Free MLB Picks For Today 5/4/2022

Free MLB Picks For Today 5/4/2022

Free MLB Picks For Today 5/4/2022

 

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 5/4/2022

Diamondbacks at Marlins—Madison Bumgarner to start for Arizona. Bumgarner in five starts carries and ERA of 1.17 with WHIP of 1.14. The veteran pitches to high contact and a walk rate of 11.7%. Ground balls up and line drives down plus Bumgarner is giving up only 0.78 home runs per nine innings.

 

Elieser Hernandez to start for the Marlins. Hernandez in four starts has allowed thirteen earned runs in 20 1/3rd innings. The righthander has seen his ground ball rate drop to 29% and home runs continue to be an issue with 2.66 per nine innings.

 

Diamondbacks have taken the first two in this series after their 5-4 win on Tuesday. Marlins batting only .199 against lefty’s. Play Arizona +130.

 

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 5/4/2022

Pirates at Tigers—The game on Tuesday is postponed so they play two on Wednesday. The pitching matchups move to Game 1 and that is the game we pick from. Bryse Wilson to start for Pittsburgh. Wilson in four appearances allowed eight earned runs in 15 1/3rd innings. He pitches to high contact but 42.6% ground ball rate. Control an issue with a 12.1% walk rate.

 

Michael Pineda throws for the Tigers. Pineda in two starts allowed four earned runs in ten innings. With this short sample the righthander is pitching to high contact with 10.3% strikeout rate but 42.9% ground balls.Pirates have lost five of six with their 5-2 loss on Sunday.

 

Tigers have dropped seven of eight with their 6-4 loss at the Dodgers Sunday. Tigers batting only .217 against righthanders. Detroit bullpen has been outstanding. Play Detroit and Pittsburgh under eight.

 

San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 5/4/2022

Padres at Guardians—Rain out on Tuesday so they play a doubleheader on Wednesday. Pitching matchups stays the same and we give out a pick in in Game 1. Mike Clevinger to start for the Padres. He makes his 2022 debut with a stint on the DL with a knee. He last seen action in 2020 and was shut down due to Tommy John surgery.

 

In three starts in the minors Clevinger allowed two earned runs with fifteen strikeouts in 8 2/3rd innings. Past three seasons the righthander averaged an ERA of 2.79 and WHIP 1.19. Zach Plesac the starter for the Guardians.

 

Plesac in four starts allowed 9 earned runs in 21 1/3rd innings. The righty is pitching to high contact with a strikeout rate of 13.3% with ground ball rate down. He is giving up higher line drive contact and giving up 1.27 home runs per nine innings.

 

Padres have won five of six on this trip taking two off three in Pittsburgh. Guardians return home salvaging the final three of their ten game road trip losing the first seven. Play San Diego -125.

 

St Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 5/4/2022

Cardinals at Royals—Adam Wainwright to start for St Louis. The veteran in five starts carries an ERA of 4.00 with WHIP 1.56. On the road his ERA of 5.40 with WHIP 1.87 in fifteen innings. Both lefty’s and righthander’s are hitting him. Wainwright a walk rate of 10.3% with ground ball rate of 53.8%.

 

Strikeouts are up a bit. He does not miss many bats. Kris Bubic to start for KC. Bubic in four starts has allowed fourteen earned runs in 12 innings of work. The lefty has been crushed by the home run ball allowing 2.25 per nine innings. He pitches to high contact with 13.6% strikeouts and poor control with 15.3% walk rate.

 

Line drive rate high at 26.2%. Royals took the opener of this series with their 7-1 win. Cardinals have the better bullpen. Play St Louis -140.

 

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 5/4/2022

Mariners at Astros—Matt Brash to start for Seattle. Brash in four starts has given up thirteen earned runs in 17 innings pitched. The righthander has shown poor control with 16.9% walk rate and 1.59 home runs per nine innings. Justin Verlander starts for Houston. Verlander in four starts has allowed five earned runs in 26 innings of work.

 

The veteran has a strikeout rate of 29.8% with good control. Velocity still sharp at 94.7 MPH on his fastball. Mariners have dropped five of six with their 3-0 loss in the opener of this series. Astros have won five of seven. Play Houston on run line -1.5 runs at +105.

 

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 5/4/2022

Braves at Mets—Ian Anderson to start for Atlanta. The veteran in four starts has allowed ten earned runs in 19 1/3rd innings. Control is a concern with a 13.3% walk rate and 1.40 home runs per nine innings. Velocity has dipped a bit as are strikeouts.

 

Tylor Megill the starter for New York. Megill in five starts posts an ERA of 1.93 and WHIP 0.86. The righthander has a 25.2% strikeout rate with good control and 44.4% ground balls. He has cut down on home runs allowed.

 

Mets swept the Braves in their doubleheader on Tuesday. Atlanta has lost four of five. Braves batting only .219 against righthanders. Play New York -132.

 

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 5/4/2022

Rays at Athletics—Corey Kluber to start for Tampa Bay. Kluber in four starts has allowed seven earned runs in 20 2/3rd innings. The veteran has seen a drop in velocity and strikeouts but control still good. Ground ball rate 42.4%.

