Free MLB Picks For Today 7/3/2022
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 7/3/2022
Royals at Tigers—Brady Singer to start for KC. Singer in eleven appearances an ERA of 4.33 with WHIP 1.15. The righthander pitches to 22.1% strikeouts with 4.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 47.5% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings.
Tarik Skubal to start for Detroit. Skubal has fifteen starts with an ERA of 3.75 and WHIP 1.17. The lefty is striking out 26.1% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls check in at 46.9% with limited home runs damage. A FIP of 2.72 suggesting a lowering of his ERA with these numbers.
Kansas City has evened this series with the 4-3 win on Saturday. Tigers struggling to score but getting good bullpen work. Play Kansas City and Detroit under 7.5.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 7/3/2022
Marlins at Nationals—Pablo Lopez to start for Miami. Lopez in fifteen starts carries an ERA of 2.98 with WHIP 1.08. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 24.9% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.8% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings.
Erick Fedde will start for Washington. Fedde in fifteen starts carries an ERA of 4.40 with WHIP 1.44. He dishes 18.5% strikeouts with 10.7% walks. Ground balls recorded at 43.1% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings.
Marlins have taken the first two in this series with the 5-3 win. They have a strong advantage with starting pitching here. Play Miami -135.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 7/3/2022
Brewers at Pirates—Brandon Woodruff to start for Milwaukee. Woodruff in ten starts has an ERA of 4.44 with WHIP 1.15. The veteran is striking out 31% with 6.4% walks. He deals 37.7% ground balls with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.33 suggesting a lowering of his ERA if these numbers hold.
Zach Thompson to start for Pittsburgh. Thompson has thirteen appearances with an ERA of 4.47 with WHIP 1.42. The righty has a strikeout rate of 17.2% with 9.7% walks. Ground balls recorded at 46.5% with 1.82 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.57 points to a higher ERA with these numbers.
Pirates have won two of three in this series with the 7-4 win. Loss came with Burnes on the mound for the Brewers. Good quality on the mound for Milwaukee. Play Milwaukee on run line -1.5 runs at +100.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 7/3/2022
Rays at Blue Jays—Shane Baz expected starter for Tampa Bay. Baz in his four starts has an ERA of 3.38 with WHIP 1.02. He started four Triple A games compiling an ERA of 1.38 with WHIP 0.92. With his short sample in MLB this season the righthander is striking out 28.4% with 9.5% walks.
Ground ball rate of 35.6% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings. Ross Stripling to start for Toronto. Stripling has eighteen appearances with an ERA of 3.12 and WHIP 1.08. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 19.8% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 50% with limited home run damage.
Tampa Bay evens this series sweeping the Blue Jays in a doubleheader. Stripling can hold off the Rays enough here. Play Toronto -129.
Texas Rangers vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 7/3/2022
Rangers at Mets—Jon Gray to start for Texas. Gray in thirteen starts sports an ERA of 3.89 with WHIP 1.16. The righthander is striking out 26% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.3% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 3.26 suggesting a lower ERA if these numbers hold.
Carlos Carrasco to start for the Mets. Carrasco in fifteen starts has an ERA of 4.85 with WHIP 1.33. The righthander a strikeout rate of 23.1% with 6% walks. He deals 45.4% ground balls with 1.10 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.72 which points to a lowering of his ERA if these numbers hold in place.
Rangers evened this series with the 7-3 win. Mets have lost four of five. Texas getting great work from their bullpen. Play Texas +130.
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 7/3/2022
Yankees at Guardians—Jordan Montgomery to start for NYY. Montgomery in fifteen starts an ERA of 3.27 with WHIP 1.02. The lefty is pitching to 18.7% strikeouts with 4.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 48.2% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
Triston McKenzie to start for Cleveland McKenzie in fourteen appearances carries an ERA of 4.03 with WHIP 1.05. He deals 22.7% strikeouts with 6.5% walks. Ground balls served at 29.5% with 1.79 home runs per nine innings.
Yankees have won six of seven as they sweep the Guardians in a doubleheader scoring a combined 19 runs. Mckenzie home run rate a concern here. Yankees bullpen putting up elite numbers. Play New York Yankees on run line -1.5 runs at +102.
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 7/3/2022
Braves at Reds—Charlie Morton to start for Atlanta. Morton in fifteen starts has an ERA of 4.73 with WHIP 1.33. The veteran is striking out 26.1% with 8.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.5% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.13 signaling a drop in ERA with these numbers.
Luis Castillo to start for Cincinnati. Castillo in ten starts has an ERA of 3.32 with WHIP 1.16. The righty is striking out 25.1% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 48.3% with 0.63 home runs per nine innings.
Braves have won four of five on this trip. They take the first two in this series after their 4-1 win on Saturday. Braves bullpen ERA nearly half of Cincinnati’s. Morton is showing improvement. Play Atlanta on run line -1.5 runs at +105.
LA Angels vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 7/3/2022
Angels at Astros—Jose Suarez to start for LAA. Suarez in in eight appearances posts an ERA of 4.36 with WHIP 1.64. He deals 22.7% strikeouts with 11.3% walks. Ground balls recorded at 35.7% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings.
Framber Valdez to start for Houston. Valdez has fifteen starts with an ERA of 2.65 and WHIP 1.12. The lefty is striking out 20.8% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 67% with limited home run damage.
