Free MLB Picks For Today 5/7/2022
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2022
Pirates at Reds—With the rain out on Friday they play two on Saturday. We will pick from Game 1. JT Brubaker to start for Pittsburgh. Brubaker in five starts carries an ERA of 6.20 and WHIP 1.52. The righty has struggled with poor control with a 12.8% walk rate and only 52.2% left on base rate.
Connor Overton starting for Cincinnati. Overton started one game allowing one earned run and three hits in 5 1/3rd innings. He worked nineteen innings in Triple A this year posting an ERA of 2.84 and WHIP 0.95 striking out 22 and walking only two.
Pirates had dropped six of seven until taking the series finale against the Tigers. Reds have dropped 21 of 24. Pirates are not hitting, and Reds showing life at plate and have a good prospect on mound. Play Cincinnati +102.
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2022
Rangers at Yankees—Weather postponed the opener of this series. Looks like pitching matchup remains the same. Glen Otto starts for Texas. Otto in two starts has allowed three earned runs in 9 1/3rd innings. He started the year in the minors allowing no earned runs with nine strikeouts in seven innings.
With this short sample Otto has a 27% strikeout rate with 8.1% walk rate. Gerrit Cole to start for New York. Cole in five starts carries an ERA of 3.00 with WHIP 1.17. His strikeout rate sits at 27% but walk rate 10% and line drive at a career high 25.8%. The righthander does a good job of working out of trouble with left of base rate of 84.7%.
Rangers have won four straight after sweeping Philadelphia in a four game series. Yankees had their nine game win streak snapped in a 2-1 loss at Toronto. Texas hits only .207 against righthanders but getting good work from their pen. Yankees pen putting up elite numbers. Play Texas and New York under seven.
LA Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2022
Dodgers at Cubs—Rain postpones the opener of this series. We pick from Game 1. Clayton Kershaw to start for LAD. Kershaw in four starts has allowed six earned runs in 23 innings of work. A strikeout rate of 35.3% with good control. He has limited his home run damage.
Drew Smyly to start for the Cubs. Smyly in four starts has allowed six earned runs in 19 1/3rd innings. He has been hurt by the home run ball with 1.86 per nine innings. Strikeout rate down but good control with 3.8% walk rate. Dodgers hit the road winning four of five on their home stand.
Cubs have lost seven of nine dropping two at home to the White Sox. Dodgers bullpen has put up great numbers. Dodgers in their 16 wins have covered run line each game. Play LAD run line -1.5 runs.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2022
Blue Jays at Guardians—Weather postponed the Friday game. They play two on Saturday and we pick from Game 1. Kevin Gausman to start for the Blue Jays. Gausman in five starts carries an ERA of 2.27 with WHIP 0.98. The righthander an elite strikeout rate of 33.6% with no walks and homers allowed in 31 2/3rd innings. 22% swinging strike rate.
Shane Bieber to start for Cleveland. Bieber in five starts carries an ERA of 2.45 with WHIP 0.95. He has seen his strikeouts dip down to 25.4% with good control. Velocity has dropped 2 MPH. Blue Jays have lost three of four with their 6-5 defeat in the opener. Guardians carry a five game win streak. Play Toronto and Cleveland under 6.5.
Oakland Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2022
Athletics at Twins—James Kaprielian to start for the Athletics. Kaprielian in one start allowed four earned runs with four walks in two innings. He missed the start of the season due to a shoulder injury. The righthander in 13 2/3rd innings in minor rehab starts allowed 11 earned runs in 13 2/3rd innings with three homers.
Sonny Gray starts for the Twins. Gray in two starts allowed four earned runs in 6 1/3rd innings of work. Walk rate an issue at 11.1% and has surrendered 2.84 home runs per nine innings. The righthander returns from an IR sting due to a hamstring. He was expected to get a minor league rehab start but goes here.
Athletics have lost seven straight with their 2-1 defeat in the opener. Twins have won seven of ten. Oakland batting .200 against righthanders. Play Minnesota run line -1.5 runs at +122.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2022
Mets at Phillies—Rain postponed the Friday game so starters move to Saturday’s game. Max Scherzer to start for the Mets. Scherzer in five starts carries an ERA of 2.61 with WHIP 0.81. The veteran has a 35.9% strikeout rate with 94 MPH fastball. A very good 83.3% of his baserunners are stranded.
Kyle Gibson throws for the Phillies. Gibson in five starts carries an ERA of 2.93 and WHIP 1.08. Strikeouts at a career high of 23.2% as are swinging strike percentage ta 14.5%. Control an issue with a walk rate of 10.7%.
Mets take the opener with a monster ninth inning comeback in their 8-7 win. Four straight defeats for Philadelphia. Play New York -136.
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2022
White Sox at Red Sox—Dylan Cease to start for Chicago. Cease in five starts carries an ERA of 2.48 and WHIP 0.93. Elite strikeout rate of 33.9% but walk rate of 8.7%. Good ground ball rate of 45.3% for pitching at Fenway and limits home run damage.
Nick Pivetta the starter for the Red Sox. Pivetta in five starts carries an ERA of 7.84 and WHIP 1.84. The righthander has seen a drop in his strikeout rate with control issues posting a walk rate of 13.5%. Line drive rate of 37.1% with 1.74 home runs per nine innings.
White Sox have won five of six with their 4-2 win on Friday. Red Sox have lost five of six. Boston bullpen struggling with an ERA of 4.50. Play Chicago White Sox.
