Free MLB Picks For Today 4/16/2022
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2022
Diamondbacks at Mets—Zac Gallen to start for Arizona. A cut on his thumb pushed back his opening start. He dealt through injuries that limited Gallen to 23 starts and he finished with an ERA of 4.30 and WHIP 1.29. His strike out dipped to still a respectable 26.6% but had a walk rate of 9.4%. His home runs allowed jumped to 1.41 per 9 innings.
Carlos Carrasco the starter for the Mets. He started 12 games a season ago due to injury. A poor 6.04 ERA with 1.43 WHIP. He did string together good seasons while in Cleveland. Last year saw a dramatic dip in his strikeout rate at 21.1% and 2.01 home runs allowed per 9 innings. But he is pitching to a Diamondbacks team that is batting .137. He faced the Nationals in his season opener allowing one runs with two hits over 5 2/3rd innings.
Mets are hitting .270 against righthanders and beat Arizona 10-3 in their series opener. Play New York Mets on run line -1.5 runs at +134.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2022
Rays at White Sox—Corey Kluber the starter for the Rays. The veteran saw a huge dip in the velocity of his fastball last year with the Yankees but still finished with an ERA of 3.83 and WHIP 1.34 in sixteen starts. His strikeout rate dropped to 24% and allowed 9.7% walk rate. He faced the Orioles in his first start allowing no runs, four walks and three hits in 4 2/3rd innings.
Michael Kopech the starter for the White Sox. The righty was used primarily in the bullpen last year and compiled an ERA of 3.50 with WHIP 1.13 in 44 appearances making four starts. Kopech posted a strikeout rate of 36.1%. He faced Detroit on the road in his opener allowing one run over four innings. Chicago has won five of six winning the opener of this series 3-2. Play White Sox -138.
Oakland Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2022
Athletics at Blue Jays—Paul Blackburn the starter for Oakland. The righthander in parts of six season with the Athletics carries an ERA of 5.54 and WHIP 1.46. Last year in nine starts Blackburn carried an ERA of 5.87 and WHIP 1.62 pitching to high contact and allowing 1.88 home runs per nine innings.
Hyun Jin Ryu the starter for the Blue Jays. Ryu started 31 games for the Blue Jays and finished with an ERA of 4.37 with WHIP 1.22. He strikeout rate dived seven points to 20.4%. He saw home runs allowed jumped to 1.28. Ryu faced the Rangers in his opener allowing six earned runs and two walks over 3 1/3rd innings. Toronto takes the opener 4-1. Athletics do hit lefty’s well and getting good work from their pen. Play Oakland +194.
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2022
Braves at Padres—Ian Anderson to start for Atlanta. The righthander came off a strong rookie season starting 24 games with an ERA of 3.58 and WHIP 1.23. He allowed 49.3% ground balls along with 23.2% strikeout rate and needs to drop his walk rate which finished at 9.9% Anderson faced Cincinnati at home to begin the season allowing five earned runs with five walks over 2 2/3rd innings. Nick Martinez throws for San Diego.
Martinez left the Majors in 2017 due to ineffectiveness for Japan. He showed enough improvement to land a four year contract. He faced the Giants to open the season allowing one earned run over five innings. Braves evened this series at 1-1 with their 5-2 victory on Friday. Padres bullpen sitting with an ERA approaching five. Play Atlanta -104.
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2022
Twins at Red Sox—Sonny Gray takes the mound for the Twins. The veteran was hit with injuries in 2021 and started 26 games with an ERA of 4.19 and WHIP of 1.22. He still maintained an elite strikeout rate of 27% but walk rate of 8.7%. He saw his home runs dip up allowing 1.26 per nine innings. Gray faced the Mariners at home to open the season allowing four earned runs over 4 2/3rd innings.
Tanner Houck to start for the Red Sox. Houck saw action in 18 games making 13 starts in 2021 with an ERA of 3.52 and WHIP 1.13. Strikeout rate was 30.5% and allowed only 0.52 strikeouts per nine innings. He faced the Yankees in his season opener allowing three earned runs with six hits and three walks. We saw the bats come alive in the opener of this series at Fenway that favors hitting. Play Boston and Minnesota over 9.5.
