Free MLB Picks For Today 5/13/2022
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2022
Reds at Pirates—Tyler Mahle to start for the Reds. Mahle in seven starts carries an ERA of 6.46 and WHIP 1.57. The righthander has battled control with a 12.2% walk rate and strikeouts down. Ground ball and velocity down. His FIP is 3.54 which suggest a major lowering of his ERA should these numbers remain the same. Mitch Keller to start for Pittsburgh. Keller in six starts carries an ERA of 6.11 and WHIP 1.54. The righthander pitches to high contact and has a walk rate of 7.9%. He does allow 1.29 home runs per nine innings. Reds have won four of five with their 4-0 win on Thursday. Play Cincinnati +100.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2022
Brewers at Marlins—Corbin Burnes to start for Milwaukee. Burnes in six starts has an ERA of 1.86 with WHIP 0.80. The veteran has a 34.2% strikeout rate with good control and 46.5% ground balls. Home runs are at 1.16 per nine innings. Pablo Lopez to start for Miami. Lopez in six starts carries an ERA of 1.00 and WHIP 0.89. The righthander has a strikeout rate of 25.5% with good control. He allows 46.8% ground balls and 0.25 home runs per nine innings. Brewers have dropped four of five. Marlins have lost eight of ten. Marlins have gotten good work from their pen. Play Miami and Milwaukee under 6.5.
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2022
Astros at Nationals—Framber Valdez to start for Houston. Valdez in six starts carries an ERA of 3.34 and WHIP 1.30. The lefty has an 18.8% strikeout rate and 10.9% walk rate. He is allowing 72% ground balls with 0.28 strikeouts per nine innings. Josiah Gray to start for the Nationals. Gray in six starts has an ERA of 3.45 and WHIP 1.31. The righthander has seen his strikeout rate rise to 26% but 12.2% walks and 25.6% line drives. He does allow 1.44 home runs per nine innings. Gray’s FIP is 4.65 which suggest an increase in ERA should these numbers continue. Astros have won ten straight after their sweep of the Twins. Nationals have dropped six of eight. Houston bullpen has been outstanding. Play Houston -158.
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2022
Mariners at Mets—Marco Gonzales to start for the Mariners. Gonzales in six starts carries an ERA of 3.91 with WHIP 1.62. His strikeout rate has dropped to 14.3% with an 8.4% walk rate and 23.1% line drives. He is getting crushed by the home run ball with 2.84 per nine innings. Max Scherzer expected to start. Scherzer in six starts has an ERA of 2.92 and WHIP 0.95. Strikeouts at 34.3% with 94 MPH on his fastball. The veteran is allowing 1.22 home runs per nine innings and 31.3% ground balls. Mariners have dropped eight of ten struggling to score runs. Mets have won six of nine. Play New York on run line -1.5 runs at -105.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2022
Orioles at Tigers—Jordan Lyles the starter for the Orioles. Lyles in six starts carries an ERA of 4.05 and WHIP 1.50. The righthander pitches to high contact and has a 7.4% walk rate. He does limit home runs but pitches to 25.5% line drives. Eduardo Rodriguez to throw for Detroit. Rodriguez in six starts posts an ERA of 4.50 and WHIP 1.16. Strikeout rate has dropped to 23% and his walk rate is 8.1%. He limits home runs but velocity has dropped. His FIP is 3.84 which suggests a lowering of his ERA if his numbers hold. Orioles have won six of eight. Tigers have dropped nine of ten as they are having a hard time scoring runs. Detroit hitting only .204 against righthanders. Orioles bullpen has been good. Play Baltimore +120.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2022
Blue Jays at Rays—Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman in six starts carries an ERA of 2.13 with WHIP 1.00. His strikeout rate of 31.3% and has allowed one walk this season. Ground ball rate of 42.4% and FIP is 0.77 indicating a lowering of his ERA if these numbers hold. Drew Rasmussen to start for Tampa Bay. Rasmussen in six starts carries an ERA of 2.89 with WHIP 0.96. The righty has a strikeout rate of 23.2% with 42.3% ground balls. He does limit home runs. Blue Jays have lost seven of nine. Rays return home winning seven of ten out west. Toronto bullpen has struggled. Play Tampa Bay +105.
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2022
Padres at Braves—Yu Darvish to start for San Diego. Darvish in six starts carries an ERA of 4.05 and WHIP 1.08. The veteran has seen his strikeout rate drop to 20.4% with walks up to 7.3%. He does allowing 44.3% ground balls and limits home runs. Max Fried to start for Atlanta. Fried in six starts has an ERA of 2.68 with WHIP 0.84. The lefthander a strikeout rate of 24.6% and walks only 1.45. Ground balls at 52.5% and limits homers. Padres hit the road dropping two of three at home to Chicago. Padres bullpen the issue here. Play Atlanta -148.
