Free MLB Picks For Today 5/21/2022
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2022
White Sox at Yankees—With the postponement on Friday the pitching matchups remain for the day game on Saturday as they play a doubleheader on Sunday. Dallas Keuchel to start for Chicago. Keuchel in six starts carries an ERA of 5.54 and WHIP 1.96. The lefthander pitches to high contact with 12.5% strikeouts with 11.7% walks. He does dish 55.7% line drives and limits homers.
Nestor Cortes expected starter for the White Sox. Cortes in seven starts has an ERA of 1.35 with WHIP 0.85. Strikeout rate elite at 32.5% with 7.3% walks. He limits home run damage and 36.3% ground balls.
White Sox won three of five against KC with their 7-4 win on Thursday. Yanks had won eight of nine prior to their 9-6 road loss at Baltimore. White Sox are hitting lefthanders. Play New York and Chicago over 9.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2022
Diamondbacks at Cubs—Madison Bumgarner to start for Arizona. Bumgarner in eight starts carries an ERA of 2.29 and WHIP 1.19. He pitches to high contact with 14.3% strikeout rate and walks 9.5%. Ground balls are at 37.3% with limited home run damage.
Justin Steele to start for Chicago. Steele in seven starts posts an ERA of 4.50 and WHIP 1.57. He strikeouts 22.7% but has a walk rate of 11.7%. ground balls sit at 48.8% and only 0.32 home runs per nine innings. Arizona has won the first two in this series after their 10-6 win. Three straight losses for the Cubs. Play Arizona +128.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2022
Reds at Blue Jays—Hunter Greene the starter for the Reds. Greene in seven starts has an ERA of 6.21 and WHIP 1.56. A good strikeout rate of 28.6% but 13% walks and low ground ball rate of 28.1%. He is allowing 2.97 home runs per nine innings.
Alek Manoah will start for Toronto. Manoah has started seven games and has an ERA of 1.71 with WHIP 0.88. The righty has a strikeout rate of 23.8% with good control. He limits home runs and has a 38.4% ground ball rate.
Blue Jays have won three of four with their 2-1 win in the opener. Reds bullpen an ERA of 4.88. Play Toronto run line -1.5 runs at -120.
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2022
Mets at Rockies—With snow postponing the opener of this series they play two on Saturday. We pick from Game 1 as Friday’s starters go here. Carlos Carrasco the starter for the Mets. Carrasco in seven starts has an ERA of 3.73 with WHIP 1.12. The righthander a strikeout rate of 21.1% with 4.2% walk rate. He is dealing 41.7% ground balls and limits home runs.
German Marquez the starter for the Rockies. Marquez in seven starts has an ERA of 6.16 and WHIP 1.53. The veteran has seen his strikeout rate drop to 18.9% and home runs per nine innings rise to 1.66.
Ground balls at 51.6% no change from last season. New York crushing righthanders and Rockies pitching staff has been pounded of late. Play New York -137.
Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2022
Mariners at Red Sox—Chris Flexen the starter for Seattle. Flexen in seven starts has an ERA of 4.35 with WHIP 1.30. The righthander pitches to high contact with 17.6% strikeout rate with 7.3% walks. He is giving up 1.60 home runs per nine innings with a ground ball rate of 37.5%.
Garrett Whitlock to start for Boston. Whitlock in nine appearances has an ERA of 2.43 and WHIP 0.94. A 31.1% strikeout rate with 8.4% walks. He is dealing 40.8% ground balls with 1.21 home runs per nine innings.
Red Sox have won six of eight with their 7-3 win. Mariners have dropped four of five and allowed 19 runs in the first two games of this series. Play Boston -150.
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2022
Padres at Giants—Joe Musgrove will start for the Padres. Musgrove in seven starts an ERA of 2.20 and WHIP 0.93. The veteran a strikeout rate of 26.7% with great control. Ground ball rate 41.2% and limits home runs. Carlos Rodon the starter for the Giants. Rodon in seven starts an ERA of 3.49 and WHIP 1.11.
A strikeout rate of 36.1% with 8.4% walk rate. Home runs allowed minimal. Padres have won four of five with their 8-7 win on Friday. Giants bullpen has struggled through their past ten games with an ERA of 4.59. Padres in this period hitting .295 against lefty’s. Play San Diego +130.
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2022
Braves at Marlins—Kyle Wright to start for Atlanta. Wright in seven starts posts an ERA of 2.79 and WHIP 1.10. Strikeouts a career high of 29.2% with 7.6% walks. Ground ball rate also a career high of 48.1%. Home runs allowed minimal.
Elieser Hernandez to start for Miami. Hernandez has seven starts with an ERA of 6.15 and WHIP 1.43. The righthander has a strikeout rate of 19.5% and 7.8% walks. Ground balls down and is getting pounded with 2.67 home runs per nine innings. Braves took the opener of this series winning 5-3. Play Atlanta -135.
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LA Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2022
Dodgers at Phillies—Mitch White to start for LAD. White in five outings an ERA of 4.82 with WHIP 1.18 all from the bullpen. In this short sample of 9 1/3rd innings he is pitching to 28.2% strikeout rate and 41.7% ground balls. He returned off some time on the COVID list.
Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola in eight starts an ERA of 3.64 with WHIP 0.98. The righthander a strikeout rate of 29.7% with good control. He is dealing 50.9% ground balls but 1.34 home runs per nine innings.
It is a six game win streak for LAD with their 4-1 win in the opener. 22 of their 25 wins have been by two runs or greater. Phillies have been held to four run total in their past four games. Dodgers bullpen outperforming Philadelphia. Play LA Dodgers +105.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2022
Cardinals at Pirates—Matthew Liberatore to start for St Louis. He makes his MLB debut after seven starts in Triple A and posting an ERA of 4.04 with WHIP 1.26. He had 46 strikeouts in 40 innings walking 12.
Jose Quintana to start for Pittsburgh. Quintana has seven starts and posts an ERA of 2.19 with WHIP 1.08. The lefty has seen his strikeout rate fall to 20.1% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls up to 47.1% and limits home runs. St Louis took the opener of this series 5-3. Cardinals crush lefty’s. Play St Louis -138.
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2022
Tigers at Guardians—Alex Faedo to start for Detroit. Faedo in three starts has allowed five earned runs in 15 2/3rd innings. In 15 2/3rd minor league starts this season he has allowed three earned runs with 20 strikeouts. In his short sample with the Tigers, Faedo has an 18.8% strikeout rate with 38.3% ground balls. Home runs 1.15 per nine innings.
Shane Bieber to start for Cleveland. Bieber in seven starts an ERA of 3.72 with WHIP 1.27. The veteran has seen a sharp drop in strikeouts at 22.1% with 7.4% walks. He limits homers and has a 41.1% ground ball rate.
It is three straight losses for Detroit dropping a 6-1 decision in the opener. They have scored one run in each of their past three games. Both bullpens in good form. Play Detroit and Cleveland under eight.
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2022
Rangers at Astros—Jon Gray to start for Texas. Gray in five starts has an ERA of 5.73 with WHIP of 1.32. The righthander has a strikeout rate of 24.5% but walks 8.5%. A 49.2% ground ball rate who limits home run. A FIP of 3.41 which indicates a lowering of his ERA if these numbers hold up.
Justin Verlander to start for Houston. Verlander in seven starts an ERA of 1.38 with WHIP 0.68. The veteran has seen his strikeout rate dip to 25.3% with good control. Ground balls at 40% and limits home run. Rangers even this series winning 3-0.
Astros have gone under in five of six. Texas hitting only .217 against righthanders. Their bullpen putting up elite numbers. Rangers pen has performed well. Play Texas and Houston under 7.5.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2022
Rays at Orioles—Jeffrey Springs to start for Tampa Bay. Springs in eleven appearances an ERA of 1.66 and WHIP 0.78 in 21 2/3rd innings. He is striking out 25.3% of his batters with good control. Ground ball rate solid at 43.6%. His home runs per nine innings have dropped to 0.42.
Kyle Bradish to start for Baltimore. Bradish has four starts and has an ERA of 5.06 with WHIP 1.36. The rookie has a strikeout rate of 25.3% with walk rate 6.9%. Ground balls sit at 41.4%. He has been hurt by the long ball with 1.69 per nine innings.
Orioles take the opener in extra innings 8-6. Baltimore batting .217 against lefthanders. Both bullpens performing well. Play Baltimore and Tampa Bay under 8.5.
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2022
Twins at Royals—Joe Ryan to start for Minnesota. Ryan in seven starts an ERA of 2.39 and WHIP 0.96. He has a strike out rate of 24.2% with walk rate of 8.1%. Home runs are limited and stranding 83.3% of his baserunners.
Brad Keller hits the mound for Minnesota. Keller in seven starts posts an ERA of 2.89 with WHIP 1.01. He pitches to high contact with a 14.6% strikeout rate but ground balls at 51.1%. He does limit home run damage and good control.
Twins have won four of five taking the opener 6-4. Minnesota getting good work from their bullpen and Royals struggle in that area. Play Minnesota -137.
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2022
Nationals at Brewers—Patrick Corbin to start for Washington. Corbin in eight starts has an ERA of 6.28 with WHIP 1.68. The lefthander a strikeout rate of 19.8% and walks 10.4%. Ground balls down and limits home run damage.
Line drive contact up to 23.4%. Brandon Woodruff to start for Milwaukee. Woodruff in seven starts has an ERA of 5.35 with WHIP 1.37. The veteran strikeouts 28.9% with 8.1% walk rate. He has cut down line drive contact considerably. He is allowing 1.34 home runs per nine innings.
A FIP of 3.72 which indicates an ERA reduction holding current numbers. Nationals have lost six of eight dropping the opener 7-0. Each of their past seven losses have been by two runs or greater. Play Milwaukee on run line -1.5 runs at +100.
Oakland Athletics vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2022
Athletics at Angels—Frankie Montas the starter for the Athletics. Montas in eight starts an ERA of 3.67 with WHIP 1.02. He is posting a strikeout rate of 27.2% with walk rate of 6.7%. Ground ball rate of 48.4%. He limits home run damage.
Michael Lorenzen to throw for the Angels. Lorenzen in six starts has an ERA of 3.57 and WHIP 1.10. He is pitching to high contact but 54.9% ground ball rate with low line drive contact. Walk rate of 7.9%. Angels have lost four straight dropping the opener 4-2. Play LAA and Texas under 7.5.
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