Free MLB Picks For Today 5/22/2022
St Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 5/22/2022
Cardinals at Pirates—Steven Matz to start for St Louis. Matz in eight starts an ERA of 6.03 and WHIP 1.39. The lefty a 26.8% strikeout rate with good control. Ground balls down but line drive rate up at 28.8%. He is getting crushed by the home run ball with 1.93 per nine innings.
Bryse Wilson to start for Pittsburgh. Wilson in seven appearances an ERA of 5.67 and WHIP 1.59. Still pitching to high contact and poor control with 9.7% walk rate. Ground balls up at 44.9% and limits homers. Cardinals have won the first two in this series. Pirates have dropped four of five. Pirates bullpen has struggled. Play St Louis -156.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 5/22/2022
Rays at Orioles—Corey Kluber to start for Tampa Bay. Kluber in seven starts has an ERA of 4.29 with WHIP 1.21. The veteran a strikeout rate of 23.5% with good control. He is dishing 41% ground balls. Home runs allowed are at 1.26 per nine innings. His FIP is at 3.70 which indicates a drop in his ERA should these numbers remain.
Spenser Watkins in seven starts posts an ERA of 5.10 with WHIP 1.60. He is pitching to extremely high contact with 10.2% strikeout rate with 10.9% walk rate. He is getting crushed by the home run with 1.50 per nine innings. Rays have won three of four with the 6-1 win on Saturday. Orioles have dropped seven of nine. Play Tampa Bay on run line -1.5 runs at +100.
Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/22/2022
Mariners at Red Sox—Logan Gilbert the starter for the Mariners. Gilbert in eight starts posts an ERA of 2.40 with WHIP 1.11. The righthander a strikeout rate of 28% with 8.8% walk rate. He limits home runs and allows 25.7% ground balls.
Nathan Eovaldi to start for Boston. Eovaldi in eight starts an ERA of 4.32 and WHIP 1.22. The veteran a strikeout rate of 23.7% with good control and 42.1% ground balls. He is getting torched by the home run ball allowing 3.02 per nine innings. Mariners have lost five of six. Their pitching staff has been torched in this series. Red Sox have won seven of nine showing improvement at the plate. Play Boston -130.
LA Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 5/22/2022
Dodgers at Phillies—Tony Gonsolin to start for LAD. Gonsolin in seven starts an ERA of 1.64 with WHIP 1.03. A strikeout rate of 22.7% with 47.7% ground balls. Control an issue with 11.4% walks but limits home run damage. Zach Eflin to start for Philadelphia. Eflin in six starts has an ERA of 3.90 and WHIP 1.20.
Strikeouts have dipped to 18.4% but good control and ground ball rate. Home runs allowed minimal. Dodgers have won seven straight. 23 of their 26 wins have covered run line. Phillies have lost five of six. Their bullpen has struggled. Play LA Dodgers -132.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 5/22/2022
Reds at Blue Jays—Graham Ashcraft expected starter for the Reds. Ashcraft makes his MLB debut. He started seven games in Triple A posting an ERA of 2.48 with WHIP 1.52. He had 30 strikeouts but 17 walks in 32 2/3rd innings. Yusei Kikuchi to start for the Blue Jays. Kikuchi in seven starts an ERA of 3.38 and WHIP 1.28.
Strikeouts at 24.3% but walk rate bad at 14.7%. He does allow 1.13 home runs per nine innings. His FIP sits at 4.53 which indicates a higher ERA should these numbers remain. Reds have lost both games in this series held to one run in each game. Reds bullpen has struggled. Play Cincinnati and Toronto under 8.5.
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 5/22/2022
Braves at Marlins—Ian Anderson the starter for the Braves. Anderson in seven starts has an ERA of 3.75 with WHIP 1.33. He is pitching to high contact with a drop in strikeouts to 16.2%. His walk rate is 11.7%. The righthander allows 1.00 home runs per nine innings.
Sandy Alcantara to start for Miami. Alcantara in eight starts posts an ERA of 2.49 and WHIP 1.11. The righty a 20.9% strikeout rate and walks 10%. Ground balls good at 52.6% and limits home runs. Braves have won both games of this series off their 4-3 win. Marlins hit righthanders. Play Miami -112.
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 5/22/2022
Tigers at Guardians—They rained out on Saturday and play a single game Sunday with the pitching matchups remain. Alex Faedo to start for Detroit. Faedo in three starts has allowed five earned runs in 15 2/3rd innings. In 15 2/3rd minor league starts this season he has allowed three earned runs with 20 strikeouts. In his short sample with the Tigers, Faedo has an 18.8% strikeout rate with 38.3% ground balls. Home runs 1.15 per nine innings.
Shane Bieber to start for Cleveland. Bieber in seven starts an ERA of 3.72 with WHIP 1.27. The veteran has seen a sharp drop in strikeouts at 22.1% with 7.4% walks. He limits homers and has a 41.1% ground ball rate.
It is three straight losses for Detroit dropping a 6-1 decision in the opener. They have scored one run in each of their past three games. Both bullpens in good form. Play Detroit and Cleveland under eight.
