Free MLB Picks For Today 5/9/2022
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 5/9/2022
Royals at Orioles—Carlos Hernandez to start for KC. Hernandez in four starts has allowed 12 earned runs in 24 innings. Strikeout rate low at 9.5% with 11.9% walk rate. His velocity is down 2 MPH. Tyler Wells to start for Baltimore Wells in five starts carries an ERA of 4.50 and WHIP 1.22.
The lefty has good control and an 18.7% strikeout rate. He has ben hurt by the home run with 1.50 per nine innings. He too has seen a drop in his velocity. The teams split a doubleheader on Sunday. KC bullpen has struggled with an ERA of 4.85 with WHIP 1.46. Play Baltimore -129.
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 5/9/2022
Rangers at Yankees—Jon Gray to start for Texas. Gray in three starts has allowed ten earned runs in twelve innings. He spent some time on the IR this season with a knee. Gray has seen a small dip in his strikeout rate and been hurt by the home run ball with 1.50 per nine innings.
Nestor Cortes to start for New York. Cortes in five starts carries an ERA of 1.82 with WHIP 1.05. He has moved his strikeout rate to an elite level of 32% with limited home run damage. Ground ball rate up. The teams split their doubleheader on Sunday. Both bullpens have pitched well this season.
Rangers do a good job of hitting lefty’s But Cortes form too good to go against here and Texas unlikely to have success against the Yankees bullpen. Play Texas and New York Yankees under seven.
LA Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 5/9/2022
Dodgers at Pirates—Julio Urias expected starter for LAD. Urias in five starts carries an ERA of 1.88 with WHIP 0.92. The lefthander has seen a drop in strikeouts to 20.2% but still getting good ground balls. He does limit home run damage.
Jose Quintana to start for the Pirates. Quintana in five starts carries an ERA of 3.38 and WHIP 1.25. He has carried an ERA over four the previous five seasons. The lefty has seen a drop in strikeouts and walk rate high at 9%. Ground ball rate 46.5%. The Dodgers 19 wins they have covered the run line each time. Dodgers bullpen has been outstanding and Pirates pen posts an ERA of 4.29 with WHIP 1.29. Play LA Dodgers on run line -1.5 runs at -128.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 5/9/2022
Brewers at Reds—Brandon Woodruff to start for Milwaukee. Woodruff in five starts carries an ERA of 5.18 and WHIP 1.19. Strikeout rate still elite at 29.8% with walk rate of 7.7%. He does limit home run damage. Luis Castillo to throw for the Reds. Castillo makes his 2022 debut after missing the season with a shoulder injury.
In two Triple A starts the righthander allowed no earned runs with 12 strikeouts in eight innings. He has posted an ERA under four in his past three seasons. Brewers dropped two of three in Atlanta.
Reds did win two of three at home to Pittsburgh. Castillo will be limited in this spot exposing a Reds bullpen with an ERA of 4.92 and WHIP 1.45. Play Milwaukee on run line -1.5 runs at -104.
Oakland Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 5/9/2022
Athletics at Tigers—Paul Blackburn to start for the Athletics—Blackburn in five starts carries an ERA of 2.22 and WHIP 0.95. The righthander has a 25% strikeout rate with great control. He is getting 50% ground balls and limits home run damage.
Michael Pineda to start for Detroit. Pineda in three starts has allowed six earned runs in 14 1/3rd innings. His spring training was delayed due to Visa problems and tossed some minor league innings. Pineda pitches to high contact but good control. He has been crushed by the home run ball with 1.88 per nine innings.
Athletics have lost nine straight and struggling for runs. Tigers have dropped eight of ten after getting swept in a four game series in Houston. Athletics batting .194 against righthanders and Tigers .210. Both bullpen in good form. Play Oakland and Detroit under 7.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/9/2022
Guardians at White Sox—Zach Plesac takes the mound for Cleveland. Plesac in four starts carries an ERA of 4.44 and WHIP 1.41. The righthander has seen his strikeout rate drop to 13.9% with walk rate up to 7%. Velocity is down over 2 MPH. Michael Kopech to start for the White Sox. Kopech in five starts carries an ERA of 1.17 and WHIP 1.04
The righthander a good 25.3% strikeout rate and has not allowed a homer. He does have control issues with 12.1% walk rate. Guardians have won seven of eight winning three of four at home to Toronto.