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2022
Tigers at Royals—Matt Manning to start for Detroit. The righthander struggled in 2021 with an ERA of 5.80 and WHIP 1.51 in his 18 starts as a rookie. He pitched to high contact and had issues with an 8.6% walk rate. He faced the Red Sox in his opener allowing one run and a hit over six innings. Kris Bubic starter for the Royals. The lefty has a career ERA of 4.35 and WHIP of 1.43 in parts of three seasons with the Royals.
Control has been an issue for Bubic and the home run ball. Tigers have won both games of this series with their 2-1 win on Friday. Royals have dropped five straight. Tigers hitting .305 against lefty’s. KC hitting only .199 as a team. Detroit getting good work from their bullpen and Royals pen has been hammered with an ERA of 6.21. Play Detroit +105.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2022
Phillies at Marlins—Ranger Suarez the starter for the Phillies. The lefty had a breakout season in 2021 posting an ERA of 1.36 and WHIP 1.00 in 106 innings of work from the pen and starting staff. His strikeout rate ballooned up to 25.6% and gave up 59.2% grounders. He faced the Mets to open the season giving up three earned runs over 2 2/3rd innings.
Miami goes with Trevor Rogers on Saturday. Rogers rebounded in 2021 posting an ERA of 2.64 and WHIP 1.15 in 25 starts. A 28.5% strikeout rage but still 8.4% walk rate. Rogers limited home runs and saw an increase in velocity of his fastball. The lefthander opened his season at San Francisco giving up two earned runs over five innings.
Marlins have won both games of this series after their 7-1 win on Friday. Teams batting only .191 on the Marlins bullpen. Play Miami -108.
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2022
Giants at Guardians—Anthony DeSclafani the starter for San Francisco. He started 31 games in 2021 and posted an ERA of 3.17 and WHIP 1.09 in his first season for the Giants. His strikeout numbers increased and saw a drop in home runs per nine innings. DeSclafani faced Miami at home to start the season giving up two earned runs with eight hits over 3 2/3rd innings.
Cal Quantrill the starter for the Guardians. The righthander in 2021 had an ERA of 2.89 and WHIP 1.18 working 149 2/3rd innings from the pen and rotation. He limited home runs but a pedestrian strikeout rate of 19.6%.
Giants have won three straight with the 4-1 win in the opener. San Francisco getting great work out of their pen with an ERA of 2.52 with teams batting .193 on this unit. Play San Francisco -105.
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Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2022
Nationals at Pirates—Josh Rogers the starter for Washington. The lefthander started six games for the Nationals last season and put up an ERA of 3.28 and WHIP 1.29 in 35 2/3rd innings. He did pitch to high contact and had a low ground ball rate.
Rogers allowed 1.77 home runs per nine innings. He was pounded the previous two seasons with the Orioles working only 26 innings. He faced the Braves in his opening start giving up one runs and two hits over 5 1/3rd innings.
Bryse Wilson to throw for Pittsburgh. Wilson started 16 games with the Braves and Pirates combined posting an ERA of 5.35 and WHIP 1.45. he saw his strikeout rate dip to 14.3% and 1.82 home runs per nine innings. Wilson faced the Cardinals in his opener allowing three earned runs over four innings. Washington evened this series at 1-1 with their 7-2 win at Pittsburgh. Play Washington +100.
LA Angels vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2022
Angels at Rangers—Noah Syndergaard to start for LAA. The veteran worked two innings for the Mets in 2021 after going through Tommy John surgery. Ace numbers in his time with New York. Big drop in velocity in his fastball last season falling to 94.7 MPH from 97.7 MPH. He opened the year facing the Astros allowing no runs and two hits over 5 1/3rd innings.
Taylor Hearn is the starter for Texas. The lefthander worked 42 games in 2021 with 11 starting and he finished with an ERA of 4.66 with WHIP 1.32. Hearn had a 20.9% strikeout rate and 9.5% walk rate. He was hurt by the home run allowing 1.47 per nine innings. Hearn faced Colorado to open the year allowing one earned run with eight walks, a hit batter and a walk. He dodged danger with so many baserunners. Angels have won three of four with their 9-6 win on Friday. Play LA Angels -125.
