WNBA Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Game 5 10/8/2021 Picks

WNBA Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Game 5 10/8/2021 Picks Predictions Previews

The Las Vegas Aces are hosting once last time the Phoenix Mercury at the Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas on Friday, October 8, at 21:00 in Game 5 of this WNBA Semifinal. The Aces lived to fight another day and with a Game 4 victory in Phoenix lived to fight another day and forced a fifth and final game at home tonight. Whoever wins this game will advance to the WNBA Finals where the Chicago Sky are waiting after eliminating the Connecticut Sun in the other semifinal with 3-1 wins.

The Aces finished the regular season with a 24-8 record and were 16-15-1 against the spread and 19-13 in over/under. They are coming off a road victory against the Phoenix Mercury with a 93-76 score, beating the odds. They did most of their damage in the third quarter of the game, where they held their opponents into just 11 points while scoring 29 themselves. They were superb from behind the arc, making 11 triples on a 50% shooting. They had four players with 15+ points, led by Chelsea Gray with 22. She made 4 triples and added 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Kelsey Plum added 20 points and 6 assists off the bench.

Plum leads the team in scoring in the playoffs with 19 ppg, adding 3.5 assists per game. Riquina Williams follows with 16.8 ppg.

The Aces have the second-best offense in the playoffs, scoring 85 ppg but they have the worse defense, allowing 92.5 ppg. They have a 45.3% field goal percentage and a 36.6% 3-point percentage. They are 1-4 against the spread in their previous five matches.

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WNBA Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Game 5 Predictions 10/8/2021

The Mercury finished the regular season with a 19-13 record and were 18-13-1 against the spread and 14-17-1 in over/under. They are coming off a home defeat against the Las Vegas Aces with a 76-93 score, not beating the odds. They kept a close game for the whole first half but fell apart in the second, getting outscored by 44-30. They did not shoot the ball particularly well, making just 41% of their shots from the field. Skylar Diggins-Smith and Diana Taurasi led the team with 14 points apiece.

Brittney Griner leads the team both in scoring in the postseason with 19.8 ppg and in rebounding with 9.8, adding 4.3 assists per game. Diana Taurasi adds 18.8 ppg, 4.6 rebounds and 4.4 assists per game.

The Mercury have the best offense in the playoffs with 89.7 ppg, while allowing 83.7 ppg defensively. They have the second-best field goal percentage with 45.8% but the third-worse 3-point percentage with 36.1%. They are 4-1 against the spread in their previous five matches.

The Aces lead the Mercury 4-3 wins so far this season but the Mercury have a 2-1 lead in Las Vegas. The Mercury are 7-1-1 against the spread in their previous nine overall matches and 10-1 against the spread in their previous 11 in Las Vegas. Over is 9-4 in their previous 13 overall meetings and 8-0 in their previous eight matchups in Las Vegas. The Aces have a 14-4 home record, while the Mercury are 14-5 on the road. I’m going to pick over the total today.

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