Free MLB Picks For Today 4/30/2022

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2022

Diamondbacks at Cardinals—Merrill Kelly to start for the Diamondbacks. The righthander in four starts has allowed four earned runs in 21 1/3rd innings. Kelly has seen his strikeouts jump to 24.7% with ground ball rate up to 50%. No homers allowed. Miles Mikolas the starter for St Louis. Mikolas has started four games surrendering three earned runs in 22 1/3rd innings. The righthander has seen his strikeouts jump to 20% with good control and 40.9% ground ball rate. The series is tied at 1-1 with the Diamondbacks 6-2 win. Arizona batting only .280 as a team. Cardinals bullpen an ERA of 2.99. Play Arizona and St Louis under 7.5.

Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2022

Astros at Blue Jays—Luis Garcia to start for the Astros. In three starts the righthander allowed eight earned runs in 15 2/3rd innings. Garcia has seen a rise in velocity and drop in line drive contact. Strikeouts at 23% but 1.72 home runs per nine innings. Jose Berrios starting for the Blue Jays. Berrios in four starts have allowed ten earned runs in 18 1/3rd innings. The righthander has seen a significant drop in strikeouts to 17.6% with drop in ground ball rate to 27.9%. Home runs an issue at 1.47 per nine innings. Astros batting only .202 as a team. Blue Jays getting good work from their pen. Berrios has show improvement in his past two starts. Play Toronto -130.

Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2022

Nationals at Giants—Joan Adon starting for the Nationals. Adon in four starts has allowed fifteen earned runs in 19 1/3rd innings. The righthander is pitching to high contact and allowing 1.86 home runs per nine innings. Velocity is down a bit from last season and control issues with an 11.1% walk rate. Logan Webb to start for the Giants. Webb in four starts has allowed eight earned runs in 24 1/3rd innings. Strikeouts have dipped to 17.2% and a small drop in velocity. Control is good and so is his 60.5% ground ball rate. Nationals broke an eight game losing streak winning the opener of this series 14-4. They had been held to three runs or fewer the previous nine games. Giants bullpen an ERA of 1.54. Play San Francisco run line -1.5 runs at -113.

LA Angels vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2022

Angels at White Sox—Noah Syndergaard to start for the Angels. The righthander in three starts has allowed four earned runs in 17 innings of work. Strikeouts down to 16.4% but ground balls a career high at 58% as is line drive contact at 8%. Vince Velasquez to start for Chicago. Velasquez in three starts has given up nine earned runs in 12 innings. Control is an issue with 11.9% walk rate and pounded by the home run ball again with 2.25 per nine innings. He is surrendering 41% hard hit contact. Angels have won six straight after their 5-1 win in the opener. White Sox have dropped ten of eleven. White Sox hitting .199 against lefty’s. Play LA Angels -105.

Cleveland Guardians vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2022

Guardians at Athletics—Shane Bieber to start for the Guardians. Bieber in four starts has allowed seven earned runs in 22 1/3rd innings. The righthander has seen his strikeout rate drop to 25.6% with ground balls down at 36.2%. Cole Irvin the starter for Oakland. Irvin in four starts has given up eight earned runs in 21 2/3rd innings. The lefty pitches to high contact but good control and a 45.7% ground ball rate. Cleveland broke a seven game losing streak with their 9-8 win. Guardians bat only .185 against lefty’s. Play Oakland +140.

Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2022

Twins at Rays—Chris Archer the starter for Minnesota. In three starts Archer has allowed four earned runs in 11 1/3rd innings. Strikeouts dipped to 20.4% but control issues at 12.2% walk rate. Line drive contact way down to 9.1%. Shane McClanahan the starter for the Rays. In four starts the lefty has allowed six earned runs in 22 innings of work. Strikeouts up at 36% with a 5.8% walk rate and ground ball at 57.1%. Rays have won seven of nine with their 5-1 win in the opener. Twins have their six game win streak snapped. Play Minnesota +150.

Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2022

Mariners at Marlins—Robbie Ray the starter for the Mariners. Ray in four starts allowed eleven earned runs in 25 1/3rd innings. One bad start in the rain at the White Sox. Strikeouts have plummeted to 17.6% as well as velocity from 94.8 MPH to 92.3. He is allowing 1.42 home runs per nine innings. Jesus Luzardo the starter for Miami. Luzardo in three starts allowed six earned runs in 14 1/3rd innings. Strikeouts up to 37.7% but walks at 11.5%. Velocity a career high of 97.4 MPH. When they hit him, they hit him hard with 32.3% line drive rate. It is a three game losing streak for Seattle with their 8-6 loss in the opener. Marlins have won five straight. Play Seattle and Miami under 7.5.