 

Frankie Montas to start for Oakland. Montas in five starts carries an ERA of 4.25 and WHIP 0.98. The veteran a good strikeout rate of 26.5% with 46.8% ground balls. Rays have won five of seven with their 10-7 win on Tuesday. Athletics have lost eight of ten. Oakland hitting just .204 against righthanders. Play Tampa Bay -118.

 

Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 5/4/2022

Rangers at Phillies—Martin Perez the starter for Texas. Perez in four starts has allowed seven earned runs in 21 innings. The lefty posts a 55% ground ball rate with no homers allowed. Zack Wheeler goes for the Phillies. Wheeler in four starts has allowed 12 earned runs in 18 2/3rd innings.

 

Walk rate high at 9.5% with a large drop in strikeouts and velocity. Line drive rate at 27.3%. Rangers have won three straight after taking the opener in this series 6-4. Play Texas +160.

 

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Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 5/4/2022

Twins at Orioles—Dylan Bundy the starter for the Twins. Bundy in four starts has given up seven earned runs in 21 1/3rd innings. The veteran has a dip in velocity but improved control and ground ball rate. Line drive rate down and swinging strikes up substantially.

 

Kyle Bradish starts for Baltimore. Bradish in his lone start allowed two earned runs in six innings against the Red Sox. He allowed a homer and while striking out two. In three starts in Triple A this season Bradish carried an ERA of 1.20 with WHIP 0.73.

 

Twins have won nine of ten with their 7-2 win on Tuesday. Orioles have dropped seven of nine and hitting only .215 against righthanders. Play Minnesota -136.

 

LA Angels vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/4/2022

Angels at Red Sox—Reid Detmers the starter for LAA. Detmers in four starts has allowed ten earned runs in 17 1/3rd innings. The lefty has been hurt in his career with the home run and in 2022 surrendering 1.56 per nine innings. Strikeouts are up to 22.5% with ground balls at 42.9%.

 

Garrett Whitlock the starter for Boston. Whitlock in six appearances allowed one earned run in 16 2/3rd innings. The righthander has a 31.3% strikeout rate and good control. Ground ball rate is at 42.5%. Angels have been shut out in three of their past four. Play Boston -132.

 

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 5/4/2022

Yankees at Blue Jays—Nestor Cortes to start for the Yankees. Cortes in four starts has given up three earned runs in 20 2/3rd innings. The lefty sports a strikeout rate of 35.9% with good control. He has limited his home runs which had haunted Cortes in year’s past.

 

Yusei Kikuchi to start for Toronto. Kikuchi in four starts allowed nine earned runs in 14 2/3rd innings. The lefty has been hurt by the home run ball with 1.84 per nine innings.

 

Strikeout rate way down and walk rate out of control at 18.1%. Yankees have won ten straight after their 9-1 win on Tuesday. New York bullpen has been outstanding. Play Yankees -134.

 

Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 5/4/2022

White Sox at Cubs—Lucas Giolito to start for CWS. Giolito in three starts has allowed four earned runs in 14 innings of work. The righthander has a good 37.9% strikeout rate but 10.3% walks. Velocity has dipped a bit. Swinging strike rate elite at 19.35.

 

Kyle Hendricks to start for the Cubs. Hendricks in five starts carries an ERA of 5.47 with WHIP 1.50. The numbers at home have been better with an ERA of 1.62 and WHP 1.02 in 16 2/3rd innings. Control an issue with walk rate of 10% with ground balls down. Velocity has dropped as well. White Sox took the opener of this series winning 3-1. Cubs have dropped six of eight. Play White Sox -140.

 

Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 5/4/2022

Reds at Brewers—Vladimir Gutierrez to start for Cincinnati. Gutierrez in four starts has allowed fourteen earned runs in 17 innings of work. He pitches to high contact and has a poor 18.1% walk rate. Freddy Peralta to start for Milwaukee. Peralta in four starts has surrendered ten earned runs in 18 innings. The veteran posts a 29.5% strikeout rate but 10.3% walks.

 

Ground balls are up with velocity slightly down. Reds have lost 20 of 23 with their 6-3 defeat in the opener. Cincinnati batting .199 as a team with a bullpen ERA of 4.48. Play Milwaukee on run line -1.5 runs at -118.

 

Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 5/4/2022

Nationals at Rockies—Patrick Corbin starts for Washington. Corbin in five starts carries an ERA of 8.69 with WHIP 2.08. The lefty has seen a drop in velocity and control an issue with 13% strikeout rate. He is giving up a 24.6% line drive rate.

 

Austin Gomber starts for the Rockies. Gomber in four starts has allowed nine earned runs in 21 innings pitched. The lefty sports a strikeout rate of 23% with 43.1% ground balls. Home runs are down. Nationals have won three of four on this trip with the 10-2 win on Tuesday. Play Colorado and Washington over 10.5.

 

San Francisco Giants vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 5/4/2022

Giants at Dodgers—Alex Wood to start for San Francisco. Wood in four starts allowed nine earned runs in 19 1/3rd innings. The veteran has seen a bit of a rise in his velocity but strikeouts are down as are ground balls. He is surrendering 31% line drives and 1.40 home runs per nine innings.

 

Tony Gonsolin the starter for the Dodgers. Gonsolin in four starts has allowed three earned runs in 17 innings. The righthander has seen his strikeout rate drop to 18.3% with walk rate of 11.3% The has allowed no home runs and 53.1% ground ball rate. LAD takes the opener of this series 3-1. Play LA Dodgers.

 

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