Free MLB Picks For Today 5/18/2022
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 5/18/2022
Braves at Brewers—Max Fried to start for Atlanta. Fried in seven starts carries an ERA of 3.14 and WHIP 0.98. The lefty has a 23.8% strikeout rate with good control. He is pitching to 50.8% ground ball rate and limits home run damage.
Corbin Burnes to start for Milwaukee. Burnes in seven starts posts an ERA of 1.77 and WHIP 0.79. The righthander has a 33.5% strikeout rate with good control. Ground balls are at 45.6% and limits home runs.
Braves evened this series with their 3-0 win on Tuesday. Brewers have scored one run total in this series. They hit only .217 against lefthanders. Play Atlanta and Milwaukee under 6.5.
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 5/18/2022
Tigers at Rays—Eduardo Rodriguez to start for the Tigers. Rodriguez in seven starts has an ERA of 3.72 and WHIP 1.19. The lefthander has seen his strikeout rate drop to 21% and walk rate up to 9.3%. Drew Rasmussen to counter for the Rays. Rasmussen in seven starts has an ERA of 2.67 with WHIP 0.92.
The righthander has a 20.3% strikeout rate with good control. Ground ball rate good at 47.4% and limits home run damage. Rays evened this series with their 8-1 win on Tuesday. Tigers bat only .207 against righthanders. Play Tampa Bay on run line -1.5 runs at +115.
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 5/18/2022
Giants at Rockies—Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb in seven starts has an ERA of 3.48 with WHIP 1.33. He pitches to high contact with 16.2% strikeout rate, good control and 57.6% ground balls. Home runs minimal. Kyle Freeland will start for the Rockies. Freeland in seven starts posts an ERA of 4.91 with WHIP 1.58.
The lefty pitches to high contact with 15.6% strikeouts but 49.6% ground balls. He allows .98 home runs per nine innings. Giants continued their domination of Colorado with their 10-7 win on Tuesday winning both games in this series. Rockies bullpen an ERA of 5.09. Warm weather in Colorado and we have seen high scoring games on this home stand. Play San Francisco and Colorado over 10.5.
Minnesota Twins vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 5/18/2022
Twins at Athletics—Sonny Gray to start for Minnesota. Gray in four starts allowed six earned runs in 14 2/3rd innings. The veteran a 31.7% strikeout rate but walking 15.3%. Ground balls sit at 50% but 1.84 home runs allowed per nine innings. Daulton Jefferies to start for Oakland. Jefferies in seven starts an ERA of 4.84 with WHIP 1.25.
The righty pitches to high contact with a 15.3% strikeout rate with exception control of a walk rate of 3.3%. He limits home runs. Athletics evened this series with the 5-2 victory. Twins held to three runs or fewer in seven of eight. Play Oakland +138.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 5/18/2022
Diamondbacks at Dodgers—Zach Davies to start for the Diamondbacks. Davies in seven starts posts an ERA of 3.57 with WHIP 1.19. The righthander a 19.3% strikeout rate with 10.3% walks. Ground balls sits at 48.5% and limits homers. Walker Buehler the starter for LAD. Buehler in seven starts has an ERA of 2.81 with WHIP 1.18.
The righthander has seen his strikeout rate fall to 20.3% with good control. Ground balls sit at 44.4% with limited home run damage. Diamondbacks have lost five straight losing a doubleheader to the Dodgers.
LA has been pounding Arizona pitching. Dodgers bullpen has struggled on this home stand. Play LA Dodgers and Arizona over eight runs.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 5/18/2022
Reds at Guardians—Tyler Mahle the starter for the Reds. Mahle in eight starts carries an ERA of 5.89 with WHIP 1.47. The veteran has a strikeout rate of 24.5% with 11% walks. Ground balls and velocity down. He holds only 56.2% on base.
Cal Quantrill to start for Cleveland. Quantrill in six starts has an ERA of 3.93 with WHIP 1.28. The righthander pitches to high contact and has a 10.5% walk rate. Velocity is down over 2 MPH but limits home run damage.
Reds have won six of nine with their 5-4 win in the opener. Guardians have dropped four of five. But Cleveland hits righthanders and Reds bullpen an ERA near five. Play Cleveland -135.
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/18/2022
Astros at Red Sox—Luis Garcia the starter for Houston. Garcia in six starts posts an ERA of 2.94 and WHIP of 0.95. A strikeout rate of 27.8% with 6.8% walks. The righthander has 1.34 home runs per nine innings.
Nick Pivetta to start for the Red Sox. Pivetta in seven starts has an ERA of 5.08 and WHIP 1.40. Strikeouts are fallen to 22.8% with 9.7% walks. Ground balls have dropped to 29.9% with line drive contact way up at 30.9%. Astros evened this series with their 13-4 win. Houston bullpen has been outstanding on the season. Play Houston -144.
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 5/18/2022
Nationals at Marlins—Josiah Gray the starter for the Nationals. Gray in seven starts has an ERA of 4.34 and WHIP 1.31. The righthander a strikeout rate of 24.8% but 11.5% walks. He is allowing 1.93 home runs per nine innings with a 21.9% ground ball rate and velocity down. Line drive rate up to 27.1% nearly double from last year.
