Free MLB Picks For Today 7/4/2022
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 7/4/2022
Marlins at Nationals—Braxton Garrett to start for the Marlins. Garrett in five starts has an ERA of 5.24 with WHIP 1.70. The lefty is striking out 21% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls served at 43.2% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings.
Patrick Corbin to start for Washington. Corbin has sixteen starts with an ERA of 6.06 with WHIP 1.70. The lefthander pitches to 19.4% strikeouts with 7.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.2% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.72 indicating a drop in ERA if these numbers hold.
Marlins have won four straight, as they take the first three of this series with their 7-4 win on Sunday. Four straight defeats for the Nationals. Over their past ten games Washington hitting .182 against lefthanders and their bullpen an ERA of 4.83.
Marlins have won 17 of their past 22 against the Nationals. Team record in Corbin’s 16 starts is 4-12. Play Miami -108.
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 7/4/2022
Rangers at Orioles—Dane Dunning to start for Texas. Dunning in sixteen starts posts an ERA of 4.09 with WHIP 1.34. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 20.3% with 8.4% walks. He deals 53.5% ground balls along with 0.92 home runs per nine innings.
Doug Kremer the starter for Baltimore. Kremer starts five games with an ERA of 1.29 and WHIP 1.14. The righty pitches to 17.1% strikeouts with 6.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 35.7% with minimal home run damage. A FIP of 3.08 indicating a rise in ERA with these numbers.
Rangers have lost three of four after dropping a 5-1 decision at the Mets. Orioles split their ten game road trip after their 3-1 win at Minnesota on Sunday. Dunning’s road numbers have been poor the past three seasons. Play Baltimore -110.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 7/4/2022
Guardians at Tigers—Zach Plesac to start for Cleveland in Game 1. Plesac has fourteen starts with an ERA of 3.86 and WHIP 1.22. The righthander strikes out 17% with 6% walks. Ground ball rate of 38.5% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings.
Garrett Hill the expected starter for Detroit. Hill makes his MLB debut. He had eight Triple A starts with an ERA of 4.06 with WHIP 1.24. He struck out 46 in 37 2/3rd innings walking fifteen.
Guardians salvaged the final game of their three game series with the Yankees with the 2-0 win. Tigers drop two of three at home to Kansas City. Tigers batting only .212 against righthanders. Play Cleveland -140.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 7/4/2022
Rays at Red Sox—Luis Patino to start for Tampa Bay. Patino in 2/3rd innings allowed one run and a hit. He returns from an Oblique injury with 17 2/3rd innings of rehab work in the minors. A career ERA of 4.53 with WHIP 1.37.
Calvin Faucher primary pitcher for the Rays. In eleven outings an ERA of 7.59 with WHIP 1.97. In his short sample a strikeout rate of 20.4% with 13% walks. Ground balls served at 33.3% with 2.53 home runs per nine innings. Kutter Crawford primary pitcher for Boston. Crawford in ten appearances an ERA of 6.41 with WHIP 1.73.
A strikeout rate of 25.8% with 12.9% walks. Ground balls at 33.3% with 1.83 home runs per nine innings. He also produced poor numbers in his time in Triple A this season.
Rays opened this trip winning three of five at Toronto producing a total of 24 final three games. Red Sox return home winning five of nine on their road trip. Play Toronto and Boston over 10.5.
Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 7/4/2022
Royals at Astros—Jonathan Heasley to start for KC. Heasley in nine starts an ERA of 5.20 with WHIP 1.51. The righty a strikeout mark of 17.4% with 11.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 35.3% with 1.60 home runs per nine innings.
Jake Odorizzi expected starter for the Astros. Odorizzi in seven starts posts an ERA of 3.13 with WHIP 1.17. The veteran has seen his strikeout rate drop to 16.4% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls recorded at 35.5% with minimal home run damage. He returns from a lower leg injury with minor league rehab work. A month and a half absence.
KC wins two of three over the weekend in Detroit. Astros win streak six as they sweep the Angels in a three game series covering the run line in each game. Astros getting great work out of their bullpen and the Royals are now. Play Houston on run line -1.5 runs at -122.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 7/4/2022
Cubs at Brewers—Justin Steele to start for Chicago. Steele in fifteen starts carries an ERA of 4.39 with WHIP 1.48. The lefthander a strikeout rate of 21.8% with 10.4% walks. Ground balls register at 51% with 0.65 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.51 indicating a drop in ERA with these numbers.
Eric Lauer to start for Milwaukee. Lauer has fourteen starts with an ERA of 4.02 with WHIP 1.23. The lefty is striking out 24.3% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 33.3% with 1.85 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.77 indicating a rise in ERA if these numbers hold.
Cubs hit the road winning four of six on their home stand. Brewers win four of six on their road trip into Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay. Cubs bullpen has struggled on the road. Play Milwaukee -150.
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 7/4/2022
Giants at Diamondbacks—Carlos Rodon to start for San Francisco. Rodon has started 15 games with an ERA 2.62 and WHIP 1.09. The lefthander is striking out 30.3% with 8.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 38.3% with limited home run damage. A FIP of 2.29 citing a possible drop in ERA with these numbers.
