Free NFL Picks For Today 11/21/2021
Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings Pick Prediction 11/21/2021
Packers at Vikings—Green Bays has covered nine straight. Defensively they have been strong holding opponents to 14 points of fewer in four of their past five games. Past three games Packers defense holding teams to 259 yards with 3.7 yards per rush and only 5 yards per pass attempt. Vikings corner Breeland questionable with a groin injury. Minnesota has lost two of three at home held to 16 to the Cowboys, 19 to the Lions and 7 to the Browns failing to cover each game. Minnesota has struggled to convert third downs and red zone defense. Play Green Bay -1.
New Orleans Saints vs. Philadelphia Eagles Pick Prediction 11/21/2021
Saints at Eagles—It is a back to back road game for the Saints as they covered and didn’t cover in a two point loss to Tennessee on the road. Defense get the Saints in the game as they allowed only 264 yards to Tennessee. But there are key injuries for New Orleans as they are without running back Kamara. Out are both of their starting tackles. Defense is healthy for New Orleans. Miles Sanders does return in the backfield for the Eagles. Backup quarterback for Trevor Simien as Winston out for the season. New Orleans has struggled converting third downs. Eagles defense has struggled at home giving up 278 passing yards with 80% completion rate and 8 yards per pass attempt. Play New Orleans +3.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Chicago Bears Pick Prediction 11/21/2021
Ravens at Bears—All eyes on the status of Lamar Jackson who has a non-COVID illness. Tyler Huntley is the backup. Khalil Mack out for the Bears. Chicago defense is trending poorly as in their past three games allowing 385 yards with 144 rushing for 4.9 yards per rush with 241 passing and 7.5 yards per pass attempt. Ravens defense is second best in the NFL on third down and best inside the red zone. Chicago at home averaging 20 points and 295 yards per game. Bears are off the bye and the Ravens have long rest after a Thursday night loss at the Dolphins. Play Baltimore -5.
San Francisco 49ers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Pick Prediction 11/21/2021
49ers at Jaguars—San Francisco got on a positive track with a strong running game in their 31-20 home win to the Rams. Bad news for San Francisco as starting running back Elijah Mitchell is listed as doubtful with a finger injury. 49ers have been hit hard with injuries at this position. Jacksonville offense is trending poorly in their past three games with 286 yards with 172 yards passing for 4.4 yards per rush. They have converted only 28.6% on third down in this period and a poor 50% conversion rate in the red zone. Jaguars putting up only 11 points a game in this span. Play San Francisco and Jacksonville under 45.
Detroit Lions vs. Cleveland Browns Pick Prediction 11/21/2021
Lions at Browns—Lions earned a tie with the Steelers last week and still looking for their first win. Detroit offense has struggled held to under 20 points in eight straight games. Over their past three they are being held to 316 yards with 175 passing for 5.5 yards per rush. In this period they are converting only 31.9% on third down. Jared Goff is doubtful with an oblique injury. The backup is Tim Boyle. He has been in the league for four season and attempted only four passes. He had poor numbers in the preseason averaging only 3.5 yards per pass attempt. Lions will struggle to score here. Baker Mayfield is playing through numerous injuries. Browns have been held to 17 or fewer points in four of five. Play Cleveland and Detroit under 42.5.
Washington Football Team vs. Carolina Panthers Pick Prediction 11/21/2021
Washington at Carolina—Washington head coach Ron Rivera knows how to defend Cam Newton His arm strength has weakened as he has struggled to throw deep downfield. Football Team has defended well past two games holding the Broncos to 17 points they after the bye held the Buccaneers to 19 points in a ten point win. In four passes last week Newton averaged only 2 yards per attempt. He struggled mightily with accuracy in his final years with the Panthers. Carolina has lost five of seven. Carolina defense is last in the red zone and on offense has struggled on third down. The more hits Newton takes the less impact he has in the game especially in this period of his career. Play Washington +3.5.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Buffalo Bills Pick Prediction 11/21/2021
Colts at Bills—Indianapolis has won four of five. Carson Wentz is healthy and is getting great help from his run game. Indianapolis run game past three games averaging 156 yards with 6.1 yards per rush. These teams met in the playoffs last year with he Bills winning by three as the Colts were able to run and move the ball through the air against the Bills. Buffalo have an offensive and defensive end out. Their middle linebacker questionable. Colts are a healthy team. Buffalo has one cover in their past four games. Play Indianapolis +7.5.
Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans Pick Prediction 11/21/2021
Texans at Titans—Tennessee is banged up with two starting linebackers out and another out placed on the injured reserve. A starting corner is questionable. On offense the Titans are without Henry and wide receiver Julio Jones. Houston is coming off a bye week and better with Tyrod Taylor under center. He was rusty in his return against the Dolphins but was effective against the Jaguars and Browns with three touchdowns and no picks. Play Houston +10.5.
Miami Dolphins at NY Jets Pick Prediction 11/21/2021
Dolphins at Jets—It will be Joe Flacco under center as the Jets turn to option three at that position. He couldn’t’ see action as a backup for Philadelphia this year. Last year with the Jets, Flacco completed 55.2% and averaged only 6.4 yards per pass attempt. Dolphins carry a two game win streak with eight point wins at home to Houston and by 12 to Baltimore. Miami defense held the Texans to 272 yards and 294 to the Ravens. They gave up 19 points total in those two games. Flacco is immobile and the Jets have struggled with pass protection allowing almost three sacks a game. Jets defense trending poorly as in their past three games allowing 446 yards with 6.3 yards per rush and 9.7 yards per pass attempt. Play Miami -3.5.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Las Vegas Raiders Pick Prediction 11/21/2021
Bengals at Raiders—Both teams have struggled with two game losing streaks for each. Bengals come off the bye and there has been turmoil on and off the field for the Raiders. Raiders offense has struggled with 16 points at the Giants and 14 to the Chiefs. Las Vegas gained only 299 yards on the Chiefs defense that was struggled. Las Vegas defense 19th on third down and 31st in the red zone. Bengals have road wins at the Ravens and Steelers. Play Cincinnati -1.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Kansas City Chiefs Pick Prediction 11/21/2021
Cowboys at Chiefs—Amari Cooper will be out for the Cowboys with COVID. Dallas offense has been strong on the road as they have averaged 464 yards with 349 passing for 7.9 yards per pass. They have covered eight of nine. Chiefs pass defense has struggled at home by allowing 260 yards with 8.2 yards per attempt. Cowboys fifth offensively on third down and on defense sitting third. KC sits 27th defensively inside the red zone. Chiefs are banged up at the offensive line and will be without their left tackle. Play Dallas +3.
Arizona Cardinals vs. Seattle Seahawks Pick Prediction 11/21/2021
Cardinals at Seahawks—Late Sunday night there were media reports point to Colt McCoy to start at quarterback for Arizona. Without Kyler Murray in the lineup the Cardinals were pounded at home to the Carolina Panthers 34-10 behind only 169 yards. At 3-6 the Seattle Seahawks are a desperate team. The Seahawks defense has held their past three opponents to 17 or fewer points and 335 yards. Teams in this period running for only 3.4 yards per rush and 5.7 per pass attempt. Russell Wilson was rusty in his first game back against the Packers. McCoy a huge downgrade here. Play Seattle +2.5.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. LA Chargers Pick Prediction 11/21/2021
Steelers at Chargers—Steelers had won four straight. Then Big Ben sat and with Mason Rudolph under center the team tied 16-16 with Detroit. Pittsburgh defense has held up on the road by allowing 348 yards, 4.2 yards per rush and 5.9 yards per pass attempt. On the season the Steelers are sixth on third down and third in the red zone. Chargers have lost three of four. Defensively the team has allowed 24 or greater points in five straight. This unit is 31st on third down and 20th inside the red zone. We have seen a lot of Steeler fans travel to San Diego when the Chargers played down there. There will be a huge contingent of Pittsburgh fans in LA for this one. There will be no homefield advantage for the Chargers here. In three of his past four starts Justin Herbert averaged 5.7 yards per attempt against the Vikings, 6.4 versus the Patriots and five against the Ravens. Play Pittsburgh +5.5.