Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns vs Texas State Bobcats 3/5/2022 Picks

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns vs Texas State Bobcats 3/5/2022 Picks Predictions Previews

The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns vs Texas State Bobcats in a Sun Belt Conference clash in Pensacola Bay Center, Pensacola, FL, on Saturday, March 5, 2022, at 12:30 PM (EST). Louisiana gained four of its past five matches after beating UT Arlington 67-64 on Thursday to keep its season alive.

On Saturday afternoon, the Ragin’ Cajuns must escape a three-game sweep at the hands of Texas State, since they lost both regular-season matchups. However, in each of those losses, they were able to stay inside single digits.

Louisiana had a tough period in January and February, losing eight of ten games before capturing three of its final four matches.

The Ragin’ Cajuns are a poor offensive squad, with KenPom’s modified efficiency ratings ranking them 217th. They had a lot of turnover problems, throwing the ball away on more than 22% of their possessions, which ranks them 348th in the country.

With a No. 25 offensive rebounding rate in the country, Louisiana can rescue some of its possessions. It will be up against a Texas State defense ranked 163rd in adjusted efficiency. Louisiana’s Jordan Brown tops the team with 14.6 points and 8.7 rebounds per game, while Kobe Julien adds 12.7 points and 4.0 rebounds per game.

The total went OVER in 5 of Louisiana-Lafayette’s last 7 matches.
The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 matches against Texas State.
Louisiana-Lafayette is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 matches in the Sun Belt Conference.

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Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns vs Texas State Bobcats Predictions 3/5/2022

Texas State started the season with a 9-4 record and improved as the season progressed. In January, the Bobcats dropped back-to-back away games against Arkansas State and UT Arlington before finishing the regular season with a nine-game unbeaten run.

During that span, they beat Louisiana 82-73 on the road. Last week, they won back-to-back away games against South Alabama and Troy, but this will be their first game in almost a week.

The Bobcats are ranked No. 117 in adjusted offensive efficiency, led by a national-leading 38.1 percent 3-point shooting percentage. They’re also doing a decent job on the offensive glass—their one flaw is a 248 turnover rate on that end of the floor.

The turnovers are unexpected considering Texas State is one of the most seasoned teams in NCAA basketball. Texas State is led by guard Caleb Asberry, who averages 13.7 points and 4.5 rebounds per game. G Mason Harrell and F Isiah Small are both in double digits.

The total went UNDER in 4 of Texas State’s last 5 matches.
The total went OVER in 4 of Texas State’s last 6 matches against Louisiana-Lafayette.
Texas State is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 matches in the Sun Belt Conference.

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns vs Texas State Bobcats. The NCAAB pick for this game is the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns. As an underdog in this place, I admire a few things about Louisiana.

The first is that the Ragin’ Cajuns already won this tournament and had a day off, so weariness and rust will not be an issue. They also showed they can compete with Texas State by holding both games under ten points.

The Bobcats are under a lot of pressure heading into this tournament. They’re the top seed and did not play in over a week, which isn’t always a good thing. In 14 of the previous 19 encounters between these teams, Louisiana covered the spread. The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajun will win to a predicted score of 68-65.

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