Free MLB Picks For Today 4/28/2022
San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 4/28/2022
Padres at Reds—Nick Martinez to start for San Diego. Martinez in three starts has allowed seven earned runs in 14 2/3rd innings of work. His strikeout rate sits at 19.4% but 14.9% walk rate and 3.07 home runs allowed per nine innings.
Tyler Mahle to start for Cincinnati. Mahle in four starts has allowed thirteen earned runs in 17 innings. The righthander has seen a dip in strikeouts to 24.1% and rise in walk rate at 11.4%.
Velocity has also dropped. Reds have lost 14 of 17 to start the season after their 8-5 loss on Wednesday. Padres have won seven of nine. Red batting .183 against righthanders. Play San Diego -109.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 4/28/2022
Brewers at Pirates—Freddy Peralta the starter for Milwaukee. In three starts the righthander allowed ten earned runs in 12 innings of work. Strikeouts still respectable at 28.1% but walk rate at 14% with line drives at 28.1%. Jose Quintana to start for the Pirates. Quintana in three starts has surrendered six earned runs in 14 innings.
Strikeouts have plummeted to 13.6% with a 13.6% walk rate. Brewers have won eight of ten with their 3-1 win. Pirates bullpen has struggled. Brewers have won five straight this season against Pittsburgh covering the run line in each game. Play Milwaukee run line -1.5 runs at +100.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 4/28/2022
Marlins at Nationals—Trevor Rogers the starter for Miami. Rogers in three starts has given up nine earned runs in 11 2/3rd innings. His strikeouts have fallen to 18.2% with a walk rate of 12.7% and line drive at 31.6%. Patrick Corbin to start for Washington. Corbin in four starts has given up seventeen earned runs in 13 2/3rd innings. Walk rate up to 24.7% with 25.5% line drive rate.
Velocity has dropped. Miami has won four straight with their 2-1 win. It is a seven game losing streak for the Nationals. They have been held to three runs or fewer in eight straight. They are hitting only .206 against lefty’s. Rogers does come off a good outing on Friday. Play Miami -155.
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 4/28/2022
Orioles at Yankees—Bruce Zimmermann to start for the Orioles. Zimmermann in three starts has allowed two earned runs in fifteen innings. Strikeouts are up to 27.1% with a good 38.9% ground ball rate. He has limited his homers. Jameson Taillon to start for New York. Taillon has started three games allowing five earned runs in 14 2/3rd innings.
Control has been good with 1.7% walk rate with ground balls up to 43.2%. Yankees have won seven of nine with their 5-2 win on Wednesday. Orioles hitting only .208. Both bullpens in good form. Play Baltimore and New York under 8.
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 4/28/2022
Rockies at Phillies—Antonio Senzatela to start for Colorado. Senzatela in three starts has given up ten runs seven earned in 13 1/3rd innings. The righthander has seen his strikeouts fall to 8.2% with line drive rate at 37.7%. Zack Wheeler starting for Philadelphia. Wheeler in three starts has given up twelve earned runs in 12 2/3rd innings.
Strikeouts way down to 17.7% with ground ball’s down to 38.6%. Phillies have won all three in this series after their 7-3 home win. Rockies pitching has been getting crushed in this series allowing 25 runs in these three games with the bullpen getting torched. Play Colorado and Philadelphia over 7.5.
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 4/28/2022
Mariners at Rays—Chris Flexen to start for Seattle. The righty in three starts has given up seven earned runs in 17 1/3rd innings of work. He pitched to high contact with good control. Ground ball rate is down. Jalen Beeks to start for Tampa Bay. Beeks in four bullpen appearances allowed no earned runs in 5 2/3rd innings.
High strikeouts and ground balls with his short sample. No homers allowed. Tampa Bay has won five of seven with their 3-2 win. Both bullpens in good form. Flexen has struggled on the road the past few seasons and was pounded in his only road start this season. Play Tampa Bay -135.
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 4/28/2022
Tigers at Twins—Tarik Skubal to throw for the Tigers. Skubal in three starts has allowed six runs four earned in 15 2/3rd innings. The lefty has a good strikeout rate of 25%, 1.6% walk rate and 44.7% ground balls. No homers allowed. Bailey Ober to throw for the Twins.
