Free College Football Picks For Week Thirteen 11/24/2021
Texas St vs. Arkansas St Pick Prediction 11/27/2021
Texas St at Arkansas St—Neither team headed to a bowl as Texas St sits at 3-8 and Arkansas St 2-9. Arkansas St quarterback James Blackman may not be ready to return. Layne Hatcher has put up big numbers in his past two games with 444 yards and 68% completion on UL Monroe and 273 yards with 58.3% completion on Georgia St. Brady McBride has missed the past four games and probable. Prior to his injury McBride threw seven interceptions in his past three Sun Belt games. Backup Tyler Vitt recent struggles with 5.8 yards per pass attempt and could split time with McBride. Bobcats defense trending poorly past three games allowing 271 yards with 8.3 yards per attempt. Play Arkansas St -1.5.
Troy vs. Georgia St Pick Prediction 11/27/2021
Troy at Georgia St—Troy enters play at 5-6 and one win away from bowl eligibility. Georgia St is bowl eligible at 6-5 but Sun Belt teams usually gets a six win team snubbed if there are more than 82 bowl eligible teams. Sun Belt teams need to shoot for seven wins to guarantee placement into the bowls. Panthers have won five of six covering five of those games. They have a notable road win at Coastal Carolina. Georgia St was competitive in their loss at Louisiana by four. Troy faced top tier Sun Belt teams and lost two straight to Louisiana as well as Appalachian St all at home. Trojans run game stalled in defeat. Troy quarterback Gunnar Watson has struggled with accuracy in three of his past four Sun Belt games. Panthers ground game trending well. Play Georgia St -6.
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian St Pick Prediction 11/27/2021
Georgia Southern at Appalachian St—Appalachian St will go to a bowl game at 9-2. No bowl for Georgia Southern at 3-8. The Eagles have struggled offensively against the Sun Belt. They have lost five of six. On the road Georgia Southern defense has gotten crushed by allowing 496 yards with 329 passing for 9.7 yards per pass attempt. On offense they have gained only 283 yards. Appalachian St at home has moved the ball well with an average of 504 yards with 5.1 yards per rush. Quarterback Chase Brice completing 65.3% of his throws at home for 9.3 yards per pass attempt. Play Appalachian St -24.5.
UMASS vs. New Mexico St Pick Prediction 11/27/2021
UMASS at New Mexico St—Two bottom feeder one win teams go head to head here. Minutemen quarterback Tyler Lytle is questionable so it could be Brady Olsen under center. Olsen is completing 48.1% of his throws this season. Third string Garrett Dzuro also saw action in the loss at Army. New Mexico St has a winning spread record as they have shown more of a pulse on offense. Quarterback Jonah Johnson is completing 56.9% of his throws. He had good performances against Hawaii, San Jose St, Nevada, Utah St and San Diego St. Play New Mexico St -6.
FIU vs. Southern Miss Pick Prediction 11/27/2021
FIU at Southern Miss—A forgettable season for the Golden Panthers as they enter with a 1-10 team. Head coach Butch Davis was fired last week. They have been crushed in their past four Conference USA games by 23 or greater points. FIU has lost all seven Conference USA games covering one as they have allowed an average of 522 yards. Their losses in conference have been by 12 or greater points. Average margin of defeat in Conference USA is 29 points. Southern Miss comes off a win at Louisian Tech 35-19. Golden Eagles defense in the better form. Play Southern Miss -10.
Hawaii vs. Wyoming Pick Prediction 11/27/2021
Hawaii at Wyoming—Wyoming is bowl eligible at 6-5. Hawaii is not with a 5-7 mark. There have been Mountain West teams with six wins that have been snubbed when there were more than 82 bowl eligible teams. So seven wins is where you want to be. Other than a win at New Mexico St the Warriors have had no success on the mainland. In the non-conference an 18 point loss at Oregon St. In conference losses by 17 at Nevada, 20 at Utah St and 14 at UNLV. Levi Williams has shown improvement under center with 16.1 yards per attempt at Utah St and 8.7 on Boise St. They have covered three straight with wins by 24 at Utah St and 14 home to San Jose St. Play Wyoming -10.
Penn St vs. Michigan St Pick Prediction 11/27/2021
Penn St at Michigan St—It has been no secret about the Michigan St pass defense. Spartans were able to overcome it by outscoring opponents with good offensive production. The Spartans are giving up 340 yards passing on the season with 7.2 yards per pass attempt. Penn St has a good defense. They are trending well past three games holding opponents to 313 yards with 2.6 per rush and 5.9 yards per pass attempt. Nittany Lions did cover and were competitive at Ohio St. Sean Clifford is recovered from his illness to start at quarterback for the Nittany Lions here. The senior quarterback threw for 361 yards on Ohio St and 363 on Maryland. Spartans starting running back and receiver banged up. Play Penn St +1.
Northwestern vs. Illinois Pick Prediction 11/27/2021
Northwestern at Illinois—Neither team will make a bowl game as Northwestern is 3-8 and Illinois 4-7. Wildcats rebuilding have been beaten up in conference play losing seven of eight. They are 0-4 straight up and against the spread on the road this season. It has been ugly in their Big Ten road games with losses by 28 at Wisconsin, 26 at Michigan and 49 at Nebraska. They even lost at a down Duke team by seven on the road. Wildcats defense on the highway is surrendering 546 yards with 303 rushing for 6 yards per rush. Illinois senior quarterback Brandon Peters 8.9 yards per attempt on Minnesota and 10 per attempt on Rutgers. Play Illinois -6.5.