Madison Bumgarner to start for Arizona. Bumgarner in sixteen starts an ERA of 3.63 with WHIP 1.37. The veteran pitches to 16.5% strikeouts with 7.5% walks. He deals 41.2% ground balls with 1.36 home runs per nine innings.
Giants hit the road losing six of eight on their home stand after getting swept in a three game series to the White Sox. Arizona loses two of three in Colorado.
Past ten games Diamondbacks hitting .105 against lefthanders. Play Arizona and San Francisco under 8.
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New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 7/4/2022
Mets at Reds—Taijuan Walker to start for the Mets. Walker in thirteen starts has an ERA of 2.72 with WHIP 1.17. The righthander is pitching to 17.7% strikeouts with 7.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 48.9% with minimal home run damage.
Hunter Greene to start for Cincinnati. Greene in fifteen starts carries an ERA of 5.72 with WHIP 1.34. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 28.9% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls served at 25.4% with 2.43 home runs per nine innings.
Mets win two of three at home to the Rangers. Reds drop two of three to Atlanta scoring one run in each loss. Huge step down in class for Mets after facing Rangers and Astros. Reds bullpen has performed poorly. Play NY Mets on run line -1.5 runs at -105.
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 7/4/2022
Mariners at Padres—Chris Flexen to start for Seattle. Flexen in fifteen starts carries an ERA of 4.32 with WHIP 1.43. He deals 16.1% strikeouts with 8% walks. The righthander records 32.5% ground balls with 1.19 home runs per nine innings.
Sean Manaea expected starter for San Diego. Manaea has started fourteen games with an ERA of 3.92 and WHIP 1.14. Strikeouts come in at 25.8% with 9% walks. Ground balls served at 38.9% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
Mariners hit the road after winning five of seven at home. Padres salvaged the finale of a four game series at the Dodgers.
Mariners have been doing a good job of late hitting lefthanders. Past ten games Mariners bullpen an ERA of 1.52 and Padres at 5.08 and .215 team batting average. Play Seattle +160.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 7/4/2022
Cardinals at Braves—Dakota Hudson to start for St Louis. Hudson in fifteen starts carries an ERA of 3.83 with WHIP 1.35. The righthander pitches to high contact with 13.3% strikeouts with 10.8% walks. He serves 55.1% ground balls with 0.68 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.46 signaling a rise in ERA with these numbers.
Kyle Wright to start for Atlanta. Wright in fifteen starts posts an ERA of 3.03 with WHIP 1.14. He delivers 25.7% strikeouts with 8% walks. Ground ball rate of 52.9% with limited home run damage.
St Louis loses two of three at Philadelphia to open this series. Braves return home winning four of six on their trip. Braves getting great work from their bullpen this season. Hudson FIP, walk rate and high contact a concern against the Atlanta lineup. Play Atlanta -165.
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 7/4/2022
Twins at White Sox—Dylan Bundy to start for Minnesota. Bundy in thirteen starts has an ERA of 4.71 with WHIP 1.29. The veteran has seen his strikeouts drop to 16.9% with 4.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 38.1% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings.
Johnny Cueto the starter for the White Sox. Cueto in nine appearances an ERA of 3.33 and WHIP 1.17. He is striking out 20.5% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls recorded at 40.6% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.16 revealing a possible rise in ERA if these numbers hold.
Twins hit the road after winning two of three at home to the Orioles. Their pitching staff has allowed three runs or fewer in eight of ten.
White Sox return home winning four of six on their trip after sweeping the Giants in a three game series. Both bullpens in great form past ten games. Both starters good form past three starts. Play Minnesota and Chicago under 9.5.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 7/4/2022
Blue Jays at Athletics—Alek Manoah to start for Toronto. Manoah in fifteen starts has an ERA of 2.09 with WHIP 0.96. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 22.7% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 37.6% with limited home run damage. A FIP of 3.08 which signals a rise in ERA if these numbers hold.
Cole Irvin the starter for Oakland. Irvin has made thirteen starts with an ERA of 3.58 with WHIP 1.22. The lefthander pitching to 16.7% strikeouts with 5.8% walks. A ground ball rate of 40.1% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.43 signaling a rise in ERA if these numbers hold.
Blue Jays drop three of five at home to the Rays. Athletics return home losing seven of ten on their road trip. They are batting just .199 against righthander at home with a bullpen ERA of 5.16. Play Toronto on run line -1.5 runs at -128.
Colorado Rockies vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 7/4/2022
Rockies at Dodgers—Kyle Freeland the starter for Colorado. Freeland in fifteen starts an ERA of 4.31 with WHIP 1.38. The lefthander pitches to high contact with 15.3% strikeouts and 6.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.8% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
Julio Urias will start for LAD. Urias in his fifteen starts carries an ERA of 2.64 with WHIP 1.03. The lefthander a 23.5% strikeout rate with 6.2% walks. He dishes 37.2% ground balls with 1.32 home runs per nine innings.
Rockies take four of six on their completed home stand. LAD win three of four at home to the Padres. Freeland’s numbers have been good on the road and has pitched well at Dodger Stadium his past three visits all coming in under. Play Colorado and LA Dodgers under 8.5.
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