Free NFL Picks For Today 11/14/2021
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New Orleans Saints vs. Tennessee Titans Pick Prediction 11/14/2021
Saints at Titans—Key injuries for New Orleans as Alvin Kamara and left tackle Terron Armstead will miss. They are without Jameis Winston so it will be Trever Simien under center. On the season he is completing 58.6% of his throws for 5.8 yards per pass attempt. Titans on a five game win streak. Defensively past five games Titans holding teams to 244 yards passing, 59.3% completion rate and 4.9 yards per pass attempt with 3.3 sacks per game. They are also forcing 2.7 turnovers a game. Play Tennessee -3.
Cleveland Browns vs. New England Patriots Pick Prediction 11/14/2021
Browns at Patriots—Running back Nick Chubb out for the Browns. Cleveland offense has been inconsistent as they were held to an average of 14 points a game past three until they put up 41 on Cincinnati on the road last week. At home Patriots quarterback Mac Jones completing 69% of his passes for 7.3 yards per pass attempt. Past three games Jones averaging 7.8 per attempt. Patriots defense trending well in this period holding teams to 301 yards with 5.5 yards per pass attempt. Play New England -2.5.
Detroit Lions vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Pick Prediction 11/14/2021
Lions at Steelers—Short week for Pittsburgh as they win and don’t cover against Chicago due to mistakes. Lions come off a bye week after their worst game of the season in a 44-6 home defeat to the Eagles. They a desperate team looking for their first win. Short week for the Steelers and coming off a bye for the Lions. Steelers have the tendency in these types of games to play down to the level of competition. Past three game Pittsburgh offense averaging only 3.6 yards per rush and 6.2 yards per pass attempt with only 34.1% conversion rate on third down. Pittsburgh only averages 20.1 points a game and couldn’t separate enough to cover against a bad Bears offense. Play Detroit +8.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts Pick Prediction 11/14/2021
Jaguars at Colts—The play of the Jacksonville Jaguars defense has improved. Past three games Jags are holding opponents to 320 yards with 3.7 yards per rush and 6.2 yards per pass attempt. In this period they have averaged 2.3 sacks per game getting good pressure on opposing quarterbacks. Carson Wentz needs a clean pocket to be effective. Pressure Wentz and he is ineffective and prone to mistakes. This is a divisional game and would rather take double digits. Play Jacksonville +10.5.
Atlanta Falcons vs. Dallas Cowboys Pick Prediction 11/14/2021
Falcons at Cowboys—Atlanta has shown improvement winning and covering four of their past six games to move their record to .500. Defensively past three games Atlanta holding opponents to 225 yards passing with 6.3 yards per attempt and 4.4 yards per carry on the ground. Past five games Matt Ryan completing 69.2% of his throws for 7.9 yards per pass attempt. Dak Prescott returned from injury and team fell 30-16 home to Denver gaining only 290 yards. Falcons a healthy team. Cowboys left tackle Tyron Smith out. Cowboys defense did surrender 407 yards to the Broncos. Play Atlanta +8.
Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets Pick Prediction 11/14/2021
Bills at Jets—New York offense has shown improvement with Mike White under center. White is completing 72.7% of his throws for 8 yards per pass attempt. Bills not running the football as the offense is over reliant in the passing game. Past three games Josh Allen averaging only 5.9 yards per pass attempt and team running for 4.3 yards per rush. Past two road games Allen sacked three times by the Titans and four times against the Jaguars last week. Play NY Jets +13.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Washington Football Team Pick Prediction 11/14/2021
Buccaneers at Washington—Tampa Bay coming off a loss and their bye week after a nine point loss at New Orleans. They had won eight straight prior to that defeat. Washington still utilizing a backup at quarterback in Taylor Heinicke. Their offense in their past three games have averaged 11 points per game with 5.6 yards per pass attempt. Buccaneers trending better on the ground and Brady completing 68.9% with 7.2 yards per attempt. Recent double digit losses by Washington to the Packers, Chiefs, Saints and Bills. Play Tampa Bay -9.5.
Carolina Panthers vs. Arizona Cardinals Pick Prediction 11/14/2021
Panthers at Cardinals—Panthers will look to backup PJ Walker under center with the injury to Sam Darnold. They have lost and failed to cover five of their past six games. Offensive production a major issue as in their past five games averaging 248 yards with 3.9 yards per rush and a minuscule 4.2 yards per pass attempt. Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray a game time decision. He did practice on Friday. AJ Green returns at wide receiver but DeAndre Hopkins a game time decision. Expect Christian McCaffrey to be featured for Carolina in the run game which moves clock and shortens game. Play Arizona and Carolina under 44.5.
Minnesota Vikings vs. LA Chargers Pick Prediction 11/14/2021
Vikings at Chargers—Both offenses trending well past three games. Vikings running for 143 yards with 5.3 yards per rush and 245 yards passing. Chargers have shown a weakness this season stopping the run. Chargers in this period running for 4.7 yards per rush and passing for 248 yards. Vikings defense in his time period allowing 408 yards with 4.8 yards per rush and 260 in the passing game. Chargers are banged up on defense at linebacker and the secondary. Defensive tackle, linebacker and starting safety out for Minnesota with a corner questionable. AFC vs. NFC matchup here so each defense not familiar with opposing offense. Play Minnesota and LA over 53.5.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Green Bay Packers Pick Prediction 11/14/2021
Seahawks at Packers—Aaron Rodgers is off the COVID list and will play on Sunday. He faces a Seahawks defense that has struggled defending the pass by allowing 273 yards with 65% completion rate. Rodgers have his weapons healthy in the passing game. Quarterback Russell Wilson returns under center for Seattle. Wilson is completing 72% of his passes this year for 9.6 yards per pass attempt. Teams have played to over head to head in past two meetings combining for 51 points each game. Play Seattle and Green Bay over 49.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Denver Broncos Pick Prediction 11/14/2021
Eagles at Broncos—Denver returns home on a two game win streak after their most impressive win of the season beating Dallas 30-16 with Dak Prescott under center for the Cowboys. Broncos moved the football for 407 yards in the win rushing for 190 yards. Defensively past three games Broncos allowing 336 yards with 14.3 points per game. They have been putting great pressure on opposing quarterbacks in this period. Philadelphia defensively past three games are giving up 283 yards passing, 83% completion rate and 9.7 yards per pass attempt. Broncos have dominated losing teams with 40% or worse record at home covering seven straight. They are 0-4 straight up this year against winning teams. Eagles have struggled against winning teams on the road with losses by 11 at Las Vegas, and 20 at Dallas. Against winning teams at home the Eagles lost all two with defeats by 6 to Tampa Bay and 12 to KC. Teddy Bridgewater completing 70.2% of his passes for 7.6 yards per attempt. Play Denver -1.5.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders Pick Prediction 11/14/2021
Chiefs at Raiders—Kansas City has won six of seven against the Raiders. They have won four of six with those four wins coming by three points or greater. Defense has shown better of late as in their past three games holding opponents to 323 yards, 3.7 yards per rush and 7.1 yards per pass attempt. Raiders have lost three of five after a bad loss at the Giants 23-16. Raiders were just 1 of 6 inside the red zone and gave up 149 yards for nearly five yards a carry on New York. Derek Carr threw two interceptions with one going for a New York touchdown. He averaged just six yards per attempt on the Giants. Play Kansas City -2.5.