Free College Football Picks For Today 10/14/2021
Liberty vs. UL Monroe Pick Prediction 10/16/2021
Liberty at UL Monroe—College football pick is Liberty Flames -32.5. Flames have recent blowout wins by 28 to Middle Tennessee St, 24 at UAB and 28 to Old Dominion. UL Monroe is worse than these teams. Liberty is moving the football for 443 yards with 4.7 yards per rush. Quarterback Malik Willis is completing 68% of his passes for a Flames passing attack that averages 10 yards per attempt. Flames defending well holding the opposition to 266 yards, 3.1 yards per rush and 5.6 per pass attempt. UL Monroe offense struggling as they put up 238 yards a game with 2.2 per rush. Quarterback Chandler Rogers is completing 56% of his passes for a UL Monroe passing attack that averages 5.9 per attempt. Warhawks converting only 25.3% on third down and defensively surrendering 52.4% conversion rate. Play Liberty -32.5.
BYU vs. Baylor Pick Prediction 10/16/2021
BYU at Baylor—College football free pick is BYU Cougars +6.5. Respect the Cougars wins against Arizona St and Utah to make this a competitive game. Their offense moves the football for 404 yards with 167 rushing for 4.9 yards per carry. Quarterback Jaren Hall is completing 60% of his passes for a passing attack that averages 8 yards per attempt. Cougars are strong in defending run and pass. Baylor was held to 14 points and 280 yards in a loss to Oklahoma St. They did pull out on a two point home win to iowa St gaining 285 yards at home. Up next for Baylor is Texas, TCU and Oklahoma as their Big 12 schedule toughens. Play BYU +6.5.
Texas A&M vs. Missouri Pick Prediction 10/16/2021
Texas A&M at Missouri—Free pick is Missouri Tigers +9.5. Texas A&M an inconsistent offensive team that finished off their best offensive performance in a win at home to Alabama. They play their first true road game of the season as games against Colorado and Arkansas were played on neutral fields. In those performances the Aggies produced only 272 yards in a loss to Arkansas and 288 yards in a 10-7 win to Colorado. Other lackluster offensive performances came in a 26-22 home defeat to Mississippi St. Missouri is a good offensive team that produces 467 yards per game with 171 rushing for 5.5 yards per rush. Quarterback Connor Bazelak is completing 67% of his passes for a passing attack that throws for 296 yards and 7.4 yards per attempt. Tigers home offensive numbers are even better. Aggies have failed to cover their past four on field turf which is faster surface than grass. Play Missouri +9.5.
Oklahoma St vs. Texas Pick Prediction 10/16/2021
Oklahoma St vs. Texas—College Football pick is Oklahoma St Cowboys +5. Cowboys moves to 5-0 after their ten point home win to a very good Baylor team. Oklahoma St a good defensive team holding opponents to 305 yards and 2.8 yards per rush along with 6.5 yards per pass attempt. They also went on the road and beat Boise St. Texas is a two loss team blowing a lead in a 55-48 defeat to Oklahoma and a 19 point loss at Arkansas. In those two losses the Longhorns allowed 662 yards to the Sooners and 471 to the Razorbacks. Cowboys have been good on third down allowing 29.7% conversion rate. Longhorns struggling to stop the run allowing 5.4 yards per carry along with 70.8% completion rate. Quarterback Spencer Sanders averaged 7.9 yards per pass attempt against Baylor and 10.1 against Kansas St. Play Oklahoma St +5.
TCU vs. Oklahoma Pick Prediction 10/16/2021
TCU at Oklahoma—College football free pick is TCU Horned Frogs +13.5. TCU has lost two of three but were competitive in their losses and showed offense. In that span of games the Horned Frogs putting up 431 yards with 6.2 yards per rush. Max Duggan completing 64.7% of his throws for 8.7 yards per pass attempt. Oklahoma struggling in pass defense allowing 265 yards and 7.4 yards per pass attempt. Caleb Williams was working with the first time at quarterback. The true freshman completing 60% of his passes in spot work. Now a team can game plan for Williams. TCU just needs to be competitive. Play TCU +13.5.
