Free MLB Picks For Today 5/16/2022
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2022
Nationals at Marlins—Aaron Sanchez to start for Washington. Sanchez has four starts and allowed sixteen earned runs in 19 innings of work. He started the seasons in the Minors where he allowed six earned runs in fifteen innings. Sanchez is pitching to high contact with a 12.2% strikeout rate but good control. He is getting 51.6% ground balls but 1.42 home runs per nine innings.
Sandy Alcantara to start for Miami. Alcantara in seven starts carries an ERA of 2.74 and WHIP 1.22. The righthander sports a 21.6% strikeout rate but 11.1% walks. His velocity sits at 97.5 MPH and limits home run damage. Nationals have lost seven of ten with their 8-0 defeat on Sunday.
Marlins have dropped seven of ten dropping two of three at home to Milwaukee. Miami bats makes it difficult to lay this high number. Play Washington +184.
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2022
Tigers at Rays—Alex Faedo to start for Detroit. Faedo in two starts allowed four earned runs in ten innings. He started the season in the Minor Leagues where he allowed three earned runs in 15 2/3rd innings strikeout out 20.
In his MLB games Faedo has a strikeout rate of 18.6% and 7% on the walks. LOB rate is 80.9% and limits home runs. Corey Kluber starts for Tampa Bay. Kluber in six starts posts an ERA of 4.55 and WHIP 1.31. Strikeouts have dipped to 21.6% with good control. He does allow 1.21 home runs per nine innings with a 1.6 MPH drop in velocity.
Tigers completed the sweep of Baltimore on Sunday winning 5-1. Rays took two of three in Toronto winning 3-0. Tigers batting only .208 against righthanders. Both bullpens in good form. Play Detroit and Tampa Bay under 7.5.
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2022
Yankees at Orioles—Luis Severino to start for the Yankees. Severino in six starts has an ERA of 4.08 and WHIP 1.33. The righthander has a 25% strikeout rate with 7.3% walks. Ground balls and velocity up. Kyle Bradish to start for the Orioles. Bradish in three starts allowed eight earned runs in 17 innings.
In three minor league starts the righthander allowed no two earned runs in 15 innings striking out 16. He has a 25% strikeout rate in his MLB starts with good control. Home runs an issue with 1.59 per nine innings.
Yankees have won six of seven winning three of four against the White Sox. Orioles were swept in a three game series at Detroit scoring a total of three runs. Yankees bullpen has been performing elite. Play New York Yankees run line -1.5 runs at -125.
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2022
Mariners at Blue Jays—Chris Flexen will start for Seattle. Flexen in six starts posts an ERA of 4.24 with WHIP 1.26. The righthander pitches to high contact with a 7.1% walk rate. He is giving up 1.32 home runs per nine innings. Yusei Kikuchi to start for Seattle.
Kikuchi in six starts has an ERA of 4.15 and WHIP 1.42. The lefty has a 23.7% strikeout rate but walks 14.9%. He surrenders 1.38 home runs per nine innings. Mariners take two of three in New York over the weekend. Blue Jays return home losing seven of nine on their road trip. Toronto bullpen has been struggling. Play Seattle +145.
St Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2022
Cardinals at Mets—Miles Mikolas to start for St Louis. Mikolas in seven starts has an ERA of 1.49 and WHIP 0.94. The veteran has an 18.7% strikeout rate, good ground and pitches to 48.8% ground balls. Home runs are minimal.
Trevor Williams starts for New York. Williams has worked five games this year allowing seen earned runs in 11 innings. In this short sample the righthander pitches to high contact with good control. Line drive rate is at 26.3%.
Mets dropped two of three at home to Seattle. Cardinals split a four game series at home to San Francisco after their 15-6 win on Sunday. Cards bullpen has performed well on the year. Play St Louis +102.
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2022
Astros at Red Sox—Jake Odorizzi to start for Houston. Odorizzi in six starts has an ERA of 3.38 with WHIP 1.24. The veteran pitches to high contact and has a 10.1% strikeout rate. He has limited home run damage. Garrett Whitlock to start for Boston. Whitlock in eight appearances posts an ERA of 2.19 and WHIP 0.93.
Strikeout rate is 34.7% and walking 8.2%. He limits home runs and has a 39.3% ground ball rate. Astros have won ten of eleven after winning two of three at Washington. Red Sox failed to sweep Texas dropping the finale 7-1 on Sunday. Astros bullpen has been outstanding. Play Houston +102.
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2022
Pirates at Cubs—Bryse Wilson primary pitchers for Pittsburgh. Wilson in six appearances has an ERA of 5.82 and WHIP 1.52. Strikeout rate is 20.4% but walks 10.2%. he does limit home runs damage and carries a ground ball rate of 40.3%. His FIP sits at 3.85 which indicates a lowering of his ERA if these numbers hold.