Pablo Lopez to start for Miami. Lopez an ERA of 1.05 with WHIP 0.81. Strikeouts sit at 28.4% with good control and 46.3% ground ball rate. His home run damage minimal. Marlins take the first two of this series with their 5-1 win. Nationals have lost six of eight held to two runs or fewer in those losses. Play Miami run line -1.5 runs at +120.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 5/18/2022
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 5/18/2022
Padres at Phillies—Blake Snell to start for San Diego. Snell makes his 2022 debut after a groin injury. He worked three minor league rehab starts allowing four earned runs with 19 strikeouts in 13 innings. Past three seasons Snell posted an ERA of 3.86 with WHIP 1.25. Strikeouts rates have been over 30% the past four seasons.
Zack Wheeler the starter for the Phillies. In six starts Wheeler has an ERA of 4.26 with WHIP 1.26. Strikeouts have dipped to 23.9% with 7.55 walk rate. Ground balls down a bit and line drive contact up.
Padres take the opener winning 3-0. They have won three of four on this trip. Phillies pen an ERA of 4.38 with WHIP 1.40. Play San Diego +130.
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 5/18/2022
Yankees at Orioles—Gerrit Cole to start for New York. Cole in seven starts an ERA of 2.95 and WHIP 1.12. The veteran has a 30.3% strikeout rate and 7.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.1% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings.
Jordan Lyles the starter for the Orioles. Lyles in seven starts has an ERA of 4.38 with WHIP 1.51. He pitches to high contact with 8.1% walk rate. Ground balls good at 42.6%. Line drive contact up at 24.6%. Yankees have won eight of nine with their 5-4 win. It is a five game losing streak for Baltimore. Play New York and Baltimore under eight.
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 5/18/2022
Mariners at Blue Jays—Marco Gonzales to start for Seattle. Gonzales has seven starts and posts an ERA of 3.38 with WHIP 1.53. Strikeouts have fallen to 15% with 8.8% walks. He does get 40.9% ground balls but 2.25 home runs per nine innings which have been an issue for two seasons.
Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman in seven starts has an ERA of 2.40 with WHIP 0.98. The veteran a strikeout rate of 30.9% with walks at 1.1% and ground balls sitting at 44.9%. He has not allowed a home run.
Blue Jays have won both games in this series with their 3-0 win. Blue Jays bat .226 against lefty’s and their bullpen makes it difficult to lay these huge odds. Play Seattle +200.
St Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 5/18/2022
Cardinals at Mets—Jordan Hicks to start for St Louis. Hicks in seven appearances carries an ERA of 3.72 and WHIP 1.03. Strikeouts sit at 23.6% but 13.5% walks. He is dealing 58.5% ground balls and limits home runs.
Max Scherzer to start for New York. Scherzer in seven starts has an ERA of 2.66 with WHIP 0.91. Strikeouts sit at 32.5% with good control. Home runs are at 1.02 per nine innings. Play St Louis and New York under seven.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 5/18/2022
Pirates at Cubs—Roansy Contreras to start for Pittsburgh. Contreras has three appearances allowing three earned runs in 7 2/3rd innings. He started four games in Triple A allowing four earned runs with 20 strikeouts in 14 2/3rd innings. His short sample with the Pirates he has a 32.3% strikeout rate with 9.7% walks and 58.8% ground balls.
Drew Smyly to start for Chicago. Smyly in six starts carries an ERA of 3.64 with WHIP 1.35. The lefty pitches to high contact but good control and 52% ground ball rate. He is allowing 1.52 home runs per nine innings.
Cubs have won four straight with their 7-0 win. They have outscored the Pirates 16-0 in the first two of this series. Pittsburgh has scored two runs or fewer in four straight. Play Chicago -145.
LA Angels vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 5/18/2022
Angels at Rangers—Shohei Ohtani to start for LAA. Ohtani in six starts posts an ERA of 2.78 and WHIP 0.96. The righthander posts a strikeout rate of 35.4% with good control. Ground balls at 39% and limits home run damage. Swinging strike is elite at 17.1%.
Dane Dunning to start for Texas. Dunning in seven starts has an ERA of 4.06 with WHIP 1.25. He has a 23.1% strikeout rate and walks 8.15. A 50.9% ground ball rate and limits home runs.
Rangers have won both games of this series after their 10-5 win. Ohtani restores order here. Rangers hit only .215 against righthanders. Play LA Angels run line -1.5 runs +104.
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 5/18/2022
White Sox at Royals—Lucas Giolito to start for Chicago. Giolito in five starts has an ERA of 2.70 with WHIP 1.13. The righthander an elite strikeout rate of 35.2% and swinging strike rate of 15.3%. He walks 8.6% but has a 1.69 home run per nine innings.
Zack Greinke to start for KC. Greinke in seven starts an ERA of 3.52 with WHIP 1.17. He pitches to high contact with 8.9% strikeout rate but solid control with 1.9% walks. He is allowing 38.4% ground balls and home runs minimal. The teams split their doubleheader scoring six runs total in the two games. Both lineups struggle hitting righthanders. Play Chicago and Kansas City under 7.5.
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