Free MLB Picks For Today 5/1/2022
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 5/1/2022
Red Sox at Orioles—Nick Pivetta to start for the Orioles. In four starts Pivetta allowed fifteen earned runs in 16 1/3rd innings. Walk rate has ballooned u to 16.7%, line drive rate 34.7% and he has been crushed by the home run ball with 2.20 per nine innings.
Jordan Lyles to start for Baltimore. Lyles in four starts has given up twelve earned runs in 20 innings. The righthander has seen his velocity drop and strikeout rate to 16.5%. Ground balls up to 44.6% but high 1.80 home runs per nine innings. Red Sox have lost seven of ten struggling to score runs. Orioles broke a five game losing streak with the win. Play Baltimore +132.
Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 5/1/2022
Twins at Rays—Josh Winder to start for the Twins. Winder in his first three games in the Majors all in 2022 allowed four earned runs in 10 1/3rd innings. He pitches to high contact but high ground balls at 51.5%. He gives up 1.74 home runs per nine innings.
Josh Fleming to throw for the Rays. Fleming in four outings allowed fifteen runs six earned in twelve innings. The lefty has seen his strikeout rate up to 25.4% and ground ball at 70%. The teams have split their first two in this series with the Twins 9-1 win on Saturday. Twins have won seven of eight. Play Minnesota +130.
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 5/1/2022
Astros at Blue Jays—Framber Valdez to start for the Astros. Valdez in four starts allowed seven earned runs in 20 innings. The lefty a strikeout rate of 19.5% but control an issue with 13.8% walk rate. He is allowing 73.2% ground ball rate.
Kevin Gausman to start for the Blue Jays. Gausman in four starts allowed six earned runs in 24 2/3rd innings. Strikeout rate up to 32.6% with no walks allowed and 38.1% ground balls. No homers allowed. Toronto has won nine of eleven with their 2-1 win on Saturday. Astros batting only .211 as a team. Play Toronto -155.
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 5/1/2022
Padres at Pirates—Joe Musgrove the starter for San Diego. The righthander in four starts has allowed six earned runs in 25 innings. Musgrove strikeout rate of 26.3%, walk rate 2.1% and ground balls at 43.9%. Mitch Keller to start for the Pirates.
In four starts Keller has allowed thirteen earned runs in 17 2/3rd innings. He is pitching to high contact with 19.8% strikeout rate and 8.6% walks. He is allowing 1.53 home runs per nine innings despite a fastball topping at 96.2 MPH.
Padres had their four game win streak snapped in a 7-6 defeat on Saturday. Pirates bullpen an ERA of 4.20. Play San Diego on run line -1.5 runs at -106.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 5/1/2022
Cubs at Brewers—Marcus Stroman the starter for the Cubs. Stroman in four starts allowed fifteen earned runs in 19 1/3rd innings. His strikeout rate is down to 19.8% and ground balls down as well. Line drive rate at 25.4% with home runs per nine innings at 1.86.
Corbin Burnes the starter for the Brewers. Burnes in four starts allowed five earned runs in 25 2/3rd innings. Strikeouts at 34.7% with ground balls good at 44.4%.
Cubs have lost eight of ten dropping a 9-1 decision on Saturday. They have been held to one run in three of their past four games. Brewers have won seven of eight. Play Milwaukee on run line -1.5 runs at +112.
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 5/1/2022
Mariners at Marlins—Logan Gilbert the starter for Seattle. Gilbert in four starts allowed one earned run in 22 1/3rd innings. The righthander has a 25.9% strikeout rate with 37.9% ground balls. Sandy Alcantara to throw for the Marlins. Alcantara has four starts allowing five earned runs in 25 1/3rd innings.
Strikeouts are down a bit to 20.2% but 10.1% strikeout rate with the fastball hitting 97.5 MPH. Mariners have lost three straight held to a total of four runs in each game. Six straight wins for Miami. Both bullpens in good form. Play Seattle and Miami under seven.
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 5/1/2022
Yankees at Royals—Luis Severino the starter for the Yankees. Severino in four starts allowed seven earned runs in 19 innings. The righthander has seen his velocity rise to 96.6 MPH with 24.1% strikeout rate and 49.1% grounders. Daniel Lynch to start for KC. Lynch in three starts has given up six earned runs in sixteen innings. He has been hurt by the home run ball with 1.69 allowed per nine innings. Strikeouts up to 23.5%.
Yankees have won eight straight with their 3-0 win on Saturday. They have covered the run line in eight of their past nine wins. Royals have lost seven of nine. KC batting only .207 against righthanders and struggling in the bullpen with an ERA of 5.10. Play New York on run line -1.5 runs at -115.
LA Angels vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/1/2022
Angels at White Sox—Michael Lorenzen to start for LAA. Lorenzen in three starts has allowed five earned runs in 15 1/3rd innings. Strikeouts at 20% with poor control at 10% walk rate. He is allowing 50% ground balls with low line drive rate.
