Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Troy Trojans 2/10/2022 Picks Predictions

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Troy Trojans 2/10/2022 Picks Predictions Previews

The Arkansas State Red Wolves will meet with the Troy Trojans in a Sun Belt Conference clash in Trojan Arena, Troy, on Thursday, February 10, 2022, at 7:00 PM (EST). The Red Wolves’ offense is in the middle of the pack, producing 70.5 points per game, good for 158th in the country.

In terms of adjusted offensive efficiency, KenPom placed them in 183rd. This season, Arkansas State found success by counterbalancing their attack with a strong defense. They’ll be up against a Troy club that kept opponents to 67 points per game and ranks 82nd in KenPom’s altered defensive efficiency.

Troy’s defense ranks 50th in steals and 58th in opponent turnovers nationally, while Arkansas State is 292nd in turnover rate.

Norchad Omier, the team’s leading scorer, is in fine form of late, scoring 20 points or more in five of his past eight matches and raking in double-digit rebounds in eleven straight games. He had a rare single-digit performance against the Ragin’ Cajuns on Saturday, and he’ll be hoping it was just a one-game hiccup in a string of excellent play. The bench came to the rescue against Louisiana and might play a role in exploiting Troy’s stout defense once again.

The University of Arkansas State Red Wolves is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 matches.
Arkansas State is 2-4 SU in their last 6 matches against Troy.
The total went UNDER in 4 of Arkansas State’s last 5 matches in the Sun Belt Conference.

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Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Troy Trojans Predictions 2/10/2022

This year, Troy went 8-1 at home, including a dominating win over Appalachian State in January. Their strong home record contrasts nicely with Arkansas State’s away record, which is only one game above .500.

Their already great defense improves even more in front of their raucous supporters, allowing only 62.3 points per game, about five whole points less than their overall average. Aside from Appalachian State, Arkansas State will be the biggest opponent Troy will face this season, and Troy will be hoping to prove they can take the challenge.

Troy’s offense isn’t as powerful as their defense. To beat their opponents, they rely on a well-balanced point distribution. Efe Odigie (11.3 points per game) is the only player on Troy’s roster that averages double digits. While they lack that one big scorer, they do have the ability to respond to their opponents and give the ball to the hot hand. Their success is largely built on their ability to keep their opponents at bay long enough for the tallies they do make to stand up, and they will need to do the same against the Red Wolves.

The University of Troy Trojans is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 matches.
The total went OVER in 4 of Troy’s last 5 matches at home against Arkansas State.
The total went UNDER in 7 of Troy’s last 9 matches in the Sun Belt Conference.

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Troy Trojans. The NCAAB pick for this game is the Troy Trojans. Troy’s powerful defense will lead them to a win over a tough conference opponent.

The tiny spread indicates that this match will be close, but considering Troy’s home advantage and how well their defense matches up against the Red Wolves’ attack, we can feel confident about giving up a few points. This year, Troy is 13-7 ATS, and they will comfortably cover three points in this game. The Troy Trojans will win to a predicted score of 70-65.

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