Toledo vs. Central Michigan Pick Prediction 10/16/2021
Toledo at Central Michigan—Free pick is Central Michigan Chippewas +5.5. Toledo has had issues getting points on the board. They have lost two of four scoring 20 to Northern Illinois and 6 to Colorado ST. On the road they put up 22 on Ball St. Rockies an undisciplined team that has high penalties and a poor job in pass protection. Chippewas moving the football for 460 yards. Quarterback Daniel Richardson past three games averaging 344 passing yards with 8.1 yards per pass attempt. Chippewas have been good in run defense limiting opponents to 3.8 yards a carry and a great job getting off the field on third down allowing 28.9% conversions. Play Central Michigan +5.5.
UAB vs. Southern Miss Pick Prediction 10/16/2021
UAB at Southern Miss—College football pick is UAB Blazers -16. Southern Miss has lost and failed to cover all five games against FBS opponents. They have home losses to UTEP 26-13 and Troy 21-9. Their offense puts up only 283 yards with 2.5 yards per rush and they run the ball majority of the time. Golden Eagles allowing 4.7 sacks per game and turn it over 2.4 times per contest. They are also bad on third down with a pass defense allowing 8.4 yards per pass attempt. UAB has recent wins by 16 to FAU and 34 at North Texas. Quarterback Dylan Hopkins is averaging 9.3 yards per pass attempt with nine touchdowns and two interceptions. Play UAB -16.
Purdue vs. Iowa Pick Prediction 10/16/2021
Purdue at Iowa—College football free pick is Iowa Hawkeyes -12. Iowa has won six straight after their three point home win to Penn St. Five of their wins have come by double digits. Hawkeyes defense holding opponents to 274 yards, 2.8 yards per rush and 5.2 yards per pass attempt. Purdue has lost two of three after held to 13 points to Minnesota at home and 13 at Notre Dame. In between was a 13-9 home win to Illinois. Boilermakers have struggled to run the football with 2.9 yards per rush. They struggle in pass protection and defensively putting pressure on quarterbacks. Quarterback Aidan O’Connell has throws five interceptions past three games. Hawkeyes quarterback Spencer Petras is completing 61% of his throws passing seven touchdowns past three games. Play Iowa -12.
Alabama vs. Mississippi St Pick Prediction 10/16/2021
Alabama at Mississippi St—Free pick is Mississippi St Bulldogs +17.5. Bulldogs come off the bye week after their four point win at Texas A&M. Mississippi St is defending holding opponents to 318 yards, 3.3 yards per rush and 7 yards per pass attempt. They have done a great job getting off the field on third down allowing 29.6% conversions. Alabama another non-cover and poor defensive performance in a true road game after a three point loss at Texas A&M. They gave up 389 yards to the Aggies and 440 yards to the Gators. In their true road games the Crimson Tide allowing 304 yards passing with 7.3 yards per pass attempt and 4.9 yards per rush. Mississippi St quarterback Will Rogers completing 75.7% of his throws with 14 touchdowns and 2 picks. Play Mississippi St +17.5.
Kent St vs. Western Michigan Pick Prediction 10/16/2021
Kent St at Western Michigan—College football pick is Kent St Golden Flashes +7. Western Michigan has struggled in pass defense allowing 8.2 yards per pass attempt. Kent St a pretty good offensive team that puts up 464 yards per game with 239 rushing for 4.9 per attempt. Golden Flashes quarterback Dustin Crum is completing 59% of his throws for 8 yards per pass attempt. Facing only the MAC last year Crum averaged 10.5 yards per pass attempt. Against Buffalo last week Crum averaged 11.3 yards per pass attempt with 403 passing yards. Play Kent St +7.
Western Kentucky vs. Old Dominion Pick Prediction 10/16/2021
Western Kentucky at Old Dominion—College football free pick is Old Dominion Monarchs +12.5. Old Dominion has covered three of their five games. Offense has shown improvement this year moving the football for 345 yards with 4.2 yards per rush. Their defense holding opponents to 330 yards and 3.3 yards per rush and 7.2 per pass attempt. Western Kentucky a strong offensive team weak defensively. Hilltoppers surrendering 480 yards per game 4.8 per rush along with 7.9 yards per pass attempt. Monarchs quarterback D.J. Mack cam run the football. He was able to move the football through the air against the UTEP and Buffalo defense. Tough to lay double digits on a team giving up nearly 500 yards a game. Play Old Dominion +12.5.