Wade Miley to start for Chicago. Miley in one start allowed three earned runs with five walks in three innings. He came off the IR with an elbow injury. He worked four innings in the minors in a rehab start allowing no runs. With this short sample high contact and high walk percentage.
Pirates split a four game series with the Reds winning the final two games despite scoring a total of six runs in that series. Cubs return home winning four of six on their road trip to Arizona and San Diego. Pirates bullpen has struggled. Play Chicago.
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2022
Braves at Brewers—Ian Anderson the starter for the Braves. Anderson in six starts posts an ERA of 4.20 and WHIP 1.40. His strikeout rate has dropped to 17.1% and walks up to 12.4%. He does allow 1.20 home runs per nine innings.
Freddy Peralta the starter for Milwaukee. Peralta in six starts has an ERA of 4.49 and WHIP 1.25. His strikeout rate elite at 30.6% with walk rate of 8.9%. Ground balls at 43.1% and limits home runs. Braves dropped two of three at home to San Diego. Brewers took two of three in Miami. Play Milwaukee -130.
LA Angels vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2022
Angels at Rangers—Noah Syndergaard to start for LAA. Syndergaard in five starts posts an ERA of 2.45 and WHIP 1.06. The veteran has seen his strikeout rate drop to 17.5% but good control. A 49.5% ground ball rate and limits home runs.
Jon Gray the starter for Texas. Gray in four starts allowed ten earned runs in 16 1/3rd innings. He left his last start early with a knee issue. The righthander has a strikeout rate of 22.1% with 50% ground balls and 10.3% walk rate.
Angels have won six of eight after winning three of four in Oakland. Rangers dropped two of three at home to Boston. Texas batting only .209 against righthanders. Play LA Angels -135.
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2022
White Sox at Royals—Jimmy Lambert to start for the White Sox. Lambert has two starts and gave up four earned runs in 6 2/3rd innings. He was sent to the Minors where he allowed eight earned runs with five homers in 7 2/3rd innings.
Brad Keller the starter for KC. Keller in six starts has an ERA of 2.70 and WHIP 0.98. He pitches to high contact with 51.4% ground ball rate. He limits home runs and good control. Chicago dropped three of four at home to the Yankees. KC wins two of three in Colorado. Both lineups struggle to hit righthanders. Take White Sox and Royals under.
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2022
Giants at Rockies—Alex Wood to start for San Francisco. Wood in six starts has an ERA of 3.60 and WHIP 1.37. Strikeouts sit at 23.4% with 7% walks. The lefty gives up 1.20 home runs per nine innings and 28.7% line drive rate.
Antonio Senzatela to start for Colorado. Senzatela in six starts posts an ERA of 4.88 and WHIP 1.95. The righthander has a 6.2% strikeout rate with good control. Ground balls are at 40.9% but gives up 31.8% line drives.
Giants drop two of three in St Louis. Rockies drop two of three at home to KC all in high scoring games. Weather has warmed up in Colorado. Play San Francisco and Colorado over 11.5 runs.
Minnesota Twins vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2022
Twins at Athletics—Chris Archer to start for Minnesota. Archer in six starts carries an ERA of 4.43 and WHIP 1.48. The righthander has a 22% strikeout rate but walks 12%. He is allowing 2.42 home runs per nine innings. Zach Logue to start for Oakland. Logue in three outings has allowed two earned runs in 13 1/3rd innings.
In this short sample the lefty has a 22.2% strikeout rate with good control. He does allow 1.35 home runs per nine innings with low ground ball rate. Twins win two of three at home to Cleveland. Athletics drop three of four to the Angels struggling to score runs. Play Oakland and Minnesota under 7.5.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 5/16/2022
Diamondbacks at Dodgers—Madison Bumgarner to start for Arizona. Bumgarner in seven starts has an ERA of 1.78 and WHIP 1.12. He pitches to high contact and has a 9.7% walk rate. He surrenders 1.19 home run per nine innings with ground balls only 38.9%. His FIP sits at 4.70 indicating a significant rise in his ERA if these numbers continue.
Tony Gonsolin to start for LAD. Gonsolin in six starts posts an ERA of 1.33 and WHIP 1.07. His strikeout rate is 21.1% with 11.9% walks. He has limited home runs. Diamondbacks drop two of three at home to the Cubs. Dodgers salvaged the finale at home to Philadelphia.
Warm weather in LA has seen a rise in scoring. Dodgers bullpen was hammered over the weekend. Diamondbacks bullpen has struggled with an ERA of 4.93. Play LA Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks over 8.5 runs.
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