Free MLB Picks For Today 6/28/2022
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 6/28/2022
Twins at Guardians—Devin Smeltzer to start for Minnesota in Game 1. Smeltzer in eight starts carries an ERA of 3.05 with WHIP 1.06. The lefty pitches to high contact with 12.6% strikeouts with 6.3% walks. Ground balls served at 43.5% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings.
Zach Plesac to start for Cleveland. Plesac in thirteen starts an ERA of 4.17 with WHIP 1.24. He has a strikeout rate of 16% with 5.4% walk rate. Ground balls served at 38.1% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings.
Minnesota took the opener of this series 11-1. Five straight losses for a Guardians team struggling to score runs. Twins have won four of five. Play Minnesota -102 in Game 1.
Oakland Athletics vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 6/28/2022
Athletics at Yankees—Frankie Montas to start for Oakland. Montas in fifteen starts posts an ERA of 3.21 with WHIP 1.08. The righthander is striking out 25.5% with 6.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 48.1% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings.
JP Sears expected starter for NYY. Sears has three appearances allowing no runs with seven strikeouts in seven innings. The lefty worked 10 games in Triple A posting an ERA of 2.06 with WHIP 0.74 striking out 50 in 39 1/3rd innings. Good Triple A numbers the past two seasons.
Yankees took the opener of this series 9-5 crushing the Athletics bullpen. Oakland has dropped five of seven. They bat just .209. Yankees bullpen and hitting lineup outclass the Athletics. Play New York on run line -1.5 runs at +110.
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 6/28/2022
Braves at Phillies—Charlie Morton the starter for Atlanta. Morton in fourteen starts has an ERA of 4.84 with WHIP 1.28. The veteran deals 26.7% strikeouts with 8.1% walk rate. Ground balls dished at 38.7% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.18 signaling a possible drop in ERA.
Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler in thirteen starts has an ERA of 2.77 with WHIP 1.11. The righthander is striking out 28.3% with 5.9% walk rate. Ground balls served at 47.4% with 0.36 home runs per nine innings. His FIP sits at 2.26 which suggests a lowering of his ERA.
Phillies return home after winning six of ten on their road trip. Braves dropped two of three at home to the Dodgers. Morton 32 strikeouts past three starts working 20 innings. He has shown improvement and Braves have the better bullpen. Play Atlanta +100.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 6/28/2022
Pirates at Nationals—Jose Quintana to start for Pittsburgh. Quintana in fourteen starts has an ERA of 3.60 with WHIP 1.31. The lefthander has seen his strikeout rate plummet to 20.6% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls of 43.8% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings.
Patrick Corbin to start for Washington. Corbin in fifteen starts posts an ERA of 6.60 with WHIP 1.79. He deals 17.7% strikeouts with 7.9% walks. Ground balls at 46.9% with 1.59 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.97 means a possible lowering of his ERA if these numbers hold.
Nationals win the opener of this series 3-2. Too difficult to back Corbin and the Nationals bullpen. Play Pittsburgh +105.
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 6/28/2022
Red Sox at Blue Jays—Michael Wacha to start for Boston. Wacha has 12 starts with an ERA of 2.34 and WHIP 1.04. The veteran has a strikeout rate of 18.5% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 40.6% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.
Ross Stripling to start for Toronto. Stripling in seventeen appearances has an ERA of 3.08 with WHIP 1.06. He records 20.3% strikeouts with 5.2% walks. Ground balls of 53.2% with limited home runs damage.
Blue Jays got to the Orioles young starter to win the opener of this series 7-2. This did break a Red Sox seven game win streak. Gausman and Manoah are the best the Blue Jays have on the mound. It drops off from there and the bullpen has struggled. Play Boston +125.
Houston Astros vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 6/28/2022
Astros at Mets—Framber Valdez to start for the Astros. Valdez in fourteen starts has an ERA of 2.90 with WHIP 1.13. The lefty has a strikeout rate of 21.1% with 8.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 67.6% with limited home runs.
Carlos Carrasco to start for the Mets. Carrasco in fourteen starts posts an ERA of 4.42 with WHIP 1.29. A strikeout mark of 23.3% with 5.5% walks. He dishes 44.9% ground balls with 1.05 home runs per nine innings.
Astros split a four game series with the Yankees. Met return home losing three of five on their road trip including all two in Houston. Astros bullpen putting up elite numbers. Play Houston -116.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 6/28/2022
Brewers at Rays—Brandon Woodruff to start for Milwaukee. Woodruff in nine starts an ERA of 4.74 with WHIP 1.24. Strike outs come in at 28.5% with 7% walks. Ground balls served at 37.4% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings. He returns from a hand injury and has two rehab starts in Triple A.
Shane Baz expected starter for the Rays. Baz in three starts has an ERA of 4.15 with WHIP 1.08. The righthander pitches to a 28.3% strikeout rate with 9.4% walks in his thirteen innings. Ground balls come in at 34.4% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings.
Four Triple A starts resulted in an ERA of 1.38 and WHIP 0.92. Milwaukee hits the road winning two of three at home to the Blue Jays. Rays swept a four game series against the Pirates but allowed ten runs in the three games at home against a weak hitting team. Play Milwaukee +102.
Miami Marlins vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 6/28/2022
Marlins at Cardinals—Braxton Garrett to start for Miami. Garrett in four starts has an ERA of 4.08 with WHIP 1.70. The lefty pitches to 20% strikeouts with 5.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.3% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings. He had five Triple A starts and compiled an ERA of 3.12 with WHIP 1.00.
