red Sox at Rays—Chris Sale expected to make his 2022 debut. Sale returns off a rib cage injury. He worked nine games in 2021 posting an ERA of 3.16 and WHIP 1.34. He saw his strikeout rate drop to 28.4% as he averaged in the mid-thirties the past three seasons. He worked 11 1/3rd innings in the minors for rehab allowing three earned runs but nineteen strikeouts.
Corey Kluber to start for the Rays. Kluber in sixteen starts has an ERA of 3.62 with WHIP 1.11. The veteran has a strikeout mark of 21.4% with 3.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.7% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings.
Rays take the opener of this series 10-5. Red Sox have dropped five of seven as their pitching staff getting lit up. Prefer the Rays at home with their bullpen as Sale doesn’t figure to go very deep. Play Tampa Bay +100.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2022
Mets at Braves—David Peterson to start for NYM. Peterson in thirteen appearances an ERA of 3.48 with WHIP 1.27. The lefthander is pitching to 25.6% strikeouts with 10.3% walks. Ground balls check in at 53.7% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.00.
Spencer Strider the starter for Atlanta. Strider has nineteen appearances with an ERA of 2.60 and WHIP 0.97. Strikeouts at 39.1% with limited home run damage. A FIP of 1.82 signaling a lowering of his ERA if these numbers hold.
Mets win the opener of this series 4-1. Braves bullpen past ten games an ERA of 2.34 and Mets 2.29. Play New York and Atlanta under eight.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2022
Brewers at Twins—Jason Alexander to start for Milwaukee. Alexander in eight appearances posts an ERA of 4.75 with WHIP 1.72. The righty pitches to high contact with 10.2% strikeouts and 9% walks. Ground balls served at 50.8% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings.
Josh Winder to start for Minnesota. Winder in nine appearances an ERA of 3.12 with WHIP 1.24. The righty is striking out 16.1% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls served at 37% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.09 suggesting a rise in ERA with these numbers.
Milwaukee opens this series dropping four of five to the likes of the Cubs and Pirates. Twins return home off a 3-3 road trip. Brewers bullpen has been struggling. Alexander high contact against this Twins lineup a concern. Play Minnesota -135.
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LA Dodgers vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2022
Dodgers at Cardinals—Mitch White to start for LAD. White in twelve appearances boasts an ERA of 3.38 with WHIP 1.15. He is dealing 23.4% strikeouts with 9% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.9% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings. A good left on base rate of 73.1%.
Matthew Liberatore to start for St Louis. Liberatore in six starts has an ERA of 4.74 with WHIP 1.74. The lefty is striking out 19% with 12.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 32.9% with 1.46 home runs per nine innings.
Dodgers hit the road after winning nine of ten on their home stand. Cardinals split their four game series with the Phillies at home.
Past ten games St Louis hitting .200 against righthanders. Liberatore walks and home runs allowed a concern. Play LA Dodgers -125.
Oakland Athletics vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2022
Athletics at Rangers—James Kaprielian to start for the Athletics. Kaprielian in thirteen starts an ERA of 5.06 with WHIP 1.39. The righthander is striking out 14.9% with 10.9% walks. Ground balls served at 41% with 1.69 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.85.
Glen Otto to throw for Texas. Otto has eleven starts with an ERA 5.26 with WHIP 1.50. The righthander a strikeout mark of 17.8% with 14.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.1% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings. Athletics have lost seven of nine with their 10-8 defeat in the opener.
Rangers have won three of four. Past ten games Oakland batting .174 against righthanders. Rangers bullpen in this period an ERA of 1.98. Play Texas on run line -1.5 runs at +125.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2022
Orioles at Cubs—Jordan Lyles to start for Baltimore. Lyles in seventeen starts carries an ERA of 4.50 with WHIP 1.40. The righthander a strikeout rate of 18.9% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls served at 40.6% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings.
Adrian Sampson to start for Chicago. Sampson in five appearances posts an ERA of 2.91 with WHIP 1.02. The righthander is pitching to 22.4% strikeouts and 3.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.9% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings.
Orioles hit the road on an eight game win streak after sweeping the Angels in a four game series. Cubs return home losing five of seven on their road trip after getting swept in a four game series at LA Dodgers. Chicago struggling at the plate. Play Baltimore +110.
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2022
Tigers at Royals—Beau Briske the starter for Detroit Briske in fourteen starts an ERA of 4.16 with WHIP 1.22. The righthander is striking out 15.9% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls served at 37.7% with 1.67 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.13 suggesting a higher ERA with these numbers.
Kris Bubic the starter for KC. Bubic in thirteen appearances posts an ERA of 6.84 with WHIP 1.87. The lefty a strikeout mark of 18.3% with 13.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 43.5% with 1.66 home runs per nine innings.
Tigers have lost four straight after getting swept in a doubleheader at KC on Monday. Four of five wins for the Royals. Prefer starter and bullpen of the Tigers here. Play Detroit +110.
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2022
Padres at Rockies—Mike Clevinger the starter for San Diego. Clevinger has eight starts with an ERA 3.34 and WHIP 1.14. The righty deals 24.5% strikeouts with 8.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.7% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings.
Austin Gomber to start for Colorado. Gomber in sixteen appearances records an ERA 6.46 with WHIP 1.45. The lefthander has seen his strikeouts drop to 17.7% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.9% with 1.62 home runs per nine innings. He holds only 59.3% of his baserunners.
A FIP of 4.84 suggests a lowering of his ERA if these numbers hold. Padres take the opener of this series 6-5. Prefer starter and bullpen of Padres here. Play San Diego -135.
Houston Astros vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2022
Astros at Angels—Luis Garcia to start for Houston. Garcia in fifteen starts has an ERA of 3.81 with WHIP 1.09. The righthander strikes out 25.7% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls served at 36.7% with 1.63 home runs per nine innings.
Noah Syndergaard to start for LAA. Syndergaard has thirteen starts with an ERA 3.84 and WHIP 1.17. The veteran strikeouts have dropped to 18.8% with 5.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.6% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings.
Houston has won ei9ght of ten taking two of three in Oakland. Angels return home losing eight of nine on their road trip after getting swept in a four game series at Baltimore.
Astros bullpen putting up elite numbers. Angels past ten games hitting .174 against righthanders with a bullpen ERA of 4.36. Play Houston -110.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2022
Diamondbacks at Giants—Dallas Keuchel to start for Arizona. Keuchel in eleven starts has an ERA 7.63 with WHIP 1.94. The lefthander pitches to high contact with 14.3% strikeouts and 11% walks. Ground balls served at 52% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings.
Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb has seventeen starts with an ERA 2.98 with WHIP of 1.11. The righthander is striking out 20.7% with 5.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 56% with limited home runs damage.
Arizona wins the opener of this series 4-3. Giants have lost eight of eleven. Arizona showing improvement with their hitting over this ten game stretch.
Both bullpens struggling in this span. Keuchel unbackable. Play Arizona and San Francisco over 8.
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