Free MLB Picks For Today 6/17/2022
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 6/17/2022
Phillies at Nationals—Baily Falter to start for Philadelphia in Game 1. Falter in six appearances an ERA of 4.20 with WHIP 1.47. The lefty started five games in the minors posted an ERA of 1.54 with WHIP 0.69. His minor league numbers in his career have been good. In his short sample a strikeout rate of 13.4% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls served at 34.6% with 1.80 home runs per nine innings.
Joan Adon to start for Washington. Adon in twelve starts carries an ERA of 6.95 with WHIP 1.76. the righty has a strikeout rate of 16.5% with 13.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 48.3% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings.
Phillies have won eight of ten with their 10-1 win in the opener. Nationals have lost eight of ten. In that period Philadelphia batting .308 against righthanders and Washington pitching staff an ERA of 6.42. Play Philadelphia and Washington over 10.5.
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 6/17/2022
Braves at Cubs—Charlie Morton to start for Atlanta. Morton in twelve starts carries an ERA of 5.67 with WHIP 1.48. The veteran is allowing 24.4% walks with 9.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.3% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings.
Keegan Thompson to start for the Cubs. Thompson in fourteen appearances an ERA of 3.67 with WHIP 1.24. The righthander has a strikeout rate of 19.3% with 8.9% walks. He serves 48.6% ground balls with 1.10 home runs per nine innings.
Braves win streak is fourteen straight as they sweep the Nationals in a three game series. Losing streak is ten games for the Cubs as they get swept by the Padres in a four game series at home. Over the past ten Atlanta hitting .289 with bullpen ERA of 1.69. Cubs in this period hitting .237 with bullpen ERA of 9.48. Play Atlanta on run line -1.5 runs at -102.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 6/17/2022
Rays at Orioles—Shane Baz to start for Tampa Bay. Baz in his first start this season allowed five earned runs with a homer in 2 1/3rd innings. He started four games in Triple A posting an ERA of 1.38 with WHIP 0.92. He returned from an elbow injury. He has worked only 16 major league innings.
Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore. Kremer in starts carries an ERA of 3.86 with WHIP 1.29. He allowed no runs in nine minor league innings. He returned from an oblique injury. In 19 career starts he has an ERA of 6.50 with WHIP 1.56 allowing 18 homers in 81 1/3rd innings with 40 walks.
Rays were swept in a three game series at New York with two losses by one run and the other by two. Orioles did split a four game series at Toronto. Drop down in class for the Rays and their bullpen has been outstanding. Play Tampa Bay -152.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 6/17/2022
Brewers at Reds—Eric Lauer to start for the Brewers. Lauer in eleven starts carries an ERA of 3.36 with WHIP 1.20. The lefty is striking out 25.8% with 8.1% walk rte. Ground balls served at 32.3% with 1.61 home runs per nine innings.
unter Greene to start for Cincinnati. Greene in twelve starts has an ERA of 5.10 with WHIP 1.30. The righthander is striking out 30.3% with 10% walks. Ground balls served up at 26.8% with 2.25 home runs per nine innings.
Brewers have lost eight of ten dropping two of three at the Mets. Reds return home off a 3-3 road trip. Both bullpens struggling and each starter has struggled with the long ball. Pay Milwaukee and Cincinnati over 9.
San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 6/17/2022
Giants at Pirates—Carlos Rodon to start for San Francisco. Rodon in twelve starts an ERA of 3.18 with WHIP 1.22. the lefty has a strikeout mark of 30.6% with 9.2% walks. He delivers 36.5% ground balls with limited home run damage.
Zach Thompson to start for Pittsburgh. Thompson in twelve appearances an ERA of 4.50 with WHIP 1.36. The righthander has a strikeout rate of 17.7% with 8.2% walks. He delivers 46% ground balls with 1.62 home runs per nine innings. Giants hit the road winning five of their final six on their home stand getting outstanding pitching.
Pirates broke a nine game losing streak winning at St Louis in their series finale. Giants bullpen in outstanding form. But over their past ten games Giants batting .187 against righthanders and Pirates .188 as a team. Play Pittsburgh and San Francisco under eight.
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 6/17/2022
Yankees at Blue Jays—Jordan Montgomery to start for the Yankees. Montgomery in twelve starts an ERA of 2.70 with WHIP 0.98. The lefthander is striking out 19.2% with 3.8% walk rate. Ground balls are 48.2% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings.
Ross Stripling to start for Toronto. Stripling in fifteen appearances an ERA of 3.14 with WHIP 1.00. He pitches to 20.3% strikeouts with 4.7% walks. Ground balls served at 54.3% with limited home run damage.
Yankees have won seven straight after sweeping the Rays at home in a three game series. Blue Jays spit a four game home series with the Orioles. Yankees bullpen in outstanding form. Play NY Yankees -118.
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 6/17/2022
Rangers at Tigers—Jon Gray to start for the Rangers. Gray in ten starts posts an ERA of 4.85 with WHIP 1.27. The righthander is striking out 26% with 10% walk rate. Ground balls are 41.9% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings.
Tarik Skubal to start for Detroit. Skubal in twelve starts has an ERA of 2.71 with WHIP 1.02. The lefty is striking out 27.6% with 4.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 47.3% with limited home runs.
Rangers have won four of six winning the opener of this series 3-1. Tigers have lost five straight struggling for runs. Tigers batting only .208 against righthanders. Both bullpens have performed well this season. Play Texas and Detroit under 7.5.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 6/17/2022
Cardinals at Red Sox—Adam Wainwright to start for the Cardinals. Wainwright in twelve starts has an ERA of 2.84 with WHIP 1.23. The veteran is striking out 18.4% with 7.7% walks. He deals 46.8% ground balls with limited homers.