Oregon St at Oregon Pick Prediction 11/27/2021
Oregon St at Oregon—A win by Oregon and they head to the PAC 12 championship. An Oregon St win and they go to the PAC 12 title game as they have a win against Washington St to win the three way tie if the Cougars win against Washington. Beavers have won two straight after their 24-10 win to Arizona St. But their road form has not been good with losses at Colorado, Cal and Washington St. In the non-conference they lost at Purdue by nine. Beavers defense has struggled on the highway by surrendering 447 yards with 299 passing for 8 yards per pass attempt. Ducks losses have come on the road. At home they are 6-0 straight up. They have had trouble covering at home but this is the shortest number. All their home wins came by seven or greater points. At home Ducks average 441 yards with 5.6 yards per rush and 8.1 per pass attempt. Play Oregon -7.
Alabama vs. Auburn Pick Prediction 11/27/2021
Alabama at Auburn—Tigers are trending poorly losing and failing to cover three straight. Offensive production lacking with 17 points at South Carolina and three points at Texas A&M. With Bo Nix out, Auburn looks to LSU transfer TJ Finley. He is completing only 52.3% of his throws coming off a poor outing in his first start last week at South Carolina completing 53.1% with 5.9 yards per pass attempt. Alabama offense in good form as in their past three games averaging 522 yards with 400 passing. Quarterback Bryce Young in his past three SEC games completing 76% of his throws for 11.3 yards per pass attempt. After a subpar effort from the Crimson Tide defense last week look for a rebound in their tune up before Georgia in a week. Play Alabama -19.5.
Western Kentucky vs. Marshall Pick Prediction 11/27/2021
Western Kentucky at Marshall—Both teams are bowl eligible with identical 7-4 records. Marshall has won six straight and Western Kentucky five of six. Hilltoppers are a strong offensive team The defense started slow but from mid-October to the presence the defense has gotten better. In their past six games Western Kentucky has allowed 21 or fewer points. They are trending well on offense in past three against Conference USA by gaining 515 yards with 428 passing yards and 8.6 yards per pass attempt. Bailey Zappe is completing 71.7% of his throws. He averaged 9.6 per pass attempt on FAU and 11.5 at Rice in his past two games. Play Western Kentucky +1.
Indiana vs. Purdue Pick Prediction 11/27/2021
Indiana at Purdue—Hoosiers have been spiraling downward with the injury to starting quarterback Michael Penix. They had an injury to their second string so they are now led by third straight Donaven McCulley. He is completing only 42.7% of his throws. Past three games McCulley averaging only 4 yards per pass attempt. Purdue trending well offensively in their past three games with 516 yards. Quarterback Aidan O’Connell is completing 72.7% of his throws. He averaged 10.8 per attempt on Northwestern, 7.5 on Ohio St and 9.9 on Michigan St in his past three games. Play Purdue -14.5.
Vanderbilt vs. Tennessee Pick Prediction 11/27/2021
Vanderbilt at Tennessee—Another down season for the Commodores as they enter at 2-9 with no bowl. Tennessee is bowl eligible at 6-5. Vanderbilt has been competitive enough to cover four of their past five SEC games. The offense has shown improvement with 454 yards on Ole Miss last week and two weeks ago gained 380 yards. Volunteers defense has taken a beating in their past three SEC games giving up 41 to Georgia, 42 to Kentucky and 52 to Ole Miss. Against the SEC the Vols are giving up 493 yards. Play Vanderbilt +31.5.
Virginia Tech vs. Virginia Pick Prediction 11/27/2021
Virginia Tech at Virginia—Virginia is 6-5 and bowl eligible. Virginia Tech is 5-6 and one win away from bowl eligible. Brennan Armstrong returned from injury at Pittsburgh and threw for 487 yards averaging 9.9 yards per pass attempt. Cavaliers covered in defeat. The previous two games Armstrong averaged 9.9 per attempt on BYU and 9.2 on Georgia Tech. Cavs have been held back by a bad defense. Past three games Virginia allowing 555 yards with 267 rushing for 6.6 yards per rush and 287 passing for 8.4 per attempt. In this period Hokies running for 5.8 yards per carry and 228 yards. Quarterback Braxton Burmeister in his past three ACC games completing 69.7% of his throws for 9.8 yards per pass attempt. Play Virginia Tech and Virginia over 62.5.
Tulsa vs. SMU Pick Prediction 11/27/2021
Tulsa at SMU—Tulsa at 5-6 is one win away from bowl eligibility. SMU will be heading to a bowl game with a mark of 8-3. Tulsa defense trending well holding three of their past four opponents to 20 points or fewer. Exception was the 28 they allowed at Cincinnati in defeat but cover. SMU has lost three of four all on the road. Mustangs at home is averaging 548 yards with 196 rushing for 5.4 yards per rush. Mustangs have pounded UCF by 27, Tulane by 29 and SUF by 24 in their home AAC games. They also pounded North Texas in the non-conference at home 35-12. Play SMU -7.