Astros have taken the first two in this series after their 9-1 win. They have outscored the Angels 17-2 in this series. Astros pitching has allowed one run or fewer in seven of eight games. Play Houston on run line -1.5 runs at -110.
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Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 7/3/2022
Orioles at Twins—Tyler Wells to start for Baltimore. Wells has started fifteen games with an ERA 3.23 and WHIP 1.03. The righthander pitches to high contact with 15.5% strikeouts and 5.8% walks. Ground balls served at 36.4% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.34 signaling a rise in ERA if these numbers hold.
Devin Smeltzer to start for Minnesota. Smeltzer in nine starts carries an ERA of 2.86 with WHIP 1.01. The lefty pitches to high contact as well with 15.8% strikeout rate with 5.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.3% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.41 suggests a higher ERA with these numbers.
Orioles have dropped four straight with their 4-3 defeat. They have blown late leads in both games as their good bullpen has struggled in this series. Play Baltimore and Minnesota under nine.
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 7/3/2022
Red Sox at Cubs—Connor Seabold to start for Boston. Seabold in his lone start allowed seven earned runs with three homers in 4 2/3rd innings at Toronto. In eleven Triple A starts he posted an ERA of 2.09 with WHIP 1.00 striking out 51 in 51 2/3rd innings.
Keegan Thompson to start for Chicago. Thompson has seventeen appearances with an ERA of 3.34 and WHIP 1.16. Strikeouts recorded at 23% with 7.7% walks. The righthander deals 42.6% ground balls with 0.94 home runs per nine innings.
Cubs have won four straight with their 3-1 win taking the first two in this series. Red Sox have the better bullpen and hitting lineup and will be focused in avoiding getting swept. Play Boston -125.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 7/3/2022
Diamondbacks at Rockies—Zac Gallen to start for Arizona. Gallen in in fourteen starts carries an ERA of 3.32 with WHIP 1.05. He registers 23.2% strikeouts with 6.7% walk rate. Ground balls at 45.5% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
Chad Kuhl to start for Colorado. Kuhl has fourteen starts with an ERA of 3.49 and WHIP 1.31. Strikeouts have dropped to 17.5% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 38.1% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings.
Colorado has evened this series with their 11-7 win on Saturday. Gallen has pitched well against the Rockies in his career. Kuhl has put up good numbers at home. Play Arizona and Colorado under 11.5.
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 7/3/2022
White Sox at Giants—Lucas Giolito to start for Chicago. Giolito in thirteen starts has an ERA of 5.19 with WHIP 1.53. The righty a strikeout rate of 27.1% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls recorded at 33.5% with 1.95 home runs per nine innings.
John Brebbia expected starter for the Giants. Brebbia in 36 appearances has an ERA of 2.70 with WHIP 1.20. The righthander is striking out 23.7% with 7.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.9% with no homers allowed. A FIP of 2.04 suggesting a lower ERA with these numbers.
White Sox have won the first two in this series after their 5-3 win. Giants have lost seven of nine and struggling to score on this home stand. Play Chicago -102.
Oakland Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 7/3/2022
Athletics at Mariners—Frankie Montas to start for Oakland. Montas in sixteen starts has an ERA of 3.20 with WHIP 1.08. The righthander a strikeout mark of 25.8% with 6.3% walks. He deals 46.9% ground balls with 0.94 home runs per nine innings.
Robbie Ray to start for Seattle. Ray in sixteen starts has an ERA of 3.78 with WHIP 1.14. The veteran a strikeout rate of 26.4% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls recorded at 38.7% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings.
Seattle has won four of five after their 2-1 win on Saturday. It was a pitching duel when these two starters met over a week ago. Past ten games Oakland hitting .200 against lefthanders and Mariners .198 against righthanders. Play Oakland and Seattle under 7.
San Diego Padres vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 7/3/2022
Padres at Dodgers—MacKenzie Gore to start for San Diego. Gore in twelve appearances posts an ERA of 3.34 and WHIP 1.33. The lefthander a strikeout rate of 25.8% with 11.1% walks. Ground balls served at 40% with limited home runs allowed.
Clayton Kershaw to start for LAD. Kershaw in nine starts has an ERA of 2.94 with WHIP 1.10. Strikeouts come in at 25.9% with 5.6% walks. He delivers 47.8% ground balls with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. Padres have lost six of seven with their 7-2 loss on Saturday.
San Diego held to four runs total in this series. LAD has won four straight covering the run game in all four games. In their 48 wins they have covered the run line in 44. Gore has been pounded in two recent starts against the Rockies home and away. Play LA Dodgers on run line -1.5 runs at +118.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 7/3/2022
Cardinals at Phillies—Adam Wainwright to start for St Louis. Wainwright has started fifteen games with an ERA of 3.07 and WHIP 1.25. The veteran pitches to 20.3% strikeouts with 7% walks. Ground ball rate is 45.9% with limited home run damage.
Zack Wheeler throws for Philadelphia. Wheeler in fourteen starts carries an ERA of 2.89 and WHIP 1.10. The righthander is striking out 28.5% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 46.7% with limited homers. His FIP is 2.53 lower than his ERA suggesting an improving ERA with these numbers.
The teams have split the first two in this series as St Louis wins 7-6 after blowing a 5-0 lead after one inning. Wainwright has not been as sharp on the road. Wheeler’s numbers have been better at home. Play Philadelphia -136.
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