San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2022

Padres at Pirates—Sean Manaea to start for San Diego. Manaea in four starts has allowed nine earned runs in 23 1/3rd innings of work. Velocity has dipped to 90.3% with rise in walk rate at 8.5%. JT Brubaker the starter for the Pirates. In four starts the righty has allowed eleven earned runs in 15 1/3rd innings. Control has been bad at 15.1% walk rate with ground ball rate down. Padres have won eight of eleven with the 7-3 win in the opener. Pirates have dropped eight of eleven. Pittsburgh bullpen an ERA of 4.20. Play San Diego run line -1.5 runs at +108.

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Atlanta Braves vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2022

Braves at Rangers—Bryce Elder to start for the Braves. Elder in three starts has allowed seven earned runs in 14 2/3rd innings. Control the concern at 15.9% walk rate and pitches to high contact. He is getting 52.3% ground balls. Dane Dunning the starter for Texas. Dunning has started four games giving up ten earned runs in 18 1/3rd innings. Walk rate high at 9.5%, ground balls down and line drive contact up to 30.4%. Braves have won three of four with the 6-3 win in the opener. Rangers have lost four straight struggling to score runs. Texas batting only .204 against righthanders. Play Atlanta -108.

Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2022

Red Sox at Orioles—Nathan Eovaldi to start for the Red Sox. Eovaldi in four starts has given up four earned runs in 21 1/3rd innings. Strikeouts up to 30.4% and only 3.4% walk rate with ground ball rate up to 45.9%. He has been crushed by the home run ball at 2.91 per nine innings. Spenser Watkins the starter for Baltimore. Watkins in three starts has given up four earned runs in 13 innings of work. His strikeout rate low at 8.9% but ground balls at 52.3% and low line drives. Control an issue at 12.5%. Red Sox win the opener of this series 3-1. It is now a five game losing streak for the Orioles. Boston had lost seven of nine prior to that win struggling to score runs. Play Baltimore +155.

Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2022

Cubs at Brewers—Justin Steele to start for the Cubs. Steele has four starts allowing nine earned runs in 15 innings. The lefty has seen strikeouts dip to 17.4% with control poor at 17.4% walk rate. Ground balls down and line drive contact up. Erik Lauer the starter for the Brewers. Lauer in three starts has given up four earned runs in 16 1/3rd innings. The lefty has seen a rise in velocity and strikeouts at 34.3% rate. Control is good. Chicago has lost eight of ten losing 11-1 in the opener. Brewers have won eight of ten. Play Milwaukee -165.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2022

Phillies at Mets—Kyle Gibson to start for Philadelphia. Gibson in four starts allowed nine earned runs in 23 1/3rd innings. Strikeouts up at 25.6% with ground balls as well at 54.2%. Taijuan Walker starting for New York. Walker in one start has worked two innings allowing no runs on April 11th. He returns from the DL with a shoulder with pitch count. Mets have won eight of eleven with their 3-0 win in the opener. New York is crushing righthanded pitching. New York bullpen performing well and Phillies bullpen ERA 4.06. Play Mets -125.

New York Yankees vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2022

Yankees at Royals—Gerrit Cole the starter for New York. Cole in four starts allowed eight earned runs in eighteen innings. Strikeout rate is on the rise at 28.4% but control still an issue at 10.8% walk rate. Great swinging strike rate at 16.3%. Fastball clocked at 97.7 MPH. Carlos Hernandez to start for KC. Hernandez in three starts has allowed ten earned runs in 14 innings. The righthander pitches to extremely high contact at 7.7% and a high WHIP of 1.79. Velocity is way down and is allowing 1.29 home runs per nine innings. New York has won nine of ten with their 12-2 win in the opener. Royals have dropped eight of ten. KC batting only .207 against righthanders. Royals bullpen an ERA of 5.10 with WHIP 1.45. Play New York on run line -1.5 runs at -120.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2022

Reds at Rockies—Connor Overton to start for the Reds. Overton makes his 2022 debut after 19 innings of work in Triple A. He pitched 15 1/3rd innings in MLB in 2021 posting an ERA of 4.70 and WHIP 1.24 pitching to 25.6% line drive rate. High strikeouts in his minor league outings this season. Chad Kuhl the starter for Colorado. Kuhl in three starts allowed two earned runs in 16 1/3rd innings. Control an issue at 11.3% with low line drive rate and ground balls up to 47.6%. A dip in velocity. Reds have lost 17 of 20 with their 10-4 defeat in the opener. Rockies have won seven of eleven at home. Cincinnati batting .203 as a team. Play Colorado -150.

Detroit Tigers vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2022

Tigers at Dodgers—Beau Briske to start for the Tigers. Briske in his MLB debut allowed three earned runs in five innings. In ten minor league innings this season Briske has surrendered five earned runs with two homers walking three. Clayton Kershaw to start for LAD. Kershaw in three starts has given up five earned runs in 17 innings of work. Tigers have lost eight of ten with their 5-1 defeat in the opener. Dodgers 13 wins have covered the run line in each game. Play LA Dodgers run line -1.5 runs -150.

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