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 5/22/2022
Nationals at Brewers—Aaron Sanchez to start for Washington. Sanchez in five starts an ERA of 7.94 with WHIP 1.68. The righthander pitching to extremely high contact with 11.9% strikeout rate with good control. He gives up 1.59 home runs per nine innings.
Freddy Peralta to start for Milwaukee. Peralta in seven starts has an ERA of 3.53 with WHIP 1.09. The righty is striking out 32.4% with 44.7% ground balls. Home runs allowed are minimal. Nationals have seven of nine struggling to score in those losses scoring 1 or fewer six times and two once. Nats bullpen performing poorly. Play Milwaukee on run line -1.5 runs at -110.
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Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 5/22/2022
Rangers at Astros—Taylor Hearn to start for the Rangers. Hearn in seven starts posts an ERA of 5.46 and WHIP 1.69. The lefty a strikeout rate of 22.5% and walk rate of 11.6%. Ground balls at 37.9% but 1.52 home runs per nine innings.
Jose Urquidy to start for Houston. Urquidy in seven starts an ERA of 4.81 and WHIP 1.49. The righthander a strikeout rate of 13.5% with good control. He is dishing only 33.6% ground balls and 1.60 home runs per nine innings. Rangers have lost two of three in this series.
Astros batting only .206 against lefty’s and Rangers .215 against righthanders. Both bullpens in good form. Play Texas and Houston under 8.5. White Sox have dropped three of four losing the opener of this series 7-5 on Saturday. Yankees have won eight of ten. Their bullpen putting up great numbers. Play New York Yankees.
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 5/22/2022
Twins at Royals—Bailey Ober the starter for the Twins. Ober in four starts has an ERA of 2.75 and WHIP 1.22. He had been bothered by a groin injury. A strikeout rate of 19.3% and walks 6%. He is dishing only 21% ground balls but limits home runs.
Brady Singer to start for KC. Singer in four appearances has an ERA of 2.84 along with 0.95 WHIP. He is posting a 30% strikeout rate with 2% walks. A good 60.6% ground ball rate and limits homers. Twins have won five of six winning the first two of this series. Royals have dropped five of six. Royals bullpen has struggled. Play Minnesota -110.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 5/22/2022
Diamondbacks at Cubs—Merrill Kelly to start for Arizona. Kelly in eight starts has an ERA of 3.27 and WHIP 1.27. The righthander a strikeout rate of 21.7% with 8.2% walks. He is dealing 42.5% ground balls and limits home runs.
Wade Miley the starter for the Cubs. Miley has two starts and has an ERA of 2.70 with WHIP 1.10. He returned from an elbow injury. With this short sample a strikeout rate of 17.5% and walks 12.5%. He has not allowed a home run with 64.3% ground balls. Arizona has won all three in this series. Four straight losses by the Cubs. Play Arizona +108.
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 5/22/2022
White Sox at Yankees—We pick from Game 1. Johnny Cueto to start for Chicago. Cueto in his first start allowed no runs and two hits in six innings. He had four starts in the minors posting an ERA of 5.17 and WHIP 1.25 missing much of training camp. He did strikeout 33% but had a 9.5% walk rate Jameson Taillon to start for New York. Taillon in seven starts an ERA of 3.28 and WHIP 1.21. Strikeouts are down to 17.9% but ground balls up at 44.3%. He limits home run damage.
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 5/22/2022
Mets at Rockies—Taijuan Walker to start for New York. Walker in five starts an ERA of 3.52 and WHIP 1.22. He is pitching to high contact with 12.8% strikeouts and 7.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.7% and limits homers. Austin Gomber starting for the Rockies. Gomber in seven starts an ERA of 4.38 and WHIP 1.23. The lefty a strikeout rate of 20.5% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls are at 47.2% but 1.38 home runs per nine innings.
The teams split a doubleheader on Saturday. Rockies pitching staff has been pounded on this home stand. Wind is expected to blow out. Play New York and Colorado over 10.5.
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 5/22/2022
Padres at Giants—MacKenzie Gore the starter for the Padres. Gore in six appearances an ERA of 2.17 and WHIP 1.21. He is striking out 27.1% with 7.6% walk rate. He is dealing 43.2% ground balls and home runs minimal.
Alex Wood to throw for San Francisco. Wood in seven starts an ERA of 3.93 and WHIP 1.40. The lefty a strikeout rate of 23.5% with 50.5% ground balls. Home runs allowed 1.05 per nine innings. Velocity up. Padres have won five of six after their 2-1 win on Saturday. Giants have dropped five of seven with bullpen problems. Play San Diego +125.
Oakland Athletics vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 5/22/2022
Athletics at Angels—Cole Irvin the starter for the Athletics. Irvin in five starts an ERA of 2.93 and WHIP 1.16. He pitches to high contact with 15.9% walks with 49.4% ground ball rate. He is allowing 1.30 home runs per nine innings.
Patrick Sandoval to start for LAA. Sandoval in six starts an ERA of 1.91 with WHIP 1.27. He is striking out 22.1% but 11.4% walk rate A good 50% ground ball rate and has not allowed a homer. Teams have split the first two in this series. Angels had lost four straight prior to their win on Saturday. Line too big on the Angels. Play Oakland +170.
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