WNBA Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Game 4 10/6/2021 Picks

WNBA Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Game 4 10/6/2021 Picks Predictions Previews

The Phoenix Mercury are hosting once again the Las Vegas Aces at the Footprint Center in Phoenix on Wednesday, October 6, at 22:00 in Game 4 of the second WNBA Semifinal. The Mercury took advantage of their home court and destroyed the Aces by 27 points. They now have totally turned the tables in the series and have a 2-1 lead after being down 0-1 with a Game 1 defeat in Las Vegas.

Phoenix had a 19-13 record in the regular season and were 18-13-1 against the spread and 14-17-1 in over/under. They are coming off a home victory against the Las Vegas Aces with an 87-60 score, beating the odds. They chocked their opponents defensively, holding them into just 31% shooting from the field and 14% from downtown. Brianna Turner led the way with game-highs both in scoring with 23 points and in rebounding with an absurd 17 boards. Brittney Griner added 18 points, 11 rebounds and 4 assists.

Griner leads the team both in scoring in the postseason with 21.2 ppg and in rebounding with 10.2, adding 5 assists per game. Diana Taurasi adds 20 ppg, 4.8 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game.

The Mercury have the best offense in the playoffs with 92.4 ppg but the third-worse defense, allowing 81.8 ppg. They have the best field goal percentage with 46.7% but the third-worse 3-point percentage with 35.3%. They are 5-1 against the spread in their previous six five matches. Over is 3-1 in their previous four matches.

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WNBA Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Game 4 Predictions 10/6/2021

Las Vegas had a 24-8 record in the regular season and were 16-15-1 against the spread and 19-13 in over/under. They are coming off a road defeat against the Phoenix Mercury with a 60-87 score, not beating the odds. They struggled mightily on offense as they shot with just 31% from the field and 14% from downtown. Only Liz Cambage managed to score double digits from their starters with 13 points. She also added 5 rebounds, while Dearica Hamby added 10 points and a team-high 7 rebounds off the bench.

Kelsey Plum leads the team in scoring in the postseason with 18.7 ppg, adding 2.7 assists per game. Riquina Williams follows with 16.7 ppg.

The Aces average 82.3 ppg in the playoffs and they have the worse defense, allowing 98 ppg. They have a 44.3% field goal percentage and the second-worse 3-point percentage with 30.6%. They are 1-5 against the spread in their previous six matches. Over is 6-3 in their previous nine matches.

Both teams are tied 3-3 wins so far this season, with the Aces having a 2-1 lead in Phoenix. The Mercury are 10-1-1 against the spread in their previous 12 matches. Over is 9-3 in their previous 12 meetings. The Mercury have a 9-9 home record, while the Aces are 11-6 on the road. All of the three Phoenix games this season have been under the total and the bookmakers repeat Game 3’s 171.5 line, so I’m going to pick under the total once again.

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