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La Liga Villarreal vs Cadiz 10/26/2021 Picks Predictions Previews

La Liga Villarreal vs Cadiz 10/26/2021 Picks Predictions Previews


Villarreal started the season unbeaten in their first 8 matches in all competitions (1-0-7), but they have now lost 3 of their last 5 (all by the same 2-1 final score).


In their last match they lost by 2-1 on the road against Bilbao (2.64xG – 0.61xG), and prior to that they lost to Osasuna by 2-1 at home. But in-between they blasted Club Brugge by 4-1 on the road in the Champions League. They are sitting at the 13th spot of the La Liga with 2 wins, 2 losses and 5 draws so far, and 11 points to their name.


Villarreal have the 10th worst xG with 11.25, 6th worst offense with 10 goals (normal numbers). At home they have the 5th best xG with 7.30, 6th best offense with 7 goals (normal numbers).


When it comes to xGA, Villarreal have the 10th best xGA with 11.00, 3rd best defense with 7 conceded (4 less than expected – indicates an overperforming defense). At home they have the 2nd best xGA with 2.83, and the 3rd best defense with 3 conceded (normal numbers). 


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La Liga Villarreal vs Cadiz Predictions 10/26/2021


Cadiz are coming off a tough 2-0 home loss against Alaves, where the xG numbers told a different story (2.00xG – 1.87xG). Now win-less in their last 5 (3 losses, 2 draws), scoring just 1 goal in that span.


Sitting 17th in the La Liga with 1 win, 5 losses, 4 draws and 7 points. Cadiz have the 8th worst xG with 10.75, but the 3rd worst offense with 7 goals (3.75 fewer than expected – which indicates an underperforming offense). On the road they have the 10th best xG with 4.23, and the 4th worst offense with 4 goals (normal numbers).


As far as the xGA numbers are concerned, Cadiz have the WORST xGA with 15.68, and the 2nd worst defense with 15 conceded (normal numbers). On the road, Cadiz have the 8th best xGA with 6.44, 6th worst away defense with 7 conceded (normal). 


Villarreal vs Cadiz. Villarreal grabbed 4 points against Cadiz last season and they have never lost as hosts (3-0-1). Now sitting at the bottom half of the league table, Villarreal will be eager to return to winning ways against a VERY bad defensive team.


However, we have Villarreal’s Overperforming defense matched with Cadiz’ underperforming offense, so I wouldn’t be surprised by a visitors goal here. 


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La Liga Villarreal vs Cadiz 10/26/2021 Picks Predictions Previews

La Liga Starting Time: 15:00PM EDT


Location: Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal


Date: Tuesday, October 26th     


La Liga Odds: Villarreal -1.25


La Liga Totals: 2.5 Goals


Free La Liga Pick: Over 2.5 Goals (-116)


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