Free MLB Picks For Today 7/5/2022
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 7/5/2022
Mariners at Padres—Logan Gilbert to start for Seattle. Gilbert in sixteen appearances has an ERA of 2.66 with WHIP 1.12. The righthander pitches to 24% strikeouts and 6.8% walks. Ground balls served at 36.5% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
Mike Clevinger to start for San Diego. Clevinger in seven appearances an ERA of 2.79 and WHIP 1.10. He strikes out 25.6% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls check in at 55.9% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings.
Mariners have won three straight and six of seven with their 8-2 win in the opener. Padres have lost four of five held to two runs or fewer in those losses.
Seattle hitting poorly against righthanders over their past ten games at .183. But their bullpen has been outstanding in this period. Play Seattle and San Diego under seven.
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 7/5/2022
Mets at Reds—Max Scherzer to start for New York. Scherzer in eight starts has an ERA of 2.54 with WHIP 0.94. The veteran a 30.6% strikeout rate with 5.7% walks. Ground balls recorded at 33.9% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings. He returns off a stint on the injured list with an oblique injury.
Nick Lodolo to start for Cincinnati. Lodolo has three starts with an ERA of 5.52 and WHIP 1.57. He has nineteen strikeouts in 14 2/3rd innings walking five with three homers allowed. He returns after a back injury and tallied four rehab minor league starts in preparation.
Mets win the opener of this series 7-4. Reds have lost five of six losing by three or more runs in each defeat. Their bullpen has an ERA over six at home. Play NY Mets on run line -1.5 runs at -120.
LA Angels vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 7/5/2022
Angels at Marlins—Noah Syndergaard to start for the Angels. Syndergaard in twelve starts has an ERA of 3.86 with WHIP 1.18. Veteran is pitching to high contact with a 17.3% strikeout mark and 5.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 46.8% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings.
Sandy Alcantara to start for Miami. Alcantara has sixteen starts with an ERA of 1.95 with WHIP 0.95. The righthander a strikeout rate of 21.9% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 56.2% with limited home runs damage. A FIP of 3.02 suggest a higher ERA with these numbers.
Angels open this trip getting swept in a three game series at Houston scoring a total of four runs. Marlins win the final four games of their completed six game road trip. Angels face good starting pitching here again on this trip. Play Miami -140.
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 7/5/2022
Rangers at Orioles—Spencer Howard to start for Texas. Howard in three appearances has allowed nine earned runs with six homers in 6 2/3rd innings striking out twelve. In ten Triple A starts an ERA of 3.69 and WHIP 1.26 striking out 60 in 46 1/3rd innings with 19 walks.
Austin Voth to start for Baltimore. Voth in 25 appearances posts an ERA of 7.34 and WHIP 1.89. The righty is striking out 20.3% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls check in at 39.6% with 1.47 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.47 suggesting a lowering of his ERA if these numbers remain.
Orioles win the opener of this series 7-6. Rangers have dropped four of their past five on this trip. Voth has done better in his starts than relief appearances. His numbers have been much better with the Orioles than Nationals this season. Play Baltimore -102.
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 7/5/2022
Nationals at Phillies—Paolo Espino expected starter for Washington. Espino in 24 appearances has an ERA of 2.80 with WHIP 1.13. The righthander pitches to 18.8% strikeouts with 5.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 36.5% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.00 which means his ERA could rise with these numbers.
Cristopher Sanchez the starter for Philadelphia. Sanchez in eight appearances posts an ERA of 4.60 and WHIP 1.15. In his short sample a strikeout rate of 22.4% with 9% walks. The lefty dishes 62.8% ground balls with 1.15 home runs per nine innings.
Nationals hit the road losing their final four on their home stand. Phillies take two of three at home to Atlanta. Tough to lay this big number with the Phillies with Sanchez starting and questionable bullpen following.
Nationals do have a good hitting lineup. Plus Espino has put up good numbers. Play Washington +140.
New York Yankees vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 7/5/2022
Yankees at Pirates—Jameson Taillon to start for NYY. Taillon in fifteen starts has an ERA of 3.32 with WHIP 1.15. The righthander strikes out 19.8% with 3.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.9% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings.
Jose Quintana to start for Pittsburgh. Quintana has fifteen starts with an ERA of 3.43 and WHIP 1.29. The lefty pitches to 20.9% strikeouts with 7.8% walks. Ground balls served at 42.3% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings.
Yankees head to Pittsburgh after winning two of three in Cleveland. Pirates split a four game series at home to Milwaukee losing when facing the Brewers quality arms.
Pirates weak hitting team with poor bullpen. NYY getting elite performance out of their pen. Play NY Yankees run line -1.5 runs -130.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 7/5/2022
Guardians at Tigers—Cal Quantrill to start for Cleveland. Quantrill in fourteen starts carries an ERA of 3.72 and WHIP 1.24. He pitches to high contact with 14.6% strikeouts and 7.1% walks. Ground balls check in at 40.4% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.47 signals a rise in ERA if these numbers hold.
Drew Hutchison to start for Detroit. Hutchison in twelve appearances has an ERA 4.81 with WHIP 1.52. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 15.5% with 14.5% walks. He records 40% ground balls with 0.74 home runs per nine innings.
Guardians have lost four of five getting swept in the doubleheader with the Tigers on Monday. Tough to back Hutchison along with the Tigers bats behind him. Play Cleveland -150.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 7/5/2022
Rays at Red Sox—Jeffrey Springs will start for Tampa Bay. Springs has eighteen appearances with an ERA of 2.25 and WHIP 1.00. The lefty is striking out 27.8% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 41.6% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.33 suggesting a rise in ERA with these numbers.