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Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2022
Tigers at Astros—Eduardo Rodriguez the starter for Detroit. The lefty in five starts has an ERA of 5.33 and WHIP 1.30. Rodriguez strikeout rate and velocity down considerably. Swinging strike rate way down to 6.3%. Framber Valdez to throw for Houston. Valdez in five starts post an ERA of 3.42 and WHIP 1.22.
Strikeout rate down and walk rate up to 12.6%. Home run rate down to 0.34 per nine innings. Tigers have lost eight of ten with their 3-2 defeat on Friday.
Astros have won eight of ten. Houston pitching has allowed two runs or fewer in six of seven. Both bullpens outstanding and Astros batting .212 against lefty’s. Play Detroit and Houston under eight.
St Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2022
Cardinals at Giants—Steven Matz the starter for the Cardinals. Matz in five starts posts an ERA of 4.56 and WHIP 1.44. The lefty has seen his strikeout rate jump to 25% and good control with 4.8% walk rate. He limits his home run damage. Logan Webb starts for the Giants. Webb in five starts posts an ERA of 3.26 and WHIP 1.29.
His strikeout rate has plummeted to 15.9% but good control and 61.6% ground balls. He limits home run damage. Cardinals have won four of five with their 3-2 win on Friday. Giants have lost seven of eight struggling to score runs. San Francisco hitting .192 against lefty’s. Cardinals bullpen performing well. Play St Louis +135.
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2022
Royals at Orioles—They rain out on Friday and starters move to Saturday. Carlos Hernandez to start for KC. Hernandez in four starts has allowed twelve earned runs in 18 innings of work. The righthander has struggled with a 9.5% strikeout rate and 11.9% walk rate. Velocity is down. Jordan Lyles the starter for Baltimore Lyles in five starts carries an ERA of 4.50 and WHIP 1.62.
Lyles has seen a drop in velocity and strikeouts. Walk rate 8.4% and line drives at 24.1%. Home runs have been an issue for Lyles in recent seasons. KC has lost seven of ten with their 10-0 loss at home to St Louis on Wednesday.
Orioles split their four game home series with the Twins. Royals bullpen has struggled with an ERA of 4.85 with WHIP 1.46. Play Baltimore -115.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2022
Brewers at Braves—Corbin Burnes to start for Milwaukee. Burnes in five starts posts an ERA of 1.93 and WHIP 0.73. Strikeout rate remains elite at 35.5% with good control. Ground ball rate 46.4%. Max Fried to start for the Braves. Fried in five starts posts an ERA of 3.00 and WHIP 0.87.
The lefthander good velocity, strikeout rate and exceptional control. Ground balls at 52.9%. Brewers have won nine of ten with their 6-3 win on Friday. Braves have dropped five of seven. Great bullpen work by Milwaukee. Play Milwaukee -104.
Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2022
Marlins at Padres—Pablo Lopez to start for Miami. Lopez in five starts has an ERA of 1.29 and WHIP 0.89. The righthander a strikeout rate of 28.3% with good control. Left on base rate of 84.7% with 0.32 home runs per nine innings.
Sean Manaea to start for San Diego. Manaea in five starts has an ERA of 3.60 and WHIP 1.07. Lefthander has a 24.8% strikeout rate but 9.1% walks. Velocity has dipped. Marlins have lost six straight with their 3-2 defeat on Friday. Miami hits .198 against lefthanders. Play Miami and San Diego under 6.5.
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2022
Rockies at Diamondbacks—Kyle Freeland to start for the Rockies. Freeland in five starts carries an ERA of 4.85 and WHIP 1.42. The lefty has pitched only five innings away from home and carries an ERA of 1.80. Control has been good.
Zach Davies to start for Arizona. Davies in five starts carries an ERA of 4.24 and WHIP 1.33. He pitches to high contract with poor control at 11.2% strikeouts.
Ground ball rate at 49.3%. Diamondbacks have won eight of ten with their 4-1 win on Friday. Rockies hit .154 against righthanders on the road. Diamondbacks bat .119 against lefty’s at home. Play Colorado and Arizona under 8.5.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2022
Rays at Mariners—Drew Rasmussen to start for the Rays. Rasmussen in five starts posts an ERA of 3.13 and WHIP 0.87. The righthander strikeouts are at 23.1% with good control. Marco Gonzales to start for the Mariners. Gonzales in five starts carries an ERA of 4.05 and WHIP 1.55.
He has been hurt with a 2.70 home runs per nine innings rate by allowing 25% home run to fly ball rate. Line drive contact up to 23.6%. Rays have won five straight winning both games in this series. Mariners have lost nine of ten. Tampa Bay batting .257 against lefthanders and getting great work out of their pen. Play Tampa Bay -126.
Washington Nationals vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 5/7/2022
Nationals at Angels—Josiah Gray to start for Washington. Gray in five starts has an ERA of 3.12 and WHIP 1.31. The righty has seen his strikeout rate jump to 28.7% but control an issue with 13% walk rate. Line drive rate is 28.3%.
Angels throw Michael Lorenzen. The righthander in four starts has allowed eight earned runs in 23 2/3rd innings. Lorenzon pitches to high contact with 14.9% strikeout rate and 8.5% walks. He limits line drive contact and has 51.4% ground balls. Nationals have lost four of seven on this trip losing 3-0 in the opener. Angels have won seven of ten. Play LA Angels.
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