Premier League Manchester City vs Burnley 10/16/2021 Picks Predictions

Premier League Manchester City vs Burnley 10/16/2021 Picks Predictions Previews

Manchester City are coming off a draw on the road against Liverpool, just a few days after a tough loss against PSG in the Champions League. They will now return home after 3 consecutive matches on the road, where they will play host to Burnley on Saturday. Burnley have found some solid form lately, going unbeaten in their last 3, but they have suffered in this venue in recent years.

Manchester City (4 wins, 1 loss, 2 draws) fought really hard to avoid the loss on the road against Liverpool in their last match. They had to come back from one goal behind twice in that match, eventually settling for the 2-2 draw. A few days prior they met a tough 2-0 loss on the road against PSG for the Champions League (and they do have another Champions League match coming up a few days after their match against Burnley). Manchester City are sitting at the 3rd spot of the Premier League with 14 points, as many as Manchester United, Everton and Brighton below them.

City have the 2nd best xG with 15.73 and the 3rd best offense with 14 goals so far. Moreover, they have the best xGA with just 3.64, and the best defense in the league with just 3 conceded goals. At home (2 wins, 0 losses, 1 draw) they have the 2nd best xG with 8.14 and the best offense with 10 goals. Last but not least, they have the best xGA at home with 0.64, and the best home defense with zero conceded.

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Premier League Manchester City vs Burnley Predictions 10/16/2021

Burnley (0 wins, 4 losses, 3 draws) are coming into this match after a goal-less draw at home against Norwich, in what was a very physical match. Prior to that they played for a 2-2 draw on the road against Leicester and a 4-1 win over Rochdale in the Carabao Cup. Burnley have yet to win a Premier League match so far, and are sitting at the 18th spot of the league table with 3 points.

They have the 7th worst xG with 7.81 and the 2nd worst offense with just 5 goals so far. Burnley have the 7th worst xGA with 11.58, and the 4th worst defense with 11 conceded goals. On the road (0 wins, 2 losses, 1 draw), Burnley have the 3rd worst xG with just 2.62 and the 4th worst offense with 3 goals. Moreover, they have the 4th worst xGA on the road with 6.61, and the 3rd worst defense with 7 conceded goals.

Manchester City vs Burnley. Manchester City won both Premier League matches against Burnley last season, as well as a Carabao Cup match. They scored a total of 10 goals and didn’t concede any. City have now won each of the last 8 and 11 of the last 12 matches against Burnley. They have won each of the last 7 as hosts against Burnley, winning by 3 or more goals in each of the last 6. Taking Manchester City with -2.25 here.

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