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Serie A AC Milan vs Torino 10/26/2021 Picks Predictions Previews

Serie A AC Milan vs Torino 10/26/2021 Picks Predictions Previews

 

AC Milan are coming off a 4-2 away win at Bologna, in a match where they took an early lead at the 16th minute and saw their opponents receive a red card at the 20th minute. They were up by 2-0 at the start of the second half, but they conceded 2 goals in a 3-minute span.

 

Bologna saw another red card in the second half, while AC Milan scored 2 late goals to win by 4-2. They are still sitting at the 2nd spot of the Serie A with 25 points (8 wins, 1 draw), on a tie with Napoli.

 

AC Milan have won all 4 matches at home so far, scoring 11 and conceding 3 goals. They have the 2nd best xG in the league with 16.8, and the 2nd best offense with 22 goals (5.2 more than the expected, which indicates an overperforming offense). At home they have the 3rd best xG with 9.78 and the 3rd best offense with 11 goals (1.22 more of what is expected).

 

As far as the xGA go, AC Milan have the 2nd best xGA in the league with 9.6, and the 2nd best defense with 9 conceded goals (normal numbers). At home they have the 2nd best xGA in the league with 2.82, and the 3rd best defense with 3 conceded goals (normal).

 

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Serie A AC Milan vs Torino Predictions 10/26/2021

 

Torino are coming into this match after a 3-2 home win over Genoa (2.24xG vs 2.35xG), in a match where a draw might have been a fairer result. That was their first win after a four-match win-less streak.

 

Torino are sitting at the 12th spot of the league table with 11 points (3 wins, 4 losses, 2 draws). They have the 10th best xG in the league with 12.99, but the 4th worst offense with 12 goals (normal numbers). On the road they have the 4th worst xG with 4.71, and the worst away offense with 3 goals (1.71 fewer goals than expected, which indicates an underperforming offense).

 

When it comes to xGA, Torino have the 4th best xGA in the league with 10.55, and the 3rd best defense with 10 conceded goals. On the road they have the 2nd best xGA with 4.19, and the 2nd best away defense with 4 conceded goals. 

 

AC Milan vs Torino. AC Milan beat Torino in both league matches last season, by 2-0 in this venue and by a massive 7-0 on the road. In-between they also played a Cup match, where AC Milan won in the penalty shoot-out (after a goal-less draw in regular time).

 

AC Milan have been tremendous as hosts against Torino in over 30 years, losing only a Cup match against them (17-1-9). They might be unbeaten against Torino at home since 2000 (10-0-7), but they have won just 2 of their last 6 here (2-0-4). This could very well be a low-scoring match, so the Under 2.75 Goals is surely something to consider here.

 

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Serie A AC Milan vs Torino 10/26/2021 Picks Predictions Previews

Serie A Starting Time: 15:00PM EDT

 

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milan

 

Date: Tuesday, October 26th     

 

Serie A Odds: AC Milan -1

 

Serie A Totals: 2.75

 

Free Serie A Pick: Under 2.75 Goals (-111)

 

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