Dakota Hudson to start for St Louis. Hudson in fourteen starts posts an ERA of 3.72 with WHIP 1.35. He records 13.2% strikeouts pitching to high contact with 11.3% walks. Good ground ball rate of 56.1% with limited home run damage.
Cardinals win the opener of this series at home 9-0. St Louis does a good job of hitting lefthanders and have the better bullpen. Play St Louis -150.
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Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 6/28/2022
Reds at Cubs—Luis Castillo to start for Cincinnati. Castillo in nine starts records an ERA of 3.71 with WHIP 1.14. The veteran is posting a 22.9% strikeout rate with 8.4% walks. Ground balls served at 49.6% with 0.71 home runs per nine innings.
Keegan Thompson to throw for Chicago. Thompson in sixteen appearances has an ERA of 3.10 with WHIP 1.15. The righthander deals 22.2% strikeouts with 8.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.5% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.14 signaling a rise in ERA if these numbers hold.
Reds did take two of three in San Francisco. Cubs return home winning two of three in St Louis after a poor showing in a four game series in Pittsburgh. Play Cincinnati -102.
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 6/28/2022
Rangers at Royals—Jon Gray to start for the Rangers. Gray in twelve starts has an ERA of 4.18 with WHIP 1.18. He is pitching to 25.5% strikeouts with 8.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.3% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.43 which suggests a lowering of his ERA if these numbers hold.
Jonathan Heasley to start for KC. Heasley in eight starts has an ERA of 4.14 with WHIP 1.38. The righthander pitches to 17.8% strikeouts with 12.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 35.8% with 1.52 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.52 which signals a rise in ERA with these numbers.
Rangers win the opener of this series 10-4. Three straight losses for KC. Rangers getting the better work from their pen. Play Texas -145.
LA Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 6/28/2022
Dodgers at Rockies—Clayton Kershaw to start for LAD. Kershaw in eight starts posts an ERA of 2.00 with WHIP 0.91. The veteran is striking out 27.3% with 4.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 48.7% with limited home runs damage.
Kyle Freeland to throw for the Rockies. Freeland in fourteen starts sits with an ERA of 4.29 with WHIP 1.37. The lefty pitches to high contact with a 15.1% strikeout rate with 6.6% walks. Ground balls served at 40.9% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings.
Rockies win the opener of this series 4-0 but LAD has won five of seven on this trip and won’t face overnight travel in this spot. The Run Line has come in 41 of their 45 victories. Play LA Dodgers on run line -1.5 runs at -134.
Chicago White Sox vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 6/28/2022
White Sox at Angels—Johnny Cueto expected starter for CWS. Cueto in eight appearances posts an ERA of 3.19 with WHIP 1.15. The veteran pitches to 20.7% strikeouts with walk rate of 6.2%. Ground balls recorded at 42.1% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings.
Chase Silseth expected starter for LAA. Silseth in four starts has an ERA of 4.96 with WHIP 1.47. He started seven games in Triple A compiling an ERA of 1.75 with WHIP 0.89. The righthander with his short MLB sample is striking out 15.5% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 47.1% with 2.20 home runs per nine innings.
Angels have won two straight after their 4-3 win in the opener. White Sox have lost five of six. LAA getting great of from their pen of late and White Sox struggling to sore runs. Play LA Angels.
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 6/28/2022
Padres at Diamondbacks—Sean Manaea to start for San Diego. Manaea in thirteen starts has an ERA of 3.87 with WHIP 1.15. The lefthander delivers 25.5% strikeouts with 8.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.7% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings.
Zac Gallen to throw for Arizona. Gallen in thirteen starts an ERA of 2.92 with WHIP 1.01. The righthander is striking out 24.5% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 47.9% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. Padres hit the road dropping three of four at home to Philadelphia struggling to generate runs.
Arizona dropped two of three to Detroit to start this home stand. Diamondbacks batting just .210 at home. Padres hit well on the road. San Diego has won six straight against Arizona. Play San Diego -110.
Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 6/28/2022
Tigers at Giants—Tarik Skubal the starter for the Tigers. Skubal in fourteen starts has an ERA of 3.63 with WHIP 1.13. The lefty is registering 26.3% strikeouts with 5.3% walk rate. Ground balls dished at 46.5% with limited home runs damage. A FIP of 2.67 signaling a drop in ERA if these numbers hold.
Carlos Rodon to start for San Francisco. Rodon in fourteen starts produces an ERA of 2.70 with WHIP 1.09. The lefty has a strikeout rate of 31.3% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls check in at 37.9% with limited home run damage. Tigers took two of three in Arizona.
Giants have dropped six of eight after losing two of three at home to Cincinnati. Tigers do hit lefthanders and getting good work from their bullpen. At home Giants bullpen an ERA of 4.32. Play Detroit +172.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 6/28/2022
Orioles at Mariners—Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore. Kremer in four starts carries an ERA of 1.71 with WHIP 1.24. The lefthander worked nine rehab starts in the minors allowing no runs and eighteen strikeouts in nine innings. His short MLB sample reveals a strikeout rate of 16.3% with 5.8% walks. He deals 37.9% ground balls with minimal homers.
Robbie Ray to start for Seattle. Ray in fifteen starts registers an ERA of 4.07 with WHIP 1.18. The veteran is striking out 26% with 8.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 38.9% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings. Orioles have won five of six with their 9-2 win in the opener.
Baltimore bullpen has been outstanding this season. Two straight defeats for the Mariners who struggle to score in these defeats. In their past five losses Seattle has been held to two runs or fewer. Play Baltimore +150.
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