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2022
Red Sox at Rangers—Nick Pivetta to start for the Red Sox. Pivetta in six starts carries an ERA of 6.08 with WHIP 1.61. The veteran posts a strikeout rate of 24.2% but walk rate is 10.8%. Home runs allowed are 1.35 per nine innings and a high line drive rate of 32.5%. Dane Dunning to start for Texas. Dunning in six starts posts an ERA of 3.38 and WHIP 1.22. The righthander has a strikeout rate of 23% and walks 8.1%. Good ground balls at 52.7% and limits homers. Red Sox have dropped eight of ten. Rangers have won seven of ten. Rangers getting better work from their bullpen. Play Texas -115.
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2022
Yankees at White Sox—Gerrit Cole the starter for New York. Cole in six starts posts an ERA of 2.67 and WHIP 1.12. His strikeout rate sits at 29.6% and 8.8% walks. Ground balls at 39.5% but line drive contact up to 25%. Vince Velasquez the starter for Chicago. In five starts Velasquez has an ERA of 3.97 and WHIP 1.37. Strikeouts are down to 21.2% as is walk rate at 9.1%. He limits home runs to 1.19 per nine innings which is one lower than last season. New York has won eight of ten after winning the opener of this series 15-7. Yankees bullpen has been outstanding with an ERA of 2.38. White Sox batting .214 against righthanders. Play New York Yankees on run line -1.5 runs at -104.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2022
Guardians at Twins—Aaron Civale starting for the Guardians. Civale in five starts posts an ERA of 9.45 and WHIP 1.70. The righty has been hurt by the home run ball at 1.80 per nine innings. Strikeouts at 22.2% and good control. FIP is 5.02 which suggests lowering of his ERA if these numbers continue. Sonny Gray to start for Minnesota. Gray in three starts has allowed four earned runs in 10 1/3rd innings. Hamstring injury sent Gray to the IR for three weeks and this is his second start back. In his short sample this season Gray has a 28.6% strikeout rate but 11.9% walks. Home runs allowed are 1.74 per nine innings. Twins dropped three at home to the Astros. Guardians hitting .270 against righthanders. Both bullpens performing well. Civale’s form makes his hard to back. Play Minnesota -159.
San Francisco Giants vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2022
Giants at Cardinals—Logan Webb expected starter for San Francisco. Webb in six starts carries an ERA of 3.82 and WHIP 1.39. Strikeouts are down at 18% but good control and ground balls at 59.6%. He limits homers. Jordan Hicks to start for St Louis. Hicks in six appearances carries an ERA of 3.78 and WHIP 1.20. Strikeouts up at 26.5% but walks an issue at 14.7% as they have been his entire career. Ground ball rate of 64.1% and limits line drive contact. Giants have won five straight and the Cardinals have dropped four of five. High walk rate for Hicks the concern. Play San Francisco -120.
Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2022
Royals at Rockies—Zack Greinke to start for the Royals. Greinke in in six starts has an ERA of 2.67 and WHIP 1.10. The veteran strikeouts have plummeted to 7.5% but 2.2% walk rate. He does limit home runs. Kyle Freeland to start for Colorado. Freeland in six starts has an ERA of 3.94 and WHIP 1.38. The lefty a strikeout rate of 18.6% and good control. He gets 51% ground balls and limits home run damage. Royals have lost seven of ten. Rockies have won 11 of 16 at home. KC bullpen has struggled. Greinke’s high contact rate a major issue pitching at Colorado in this start. Play Colorado -140.
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2022
Cubs at Diamondbacks—Drew Smyly the starter for Chicago. Smyly in five starts has an ERA of 3.04 with WHIP 1.23. Strikeouts are down to 17.3% with good control. He has been hurt by a 1.90 home runs per nine inning rate. Zach Davies the starter for Arizona. Davies has six starts with an ERA of 3.34 and WHIP 1.21. The veteran has a strikeout rate of 17.9% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls up to 52.3% and limits home run damage. Cubs took two of three in San Diego to start the trip. Diamondbacks have won seven of nine. Play Arizona -125.
LA Angels vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2022
Angels at Athletics—Chase Silseth to start for LAA. Silseth makes his MLB debut. He spent one full season in the Minors and started five games this year. In Double A the prospect an ERA of 1.73 and WHIP 0.85. He worked 26 innings striking out 37. Daulton Jefferies to start for Oakland. Jefferies in six starts carries an ERA of 5.22 with WHIP 1.33. He pitches to high contact with good control. Ground balls are at 48% and limits home runs. Angels have won six of eight. Oakland is batting .192 against righthanders. Play LA Angels -145.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 5/13/2022
Phillies at Dodgers—Kyle Gibson to throw for Philadelphia. Gibson in six starts posts an ERA of 2.94 and WHIP 1.07. Strikeouts are up to 21.8% with 9% walk rate. Ground balls good at 56% and limits homers. Clayton Kershaw to start for LAD. Kershaw in five starts carries an ERA of 1.80 with WHIP 0.73. Strikeouts are at 29.4% with great control. He is getting 49.3% ground balls and limits homers. Phillies took the opener of this series 9-7. In the Dodgers 20 wins they have covered the run line each time. Play LA Dodgers on run line -1.5 runs at -105.