Dallas Keuchel the starter for the White Sox. In three starts Keuchel has allowed fifteen runs ten earned in ten innings. He pitches to high contact with a 10.3% walk rate. The lefty is getting crushed by the home run allowing 1.80 per nine innings.
The teams have split the first two in this series with the White Sox winning 4-0 on Saturday. They had lost nine of ten prior to that win. White Sox batting only .192 against righthanders. Angels crushing lefty’s batting .270. Play LA Angels -110.
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Atlanta Braves vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 5/1/2022
Braves at Rangers—Max Fried the starter for the Braves. Fried In four starts allowed eight earned runs in 24 innings. He has a 22.3% strikeout rate with good control and 55.1% ground ball rate. Taylor Hearn to start for Texas. Hearn has started four games allowing thirteen earned runs in 15 2/3rd innings.
Strikeouts at 23.1% but high walk rate at 9%. He has been crushed by the home run with 1.72 per nine innings. They have split the first two with the Rangers 3-1 win on Saturday. Both teams hit lefty’s but Rangers bullpen has struggled. Play Atlanta.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 5/1/2022
Diamondbacks at Cardinals—Zach Davies to start for the Diamondbacks. Davies in four starts allowed eleven earned runs in 18 1/3rd innings. He pitches to high contact with a poor walk rate of 12.8%. The righthander is allowing 1.47 home runs per nine innings.
Jordan Hicks the starter for St Louis. Hicks in four appearances has allowed three earned runs in nine innings. The righthander with his short sample size has a walk rate of 16.7% with 25% strikeout rate. They split the first two with the Diamondbacks 2-0 win. Arizona batting only .180 as a team leaving little margin for error from their pitching staff. Play St Louis on run line -1.5 runs at +110.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 5/1/2022
Reds at Rockies—Reiver Sanmartin to start for the Reds. Sanmartin in four appearances allowed nineteen earned runs in 15 2/3rd innings. The lefty pitches to high contact with a 9.6% walk rate. He has been hurt by the home run with 1.72 per nine innings.
Kyle Freeland to start for the Rockies. Freeland in four starts allowed thirteen earned runs in 19 innings. He has seen a dip in velocity and dip in strikeouts with 18.5 per nine innings. Reds have lost 18 of 21. They hit just .201 against lefty’s. Rockies crushing lefthanders batting .313. Play Colorado -150.
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 5/1/2022
Nationals at Giants—Josiah Gray to start for Washington. Gray in four starts allowed nine earned runs in 20 innings of work. The righthander has a strikeout rate of 32.9% but poor control with walk rate of 11.8%. He is allowing 13.5 home runs per nine innings.
Alex Cobb starting for San Francisco. Cobb in two starts allowed five earned runs in 9 1/3rd innings. Strikeouts are 35% good control and ground balls at 69.6%. His velocity up with 94.7 MPH. Nationals have dropped nine of ten with their 9-3 loss on Saturday. Giants have won six of eight. Play San Francisco on run line -1.5 runs at +125.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 5/1/2022
Guardians at Athletics—Tristan McKenzie to start for the Guardians. McKenzie in four appearances has allowed seven earned runs in 17 innings of work. Strikeouts are at 24.6% with good ground ball rate at 40.5%. James Kaprielian to start for Oakland.
Kaprielian comes off the DL with a shoulder. He worked thirteen innings in the minors getting crushed for 11 earned runs in 13 2/3rd innings. The righty allowed three homers with five walks. Guardians won the first two in this series after their 3-1 win on Saturday. Cleveland is hitting .275 against righthanders. Play Cleveland -125.
Detroit Tigers vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 5/1/2022
Tigers at Dodgers—Eduardo Rodriguez to start for the Tigers. The lefty in four starts has allowed 16 runs 11 earned in 19 2/3rd innings. His strikeouts have dropped to 21.4% with walk rate of 9.5%. He is allowing 24.6% line drive rate and 1.37 home runs per nine innings.
Walker Buehler to start for LAD. Buehler in four starts allowed seven earned runs in 24 2/3rd innings. Strikeouts down to 21.2% with ground balls at 41.4%. Series tied with the Tigers win on Saturday.
Dodgers 13 wins this season has covered the run line in each. Detroit batting only .208 against righthanders. Dodgers bullpen has been outstanding. Play LA Dodgers run line -1.5 runs at -115.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 5/1/2022
Phillies at Mets—Zach Eflin to start for Philadelphia. Eflin in four starts has allowed seven earned runs in 19 2/3rd innings. The righthander has a dip in his strikeouts to 18.8% but good control and 41.7% ground ball rate.
Max Scherzer to start for New York. Scherzer in four starts allowed five earned runs in 25 innings of work. Strikeouts still good at 35.1% with 35.3% ground balls. The teams have split the first two in this series. Mets bullpen has performed better. Play Philadelphia and New York under seven.
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