Nick Pivetta to start for Boston. Pivetta in sixteen starts has an ERA of 3.23 with WHIP 1.12. The righty a strikeout rate of 23.6% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls recorded at 34.4% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
Boston wins the opener of this series 4-0. Springs and Rays bullpen has been very good. Play Tampa Bay +110.
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St Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 7/5/2022
Cardinals at Braves—Andre Pallante to start for St Louis. Pallante in 23 appearances has an ERA of 2.10 with WHIP 1.31. The righthander has a strikeout rate of 14.3% with 9.5% walks. Ground balls at 64.6% with limited home runs damage. A FIP of 4.10 suggesting a rise in ERA if these numbers hold.
Ian Anderson to start for Atlanta. Anderson has made fifteen starts with an ERA of 5.31 and WHIP 1.52. The righthander strikes out 19.6% with 11% walks. Ground balls dealt at 46.6% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings.
Braves have won three of four after winning the opener of this series 6-3. Cardinals have dropped four of five with run production key in their defeats. Anderson’s form makes it difficult to back Atlanta here. Play St Louis +130.
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 7/5/2022
Twins at White Sox—Chris Archer the starter for Minnesota. Archer started fifteen with an ERA of 3.08 and WHIP 1.26. The veteran has seen his strikeout rate drop to 17.9% with 11.5% walks. Ground balls served at 39.4% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.89 suggesting a significant rise in his ERA if these numbers hold.
Michael Kopech the starter for Chicago. Kopech in fourteen starts posts an ERA of 2.78 and WHIP 1.03. The righthander a strikeout mark of 23.2% with 11.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 29.7% with limited home runs damage. A FIP of 3.67 signaling a rise in ERA with these numbers.
White Sox three game win streak snapped in a 6-3 defeat in the opener. Play Chicago -134.
Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 7/5/2022
Royals at Astros—Zack Greinke to start for KC. Greinke in twelve starts has an ERA of 4.38 and WHIP 1.23. The veteran pitches to 11.9% strikeouts with 4.1% walks. Ground balls served at 39.8% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
Luis Garcia to start for Houston. Garcia has fourteen starts with an ERA of 3.54 and WHIP 1.06. The righty pitches to 25.7% strikeouts with 6.8% walks. A ground ball rate of 36.7% with 1.53 home runs per nine innings.
Astros take the opener pounding the Royals bullpen in a 7-6 defeat despite a poor outing from Odorizzi. Better quality on the mound for Houston in Game 2 of this series.
Astros have won nine of ten as their pitching staff allowed two runs or fewer in eight of those games with the exception with Odorizzi on the mound. Greinke’s high contact will get him in trouble here. Play Houston on run line -1.5 runs at -110.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 7/5/2022
Cubs at Brewers—Kyle Hendricks to start for Chicago. Hendricks in fifteen starts posts an ERA of 4.76 with WHIP 1.29. Veteran is striking out 18.1% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.4% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings.
Jason Alexander the starter for Milwaukee. Alexander in seven appearances an ERA of 3.82 with WHIP 1.70. The righty pitches to high contact with 10.9% strikeouts with 9.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 50.5% with limited home run damage.
Brewers have won seven of nine taking the opener of this series 5-2. Better bullpen on the Brewers side and Milwaukee has won 21 of their past 29 head to head with the Cubs. Play Milwaukee -137.
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 7/5/2022
Giants at Diamondbacks—Alex Wood to start for San Francisco. Wood has fifteen starts with an ERA of 5.03 and WHIP 1.36. The lefthander is striking out 22.5% with 6.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 49.8% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.58 signaling a possible decrease in ERA with these numbers.
Tyler Gilbert expected starter for Arizona. Gilbert in four appearances posts an ERA of 7.88 with WHIP 1.44. He worked 44 Triple A innings this year compiling an ERA of 7.57 with WHIP 1.80 with 26 strikeouts and 11 homers.
In the lefthander’s short sample, a strikeout mark of 19.2% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 32% with 3.94 home runs per nine innings.
Giants have lost eight of ten with their 8-3 defeat in the opener. Gilbert has been crushed in his road starts but at home allowed one run with three strikeouts in three innings against the Dodgers. Play Arizona +142.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 7/5/2022
Blue Jays at Athletics—Yusei Kikuchi the starter for Toronto. Kikuchi in fifteen starts has an ERA of 4.74 with WHIP 1.52. The lefty is striking out 26.3% with 12.8% walks. He deals 43.4% ground balls with 2.01 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.57 indicating a rise in ERA if these numbers don’t improve.
Adrian Martinez to start for Oakland. Martinez in two starts allowed seven earned runs with two homers and six strikeouts in ten innings. The righty started thirteen games in Triple A compiling an ERA of 5.63 and WHIP 1.41.
Blue Jays have lost four straight after their 5-1 defeat in Oakland. Martinez one good and one bad start and makes his home debut as his two starts were on the road. This ballpark works against the Blue Jays strength at the plate. Play Oakland +160.
Colorado Rockies vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 7/5/2022
Rockies at Dodgers—German Marquez to start for Colorado. Marquez in fifteen starts posts an ERA of 5.89 with WHIP 1.54. The righthander is striking out 18.7% with 8.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 48.7% with 1.61 home runs per nine innings.
Mitch White expected starter for LAD. White in eleven appearances has an ERA of 3.93 with WHIP 1.19. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 22.8% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls served at 40.8% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings.
LAD wins the opener of this series with their 5-3 win in the opener. Now 46 of the Dodgers 50 wins have covered the run line. If handicapping LAD to win the strategy is to take the run line. Play LA Dodgers on run line -1.5 runs at -110.
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