Michael Wacha to start for Boston. Wacha in ten starts an ERA of 2.33 with WHIP 1.00. The righthander is striking out 16.9% with 7.5% walks. He serves 40.6% ground balls with 0.83 home runs per nine innings.
Cardinals hit their road after winning three of four at home to Pittsburgh. Red Sox have won seven of ten but dropped the series finale at home to Oakland. Red Sox bullpen past ten games an ERA of 1.93. Play St Louis and Boston under 9.5.
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Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 6/17/2022
Marlins at Mets—Pablo Lopez the starter for the Marlins. Lopez in twelve starts carries an ERA of 2.30 with WHIP 1.02. The righty has a strikeout rate of 26% with 6.9% walks. He serves 44.9% ground balls with 0.90 home runs per nine innings.
Carlos Carrasco the starer for New York. Carrasco in twelve starts has an ERA of 3.93 with WHIP 1.22. Strikeouts are at 23.7% with 4.9% walks. He dishes 47% ground balls with limited home run damage.
Marlins dropped two of three at Philadelphia. Mets win two of three at home to the Brewers. New York has the better bullpen and hitting lineup. Play NY Mets.
Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 6/17/2022
White Sox at Astros—Lucas Giolito to start for Chicago. Giolito in ten starts posts an ERA of 3.88 with WHIP 1.44. The righthander a strikeout mark of 30.7% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls are 32.8% with 1.86 home runs per nine innings.
Framber Valdez to start for Houston. Valdez in twelve starts carries an ERA of 2.64 with WHIP 1.13. The lefty does strikeout 19.9% with 9.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 66.7% with minimal home run damage.
White Sox swept a three game series in Detroit to open this trip. Astros take two of three at Texas. They are getting great work out of their pen. Play Chicago and Houston under eight.
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 6/17/2022
Padres at Rockies—MacKenzie Gore to start for San Diego. Gore in ten appearances has an ERA of 2.50 with WHIP 1.19. He is striking out 29% with 10.1% walks. The righthander allows 43.4% ground balls with minimal homers.
Kyle Freeland to start for Colorado. Freeland in twelve starts posts an ERA of 4.39 with WHIP 1.42. Strikeouts are at 16.4% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.6% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings.
Padres swept four at the Cubs to open this trip. Rockies lost all three at home to Cleveland. Past ten games San Diego bullpen an ERA of 1.05 with the team hitting .292. Play San Diego -156.
Kansas City Royals vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 6/17/2022
Royals at Athletics—Zack Greinke to start for KC. Greinke in ten starts an ERA of 5.05 with WHIP 1.35. The righthander is striking out 11.2% with 4.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.1% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings.
Frankie Montas the starter for the Athletics. Montas in thirteen starts posts an ERA of 3.40 with WHIP 1.04. The righthander is striking out 26.1% with 5.6% walk rate. Ground balls at 48.3% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings. Royals broke a four game losing streak salvaging the final game of their three games in San Francisco.
Offense struggled for runs in that series. Oakland returns home losing seven of nine on their road trip and too have struggled to score runs. Athletics batting .204 against righthanders. At home their bullpen ERA 5.18. Play Kansas City.
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 6/17/2022
Twins at Diamondbacks—Devin Smeltzer to start for Minnesota. Smeltzer in six starts has an ERA of 2.38 with WHIP 0.97. The lefthander is striking out 12.5% with 7% walks. Ground balls dished at 45.6% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.90 indicating a rise in ERA if these numbers hold.
Madison Bumgarner to start for Arizona. Bumgarner in thirteen starts has an ERA of 3.50 with WHIP 1.29. The veteran pitches to high contact with a 16.4% strikeout rate and 8% walks. Ground balls come in at 40.7% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.03 indicating an increase in ERA if these numbers hold.
Twins win two of three in Seattle to open the trip. Arizona dropped two of three at home to Cincinnati. Minnesota has the better hitting lineup. Diamondbacks batting only .214 and has the worse bullpen of these two teams. Play Minnesota -130.
Cleveland Guardians vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 6/17/2022
Guardians at Dodgers—Zach Plesac to start for Cleveland. Plesac in eleven starts has an ERA of 4.70 with WHIP 1.29. The righthander striking out 16.3% with 4.9% walk rate. Ground balls served at 39.1% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings.
Clayton Kershaw to start for LAD. Kershaw in six starts has an ERA of 2.12 with WHIP 0.79. The lefthander is striking out 28.3% with 3.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 47.1% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings. Guardians have won seven of eight after sweeping Colorado in a three game series to start this trip.
Dodgers swept the Angels in their two game series allowing a total of one run. Past ten games LAD hitting only .211. Guardians bullpen has in terrific form in this period. Play LA Dodgers and Cleveland Guardians under 8 runs.
LA Angels vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 6/17/2022
Angels at Mariners—Michael Lorenzen to start for LAA. Lorenzen in ten starts has an ERA of 3.45 with WHIP 1.13. The righthander is striking out 18.2% with 8.7% walks. Ground ball rate is 53.4% with limited homers.
Robbie Ray the starter for Seattle. Ray in thirteen starts sits with an ERA of 4.52 and WHIP 1.25. The veteran has a strikeout mark of 25.1% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls served at 38.1% with 1.62 home runs per nine innings.
Angels take the opener of this series winning 4-1 to break a three game losing streak. Both lineups struggling to score runs. Play LA Angels and Seattle under 7.5.
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