White sox carries a six game win streak after sweeping Boston over the weekend on the road. Chicago bats only .211 against righthanders and the Guardians .273. Play Cleveland +155.
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Tampa Bay Rays vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 5/9/2022
Rays at Angels—Jeffrey Springs starts for the Rays. Springs has worked nine games starting once posting an ERA of 0.69 and WHIP 0.77. The lefthander posts a strikeout rate of 29.8% with good control. He has not allowed a home run.
Noah Syndergaard to start for LAA. Syndergaard in four starts allowed seven earned runs in 24 innings. The righthander has seen his strikeout rate plummet to 14.6% with ground ball rate at 50.5% and good control. He has limited home run damage. Rays have won all six on this road trip. Angels win two of three at home to Washington. Rays bullpen has been outstanding. Play Tampa Bay.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 5/9/2022
Phillies at Mariners—Ranger Suarez the starter for Philadelphia. Suarez in five starts carries an ERA of 4.63 with WHIP 1.63. The lefthander has seen a huge drop in his strikeout rate to 14.8% and walk rate is 9.3%. Home runs have hurt him with 1.54 per nine innings.
Chris Flexen to start for the Mariners. Flexen in five starts carries an ERA of 3.10 and WHIP 1.14. He does pitch to high contact and a walk rate of 7.8%. His numbers have been consistently better at home the past three seasons.
Phillies split a doubleheader with the Mets on Sunday then fly out to Seattle to begin this series. They have lost five of six. Mariners have lost nine of ten. But Phillies have the worse bullpen that has an ERA of 4.50. Play Seattle -118.
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 5/9/2022
Cubs at Padres—Kyle Hendricks starts for Chicago. Hendricks in six starts carries an ERA of 5.64 with WHIP 1.48. The veteran righthander has issues with control with a 9% walk rate and 1.78 home run per nine innings.
MacKenzie Gore to throw for San Diego. Gore in four starts has allowed four earned runs in 21 innings of work. The lefty has a 25.9% strikeout rate and 41.5% ground balls. Walks are at 10.6% but limits home run damage.
Cubs have dropped eight of ten after getting swept in a three game home series to LA Dodgers. Padres took three of four at home to Miami. Play San Diego on run line -1.5 runs.
Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 5/9/2022
Marlins at Diamondbacks—Elieser Hernandez to start for Miami. Hernandez in five starts carries an ERA of 6.66 and WHIP 1.44. The righthander has seen his strikeout rate drop and walk rate is 7.3%. He has been crushed by the home run ball with 2.59 per nine innings.
Humberto Castellanos to counter for the Diamondbacks. Castellanos in six appearances carries an ERA of 4.12 and WHIP 1.27. He pitches to high contact with a walk rate of 7.2%. He has not allowed a home run.
Marlins have lost seven of eight. Diamondbacks have won seven of nine. On the road the Marlins bat only .211. Diamondbacks getting good bullpen work at home. Play Arizona +102.
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 5/9/2022
Rockies at Giants—Austin Gomber to start for Colorado. Gomber in five starts carries an ERA of 3.58 with WHIP 1.23. He has a strikeout rate of 23.4% and walk rate 7.2%. He gives up a lot of ground balls and has limited home run damage.
Carlos Rodon to start for San Francisco. Rodon in five starts carries an ERA of 1.55 and WHIP 0.83. The lefty has a 36.9% strikeout rate and 9% walks. He has not allowed a home run. His FIP is below his ERA showing no regression if he keeps his numbers as they are.
Giants salvaged the final two games of their home stand against the Cardinals. Rockies batting .323 on the road against lefthanders. Giants bullpen at home an ERA of 4.41. Play Colorado +220.
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