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2022
Yankees at Orioles—Jameson Taillon to start for NYY. The righthander returning from Tommy John surgery logged in 144 1/3rd innings posting an ERA of 4.30 and WHIP 1.21. The strikeout rate jumped to 23.2% and a small dip in velocity to 94 MPH on the fastball. The home run ball hurt Taillon with 1.50 per nine innings. Taillon faced Toronto to open 2022 and allowed two earned runs with six strikeouts in five innings.
Tyler Wells to start for the Orioles. Wells returned last season from Tommy Johns surgery and worked 57 innings out of the bullpen with an ERA of 4.11 and WHIP 0.91. An impressive 29% strikeout rate with good control. He opened his season facing Tampa Bay surrendering four earned runs in 1 2/3rd innings. Orioles moved to 2-5 with their 2-1 win on Friday. Baltimore batting only .193 as a team. Play New York Yankees run line -1.5 runs at -110.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2022
Cardinals at Brewers—Steven Matz to throw for St Louis. After getting crushed in 2020 the lefthander started 29 games for the Blue Jays in 2021 and finished with an ERA of 3.82 and WHIP 1.33. His strikeout rate fell to 22.3% last season but improved to 1.08 home runs per nine innings. The ground ball rate jumped up to 45.5%. Adrian Houser the starter for Milwaukee. The righty had a strong 2021 with an ERA of 3.22 and WHIP 1.28 in 26 starts.
A 10.7% walk rate a concern as was a 17.5% strikeout rate but Houston did manage to allow 59% ground ball rate. Houser in his opener allowed two earned runs with three walks against Baltimore working 3 2/3rd innings. Play St Louis and Milwaukee over 8.5.
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2022
Cubs at Rockies—Mark Leiter to start for the Cubs. The 31 year old in parts of two seasons at the Big Leagues has a career ERA of 5.53 and WHIP 1.47. He pitched to high contact in the Majors and was crushed by the home run ball. He opened the year in the Minors allowing one earned run in four innings against Buffalo. Antonio Senzatela to throw for Colorado. The veteran has put up respectable numbers the past two season with the Rockies by limiting walks and giving up over 50% ground ball rate.
Home run has not hurt him too much. Senzatela opened the year facing the Dodgers allowing one earned run with nine hits over 3 1/3rd innings. Rockies have won five of six after their 6-5 win on Friday. Colorado bullpen has been outstanding to start the season. Play Colorado -130.
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2022
Astros at Mariners—Justin Verlander is the starter for Houston. The veteran returned from Tommy John surgery after a two season absence working only six innings in 2020. Was an effective pitching up until the surgery. In his first start of 2022 the righthander faced the Angels and allowed one earned run in five innings with three hits.
Chris Flexen the starter for the Mariners. Return to MLB after a stint in Japan was success as Flexen with the Mariners in 2021 posted an ERA of 3.61 and WHIP 1.25 in 31 starts. He did pitch to high contact but bettered his control. He limited home runs. The righthander opened his season at Minnesota giving up three runs with eight baserunners in 4 1/3rd innings.
Both offenses struggling and getting good work from their pen. Flexen’s numbers in Seattle were much better at home. Play Houston and Seattle under 7.5.
Cincinnati Reds vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2022
Reds at Dodgers—Hunter Green is on the mound for the Reds. The righthander returned from Tommy John surgery and worked 106 1/3rd innings in the Reds minor leagues posting over 11 strikeouts per nine innings and good ERA. In his MLB debut six days ago Green allowed three earned runs with two homers in five innings at Atlanta.
Julio Urias to start for LAD. The lefty had a 20 win season in 2021 starting 32 games. His strikeout rate jumped to 26.2% last year as did his ground ball rate with walks dropping. Urias opened the season at Colorado allowing three earned runs in two innings and was hurt by shoddy defense.
Dodgers have won four straight covering the run game in each of their five wins this season. Reds batting only .189 as a team and LAD is crushing righthanders. Reds bullpen has struggled. Play LA Dodgers on run line -1.5 runs at -125.
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