In three starts the righthander has allowed seven runs five earned in 16 innings. Strikeouts and ground ball rate has dipped. Tigers have lost seven of nine after their 5-4 loss on Wednesday. Twins have won five straight. Detroit bullpen has been good and Skubal’s has put up good numbers. Play Detroit +126.
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Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 4/28/2022
Astros at Rangers—Justin Verlander to start for the Astros. Verlander in three starts has allowed four earned runs in 19 innings of work. Strike out rate of 29% with good control at 5.8% walks. Ground balls at 37.2%. Velocity good at 94.5 MPH.
Martin Perez starts for the Rangers. Perez has three starts allowing six earned runs in fourteen innings of work. The lefty a strikeout rate of 20% his highest in six seasons with 56.1% ground balls. Line drive contact down and has allowed no homers. Team has gone under in six of seven.
Rangers under in five straight. Texas hitting .208 against righthanders and Astros .189 against lefty’s. Play Houston and Texas under eight.
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 4/28/2022
Royals at White Sox—Brad Keller to start for KC. Keller in three starts has given up five earned runs in 17 2/3rd innings. Strikeout rate up to 20.6% with ground balls at 51%. White Sox will start Michael Kopech. He has started three games in 2022 allowing one earned run in fourteen innings.
Strikeout rate good at 29.4% with line drive contact way down at 13.3%. No homers allowed. White Sox broke an eight game losing streak with their 7-3 win on Wednesday. Chicago hitting only .197 against righthanders. Play Kansas City +155.
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 4/28/2022
Red Sox at Blue Jays—Garrett Whitlock the starter for the Red Sox. Whitlock has one start and four bullpen appearances surrendering one earned run in 13 2/3rd innings. Strong strikeout rate of 37.5% with good control at 4.2% walk rate. Groundballs are down at 32.1% with line drive’s up at 25%. Alek Manoah the starter for Toronto.
In three starts Manoah has allowed four earned runs in eighteen innings. The righthander has a strikeout rate of 25% with ground ball rate of 38.3%. Boston broke a four game losing streak with the 7-1 win on Wednesday. Boston offense is struggling. Blue Jays getting good work from their pen. Play Toronto -150.
Cleveland Guardians vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 4/28/2022
Guardians at Angels—Cal Quantrill to start for the Guardians. Quantrill in three starts has allowed seven earned runs in 16 innings of work. The righthander has seen the strikeouts drop to 9.2% with walk rate of 10.8%. Line drives up at 28%.
Reid Detmers to start for the Angels. Detmers in three starts has allowed nine earned runs in 12 1/3rd innings. Strikeouts up to 14.3% with ground balls at 47.2%. He has been hurt by a 1.46 home runs per nine innings. Six straight losses for the Guardians. Play LA Angels -145.
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 4/28/2022
Cubs at Braves—Drew Smyly starts for Chicago. The lefty in three starts has given up four earned runs in 14 2/3rd innings. Strikeouts are down to 15.5% but ground balls up at 51.1% and only 6.4% line drive rate. Kyle Wright to throw for Atlanta. Wright in three starts has allowed two earned runs in 17 innings facing the Marlins, Padres and Reds.
Strikeout rate is high at 39.4% with low walk rate at 3%. Cubs even the series at 1-1 with the 6-3 win. They had dropped six of seven prior to that win. Chicago hitting .281 against righthanders and getting the better work from the pen. Play Chicago +158.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 4/28/2022
Diamondbacks at Cardinals—Humberto Castellanos to start for Arizona. Castellanos in four appearances allowed four earned runs in 12 innings. He pitches to high contact and 10.2% walk rate with ground ball rate down. Dakota Hudson starting for the Cardinals. Hudson in three starts has given up six earned runs in thirteen innings.
Control an issue at 10.9% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings. Diamondbacks hitting .185 against righthanders with bullpen ERA of 4.06. Cardinals bullpen in good form. Play St Louis on run line -1.5 runs at +128.
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